Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Laurel Park
Thursday - October 20, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
LRL-1   10/20/2022 3630ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($36K) 35 M/F PT-12:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COOLCATSNKITTENS Aug12 Jun26 May27     (delacour )CARRASCO R 123 3.50 5% 19.00    
VANILLA BEAN Sep22 Sep03       (hendriks mc)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 123 12.00    
TANKA TOUGH Sep16 Aug12 Jul23 Jul03 May30 (young court)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 119 12.00    
SCR  COFFEE BEAN Sep17 Aug09 Jul04 May25 Jan22 (serey mario )WHITACRE GRANT 119 6.00    
SCR  MAKO MISS Sep03         (ambrogi )RODRIGUEZ A 116 30.00    
M'LADY THATCHER Aug31 Aug21 Jul28 Jul09 Jun26 (gaudet lacey)ROSADO JOHAN 123 4.50 5% 19.00    
MISS CHIEF Mar18         (schoenthal phil)RUIZ JORGE 119 15.00    
SCR  THAT'S SOME KISS Sep16 Aug21 Aug05     (keefe l)GOMEZ KEVIN 126 6.00    
MELIPONINI BEE Sep17 Sep10 Aug08 Jul19 Jul04 (cooney susan )TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 8.00    
10  PERFORMANCEANXIETY Aug03         (smith a)CRUZ ANGEL 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
11  MORETHANASTORM Sep28 Sep10 Aug14 Jul28 Jun15 (bentley fe)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 112 20.00    
12  CATEGORYNINETYNINE         (schoenthal p)BARBOSA JEIRON 114 12.00    
13  MIDNIGHT CHOIR Oct03 Sep15 Aug30     (hendriks richa)BOYCE FOREST 126 2.00 59% 0.70    
SCR  BIZZY BIZZY Sep16 Jul23 Jul17 Jul04 Jun11 (haughton)BUTTERFLY L 122 15.00    
SCR  ABSTRACT MOMENT Sep14 Aug10 Jul27 Jun18   (payne beale)ALVELO C 123 4.00 9% 10.70    
SCR  STRAWBERRY POINT Sep13 Jun30       (montoya marya)ADORNO ABNER 123 6.00    
 
LRL-2   10/20/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($27K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOWIE TWO STEP Sep09 Aug05 Jul16 Jun24 May28 (cox kenneth)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 123 1.80 30% 2.30    
SCR  ELEAZAR Oct08 Sep30 Sep09 Aug05   (frock )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 10.00 11% 8.20    
WAR AND ROSES Sep24 Aug07 Jul29 Jul15 Jun25 (meyers madiso)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 4.50    
SMARTY JOHN Oct03 Sep02 Aug06 Jul15 Jun18 (sanchez-salo)BARBOSA JEIRON 118 3.50    
BORN FOR VICTORY Oct08 Sep05       (gonzalez c)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 116 4.00 21% 3.80    
BELIEVEINROCKNROLL Oct08 Sep18 Aug19 Jul29 Jun24 (frock ch)RODRIGUEZ A 112 8.00    
STAR SHOPPING Sep23 Sep07 Aug15 Jul29 Jun30 (mcgoey monica)GOMEZ KEVIN 123 15.00 10% 9.00    
 
LRL-3   10/20/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($48K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY CANDY GIRL Sep18 Aug19 Jul30 Jul08 May12 (russell brittan)GOMEZ KEVIN 123 1.60 41% 1.50    
DAILY PLANET Sep10 Jul20 Jun19 May30 May12 (milosevic mila)BOYCE FOREST 120 4.50    
FLIMSY (GB) Sep30 Aug19 Jul28 Jul03 May05 (motion graham)RUIZ JORGE 120 4.50    
NICOLAR Sep23 Sep06 Aug01 Jul15 Jun18 (allen ferri)KARAMANOS A 123 4.00 9% 10.40    
SCR  BOURBON GYPSY Aug29 Aug20 Jun18 Apr30 Mar20 (buckley rick)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 15.00    
SCR  TWELVEO'CLOCKROCK Sep25 Sep17 Aug19 Jul28 Jul04 (hohlbein kerry)GOMEZ KEVIN 123 3.50    
SCR  MIT MAZEL Sep30 Apr01 Feb25 Feb11 Jan16 (sanchez-salo)BARBOSA JEIRON 121 2.00 29% 2.50    
PEACE OUT Sep11 Aug19 Jul10 Jun15 May26 (meister s)DELGADO A 123 8.00    
UTTERLY COURAGEOUS Oct06 Sep17 Aug12 Jul29 Jul03 (hall aim)RODRIGUEZ A 116 12.00    
10  ALWAYSINMOTION Jun10 May25 May06     (lynch cathal)CRUZ ANGEL 123 20.00    
 
LRL-4   10/20/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRION Sep07 Jul20 Jun10 May05 Mar16 (stidham michael)ACOSTA D 120 3.50 32% 2.10    
KOZY'S WILDCAT Sep25 Sep04 Aug13 Jul03 Jun18 (howard c)CRUZ ANGEL 119 4.50 24% 3.20    
RAHMER Jul10 Mar19 Feb20 Feb10 Jan16 (barr donald)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 119 3.50    
DREAM HAPPY Sep25 Aug12 Jun24 May29   (bailes robe)KARAMANOS A 123 10.00 6% 15.00    
APPRAISAL Oct02 Sep18 Aug26 Aug12 Jul30 (brooks brian )TOLEDO JEVIAN 119 6.00    
ZEN MASTER Aug24 Jul30 Jun30 May26 Apr09 (russell brittan)GOMEZ KEVIN 120 2.50 9% 9.90    
PELOTA Sep25 Jun19 Jun09 May23   (ness jamie)BARBOSA JEIRON 118 10.00    
 
LRL-5   10/20/2022 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($58K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BABY BLYTHE Aug31 Jul31 Jun09 May14   (mcgaughey clau)BOYCE FOREST 123 6.00    
SCR  CANOODLE Oct02 Sep10 Aug12 Jul23 Jul02 (keefe timothy )BOYCE FOREST 123 12.00    
CUPID'S STRIKE Sep18 Aug19 Aug06 Jun25 May26 (farrior antho)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 6.00    
OCEAN SAFARI Sep05 Aug06 May07 Feb05 Jan01 (d'angelo jo)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ACADIAN GIRL Oct06 Sep04 Jul01 May05 Apr15 (geralis emanu)ALVELO C 126 2.50    
SCR  PASSION PLUS Sep29 Aug29 Jul30 Jun12 May21 (mcgoey monica)ALVELO C 123 20.00    
SCR  MISS DELICIOUS Sep29 Aug31 Jul02 Jun12 May14 (klesaris stev)KARAMANOS A 126 4.50 37% 1.70    
PEACE WITH HONOR Aug19 Aug05 Jun02     (mcmahon hugh)BARBOSA JEIRON 114 6.00 34% 1.90    
QUALITY CONTROL Sep29 Aug06 May31 Jan13   (trombetta)CARRASCO R 120 15.00    
10  TASWEYA Aug06 Jul02 Jun06 Feb22   (pino v)RUIZ JORGE 120 8.00    
11  JUXTAPOSE Aug31 Aug03 Jul01 Jun01   (klesaris stev)LYNCH FEARGAL 123 15.00    
12  SURYA (ARG) Sep29 Sep07 Aug01 Jul19 Jun08 (russell brittan)GOMEZ KEVIN 120 15.00    
13  TIC TIC TIC BOOM Oct03 Sep10 Aug29 Aug16 Jul16 (bedard alan)DIAZ VLADIMIR 126 8.00    
14  GRAVITRON Oct03 Aug29 Aug13 Jul11 Jun21 (ness jamie)CRUZ ANGEL 126 5.00    
SCR  YOU LOOK COLD Aug08 Jul18 Jun03 May03 Mar19 (o'connor ro)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
LRL-6   10/20/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($58K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JADES GELLY Sep07 Aug03 Jul20 Jun11 May06 (ness jamie)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 123 4.50 62% 0.60    
RUNAWAY MONET May27 Apr21 Jan27     (jenkins rod)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 123 30.00    
EIGHT DANZAS Oct01 Sep09 Aug22 Jul20 Jul13 (bedard alan)DIAZ VLADIMIR 126 20.00    
FLIGHT TO SHANGHAI Aug13 Jun08 May08 Apr16   (cibelli jane)KARAMANOS A 123 2.50    
SCR  HALO CITY Oct01 Sep04 Aug14 Jun23 May27 (lynch natal)RUSSELL SHELDON 123 6.00    
CLICK TO CONFIRM Oct01 Sep11 Aug27 Jul02 Jun05 (sanchez-salomon )CRUZ ANGEL 120 6.00    
MY MY GIRL Oct02 Aug06 Jun26 Jun03 Apr22 (bailes robert)RUIZ JORGE 123 15.00    
SCR  BEHIND THE COUCH Oct02 Sep02 Jul17 Jun26 Jun04 (salzman jo)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 116 20.00    
HASHTAG LUCKY Sep17 Sep06 Aug23 Jul01 Jun17 (sanchez-salom)TOLEDO JEVIAN 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
10  B B'S BUSTED Oct01 Sep05 Aug03 Jul17 Jun24 (preciado ern)LAPRIDA JEREMY 123 8.00    
11  CHARDONNAY Aug26 Aug03 Jul02 May19 Apr16 (stidham mich)BARBOSA JEIRON 115 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
LRL-7   10/20/2022 3630ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IT'S A GAMBLE Sep01 Jul21 Jul03 Jun02 May05 (breen kelly )LOPEZ PASCACIO 123 8.00    
MATTA Sep24 Sep06 Jul18 May29   (trombetta mic)LYNCH FEARGAL 123 2.50 31% 2.20    
MARVALOUS MIKE Sep09 Aug19 Jul07 Jun15   (montoya marya)ADORNO ABNER 123 15.00    
JUSTWAVEANDSMILE Sep24 Sep06 Jul30 Jul03 Jun17 (capuano dale)ALVELO C 123 10.00    
CHESS MASTER Sep29 Sep14 Aug20 Jul10 Jun22 (raven kerri)CASTANON L 126 6.00 12% 7.10    
NOTHING BETTER Sep05 Aug14 Jun17 May22   (duarte jorge )TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 3.00    
INDIAN LAKE Sep30 Aug10 Jul29 Jul07 Jun09 (ness jamie)BARBOSA JEIRON 118 6.00    
ARTHUR'S HOPE Aug16 Jul13 Jun19 May21 Apr08 (salazar marco)ACOSTA D 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  FACTOR IT IN Oct01 Aug16 Jul10     (mancilla carlos )RUIZ JORGE 126 2.50 17% 4.90    
10  ABOUT TODAY (ARG) Sep29 Sep02 Aug10 Jan09   (carrascoj)CARRASCO R 126 6.00 9% 10.40    
 
LRL-8   10/20/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($25K) 35 ALL PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WIRED IN Oct08 Feb27       (eppler mary )BARBOSA JEIRON 114 4.00 7% 12.70    
JEBSTER Oct08 Oct02       (howard c)CRUZ ANGEL 123 5.00 10% 9.20    
AWESOME DYNAMO Sep10 Aug06 Jul15     (corrales)RODRIGUEZ A 115 2.50 17% 5.00    
DESTINY JOY Sep04 Aug27 Aug14 Jul31 Jul15 (juarez calixto)DELGADO A 123 8.00    
SERGEANT PARKER Aug24         (cox kenneth)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 119 10.00    
JAHEZ Oct08 Aug30 Jul15 Jun17   (trujillo elvis)MONTERREY R 123 12.00    
ADDY'S LADDY T N T Oct08 Sep30 Sep11 Aug20 Aug05 (walters h)CARRASCO R 123 4.00 41% 1.40    
RIGHT QUICK         (graham rob)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 116 15.00 5% 19.00    
MR. FIBONACCI Aug20 Jul09 Jun24     (ambro)LABARRE GRACE 126 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.