Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Presque Isle Downs
Tuesday - October 11, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PID-1   10/11/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($19K) 2 ALL PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOOSE HUNTER Sep22 Sep07 Aug22     (rice kevin)AYALA J 120 8.00    
SCR  RIVZONAROLL Sep25 Aug31 Jun11     (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 2.50 45% 1.20    
3  SLIPPERY WHEN WET Sep22 Sep12 Aug22 Aug02   (hayes leland)ALLEN D 120 4.50    
4  VOORHEES         (hamm timothy)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 8.00 ★    
5  SWELTER Sep06 Aug22 Jul28 Jul14   (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 120 4.00 17% 4.90    
6  ASPLUNDER Sep28 Sep06 May31     (hayes leland)SPIETH S 120 3.50 11% 7.80    
7  POINT LOMA Sep22 Jul19       (rogers j)MARTINEZ A 120 5.00 ★    
 
PID-2   10/11/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  YADI Sep27 Sep21 Sep08 Aug30 Jul28 (carr-roz)MARTINEZ A 122 4.50 24% 3.20    
2  POLLOCK Sep14 Aug30 Aug02 Jul05 Jun22 (guciardo joh)ALENCAR WALBER 124 10.00    
3  SIDE TRACKED Sep21 Aug30 Aug08 Jul25 Jul07 (potts g)SPIETH S 124 6.00 7% 12.80    
4  ADIOS BOBBY Sep27 Sep06 Aug03 Jul12 Jun28 (pappada micha)WALKER M 122 2.50 14% 6.00    
SCR  STRETCH RUNNER Sep27 Sep14 Jul13 Jun27 Jun13 (girten tim)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 10.00    
6  BELIEVEINHOLIDAYS Sep20 Sep06 Aug16 Jul19 Jun15 (martin william )STANLEY O 124 8.00 ★    
7  TAPSOLUTION Sep19 Sep12 Aug31 Aug10 Aug02 (rice kevin)VALDES ALEXIS 122 1.80 29% 2.50    
 
PID-3   10/11/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($27K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BABY DRAGON Sep28 Sep21 Sep08 Aug17 Aug03 (hogue ja)MARTINEZ A 122 6.00 ★    
SCR  CLASSY HALO Sep06 Aug15 Aug03 Jul25 Jun16 (schneider ki)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 4.50 ★    
3  TWILA MAE Sep29 Sep06 Aug17 Jul27 Jul13 (rice kevin)AYALA J 122 1.80 40% 1.50    
4  VILLAGE QUEEN Sep19 Sep05 Aug17 Jul27 Jul07 (potts g)SPIETH S 122 1.60 36% 1.80    
5  TUDOX RUE MAJESTIC Sep20 Sep14 Aug17 Aug09 Jul28 (rice kevin)VALDES ALEXIS 124 4.50 ★    
 
PID-4   10/11/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DON'T DARE ME Sep27 Sep06 Aug22 Aug02 Jul19 (rojas eduardo)MORALES PABLO 122 4.00 11% 8.20    
2  WORBOTHOR Sep27 Sep14 Sep05 Aug01 Jul13 (radosevi)MARTINEZ A 124 6.00 ★    
3  BEACHSIDE Oct05 Sep21 Aug23 Aug10 Jul25 (allen lisa)ALLEN M 122 12.00    
4  DETANGLER Sep27 Sep21 Sep14 Aug29 Aug02 (rojas eduard)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 8.00 8% 11.50    
5  DECEITFUL ANTHONY Sep22 Sep06 Aug15 Jul14 Jun12 (pappada micha)WALKER M 122 3.00 30% 2.40    
6  STUCK UP Sep22 Sep05 Aug22 Aug01 Jul13 (potts ro)GALLARDO A 122 5.00    
7  CATHMOR Sep27 Sep14 Aug01 Jul14 Jun28 (pappada michael)STANLEY O 122 6.00 17% 5.00    
8  CHARLIE CHARLIE Sep26 Aug02 Jul19 Jul05 Jun14 (hayes w)SPIETH S 122 4.00    
 
PID-5   10/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WORLD OF FOOLS Sep22 Sep15 Sep09 Aug20 Jul30 (smith lawrenc)VILLA-GOMEZ H 119 10.00 ★    
2  HOUSE LIGHTS Sep28 Sep12 Aug29 Aug22 Jul27 (schaber debbi)VALDES ALEXIS 122 20.00    
3  LUPI Oct04 Sep21 Aug30 Aug11 Jul27 (stites w)MARTINEZ W 122 8.00    
4  FREE FLAYME Aug24 Aug03 Jul11 Jun25 May28 (duffy sean)SPIETH S 122 5.00    
5  MY BOY BLUE Oct03 Sep20 Aug22 Aug08 Jul18 (kurtinec)MARTINEZ A 124 4.00 ★    
6  EL ZOPILOTE Aug03 Jun30 Jun18 May27 Apr14 (worton doroth)WALKER M 122 20.00 ★    
7  SAN COSTANTINO Aug31 Jul28 Jul06 Jun15 Jun01 (hamm timothy)ALLEN D 119 2.50 41% 1.40    
8  SCIENCE TO WIN Sep28 Sep12 Aug29 Jul21 Jul11 (kocijan bori)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 12.00    
9  BAHAMIAN PARK Sep19 Sep12 Aug03 Jul19 Jul12 (roman malvin)AYALA J 122 4.50 32% 2.20    
10  LEGIO Sep19 Aug30 Aug16 Aug02 Jul19 (skawinski ca)ALENCAR WALBER 124 8.00    
 
PID-6   10/11/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($37.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SACHMO Sep20 Aug25 Aug05 Jul08 Jun29 (salvaggio mich)ALLEN D 122 5.00 ★    
2  PAID THE PREACHER Sep27 Sep06 Aug02 Jul12 Jun21 (martin w)GALLARDO A 122 8.00    
3  FIGHTIN PHIL Sep28 Sep13 Sep06 Aug15 Jul14 (antus lawrence)ROMERO RAMON 122 15.00    
4  SAKETUMI Sep25 Aug04 Jul13 Jun28 May31 (dowling william)SPIETH S 122 3.50 18% 4.70    
5  T REX Sep19 Sep10 Aug31 Aug19 Jul25 (rogers ronald)MORALES PABLO 122 4.00 ★    
6  SKYDIVING Oct05 Sep20 Aug24 Aug01 Jul12 (cooper t)MARTINEZ A 122 4.50 ★    
7  YOUMUSTBEA WEASLEY Sep20 Sep07 Aug24 Aug02 Jul25 (rice kevin)AYALA J 118 2.50 56% 0.80    
SCR  BISHI Sep27 Sep20 Aug16 Aug02 Jul18 (schneider ki)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 15.00    
 
PID-7   10/11/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($37.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROBBY'S RANSOM Sep29 Sep06 Aug24 Jul29 Jul08 (stites w)MARTINEZ W 118 6.00 16% 5.10    
SCR  ROMP (ARG) Sep05 Aug08 Jul18     (worton dorot)ALENCAR WALBER 122 4.50 ★    
3  QUALITY RUN         (martin willia)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 8.00    
4  TEMPLET Sep27 Aug28 Jul25 Jul13 Jun15 (connelly tere)MORALES PABLO 122 6.00 ★    
5  MR. SHADES OF GRAY Sep29 Sep02 Jul27     (motion h)GALLARDO A 122 12.00    
6  STRIKE THE TOP Sep19 Aug30 Aug09 Jul25 Jun15 (rogers mic)AYALA J 122 3.50 ★    
7  FLAWLESS BOURBON Sep29 Sep13 Aug30 Aug02 Jul12 (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 122 4.00 58% 0.70    
8  FLIGHT TO PARADISE Sep19 Aug30 Aug10 Jul25 Jun22 (judd cas)MARTINEZ A 122 8.00    
9  GAGE HAS A GRAY Sep08 Aug17 Jul28 Jul14 Jun23 (bernardini ja)GONZALEZ ALEX 122 10.00    
 
PID-8   10/11/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TWO TIMES LUCKY Sep14 Aug22 Aug12     (worton dorot)ALENCAR WALBER 120 30.00    
2  LISA MARIE Sep14 Aug27 Jul27 Jul20 Jun29 (potts g)ALLEN D 120 6.00 11% 8.50    
3  LEMONSANDDIAMONDS Sep07         (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 120 4.50 7% 12.70    
SCR  MULSANNE (IRE) Sep15 Aug27 Aug13     (hendriks)GALLARDO A 124 3.50 35% 1.90    
SCR  GO PERKY GO May12 Mar11 Feb10     (reed r)LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 10.00    
SCR  ISHKA BARHA Sep28 Sep14 Sep07 Aug24   (fennessy john)ALLEN M 124 12.00    
7  THE X FACTOR Sep28 Sep05 Aug08     (martin william )STANLEY O 124 4.00 ★    
SCR  LUCYS GIRL Sep22 Aug26 Jul27 Jul14   (albright amy)WALKER M 124 30.00    
9  C J 'S CAT FIVE Sep24 Sep05 Aug29 Aug15 Aug02 (connelly)MARTINEZ A 120 3.00 27% 2.80    
10  CEETA Aug24 Jul27 Jul01 Jun01   (albright amy)VALDES ALEXIS 124 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.