Handicappers' Racing Form

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Delta Downs
Thursday - October 06, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
DED-1   10/06/2022 4620ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 2 ALL PT- 5:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STEP ON IT         (pike l)MCMAHON J 120 6.00    
NERKY ROSE         (diodoro robertino)ROMAN KEVIN 120 3.50 20% 4.00    
QUIET AS MIDNIGHT         (chatters)RODRIGUEZ WALLYNETTE 120 4.50    
BUCK'S GLORY Aug11 Jul20       (landry ray)THORNTON G 117 12.00    
BRITE OUTLOOK         (chatters benard)RIVERA JOSEAN 120 12.00    
MOR VICTORY Jul17 Jun26 Jun05     (gelner jayde )DEL-CID VICENTE 115 10.00 5% 19.00    
FOUR O SIX CREED Aug16         (tracy greg)BIRZER E 120 2.50 52% 0.90    
AWESOME CAJUN         (landry ray)MELANCON G 120 5.00    
 
DED-2   10/06/2022 2640ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($20K) Purse ($29K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:23
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GEE GEE Aug19 Jul01 Jun10 Apr30 Apr14 (cox l)KENNEDY TY 118 6.00    
SCR  GALAXY THIRTYSIX Aug19 Jul28 Jun01 May14 Apr20 (ney john)FUSILIER C 115 10.00 5% 18.00    
SUMMERTIME BANDIT Aug26 Jul28 Jun23 Jun01 Apr20 (averett ronnie)COTTO L 115 12.00    
CHAMPAGNE AFFAIR May30 May06 Apr09 Mar24 Feb25 (govea cesar)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 3.00 35% 1.80    
ITSNOTMYJOB Aug14 Jul30 Jul02 May27 Feb05 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 115 4.50 18% 4.50    
WILD MALLORY Aug19 Jul28 Jun23 Jun01 Apr20 (averett ronni)DEL-CID VICENTE 110 1.80 19% 4.30    
ROARING QUINN Aug27 Jul28 Jun23 Jun01 May13 (nelson r)BARRERA J 110 20.00    
KNIGHTS SWORD Jul02 Jun24 Jun01 May13 Mar25 (roberts kenneth)THORNTON G 112 8.00    
 
DED-3   10/06/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:51
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COME WHAT MAE Sep12 Aug27 Jul26 Jul01 Jun08 (delany sar)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 3.50    
MYLIES STAR Sep12 Aug17 Jul14 Jun18 May20 (courville ricky)THORNTON G 120 1.80 48% 1.10    
SHOOTING STICK Aug27 Aug13 Jul20 Jul06 Jun11 (west henry)RAMIREZ PAULINA 123 15.00    
SHE'S TAKIN OVER Sep25 Sep06 Aug27 Aug14 Mar05 (johnson b)COTTO L 120 8.00    
ASHLEY'S GIRL Sep19 Aug30 Aug15 Jul26 Jun11 (turner patti)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 5.00 24% 3.20    
ALLEN'S JUDY Aug25 Jul16 Jun11 May27 Apr27 (core bar)RODRIGUEZ WALLYNETTE 123 12.00    
QUEEN OF THE MOON Sep25 Aug30 Aug14 Jul10 Jun14 (antwine michael)BACA L 120 8.00    
JIVIN ASTRO Jul30 Jul10 Jun14 May31   (lara jorge)TORRES HUGO 115 15.00    
YES I'M A LADY Sep17 Sep03 Jul30 Jul19 Jul09 (melancon dona)FLORES S 120 10.00    
 
DED-4   10/06/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:19
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOMENT TO DREAM Aug20 Jul29 Jul01 Jun02 May11 (ducoing sturges )THORNTON G 114 8.00    
SUFFRAGETTE Aug03 Jul09 Jul01 Jun16 May26 (larrosa a)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 3.50    
SILVER SIREN Jul19 Jun28       (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 117 2.50    
SCR  BOURN Aug19 Jul02 May23 Apr02 Mar04 (gonzalez)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 12.00 15% 5.70    
SCR  TRULY A ROCKET Sep25 Sep04 Aug21 Aug08 May23 (altamirano el)FLORES S 117 5.00 26% 2.80    
GILDED APPLE Aug20 Aug03 Jul13 Jun18 May26 (demouchet ri)ALBERT S 112 6.00 22% 3.60    
CYCLONE SORORITY Sep26 Sep05 Aug12 Jul23 Jul10 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 120 4.50    
FOR REAL ALICE Aug11 Jul13 Jun17 May26 May04 (pitzer d)KENNEDY TY 117 12.00 6% 15.20    
 
DED-5   10/06/2022 3300ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:47
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EXPECT A DANCER Jul30 Jun29 Jun13     (robbins jr)MELANCON G 120 6.00    
CINCO DE MAYO         (ali an)RAMIREZ PAULINA 120 10.00    
SHESABEAUTYDANCER Mar25 Feb26 Feb05     (faucheux ron)MARQUEZ L 117 5.00    
CALIFORNIA CALI Jun29 May20       (latour nichol)DEL-CID VICENTE 115 10.00 7% 14.00    
PSALM PRAYER Jul23         (romero j)FUSILIER C 120 10.00    
QUOTABELLE Aug26 Jul04 Jun05     (faucheux ron)RODRIGUEZ L 120 4.00 19% 4.10    
TYPO Sep05 Aug09 Jul02 May28 Apr29 (asmussen steve)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 3.50 8% 11.50    
KANCANCUTIE Sep05 Jul18       (nelson eri)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 2.50 39% 1.60    
 
DED-6   10/06/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FALCON HEAVY Aug20 Jul26 Jun20 May23 Jan14 (tracy greg)BIRZER E 120 10.00    
SCR  CLERIC Sep19 Jul09 May31 May23 Mar04 (beavin judy)RAMIREZ PAULINA 123 10.00    
BODE'S LIGHT Jul29 Jun11 May18 Mar18 Feb16 (ramirez eduar)DEL-CID VICENTE 115 5.00    
SCR  THIRTYEIGHTCALIBER Jul14 Jan21       (sturrock billy)MAGNON H 117 15.00    
SMOKY TOPAZ Aug19 Jul09 Jun16 Apr16 Mar02 (brinkman brett)FUSILIER C 120 4.50 17% 4.90    
WEDINGTON Sep24 Sep05 Aug15 Aug02 Jun19 (turner p)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 6.00    
PAYNT BATTLE Mar25 Feb25       (zenon shelton)STOKES A 120 12.00    
SPEEDY G Sep20 Sep03 Aug15 Jul24 Jul04 (melancon dona)FLORES S 117 8.00    
MY BOOK Jul27 Jul08 Jun25 Jun16 May18 (cormier )RODRIGUEZ WALLYNETTE 117 12.00    
10  DEALMEINBUD Sep25 Sep03 Aug08 Jul05 Jun14 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 120 2.50 32% 2.10    
11  GRAND PRIORITY Aug19 Jul16 Jun09 May15 Apr22 (larrosa a)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 6.00 13% 6.50    
SCR  MISTS OF TIME Sep10 Aug14 Jul25 Jun26 May31 (hernandez estefa)COTTO L 120 3.50 15% 5.70    
 
DED-7   10/06/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:43
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BE A BANDIT Aug20 Aug03 Jul20 Jul01 Jun11 (zenon shelton)MAGNON H 120 8.00    
BUILDING HOME Aug19 Jun06 Apr21 Feb26 Jan08 (ramirez eduar)DEL-CID VICENTE 113 5.00 21% 3.70    
ENDURING PEACE Apr08 Mar18 Jan27 Jan19   (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 118 6.00 12% 7.40    
PRAYERS SAVED Jul22 Jun16 Jun03 May13 Apr08 (larrosa a)THORNTON G 118 10.00    
LIL ALLIE DANCER Aug14 Jul30 Jul01 Jun18 Feb17 (alberto antonio)FUSILIER C 120 3.50 9% 10.10    
SEE SASSY RUN Sep06 Aug01 Jul04 May30 May09 (tracy greg)BIRZER E 118 2.50    
I'M ALL MIXED UP         (averett ronnie)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 15.00 18% 4.60    
FOURSWEETNIECES Feb16 Jan27       (cormier )RODRIGUEZ WALLYNETTE 118 8.00 13% 6.80    
ENVOYS LEGACY Jul15 Jun22 May28 May06 Apr21 (toups brent)POMPELL L 118 15.00    
 
DED-8   10/06/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($41K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:11
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YOUR TIME'S COMING Sep08 Aug17 Jun29 Jun02 Apr30 (richard chris)MELANCON G 118 8.00    
AUTUMNS STRONG MAN Sep17 Aug29       (husak j)VARGAS P 115 15.00    
WISE ANCHOR Aug30 Aug05 Jul23 Jun08 May25 (govea cesa)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 118 3.00 24% 3.30    
MONARCH'S MISCHIEF Aug30 Aug15 Jul02 May24 May14 (turner p)GUERRERO ANDRES 115 12.00    
SCR  LOWER CRETACEOUS Aug20 Aug06 Jul26 Jun13   (lara jorge)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 20.00    
TOO MUCH BOURBON Aug05 Jul22 Jun25 Jun08 May18 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 118 4.00 5% 19.00    
COMMANDER SCOTT Aug26 Jul20 Jun22 May20 Apr22 (ducoing sturges )THORNTON G 118 6.00 18% 4.50    
AND FIFTY Aug26 Jul26 Jun03 Apr22 Mar27 (david b)DEL-CID VICENTE 110 4.50 10% 9.40    
GRIEF Sep12 Jul23 Jun26 May17 Mar13 (tracy greg)BIRZER E 118 8.00    
SCR  SOURNOIS Sep20 Sep12 Aug14 Aug01 Jul19 (shamsie mike)FLORES S 118 12.00    
SCR  GOOD OLD CHARLIE Sep12 Aug30 Jul31 Jul05 May31 (pish danny)MORALES ROBERTO 118 5.00 22% 3.50    
 
DED-9   10/06/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:41
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAYWON Aug13         (dixon ti)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
AWESOME ARCH Sep19         (reeves a)THORNTON G 117 2.50 64% 0.60    
SECRET MOMENT Jul06 Jun11 Apr30     (delany sar)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 20.00    
SEEMYVALENTINE Aug27 Aug12 Jun30 May28 May12 (meza m)RIVERA JOSEAN 117 5.00    
SCR  POSEIDON'S QUEEN Aug12 Jul27 Jul02     (milburn katin)LEDET THEODRICK 123 20.00    
HOT PATOOTIE Aug11 Jul16       (ney john)DEL-CID VICENTE 112 15.00    
DON'T LOOK ETHEL Sep11 Jul30 Jul19 Jun05 May15 (ward ronnie)TORRES HUGO 115 12.00    
WITH GRACE         (chatters benard)STOKES A 123 6.00    
CHICKIETOWN STAR Sep19 Aug10 Jan22     (cormier winsto)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 12.00    
10  MO DIXIE DIVA Sep05         (melancon dona)FLORES S 117 5.00    
SCR  ROADSIDE GIRL May29 May21       (fontenot curl)RAMIREZ PAULINA 117 12.00    
SCR  FLYING I Aug12 Jul14 May20 Apr30 Apr08 (west hen)RODRIGUEZ WALLYNETTE 123 5.00 10% 9.40    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.