Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Presque Isle Downs
Wednesday - September 28, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PID-1   09/28/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SIGN AND SEAL Sep05 Aug24 Aug08 Jun29 Jun08 (pappada micha)WALKER M 119 1.60 63% 0.60    
2  IRON WILMA Sep07 Aug24 Jun30 May24   (hay r)BECKMAN ALICE 117 15.00    
3  DUPLICATED Sep14 Sep05 Aug24 Aug10 Jul27 (buhrow jamie)ALENCAR WALBER 124 10.00 ★    
4  SUPER GEUSE Sep14 Feb11 Jan07     (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 119 6.00    
5  ISHKA BARHA Sep14 Sep07 Aug24     (fennessy john)DELGADO DAVID 124 3.50 9% 9.60    
6  THE X FACTOR Sep05 Aug08       (martin william )STANLEY O 124 4.00 ★    
7  POP POP'S BABY BOO Sep14 Aug24 Aug10 Jul27 Jul08 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 124 5.00 ★    
 
PID-2   09/28/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FREE FLAYME Aug24 Aug03 Jul11 Jun25 May28 (duffy sean)ALENCAR WALBER 122 4.50 ★    
2  HOUSE LIGHTS Sep12 Aug29 Aug22 Jul27 Jul14 (schaber debbi)VALDES ALEXIS 122 15.00 ★    
SCR  CRY MACHO Sep21 Sep08 Aug29 Aug03 Jul25 (winters michell)STANLEY O 118 10.00    
4  C C'S KITTEN Sep12 Aug30 Aug09 Jul04 Jun15 (davis scooter)VILLA-GOMEZ H 120 3.00 30% 2.30    
5  JACKSON STRONG Aug15 Jul28 Jul07 Jun30 Jun15 (pappada)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 122 4.00 15% 5.60    
6  SCIENCE TO WIN Sep12 Aug29 Jul21 Jul11 Jun19 (kocijan bori)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 8.00    
SCR  SQUIRREL Aug29 Jul28 Jul07 Jun16 May23 (ruberto loui)AYALA J 122 5.00 33% 2.10    
 
PID-3   09/28/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHE NASTY Sep06 Aug10 Jul12 Jun23 Apr27 (guciardo)GALLARDO A 117 3.50 ★    
2  CASCADE PARK Sep06 Aug17 Jul27 Jul05 Jun16 (pappada michae)ALLEN D 119 1.60 77% 0.30    
3  BABY DRAGON Sep21 Sep08 Aug17 Aug03 Jul12 (hogue ja)MARTINEZ A 122 10.00 ★    
4  ISTHATYOURHARLEY Sep06 Aug17 Jul27 Jul07 Jun07 (brooks e)STANLEY O 117 12.00    
5  RUNAWAY BREEZE Sep13 Sep07 Aug24 Aug17 Aug02 (rice kevin)BECKMAN ALICE 110 3.00 ★    
6  AUDRINA'S CITY Sep13 Sep06 Aug09 Aug01 Jul04 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 122 6.00    
7  TAKE TO THE SKIES Sep06 Aug10 Jul01 Jun11 Mar26 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 122 8.00 ★    
 
PID-4   09/28/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  AT LEAST Aug03 Jul26 Jul14     (grace john)AYALA J 122 12.00 ★    
2  NORTHERN CROSS Aug10 Jul28 Jul01 May19 Apr20 (judd cassandr)MORALES PABLO 122 15.00    
3  MIDNIGHT LEAP Sep12 Aug29 Aug17 Aug09 Jul26 (blackhurst ra)BECKMAN ALICE 115 6.00 ★    
4  COURTED Sep15 Aug31 Aug08 Jul06 Jun07 (kintz matth)WALKER M 122 3.50 32% 2.10    
5  TIZ PROMISING RVF Sep22 Sep12 Aug31 Aug21 Aug11 (valdez moises)MARTINEZ W 122 5.00    
6  THISAINTJUMPSTREET Sep12 Aug29 Aug09 Jul26 Jul20 (rojas eduard)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 3.00 28% 2.50    
7  ROLLING MO Sep12 Aug29 Aug09 Jul26 Jun28 (russell )MARTINEZ A 122 1.80 19% 4.40    
 
PID-5   09/28/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 2 ALL PT- 3:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NIGHT RIDE         (stokes lance)ALLEN D 120 12.00    
2  JAY'S DELIGHT         (rogers mic)AYALA J 120 5.00 ★    
3  AZTEC LEGEND         (hamm timothy)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 6.00 ★    
4  SCHIFFHAUER STRONG Sep13 Aug23 Jul14     (lecesse mich)ALENCAR WALBER 120 1.60 44% 1.20    
5  SOUPER BLESSING         (trombetta michae)MARTINEZ W 120 8.00    
6  ASPLUNDER Sep06 May31       (hayes leland)SPIETH S 120 4.50 29% 2.40    
7  FALK Sep13 Aug23       (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 120 3.50 ★    
 
PID-6   09/28/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KITTEN BY THE SEA Sep18 Aug06 May01     (blankenship do)JURADO EDDIE 124 4.50 21% 3.80    
2  WINDY CITY GIRL Sep14 Aug31 Aug15 Aug08 Jun18 (bowersock mar)MORALES PABLO 124 1.80 31% 2.20    
SCR  SOUTH HOUSE Sep08 Aug25 Jul28 Jun24   (stites w)MARTINEZ W 124 6.00 ★    
4  WORKING OVERTIME Sep14 Aug31 Aug23 Aug03 Jul07 (barron rory)ALLEN D 124 10.00    
5  VIVE EL MOMENTO Sep15 Aug29 Aug22 Jul12 Jun21 (gotera juan )AYALA J 124 10.00    
6  MON PARADIS Aug17 Jul18 Jun27 May31 May04 (kintz s )GALLARDO A 124 3.00 24% 3.10    
7  DOUBLE DOT Sep14 Aug17 Aug09 Jul21 Jul06 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 124 12.00    
8  GUCCI GAL Sep22 Sep15 Aug31 Aug17 Aug08 (judd cas)MARTINEZ A 124 10.00 ★    
 
PID-7   09/28/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($37.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HEAVENLY PRAISE Aug24 Jul20 Jun14     (trombetta michael )SPIETH S 118 6.00    
2  QUARTERFLASH Aug15 Jul24 Jun25 May28   (velazquez dan)MORALES PABLO 122 3.50 52% 0.90    
SCR  RIO DEL ARMOUR Sep07 Aug16 Jul11 Jun30 Jun14 (guciardo john)VALDES ALEXIS 122 20.00    
4  SHOSHANAH Jul28 Jul18 Jun28 Jun02 May16 (horlache)MARTINEZ A 118 4.00 ★    
5  ONE THAT GOT AWAY Sep14 Aug10 Jul18 Jun30 Jun02 (trombetta michae)MARTINEZ W 118 5.00    
6  MOTITO Sep15 Sep07 Aug23 Jul25 Jul11 (girten tim)ALLEN D 120 6.00    
7  ULTIMATE BARONESS Sep15 Aug31 Aug10 Aug01 Jul20 (morrell just)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 15.00    
8  SQUAD UP Sep15 Aug31 Aug09 Jul20   (potts g)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 4.50 20% 4.10    
SCR  MADE TO HUSTLE Aug11 Jul18 Jul11 Jun17 Jun05 (rogers ronal)AYALA J 122 20.00    
10  MISS INVINCIBLE Sep15 Aug24 Aug17 Jul27 Jun19 (chichakly ami)DELGADO DAVID 118 12.00    
SCR  MORE RANSOM Sep06 Aug10 Jun30 Jun02 May23 (girten t)GALLARDO A 118 15.00 ★    
12  STRAIGHT MADNESS Sep14 Aug31 Aug10 Jul18 Jun28 (barron rory)ALENCAR WALBER 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
PID-8   09/28/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WAPITI WAY Sep21 Sep12 Aug29 Aug10 Jul21 (cheeks joseph)MORALES PABLO 122 5.00 50% 1.00    
SCR  PLEASE SIT DOWN Aug16 Aug03 Jun15 Jun02 Apr15 (dodge albert)WALKER M 122 20.00 ★    
3  RED CAT (CHI) Sep14 Aug30 Aug08 Aug02 Jul19 (barron r)GALLARDO A 122 8.00    
4  INCLUSIVE Sep08 Aug17 Jul25 Jul06 Jun16 (stokes lance)AYALA J 122 3.50 16% 5.20    
5  K. K. ICHIKAWA Sep06 Jul26 Jul05 Jun08 May30 (lecesse mich)ALENCAR WALBER 122 8.00    
6  SHAKEDOWN Sep14 Aug30 Aug16 Aug02 Jul19 (depasquale ki)DELGADO DAVID 122 15.00    
7  CORAL LEGACY Sep13 Sep06 Aug15 Jul11 Jun19 (blankenship do)JURADO EDDIE 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  FIGHTIN PHIL Sep13 Sep06 Aug15 Jul14 Jun30 (antus la)MARTINEZ A 122 15.00    
9  CHAOS KID Sep13 Aug22 Aug03 Jul20 Jun30 (guciardo joh)BURGOS ALBERTO 124 10.00    
10  LAUDERDALE Sep14 Aug30 Aug02 Jul19 Jul05 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 122 12.00    
11  GLIDING ALONE Sep14 Jul20       (hay r)STANLEY O 122 20.00    
12  GREAT Sep08         (martin willia)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 3.00 7% 13.20    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.