Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Presque Isle Downs
Tuesday - September 20, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PID-1   09/20/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHISTLE ME HOME Jul07 Jun14 Apr29 Apr15 Mar30 (guciardo joh)BURGOS ALBERTO 124 12.00 ★    
2  MORETHANSOULTITLE Sep05 Aug15 Jul25 Jul19 Jul05 (girten tim)SPIETH S 124 3.00 19% 4.20    
3  CAPTAIN MAD JACK Aug31 Aug22 Aug02 Jul11 Jul04 (radosevich shel)STANLEY O 124 2.50 ★    
4  DONALD Sep12 Jul26 Jul14 Jun28 Jun16 (hogue l)VILLA-GOMEZ H 124 10.00    
5  SAVE THE DRAMA Sep06 Jul13 Jun22 Jun06 May23 (rice kevin)BECKMAN ALICE 117 5.00 23% 3.30    
6  EXTRA MEDIUM Aug31 Aug15 Jul14 Jun18 Jun04 (rogers mic)AYALA J 124 1.60 29% 2.50    
 
PID-2   09/20/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CREATIVE CHOICE Sep05 Aug16 Jul25 Jul11 Jun30 (allen lisa)ALLEN M 122 3.00 63% 0.60    
2  DECEIVER Sep05 Aug24 Jul12 Jun14 Jun02 (russell rand)ALENCAR WALBER 122 5.00 ★    
3  STUDYLONGSTDYWRONG Sep05 Aug09 Jul20 Jun29 Jun15 (rogers j)MARTINEZ A 117 8.00    
4  HUNTIN' THE RUT Sep05 Aug29 Aug09 Jul25 Jul06 (carr-rozantz)AYALA J 122 10.00    
5  OLE G MAN Aug29 Aug18 Aug01 Jul18 Jul06 (carr-rozantz )BECKMAN ALICE 117 6.00 ★    
6  MY BOY BLUE Aug22 Aug08 Jul18 Jun11   (kurtinecz li)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 2.50 ★    
7  PAPI BELLO Sep08 Aug24 Jul03 Jun18 May07 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 117 3.50 ★    
 
PID-3   09/20/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIDDLY WINK Sep14 Aug29 Jul18 Jul08 Jun21 (rice kevin)VALDES ALEXIS 124 5.00 ★    
2  SLENDER BETSY Sep07 Aug08 Jul13 Jun30 Jun09 (rice kevin)WALKER M 117 4.00 ★    
3  AVENGEMENT Aug29 Aug08 Jul13 Jun22   (connelly teresa)ALLEN M 120 10.00    
4  BRADITUDE Sep08 Aug18 Jul27 Jul13   (rogers ronal)AYALA J 120 8.00    
5  GOLDBAR         (stidham )GALLARDO A 120 3.50 26% 2.90    
6  AEGONTHECONQUEROR Sep08 Aug08       (rotunno )MARTINEZ A 124 1.60 34% 1.90    
7  CHANGE THE HOUR         (russell randa)DELGADO DAVID 120 10.00 13% 6.80    
 
PID-4   09/20/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PERFECT PROVISION Aug17 Jun30 Apr08 Mar16   (figueroa nel)BURGOS ALBERTO 118 2.00 16% 5.30    
2  R FUNNY BIZNESS Aug08 Jul09 Jun12 May28 Apr15 (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 118 4.00 12% 7.60    
3  BODE BY YOU Sep08 Aug01 May22 Apr10 Jan01 (potts g)SPIETH S 118 4.50 ★    
SCR  MORE RANSOM Sep06 Aug10 Jun30 Jun02 May23 (girten t)GALLARDO A 118 6.00 13% 6.40    
5  MUSIC QUEEN Aug21 Aug08 Jul23 Jul04 Jun14 (cooney s)ALLEN D 118 12.00    
6  MUY CHISTOSA Aug16 Jun10 May14 Mar27 Feb06 (connelly tere)MORALES PABLO 118 3.00 36% 1.80    
SCR  PURCHASE POINT Sep07 Aug24 Aug08 Jul28 Jul18 (figueroa)MARTINEZ A 118 10.00    
 
PID-5   09/20/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 2 F PT- 3:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHICA CHULA Sep09 Jul08 Jun17 Jun01 May11 (calvo kelsie)BECKMAN ALICE 113 20.00    
2  GIRL AFRAID Aug31 Aug04 Jul08 May13   (kintz matth)WALKER M 120 4.50 18% 4.50    
3  WARRIOR'S RANSOM Sep05 Aug16 Jul26     (girten tim)ALLEN D 120 3.00 27% 2.70    
4  ELSA'S ROCKET Sep12 Aug31 Aug10 Jul28 Jun23 (rice ada)MARTINEZ A 120 8.00 ★    
5  KEYSTONE WARRIOR Aug31 Aug10 Jul26     (girten tim)SPIETH S 120 15.00    
6  BY THE YARD         (stidham )GALLARDO A 120 3.50 32% 2.10    
7  WINGS OF A SONG Aug23 Aug01 Jul05 Jun14   (schoenthal phil)MARTINEZ W 120 12.00    
8  AZTEC PRINCESS Aug31 Aug16       (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 120 4.00 ★    
SCR  HONEY HAULER Aug31 Aug16       (wismer glenn)AYALA J 120 6.00    
 
PID-6   09/20/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($37.5K) 2 ALL PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LEGEND OF CHARLIE Aug22 Jul19       (girten tim)SPIETH S 120 5.00 ★    
2  CAMINO DE SANTIAGO Aug20 Jul14 Jun14     (hamm timothy)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 2.00 ★    
3  SHAMMAH Aug23 Aug02       (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 122 1.80 65% 0.50    
4  DONTINVADEMYSPACE Sep10 Aug26 Aug09 Jul19 Jun28 (brooks e)MARTINEZ W 120 6.00 ★    
5  UNCLE JOCK Aug22 Jul17 Jun28 Jun14   (potts g)ALLEN D 120 8.00 ★    
6  I ONCE STOOD ALONE Sep09 Sep03 Jun28 Jun14 May31 (brooks gerald )CAMACHO SAMY 120 10.00    
7  BRUMBA WAFFLE TOES Aug22 Jul28 Jul14 Jun14 May31 (rice kevin)AYALA J 120 10.00    
 
PID-7   09/20/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($37.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TUDOX RUE MAJESTIC Sep14 Aug17 Aug09 Jul28 Jul06 (rice kevin)BECKMAN ALICE 112 6.00 ★    
2  ADY'S MUNNY Aug17 Aug05 May11 Apr08 Mar23 (kulp brandon )MORALES PABLO 117 6.00 ★    
SCR  FIGHTIN PHIL Sep13 Sep06 Aug15 Jul14 Jun30 (antus lawrenc)DELGADO DAVID 122 10.00    
4  YOUMUSTBEA WEASLEY Sep07 Aug24 Aug02 Jul25 Jul11 (rice kevin)AYALA J 117 2.50 68% 0.50    
5  SKYDIVING Aug24 Aug01 Jul12 Jul01   (cooper t)MARTINEZ A 122 8.00    
6  BISHI Aug16 Aug02 Jul18 Jun29 Jun02 (schneider kim)VALDES ALEXIS 122 15.00    
7  SACHMO Aug25 Aug05 Jul08 Jun29 May27 (salvaggio mich)ALLEN D 124 4.00 8% 11.60    
8  SHOOT YOUR CUFFS Sep06 Aug15 Jul21 Jul07 Jun21 (bourke john)STANLEY O 122 3.00 ★    
 
PID-8   09/20/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CASTLE KING Sep06 Aug23 Aug08 Jul20 Jun22 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 122 12.00 5% 18.00    
2  BELIEVEINHOLIDAYS Sep06 Aug16 Jul19 Jun15 May30 (martin william )STANLEY O 122 4.00 33% 2.00    
3  ON BASE Sep05 Aug09 Jul25     (rice kevin)VALDES ALEXIS 124 2.50 22% 3.60    
4  JINGLE BELLS Sep06 Aug22 Aug09 Jul25 Jul12 (fennessy john)DELGADO DAVID 124 8.00    
5  C THE KING Sep06 Aug23 Aug08 Jul25 Jul07 (depasqua)GALLARDO A 122 8.00 6% 16.00    
6  LEBASI Sep14 Aug31 Aug22 Aug15 Jul14 (hogue ja)MARTINEZ A 122 15.00    
7  FARAT Sep06 Aug22 Aug10 Aug03 Jul21 (markgraf davi)VILLA-GOMEZ H 124 8.00    
8  HOLY TRUTH Aug30 Aug02 Jun29 Jun06 May16 (martin willi)ALENCAR WALBER 124 6.00 7% 12.90    
9  TEMPUS Sep06 Aug17 Jul22 Jul13 Jun29 (dickey keith)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 5.00    
SCR  MARSAC Sep05 Jul25 Jul07 Jun23 Jun14 (depasqu)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 122 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.