Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Colonial Downs
Wednesday - August 20, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CNL-1   WIN (2/9/10/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/9/10/6)-(2/9/10/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/9/10/6)-(2/9/10/6)-(2/9/10/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/9/10/6)-(2/7/4/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/9/10/6)-(2/7/4/8)-(11/5/6/1) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CNL-2   WIN (2/7/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/4/8)-(2/7/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/4/8)-(2/7/4/8)-(2/7/4/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/7/4/8)-(11/5/6/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/7/4/8)-(11/5/6/1)-(4/1/10/7/8) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CNL-3   WIN (11/5/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (11/5/6/1)-(11/5/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (11/5/6/1)-(11/5/6/1)-(11/5/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (11/5/6/1)-(4/1/10/7/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (11/5/6/1)-(4/1/10/7/8)-(9/8/4/7/2) 100 $1.00 $100 
CNL-4   WIN (4/1/10/7/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/1/10/7/8)-(4/1/10/7/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/1/10/7/8)-(4/1/10/7/8)-(4/1/10/7/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/1/10/7/8)-(9/8/4/7/2) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (4/1/10/7/8)-(9/8/4/7/2)-(7/1/9) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
CNL-5   WIN (9/8/4/7/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/8/4/7/2)-(9/8/4/7/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/8/4/7/2)-(9/8/4/7/2)-(9/8/4/7/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/8/4/7/2)-(7/1/9) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (9/8/4/7/2)-(7/1/9)-(2/7/4/6) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CNL-6   WIN (7/1/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/1/9)-(7/1/9/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/1/9)-(7/1/9/4)-(7/1/9/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/1/9)-(2/7/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/1/9)-(2/7/4/6)-(3/7/12/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CNL-7   WIN (2/7/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/4/6)-(2/7/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/4/6)-(2/7/4/6)-(2/7/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/7/4/6)-(3/7/12/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
CNL-8   WIN (3/7/12/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/12/4)-(3/7/12/1/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/7/12/4)-(3/7/12/1/4)-(3/7/12/1/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CNL-1   08/20/2025 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($87.5K) 2 ALL PT-12:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FEISTY NOTION Jul30         (williams gar)LOPEZ PASCACIO 119 4.00    
  (by GREAT NOTION out of MY LITTLE JOSIE by OUTFLANKER)
DYNACITO         (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 119 2.00 37% 1.70    
  (by MUNNINGS out of DYNAIRE by DYNAFORMER)
SCR  STATE CONCEAL Aug02 Jul10       (munoz carlos)ASHTON GAVIN 119 30.00    
  (by SILVER STATE out of CALYPSA by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
SCR  JESSICA'S EYES         (robb j)CENTENO E 119 8.00    
  (by MOSLER out of MIRACLE MISCHIEF by INTO MISCHIEF)
PROTON         (motion graham)RUIZ JORGE 119 5.00    
  (by ASTERN out of CHARGED by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
PLAY IT COOL         (allen fer)HAMILTON WESTON 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of DOUBLE FIRST by MAJESTIC WARRIOR)
RANDY SAID SO         (williams gary)KARAMANOS A 119 30.00    
  (by PAYNTER out of SPRING RUN by AFLEET ALEX)
THIS IS THE LIFE Aug02 Jul18       (jones )LOPEZ EDUARDO 119 50.00    
  (by UNCLE LINO out of QUEEN'S FATE by ARTIE SCHILLER)
JIGGER Jul30 Jul11       (allen a )VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 119 4.50 31% 2.20    
  (by BOURBON COURAGE out of FULLERENE by QUIET AMERICAN)
10  HOT COCOA Aug07 May22       (lightner m)HUSBANDS J 116 12.00 9% 9.70    
  (by SMOKE GLACKEN out of EDREI by POSEIDON'S WARRIOR)
 
CNL-2   08/20/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT-12:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCHRADER Jul11 Jun20 May26 Apr05 Mar13 (mcmahon hu)HAZLEWOOD YEDSIT 111 20.00    
MR. KEYS Feb23         (meyers madi)RUSSELL SHELDON 122 3.00 40% 1.50    
BOLD DIVERSION Jul12 Jun20 Jun07 May31 May17 (shankle joanne)CRUZ ANGEL 118 2.50    
NANCY MADE MY DAY Jul30 Mar13 Feb21 Feb01 Jan18 (magee kieron)KARAMANOS A 122 10.00 15% 5.80    
GREAT HEAVENS Jul09 Jun27 May31 Apr06 Feb23 (magana j)BOYCE FOREST 122 4.00    
NOLA BOSS Jul17 Mar15 Feb16 Jan24 Dec01 (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 8.00    
EASTBOSTONBENNY Jul11 May22 Mar15 Feb15 Jan19 (klesaris s)SANCHEZ J 122 3.00 20% 4.10    
GABRIEL'S WING Jul31 Jul11 Jun05 May01 Apr04 (figgins oll)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
 
CNL-3   08/20/2025 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($40K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPLASH OF JACK Aug01 Jul19 Oct11 Sep04 Aug24 (aguirre ant)HAMILTON WESTON 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
STORM CREED May03 Feb21 Feb02 Dec20 Dec07 (munoz ca)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 124 50.00    
SOUND IT OUT Aug03 Jul04 Jun15     (yates michae)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 8.00    
LILLIPUT May23 Feb28 Feb15     (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 118 2.50    
HYSTERICS Jul30 Jun15 May03 Mar12 Feb20 (allen ferri)KARAMANOS A 118 6.00 16% 5.40    
ARISE MY LOVE Jul12 Jun27 Jun01 Mar28 Feb16 (milosevic mila)BOYCE FOREST 118 4.50 10% 8.80    
SCR  RISKY BEESNESS Jul12 Jul20 Jun28 Oct22   (cibelli jane)CURTIS BEN 124 3.50    
SCR  SUGAR MOMMA Jul30 Jul15 Jun03 Jul20 Jul03 (fulmer allison)BOCACHICA O 124 30.00    
SCR  WIKOLIA LADY Aug13 Jul23 Jun15 Apr25 Mar08 (allen fe)HAZLEWOOD YEDSIT 111 20.00    
10  HERMOSO MOMENTO Jul18 Jun15       (williams gar)CASIQUE UBARDO 118 50.00    
11  LAZY Y LEGACY Jul03 Jun07 Apr18 Mar28   (west aaron )CONCEPCION AXEL 118 10.00 51% 1.00    
 
CNL-4   08/20/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CALL THE CAVALRY Jul12 Feb06 Jan15 Apr20 Jul15 (mcpeek kenn)RUSSELL SHELDON 122 6.00 21% 3.80    
SCR  FEAR NOTHING Aug01 Jul10 Jun27 Jun08 May26 (smith hamilton)TORREALBA JG 118 5.00    
SIR CHANCE A LOT Jul19 Jun20 May11 Apr13 Mar22 (mcmahon i)ASHTON GAVIN 118 12.00    
BEN'S HERO Aug01 Jun14 Mar15 Feb19 Dec29 (klesaris ste)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 3.50 40% 1.50    
BOTTOMS UP Jun20 May22 Sep07 Jul18 May18 (mccutchen j)BURNHAM MATILDA 111 30.00    
SCR  STOP BEING GREEDY Jan02 Dec07 May18 Apr30 Apr09 (farrior antho)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 4.00    
CATALINA EXPRESS Jul30 Jul05 Dec04 Nov10 Sep12 (rodriguez m)LOPEZ E 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
PEPPERONIKID Jul30 Jul13 Jul16 Apr26 Apr07 (ramos ben)SAEZ SEBASTIAN 122 50.00 5% 19.00    
WHO SAYS SO Jun15 May23 Apr05 Mar13 Oct18 (allen fe)HAZLEWOOD YEDSIT 111 30.00    
10  HASTEN Jul30 Jun08 May22 Apr30 Mar15 (simms jr)ROSADO JOHAN 118 4.50 14% 6.20    
11  HAPPYFLYER Jul30 Jul10 Jun07 Apr12 Jan17 (mcgoey mo)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 5.00    
 
CNL-5   08/20/2025 3630ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($34.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AFTERNEATH Aug08 Jun18 Jun04 May17 Jan02 (gorham mic)ROWLAND MADELINE 124 4.50    
DREAM LEADER Apr24 Mar27 Mar08 Mar01 Feb06 (durr cody)PEREZ XAVIER 122 50.00 5% 19.00    
DONATE LIFE Jul23 Jun22 May02 Mar20 Feb07 (schoentha)CARRASCO R 122 15.00    
FAIR TRADE Jul17 Jun14 May25 May10 Apr19 (bailes rober)TORREALBA JG 118 5.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  LOVIELEE Jul17 May04 Apr12 Mar22 Mar05 (gardea abraha)TREJOS JOSEPH 122 50.00    
POLICE WOMAN Aug03 Jul24 Jul05 Jun13 May15 (woodit jose)RUSSELL SHELDON 122 50.00    
OK BY ME Aug01 Jul17 Jun19 May17 May04 (werneth rob)HAMILTON WESTON 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
JEWISH MOTHER Jul23 Jun15 May24 Jan10 Nov09 (allen a )VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 118 6.00 30% 2.30    
SHE'S NO UNCLE Jul23 Jul05 Jun13 May24 Mar28 (ness j)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 2.00 38% 1.60    
10  SPIRIT OF VICTORY Aug01 Jul19 Jun12 May22 Apr27 (klesaris ste)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 4.00    
SCR  PRINCESS LUCIA Feb21 Jan25 Dec20 Nov28 Nov02 (mcmahon i)CURTIS BEN 122 20.00    
 
CNL-6   08/20/2025 3630ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SALLY'S GOLD Aug08 Jul23 Jun14 May17 Apr27 (frock charles)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 4.00 21% 3.80    
SCR  MAIRSILS FIRST Jul09 Jun11 May26 Feb28 Jan02 (ramos ben)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 121 50.00    
LILLY SIMONE Jul24 Jun29 Jun07 May17 Apr18 (magana j)TORREALBA JG 121 15.00    
BABY BLOCKS Jul24 Jun07 May29 Apr18 Mar09 (kelly blake)LOPEZ PASCACIO 123 5.00    
SCR  SAPPHIRE BEAUTY Jun27 May22 Apr04 Mar02 Feb16 (frock charl)HAMILTON WESTON 121 50.00    
THREE TIMES Jul19 Jun29 May25 Feb28 Jan25 (delacour arnaud)CENTENO E 121 4.50    
HURRICANE DEBBIE Aug08 May25 Aug30 Aug04 Apr07 (joseph saf)HUSBANDS J 121 6.00 24% 3.20    
LADY ZETA Jul19 Jul02 Jun15 May29 Mar30 (magee kieron)KARAMANOS A 121 3.00    
MORETASTIC Aug12 Jul04 Jun11 May26 Apr30 (bowersock )SANCHEZ J 121 12.00 14% 6.20    
10  WONDER GIRL Jul19 Jun27 Jun14 Dec15 Nov28 (magee )LOPEZ EDUARDO 121 6.00    
 
CNL-7   08/20/2025 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EYES ON THE KING Jul12 Jun15 Dec14 Oct05 Sep07 (casse mark)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 10.00    
DRIPPING GOLD Jul12 Jun14 Nov30 Oct19 Sep07 (mcgaughey claude)CURTIS BEN 122 1.80 28% 2.60    
SCR  JUST A PHOTO Jul05 May17 Apr26 Mar19 Jun23 (ramirez luis)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 6.00    
EFF THIRTY FIVE Jun27 Apr18 Mar22 Feb22 Nov28 (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 122 4.00 19% 4.20    
WON AN AWARD Aug10 Jun21 May03 Nov02 Oct13 (duarte jorge )KARAMANOS A 122 6.00    
UNCLE JAKE Jul05 Aug04 May27 Apr11 Mar07 (valvo )ARAUJO VICENTE 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
RAPTOR'S (BRZ) Jul26 Apr17 Jan25 Jun27   (casse mark)SANCHEZ J 124 5.00 27% 2.70    
WOW WHATA SUMMER Jul26 Jun21 May16 May03 Oct18 (lawrence l)RUIZ JORGE 122 15.00    
 
CNL-8   08/20/2025 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TERRIE T Jul31 Jul16 Jun14 Apr25 Apr05 (lusk r)LOPEZ PASCACIO 124 5.00    
KISSES FOR KATE Jul25 Jun15 May24 Aug02   (aguirre anth)CASIQUE UBARDO 118 30.00    
LYRIC STREET Jul30 Jun12 May23 May03 Jan24 (trombetta mic)KARAMANOS A 118 2.50 38% 1.60    
MISCHIEVOUS TRICK Aug07 Jun13 Dec13 Nov21 Oct10 (payne c )VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
LADY LYLA Jul16 Feb28 Feb07 Jan10 Dec18 (paramo mart)BURNHAM MATILDA 117 15.00    
STRUMMIN MARY Jul25 Apr09 Mar13 Feb28 Jan17 (yanez )ROJAS EDUARDO 124 20.00    
RED ROYALTY Jun14 May18 Apr29 Apr16 Mar12 (tomlinson mich)ASHTON GAVIN 118 6.00 30% 2.40    
WINDIN ROAD Jul18 Jun15 May09     (aguirre ant)HAMILTON WESTON 118 30.00    
WHISKEY BREW Aug02 Jun22 May09     (salazar ma)HAZLEWOOD YEDSIT 111 20.00    
10  INSOLENTA Jul31 Jul12 Jun04 May10 Mar29 (blair jorda)CONCEPCION AXEL 124 4.00    
SCR  PRINCESS CHLOE Aug02 Jun14 May22 May10 Apr12 (gardea abraham)ROSADO JOHAN 118 20.00    
12  MISS BANKS Jul18 Jun07 Apr17 Mar20 Feb09 (magee )LOPEZ EDUARDO 118 8.00 7% 12.50    
13  JOJO'S GONE Jun28 Mar16 Sep13     (baxter georgina)RUIZ JORGE 118 20.00    
SCR  PRACTICAL ROMANCE Jul25 Jun26 Apr24 Mar22   (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 118 1.50    
SCR  IMPETUS ECHO (GB) Aug10 Jul12 Jun15 May24 Apr10 (jones )LOPEZ EDUARDO 118 30.00    
SCR  TEA ROSE Jun29 Jun08 May15 Sep07 Jun22 (mcmahon tho)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.