Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Colonial Downs
Friday - August 15, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CNL-1   WIN (2/8/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/8/1/6)-(2/8/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/8/1/6)-(2/8/1/6)-(2/8/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/8/1/6)-(2/10/4/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/8/1/6)-(2/10/4/5)-(6/3/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CNL-2   WIN (2/10/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/10/4/5)-(2/10/4/9/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/10/4/5)-(2/10/4/9/5)-(2/10/4/9/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/10/4/5)-(6/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/10/4/5)-(6/3/7)-(1/5/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CNL-3   WIN (6/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/7)-(6/3/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/7)-(6/3/7)-(6/3/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/7)-(1/5/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/3/7)-(1/5/7)-(2/7/5/9/10) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
CNL-4   WIN (1/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/7)-(1/5/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/7)-(1/5/7)-(1/5/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/7)-(2/7/5/9/10) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (1/5/7)-(2/7/5/9/10)-(7/2/12/5/9) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
CNL-5   WIN (2/7/5/9/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/7/5/9/10)-(2/7/5/9/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/7/5/9/10)-(2/7/5/9/10)-(2/7/5/9/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/7/5/9/10)-(7/2/12/5/9) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (2/7/5/9/10)-(7/2/12/5/9)-(5/2/8/9) 100 $1.00 $100 
CNL-6   WIN (7/2/12/5/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/2/12/5/9)-(7/2/12/5/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/2/12/5/9)-(7/2/12/5/9)-(7/2/12/5/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/2/12/5/9)-(5/2/8/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/2/12/5/9)-(5/2/8/9)-(6/8/7/10) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CNL-7   WIN (5/2/8/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/8/9)-(5/2/8/9/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/2/8/9)-(5/2/8/9/3)-(5/2/8/9/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/2/8/9)-(6/8/7/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
CNL-8   WIN (6/8/7/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/8/7/10)-(6/8/7/11/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/8/7/10)-(6/8/7/11/10)-(6/8/7/11/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CNL-1   08/15/2025 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($87.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOT A COMPLEX Jul09         (drury jr)CURTIS BEN 119 4.00 10% 8.80    
  (by COMPLEXITY out of MAGICIAN'S VANITY by STREET MAGICIAN)
2  HARMONY ROAD Jul11 Jun21       (kelly blake)CHUAN MARTIN 119 1.40 55% 0.80    
  (by MCKINZIE out of SCRATCH N CLAW by BRIEF RUCKUS)
3  DRIFTING Jul23 Jun22 May09 Apr25 Mar14 (cruz jesus)TREJOS JOSEPH 124 5.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of CAPE COD CAROL by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
4  CROSS OF VALOR Jul09 May31 May09 Apr18 Mar28 (allen ferris)RUIZ JORGE 119 10.00    
  (by BLOFELD out of SWEET VALOR by NO ARMISTICE)
SCR  HERMOSO MOMENTO Jul18 Jun15       (williams gary)CHAVEZ ANDRES 119 30.00    
  (by GAME WINNER out of FIRST WAVE by WAR FRONT)
6  CITIFIED Jul23         (joy j)HAMILTON WESTON 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of SCARLET by UNCLE MO)
7  SWEET WINE Jan18 Jan02       (kelly blake)KARAMANOS A 119 15.00    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of SWEETNESS 'N SUGAR by HARD SPUN)
8  CHILLOW Aug01 Jul09 Aug08     (ashby lynn)BOYCE FOREST 124 4.50 11% 8.10    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of CONVINCED by TIZNOW)
 
CNL-2   08/15/2025 3630ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($40K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GROSSE ILE Jul23 Jun29 Jun08     (bailes)LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 6.00    
2  NATIVE MISCHIEF Jul23         (bailes rober)BOYCE FOREST 119 4.50 42% 1.40    
3  IDES OF DEMARCH Jul09         (cruz jesus)TREJOS JOSEPH 119 8.00    
4  PROMAJA Jun10 Apr25 Apr06 Dec28 Nov17 (bowersock )SANCHEZ J 124 10.00 9% 10.80    
5  SMOKE ANCHOR         (williams gar)CASIQUE UBARDO 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  GAME ENERGY Mar14 Feb14 Jan24 Dec27 Dec07 (lightner m)HUSBANDS J 119 15.00    
7  SMOKEY RAIN Aug02 Jul12 Feb02 Sep04 Jul13 (aguirre antho)CHAVEZ ANDRES 124 30.00    
8  VALERIE STREET Jul25 Jul10 Jun22 Jun15 May03 (maldonado j)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 119 12.00    
9  HAIL NO Jul23 Dec18 Nov08 Oct11 Aug24 (payne c )VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 124 2.50 ★    
10  INTEL AGENT Jul23 Jun29 Jun15 May24 May15 (barr donald)HAMILTON WESTON 124 4.00 25% 3.00    
11  RAG DOLL Jul23         (aguirre antho)KARAMANOS A 119 30.00    
 
CNL-3   08/15/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CATARINA Jul25 Apr23 Apr05 Feb14 Jan23 (azpurua )VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 119 3.50    
2  LADY TOURIST Mar06 Feb14 Dec14 Oct24 Sep12 (locklear ja)HAMILTON WESTON 124 50.00    
3  SLANDEROUS Jul25 Sep07 Aug30 Aug13 Jul13 (mccutchen ja)CASIQUE UBARDO 119 4.00 28% 2.50    
SCR  BAJAN BASHERT Jul31 Jul12 Jun22 Jun05 May04 (gaudet)LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 1.50    
5  IRISH B GOODE Jul31 Jul18 Jun08 Apr11 Mar14 (mcclure dia)BURNHAM MATILDA 117 30.00    
6  SONG AND A BREEZE Jul25 Jul06 May08 Mar13   (yates mic)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 119 2.00 36% 1.80    
7  SERIOUS MOMENT Jul23 Jun08 Apr20 Jul14 Jan14 (hester leanne)MORALES ANGEL 124 20.00 9% 10.60    
 
CNL-4   08/15/2025 5940ft TURF RC9 FIRM Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DRILLING FOR GOLD Jul12 Oct31 Sep28 Jul25 Nov11 (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 123 2.50 30% 2.40    
2  HOLD OUT Jul10 May25 Nov08 Oct18 Sep29 (stettinius suz)BOYCE FOREST 123 4.00    
SCR  HEAVEN'S CHAMPION Jul16 Jun07 Apr12     (kelly blake)CHUAN MARTIN 118 10.00    
4  NAPTOWN Jul17 Jun27 May02 Mar01 May18 (magana j)RUIZ JORGE 125 3.00    
5  QUOKKA Jul17 Jun12 Jan25 Dec28 Oct24 (blair jorda)CONCEPCION AXEL 123 3.50 29% 2.40    
6  LOOK TO THE CROSS Jul17 Nov28 Nov08 Oct19 Sep05 (mcpeek ke)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 118 6.00    
7  NORTHERN TICK TOCK Jul17 May03 Oct26 Sep15 Aug23 (brion keri)KARAMANOS A 123 12.00 5% 17.20    
 
CNL-5   08/15/2025 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HIT SONG Jul30 Jul19 Jun06 May07 Apr05 (munoz carlos)CASIQUE UBARDO 118 20.00    
2  DARK POOL Jul16 Jun27 Jun01 Aug12 Jul11 (brion keri)CONCEPCION AXEL 124 5.00 41% 1.40    
3  AMERICAN KESTREL May18 Mar19 Jan05 Sep20 Aug02 (thomas jonathan)CURTIS BEN 124 2.50    
4  OCEAN RAIN Jul31 Jun21 May18 Mar22   (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 118 6.00    
5  RADIANT TONES Jul26 Jun15 May26 Apr27 Oct24 (milosevic mila)BOYCE FOREST 118 4.50 7% 13.90    
6  LITTLEGIRLJUSTICE Jul23         (saville nia)BURNHAM MATILDA 111 20.00    
7  HOPE SHE FIRES Jul30         (casse mark)SANCHEZ J 118 4.50 23% 3.30    
SCR  PRETTY GEISHA Jul26 Jul16 Feb08 Jan17 Nov03 (boniface kevin)CHUAN MARTIN 118 30.00    
9  READY TO ROCKNROLL Aug02 Jul04 May24 Dec27 Nov10 (delacour arnaud)CENTENO E 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
10  QUEEN ROCKET Jul31 Jun15 Nov03 Sep14 Sep04 (aro c)RUIZ JORGE 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
11  SPICE GAL Jul18 May02 Sep05 Aug22 Jul27 (flores ir)CARRASCO R 118 30.00    
12  LAST GLANCE Nov01 Oct05 Sep04 Aug24   (williams gary)KARAMANOS A 124 30.00    
 
CNL-6   08/15/2025 3630ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($34.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHICA MUSIC Jul23 Jun12 May15 Jan12 Dec22 (ochoa gerard)CASIQUE UBARDO 122 30.00    
2  ASKNOTWHATYOUCANDO Jun08 May10 Jan17 Oct17 Sep13 (mcmahon h)HERNANDEZ F 122 5.00 7% 13.30    
3  MORNING MIRACLE Jul23 Jun27 May29 Feb06 Jan16 (blair jordan)CHUAN MARTIN 122 6.00    
4  DIANE LEE Jul23 Jun13 May10 Feb09 Dec29 (milosevic mila)BOYCE FOREST 118 4.50    
5  COUNTRY ECONOMICS Aug07 Jul23 Jun21 May31 May04 (vazquez jose )TREJOS JOSEPH 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  LENAMAGNETTA Jul19 Jun13 Sep13 Jul18 May31 (testerman v)BURNHAM MATILDA 115 30.00    
7  PAROLA SICURA Jul23 Jun28 Apr18 Sep16 Aug15 (dilodovico damon)CURTIS BEN 122 4.00 68% 0.50    
8  SET ABLAZE Jun15 May25 Apr25 Mar14 Feb16 (godsey kare)HAMILTON WESTON 118 12.00    
9  ANY FOOLS GOLD Jul25 Jul03 Jun15 May25 May15 (haughton)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
10  AVALANCHE IS COMIN Jul04 Jun13 Nov07 Oct10 Jul25 (rofe jean)CHAVEZ ANDRES 122 30.00    
11  PAYRULA Jul23 Mar04 Feb03 Oct23 Sep14 (stidham mic)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 10.00    
12  FLUFFY Jul25 Jul12 Jun29 Jun01 May03 (rodriguez m)LOPEZ E 122 3.50 5% 19.00    
SCR  ARIEL MOON Jul25 Jun28 May10 Feb26 Feb19 (trombetta mic)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 6.00    
SCR  TINKATWO Jul13 Aug27 Aug05 Jul09 May26 (yates mic)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 15.00    
SCR  BLUESKYSLOOKINATME Jul18 Feb21 Jan31 Nov29 Sep07 (locklear ja)HAMILTON WESTON 122 30.00    
SCR  MISS SERAFINA Aug02 Jul23 Jul04 May24 May02 (mcgoey monica)KARAMANOS A 118 20.00    
 
CNL-7   08/15/2025 5610ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($20K) Purse ($40K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AMBUSHED Jul11 Jun07 May11 Apr25 Mar30 (ramos ben)HAMILTON WESTON 122 50.00    
2  TOM HAGEN Apr25 Nov10 Oct19 Sep04 Aug16 (meyers madi)RUSSELL SHELDON 122 3.50 17% 4.80    
3  MISSIONAIRE Jul25 Jun13 May25 Apr27 Nov08 (mcmahon h)HERNANDEZ F 124 5.00 ★    
4  HIGH RANSOM Jul12 Jun28 Feb16 Jan17 Dec20 (ramos ben)SAEZ SEBASTIAN 122 30.00    
5  RIGEL Jul12 Mar07 Feb08 Dec29 Dec07 (gallegos a)CURTIS BEN 122 1.60 35% 1.90    
6  SELL SOMETHING Jul12 May25 Oct26 Oct10 Aug17 (de horaci)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 5.00    
7  OVIATT CLASS Jun22 May29 Mar23 Oct27 May27 (mccutchen jaso)ASHTON GAVIN 122 12.00    
8  CLASS PHOTO Jul31 Jul09 Jun04 Mar28 Feb05 (hester leanne)BOYCE FOREST 122 8.00 11% 7.80    
9  E MINOR Aug06 Jul03 Jun10 May21 Apr11 (bowersock )SANCHEZ J 122 10.00 8% 11.60    
 
CNL-8   08/15/2025 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($10K) Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GOSSIPER Feb27 Feb12 Jan18 Dec15 Nov30 (kingsley archi)ASHTON GAVIN 123 6.00    
2  LALOBA FEROZ Jul31 Jun26 Mar01 Jan18 Jan03 (munoz carlos)CASIQUE UBARDO 123 10.00    
3  RED WREN Jul07 Jun09 May19 Apr13 Mar14 (vargas an)CHUAN MARTIN 123 8.00    
4  WOODS HOLE Jul23 Jun19 May23 Apr26 Mar23 (dimmett james)JUDE JOHN 123 50.00    
SCR  LADYS CHANT Jul03 Jun17 May04 Apr16 Mar16 (bowersock m)CONCEPCION AXEL 123 30.00    
6  INANNA'S QUEST Jun21 May24 Nov09 Oct31 Oct09 (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 123 2.00 37% 1.70    
7  MAXIMO MADNESS Jul23 Jul11 Jun21 May26 May10 (allen a )VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 123 8.00 6% 16.20    
8  SOLVING PROGRESS Jul11 Jun22 Nov10 Oct13 Sep20 (trombetta michae)RUIZ JORGE 123 4.50 30% 2.40    
9  SPOILS OF WAR Jul19 Jun13 Apr27 Nov29 Nov02 (de horaci)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 20.00    
10  UPPITY UP Jul30 Jul14 Jun25 Jun03 Oct16 (bowersock )SANCHEZ J 123 30.00 5% 19.00    
11  ALLONS Jul11 Jun26 Jun05 May02 Mar28 (gallegos a)CENTENO E 123 6.00 ★    
12  JASSAI Jul23 Jun28 Jun08 May24 Apr02 (ochoa gerard)TREJOS JOSEPH 123 30.00    
13  PLEASE MARRY ME Jul30 Jul10 Jun22 May03 Nov01 (shankle)ORTIZ ORLANDO 123 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.