Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Colonial Downs
Saturday - July 26, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CNL-1   WIN (2/1/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/6/7)-(2/1/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/6/7)-(2/1/6/7)-(2/1/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/1/6/7)-(7/1/2/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/1/6/7)-(7/1/2/8)-(7/5/4/6) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CNL-2   WIN (7/1/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/2/8)-(7/1/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/2/8)-(7/1/2/8)-(7/1/2/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/1/2/8)-(7/5/4/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/1/2/8)-(7/5/4/6)-(1/2/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CNL-3   WIN (7/5/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/4/6)-(7/5/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/4/6)-(7/5/4/6)-(7/5/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/5/4/6)-(1/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/5/4/6)-(1/2/3)-(5/2/7/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CNL-4   WIN (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/3)-(1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/3)-(5/2/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/2/3)-(5/2/7/6)-(8/7/4/9) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CNL-5   WIN (5/2/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/7/6)-(5/2/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/7/6)-(5/2/7/6)-(5/2/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/2/7/6)-(8/7/4/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/2/7/6)-(8/7/4/9)-(8/7/9/10/6) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CNL-6   WIN (8/7/4/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/7/4/9)-(8/7/4/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/7/4/9)-(8/7/4/9)-(8/7/4/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/7/4/9)-(8/7/9/10/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (8/7/4/9)-(8/7/9/10/6)-(9/7/6/4) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CNL-7   WIN (8/7/9/10/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/7/9/10/6)-(8/7/9/10/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/7/9/10/6)-(8/7/9/10/6)-(8/7/9/10/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/7/9/10/6)-(9/7/6/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (8/7/9/10/6)-(9/7/6/4)-(7/5/6/3) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CNL-8   WIN (9/7/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/7/6/4)-(9/7/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/7/6/4)-(9/7/6/4)-(9/7/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/7/6/4)-(7/5/6/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (9/7/6/4)-(7/5/6/3)-(2/7/5/8) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CNL-9   WIN (7/5/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/6/3)-(7/5/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/6/3)-(7/5/6/3)-(7/5/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/5/6/3)-(2/7/5/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
CNL-10   WIN (2/7/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/5/8)-(2/7/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/5/8)-(2/7/5/8)-(2/7/5/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CNL-1   07/26/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($40K) 2 F PT-12:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROYALTIES RICHES         (trombetta )SANCHEZ J 119 1.80 19% 4.20    
SASSY FOX         (farrior antho)TOLEDO JEVIAN 119 1.50 39% 1.60    
SHINING AWAY Jul12         (rodriguez m)LOPEZ E 119 30.00    
BEAR'S BOARD         (oliver victori)ASHTON GAVIN 119 3.50    
ANITA GLASSOFWINE Jul02         (ashby lynn)CENTENO E 119 5.00    
MIDNIGHT SPIN         (clement rola)CASIQUE UBARDO 119 15.00 7% 12.70    
MISCHEVIOUSJOANIE         (clement roland)ROSADO JOHAN 119 30.00 7% 12.70    
 
CNL-2   07/26/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($40K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MCZ         (simms mar)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 6.00 24% 3.20    
MILITARY GRADE Sep29         (farrior ant)RUSSELL SHELDON 119 4.50 13% 6.60    
GUNS AND SHIPS May03         (amoss m)CURTIS BEN 119 4.50    
NANCIE'S BOY Jun26 May24 Apr06 Mar14 Dec14 (cooney susa)HAMILTON WESTON 119 50.00    
WILEY WILLARD Jul12 Jun16 Jul25     (desormeaux k)CONNER TYLER 119 5.00    
SCR  TASK FORCE (FR) May17 Apr11 Feb15     (farrior antho)TOLEDO JEVIAN 119 3.50    
FALCON BLUE Jun20 May26 Apr25 Apr04 Mar13 (keefe timothy )BOYCE FOREST 119 3.00 35% 1.90    
DIVINE SWAGGER Jun29 Jun08 May24     (aguirre )VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
CNL-3   07/26/2025 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 F PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FOND OF YOU         (stidham m)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 6.00    
  (by STORMY ATLANTIC out of HALLIE BELLE by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
SCR  C'MON EILEEN         (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 119 3.00    
  (by COMPLEXITY out of WIDE OPEN by FLAT OUT)
WORSHIP MY NAME         (gardea abraham)CONNER TYLER 119 5.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of CURLY WURLY by CURLIN)
ALDENE         (trombetta michae)RUIZ JORGE 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of MYBABYBABYSBABY by AWESOME AGAIN)
MUSICAL POWER Jul12         (munoz carlos)CASIQUE UBARDO 119 8.00 35% 1.90    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of POWDER DAY by FROSTED (GB))
SENSACALI         (shanle)LOPEZ EDUARDO 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of MY CALIFORNIA by CALIMONCO)
MY STUBBORN LASSIE         (eurton peter)CURTIS BEN 119 2.50 40% 1.50    
  (by ARMY MULE out of OUR IRISH LASSIE'S by YES IT'S TRUE)
ATHENIX         (campbell m)SANCHEZ J 119 6.00    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of CONTINGENCY PLAN by INTO MISCHIEF)
 
CNL-4   07/26/2025 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUABLENANAV TH (URU)         (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 122 2.00 42% 1.40    
BARTLETT Jun27 Apr12 Nov09 Oct22 Sep25 (servis c)PENNINGTON F 124 2.50 27% 2.70    
SHAKE EM LOOSE Jul11 Jun17 May21 Nov15 Oct18 (maldonado j)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
REAL MACHO Jan31 Dec28 Sep21 Aug11 Jul05 (crichton r)HUSBANDS J 122 4.50    
SCR  STRONG QUALITY Jun19 Apr06 Jan31 Aug11 Jun08 (casse mark)CURTIS BEN 122 3.00    
RAMBO APPROVED (URU) May19 Apr25 Oct20 Sep12   (correas ignac)KARAMANOS A 122 8.00    
 
CNL-5   07/26/2025 6270ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($74K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WOW WHATA SUMMER Jun21 May16 May03 Oct18 Oct03 (lawrence l)RUIZ JORGE 122 6.00    
RAPTOR'S (BRZ) Apr17 Jan25 Jun27     (casse mark)SANCHEZ J 122 5.00 31% 2.20    
EHSAAN Apr26 Mar07 Feb08 Dec24 Jun29 (joseph saf)HUSBANDS J 122 5.00    
SCR  HUNTER JOE Jun21 Jun01 Oct12 Aug18 Jul19 (smith hamilton)BOYCE FOREST 122 12.00    
AK SAR BEN DERBY Jun21 May25 Nov23 Oct06 Aug25 (ortiz alex)CENTENO E 122 2.00 38% 1.70    
WORTHINGTON Jun14 May16 Apr18 Nov26 Oct28 (brion keri)KARAMANOS A 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
FACTOR ANALYSIS Jun21 May10 Feb08 Dec20 Oct20 (kenneally eddie)CURTIS BEN 122 4.00 7% 13.10    
DEAN MARTINI Jun26 Jun11 Apr19 Feb15 Sep28 (gaudet lacey)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 6.00    
 
CNL-6   07/26/2025 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($30K) Purse ($35K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HEAVEN'S PROMISE Jul02 May28 Apr25 Apr10 Mar12 (kelly bl)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 118 30.00    
BOSSY BOOTS Jun22 May24 Nov01 Aug24 Jul26 (flores g)BOYCE FOREST 123 30.00    
GALOSHES Jun26 Apr29 Jan26 Nov14 Oct02 (lauer mi)GALLARDO A 123 20.00    
PUT A ROCK ON IT Jun22 Jun13 Nov10 Oct31 Oct12 (magee kieron)KARAMANOS A 123 4.50 11% 7.80    
WONDERFULL LADY (FR) Jun27 Sep02 Jul25 May19 Sep10 (delacour )CARRASCO R 123 2.00    
SCR  SHARMIN Jul10 Jun15 May25 May11 Apr19 (mcmahon i)CENTENO E 123 12.00    
HIDDEN PRESENCE Jun05 Apr18 Mar26 Feb21 Jan02 (motion graham)RUIZ JORGE 123 4.00 24% 3.20    
SAL'S BLUE JACKET Jun05 Sep02 Jul31 Jun27 Jun08 (stidham m)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 3.00 38% 1.60    
MINARI Jun06 Apr18 Feb20 Nov29 Oct24 (brion keri)CONNER TYLER 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
CNL-7   07/26/2025 6600ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($72K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLACK APPLE Jul04 Mar09 Dec15 May04 Apr14 (ortiz john )RUSSELL SHELDON 123 12.00    
MIDDLEBURG Jan31 Nov30 Oct26 Aug31 Aug11 (brion keri)BOYCE FOREST 123 12.00    
HYTECK PRINCE Jun14 Apr26 Nov09 Oct18 Sep27 (lawrence james)ADORNO ABNER 123 20.00    
LAZLO Jun27 Jun13 Jan20 Dec01 Oct10 (sillaman richar)CENTENO E 118 6.00    
SCR  OMNI KING Jun28 Jun04 Apr26 Mar01 Dec14 (kelly blake)KARAMANOS A 123 20.00    
MICKEY SHILLELAGH Jun21 Oct05 Sep07 Aug17 Jul20 (mcgaughey)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
MY BOY TONY Jul03 May18 Apr24 Mar18 Feb15 (kenneall)GALLARDO A 123 4.00 16% 5.40    
ROTHSCHILD Jun08 Apr19 Mar01 Nov30 Oct26 (toner jam)CARRASCO R 123 3.00 47% 1.10    
PRESIDER Jun13 May18 May01 Apr09 Feb28 (russell brittany)CURTIS BEN 123 3.50 12% 7.40    
10  VAX A NATION Jun21 May25 Apr26 Nov30 Oct18 (mcmahon hugh )TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
CNL-8   07/26/2025 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Love Sign Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HAPPY CLOUDS Jun28 May17 Apr27 Jan18 Nov23 (gilles)ARAUJO VICENTE 122 20.00    
  (by PAYNTER out of TWO TO ONE by YESBYJIMMINY)
MOSIENKO May27 May17 Mar14 Jan30 Jan10 (jones e)ACOSTA D 122 20.00    
  (by HAT TRICK out of EXCLUSIVELY YOURS by DEERHOUND)
COSTA AMALFITANA Jul17 May31 May03 Mar07 Feb01 (munoz carlos)ROSADO JOHAN 118 30.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of VALUABLE PACKAGE by KANTHAROS)
ADMIRAL HOPPER May16 Apr12 Feb22 Oct18 Aug23 (nixon j)BRICENO GREGOR 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FIELD COMMISSION out of FLOWER CLASS by STORMY ATLANTIC)
SCR  MS. BUCCHERO Jul20 Jan18 Nov29 Sep14 Jul28 (alvarado dian)JARA FERNANDO 124 3.50    
  (by BUCCHERO out of GIVE GLORY TO GOD by MUTAKDDIM)
BOURBON BREEZE Jul04 Jun15 May02 Apr10 Feb13 (brisset r)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 2.50 14% 6.10    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of MALIBU PRIDE by MALIBU MOON)
ALANI Jun28 May31 Apr27 Apr08 Mar13 (moore michae)HERNANDEZ ANDY 122 3.00 17% 4.90    
  (by COMPETITIVE EDGE out of TRI DELT GIRL by SEFAPIANO)
SCR  SUNSET EXPRESS May22 Apr27 Mar29 Mar13 Feb14 (campbell joe)CENTENO ALEXIS 118 8.00    
  (by KHOZAN out of JELLY CABLE by SKY MESA)
TOP GUN GIRL Jun27 May30 May01 Nov14 Oct24 (brisset rodolphe)CURTIS BEN 122 4.00 48% 1.10    
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of MOANIN by MEDICEAN)
 
CNL-9   07/26/2025 4620ft DIRT RC11 FAST Reigh Count Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INVEIGLED Jun21 May03 Mar29 Feb15 Dec14 (cibelli jane)CURTIS BEN 122 5.00    
  (by ENTICED out of KITTY QUALITY by QUALITY ROAD)
BOUNCER Jun29 Jun01 Mar29 Jan26 Dec06 (ness j)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 6.00    
  (by ADIOS CHARLIE out of KAIKEN by FIRST SAMURAI)
O'CONNER SUNSET Jun07 May20 May10 Apr11 Nov18 (jones e)ACOSTA D 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CURLIN out of MISS SUNSET by INTO MISCHIEF)
MY HANDSOME MAN Jun15 May26 May13 Apr12 Feb12 (ovando)ARAUJO VICENTE 122 50.00    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of BISOU FRANCAIS by CURLIN)
CELTIC CONTENDER Jun28 May17 Mar14 Feb15 Dec21 (smith ham)CARRASCO R 122 6.00 11% 8.20    
  (by IRISH WAR CRY out of CELTIC KATIE by POSSE)
KAVOD May26 Mar19 Feb15 Jan18 Dec20 (sharp jo)GALLARDO A 124 8.00 10% 8.70    
  (by LEA out of WEEKEND CONNECTION by PULPIT)
PATRIOT SPIRIT May03 Mar22 Jan25 Nov30 Oct19 (campbell m)SANCHEZ J 122 1.40 39% 1.60    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of MISTICAL PLAN by GAME PLAN)
WORCESTER May04 Apr12 Mar01 Jan26 Dec27 (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 124 3.50    
  (by EMPIRE MAKER out of LIL SUPER BEAR by SUPER SAVER)
 
CNL-10   07/26/2025 5940ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CADDIEMASTER Nov03 Sep21 Jul07     (de horaci)TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 4.00    
BRIGHTY Jun13 May15 Dec14 Oct31 Oct10 (milosev)BRICENO GREGOR 124 4.50 52% 0.90    
KAUAI BREEZE Sep19 May08       (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 124 30.00    
KITTY'S SON Jun28 Jun07 May04 Apr26 Feb14 (corral)ARAUJO VICENTE 118 12.00    
BLACK EMPIRE Jun22 May25 Apr18 Oct20 Sep06 (figgins o)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 5.00 9% 10.10    
SCR  COMMITTED GAMES Jun27 Jun14 Apr06     (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 118 4.00    
SUMMER VIBES Jun14 Apr19 Mar15 Feb08   (walsh p)CURTIS BEN 118 3.00 13% 6.90    
PIETRELCINA Jun15 May26 Nov03 Sep21 Aug16 (hodsdon danie)KARAMANOS A 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
GRAND KINGDOM Dec21 Dec04 Nov14 Aug31 Aug23 (munoz car)CARRASCO R 124 30.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.