Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Belterra Park
Friday - July 11, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

BTP-1   WIN (4/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/1)-(4/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4/1)-(1/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
BTP-2   WIN (1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/4)-(1/5/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (1/4)-(1/5/4)-(1/5/4) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    PK3 (1/4)-(4)-(5/2) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
BTP-3   WIN (4) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (4)-(4/2) 1 $1.00 $1.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    PK3 (4)-(5/2)-(8) 2 $0.50 $1.00 
BTP-4   WIN (5/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/2)-(5/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    PK3 (5/2)-(8)-(1/6) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
BTP-5   WIN (8) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (8)-(8/9) 1 $1.00 $1.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
BTP-6   WIN (1/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/6)-(1/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    PK3 (1/6)-(5/4)-(1/8/3) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
BTP-7   WIN (5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/4)-(5/3/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (5/4)-(5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (5/4)-(1/8/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
BTP-8   WIN (1/8/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/8/3)-(1/8/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/8/3)-(1/8/3)-(1/8/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
BTP-1   07/11/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLYIN RYAN Jun28 Jun14 May28 May07 Apr12 (jarvis kathy)OUZTS W 121 5.00 5% 19.00    
  (by IMPROBABLE out of NICKSAPPEALINGLADY by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
LEGEND OF BOBBY C May15 Apr24 Mar01     (greenhill )VILLARREAL OSCAR 116 1.80    
  (by UNION RAGS out of MEG GIRY by ESKENDEREYA)
CUE COUNTRY ROADS Jun28 Jun13 Feb21 Jan02 Sep28 (meredith c)HERNANDEZ A 125 3.00    
  (by CUPID out of RUNNING FOR DIXIE by SIR CHEROKEE)
KING'S PLAN Jun26 Jun03       (hill f)BLANCHE RISHAWN 121 6.00 28% 2.60    
  (by ANCHOR DOWN out of DELETE THE TWEET by CAIRO PRINCE)
SCR  TECHNE May15 May08 Feb15 Jan25 Dec14 (guerrero sa)JIMENEZ J 125 2.00    
  (by KLIMT out of CTIMENE by CONSOLIDATOR)
 
BTP-2   07/11/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IMPROBABLE STORY Jul01 May29 May16 Apr26 Apr16 (king l)ELLIOTT JANE 123 3.50 36% 1.80    
SHIPSHAPE Jun25 Jun14 Jun05 May20 Apr30 (medina to)CORREA L 125 1.60    
LAST ROO Jun25 May29 May14 Mar19 Mar06 (beck rowena)MOJICA JR 123 4.00    
THISPOINTINTIME Jun26 Jun05 May23 Mar05 Oct13 (melancon paul)JURADO EDDIE 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
BETTERING Jun27 Jun11 May24 May06 Mar29 (ortiz-ruiz)VILLARREAL OSCAR 120 2.50    
 
BTP-3   07/11/2025 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SNEAKIERTHANSARAH Jun16 Sep12 Aug01 Jul10 Jun17 (west m)PAULY SUMMER 118 8.00    
BURNING PINE May17 Apr12 Apr26     (ward wes)RODRIGUEZ A 119 1.60    
MILA JUNES Jun07 Apr17 Mar12 Feb05 Nov29 (west w)LEBRON VICTOR 123 2.00    
TIZ SWEET EMOTION Jun14 May17 May03 Mar21 Jan29 (smith larry)JIMENEZ ALBIN 125 3.50 61% 0.60    
SCR  KRICKLE May10 Mar26 Dec13 Nov22 Oct24 (west aaro)BERMUDEZ E 123 4.00    
 
BTP-4   07/11/2025 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($24.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROCKET LAUNCHER Jul03 Jun21 May31 Sep25 Sep06 (johnston rebecc)MOJICA JR 123 8.00    
LONE BOY Jun21 Jun12 May28 Apr08 Jan13 (norris ste)VILLARREAL OSCAR 118 5.00 5% 19.00    
PEEKABOOWILLIE Jun26 May08 Sep28 Aug29 Aug03 (helmbrecht wi)CANUTO THIAGO 118 3.00    
SCR  R C IRONSIDE Jun18 May28 Mar26 Feb08 Jan15 (donjuan sergi)JIMENEZ ALBIN 119 1.60    
COLONEL COOPER Jun12 May28 May14 May03 Dec19 (hamm timothy)SOSA LAUREANO 119 2.00 63% 0.60    
 
BTP-5   07/11/2025 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DOWHATEVERITTAKES Mar09 Feb05 Dec20 Oct16 May31 (reed r)MCKEE J 125 10.00    
SCR  BLOOMIN HEART         (ward wes)RODRIGUEZ A 121 2.50    
SCR  FOREVER HOPEFUL Jun25 Jun11 Feb05 Aug29 Oct12 (hughes by)CORREA L 123 6.00    
SCR  MELODITY Jul01 Jun12 Mar26 Mar12 Feb12 (hernandez r)PETERSON FERRIN 121 3.50    
SCR  CEDRATO Jun11 May19 Mar19     (anderson sus)TERRAZA GERMAN 121 4.50    
WOMANS PEROGATIVE Jun25 Apr25 Apr04 Mar16 Feb02 (phillips adam)LARA VICTOR 118 15.00    
SCR  HUGGIN AND LOVIN May29 Apr25 Apr05 Mar05 Jan31 (reed r)LAGUNES GABRIEL 125 8.00    
POWER PARTY May29 Apr30 Apr23 Apr05 Mar16 (orantes yoni )JIMENEZ ALBIN 121 10.00 35% 1.90    
TECTONIC Jun12 Mar01 Jan18 Sep26   (wojczynski justin)MURGIA A 121 12.00    
 
BTP-6   07/11/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOVIN MAKES CENTS Jul01 Jun13 May09 Mar15 Feb27 (donjuan sergi)JIMENEZ ALBIN 125 4.50 31% 2.30    
SCR  ROSE DARLING Jun03 Dec02 Sep30 Sep04 Aug07 (donjuan sergio)HERMAN NOEL 120 2.50    
PERFECTLY WICKED Jan31 Jan03 Dec06 Nov13 Oct28 (fletcher ke)LAGUNES GABRIEL 125 3.50    
SCR  JANUARY JUBILEE Jun20 May17 May03 Mar12 Feb05 (sherman justin)JURADO EDDIE 125 8.00    
BANNED FROM MIDWAY May16 May05 Apr30 Apr03 Mar27 (caramor)PILARES P 125 2.00    
BEL ARIA Jul02 Jun13 May30 May16 Mar12 (townley steve)PAULY SUMMER 120 10.00 7% 12.60    
 
BTP-7   07/11/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLAZING BURROUGHS Jun21 May22 Dec11 Nov18 Oct30 (smith larry)OUZTS W 125 3.50    
SPANISH WELLS Jun14 Jun04 May01 Mar14 Jul18 (forster t)MCKEE J 123 2.00    
HOCUS (GB) May18 Jun21 May10 Apr07 Nov10 (thompson mich)CANNON DECLAN 123 2.50    
AHUMADO Jun25 Feb15 Jan29 Jan03 Dec13 (meredith c)HERNANDEZ A 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
EL PEJE Jun11 May30 Sep04 Aug10 Jul25 (locker timothy)MURGIA A 123 5.00 56% 0.80    
SCR  UNRAPTURED Jun04 May24 May04 Apr15 Apr03 (ciardullo r)LAGUNES GABRIEL 123 6.00    
 
BTP-8   07/11/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($10.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CREEK Jun20 May28 May08 Apr09 Mar20 (cline rob)CORREA L 123 5.00 57% 0.80    
SCR  COACH PETRO Jun28 Jun07 Jan25 Oct29 Sep26 (estvanko ri)FIGUEROA SERGIO 123 6.00    
NICE SHOT DOUG Jun20 Jun12 May14 Mar13 Feb06 (estvanko rich)LEBRON VICTOR 119 8.00 7% 13.80    
SCR  ACTING DEBUT Jun20 Mar21 Feb23 Jan18 Dec05 (armstrong ste)CANUTO THIAGO 123 10.00    
RED SHAHEEN Jun28 Apr21 Feb22 Jan23 Aug05 (matejka pavel)MURGIA A 119 10.00    
SCR  FORE FLAG Jun28 Jan29 Dec11 Nov01 Sep18 (moger jr)PAULY SUMMER 118 3.00    
SCR  SPUNS SON Jun28 May28 Mar11 Jan01 Oct24 (hill f)BARBOSA CARLOS 123 12.00    
ACCONA Jun05 May09 Mar05 Feb05 Sep11 (shetron phyll)JIMENEZ ALBIN 123 8.00 12% 7.60    
MOTOR CITY MENACE Jun27 Jun12 May28 May14 Mar13 (heath dest)WELLINGTON KYLIE 123 12.00    
10  DOOQ Jun19 Jun05 Sep18 Sep07 Jul19 (hernandez debb)JURADO EDDIE 123 10.00    
SCR  ROENICK Mar20 Mar01 Feb06 Jan03 Oct23 (corrigan)RODRIGUEZ A 123 4.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.