Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belterra Park
Wednesday - May 14, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BTP-1   WIN (2/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/4)-(2/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/4)-(2/5/4)-(2/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/4)-(3/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
BTP-2   WIN (3/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/5)-(3/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/5)-(3/4/5)-(3/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (3/4/5)-(1/3)-(6/1/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
BTP-3   WIN (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/3)-(1/4/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (1/3)-(1/4/3)-(1/4/3) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    PK3 (1/3)-(6/1/4)-(5/3/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
BTP-4   WIN (6/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/4)-(6/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/4)-(6/1/4)-(6/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (6/1/4)-(5/3/6)-(4/3/2) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
BTP-5   WIN (5/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/6)-(5/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/6)-(5/3/6)-(5/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
BTP-6   WIN (4/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/2)-(4/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/2)-(4/3/2)-(4/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (4/3/2)-(6/3/4)-(3/1/7/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
BTP-7   WIN (6/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/4)-(6/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/4)-(6/3/4)-(6/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/4)-(3/1/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
BTP-8   WIN (3/1/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/7/4)-(3/1/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/7/4)-(3/1/7/4)-(3/1/7/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BTP-1   05/14/2025 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NICE SHOT DOUG Mar13 Feb06       (leitch danie)BARBOSA CARLOS 121 3.50    
2  ZADDY Mar30 Feb22 Dec19 Nov17 Oct19 (reed r)MCKEE J 121 2.00 47% 1.10    
3  OPERATORE PAZZO Nov06 Nov14 Sep29     (frazier matt)CANUTO THIAGO 125 4.00    
4  BAYTOWN FURY Apr21 Feb08 Jan29 Oct17 Sep09 (mcentee paul)SERPA ANGEL 121 5.00 5% 19.00    
5  MOTOR CITY MENACE Mar13 Jan31 Jan01 Oct03 Sep01 (heath dest)VILLARREAL OSCAR 120 3.00 22% 3.60    
 
BTP-2   05/14/2025 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($26.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CARSON N SPENCE Apr02 Mar18 Feb26 Feb11 Jan09 (cline rob)CORREA L 123 3.50    
2  DREAMINGABOUTTIME Dec09 Nov25 Nov06 Oct08 Sep16 (mendieta alejandro )MCKEE J 123 4.50    
3  COLONEL COOPER May03 Dec19 Oct09 Sep16 Aug26 (hamm timoth)BLANCHE RISHAWN 119 2.00 45% 1.20    
4  BRIGHTER DAY Apr02 Jun05 May13 Apr22   (hamm timothy)LEBRON VICTOR 123 3.00 29% 2.40    
5  EARL'S STORMY WIND Apr02 Mar18 Feb26 Feb11 Jan27 (cline c)MURGIA A 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
BTP-3   05/14/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUCK OF THE CAT Sep14 Aug08 Jul11 Dec14 Aug29 (drury thomas )JIMENEZ ALBIN 123 3.00 70% 0.40    
2  C V DYNAMIC May03 Apr02 Mar11 Jun19 Jun07 (gonzalez agust)SANJUR SANTO 123 3.50    
3  LINO'S KID Feb12 Dec23 Nov21 Oct23 Sep26 (mendieta )CORREA L 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  C V SHACKLES Dec27 Oct26 Oct02 Sep07 Aug24 (gonzalez a)VILLARREAL OSCAR 118 2.00 ★    
5  CANNON MAN Nov06 Oct26 Oct11 Oct03 Sep13 (orantes r)NAVAS YOEL 123 4.50    
 
BTP-4   05/14/2025 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BUEN SAMARITANO Feb28 Feb06 Jan23 Jul18 Jul04 (donjuan sergio)PAULY SUMMER 116 2.50 22% 3.60    
2  I JUST DON'T NO Aug08 Jul16       (hall os)PILARES P 125 10.00    
SCR  BAYTOWN BULLEIT Apr21 Mar08 Jan26 Dec20 Oct17 (mcentee paul)SERPA ANGEL 121 5.00    
4  WEGOTJACKSBACK Oct23 Sep28 Sep18 Sep06 Aug19 (townley steve)JIMENEZ ALBIN 125 8.00 10% 8.90    
5  ONE FAST MIDDIE Apr12 Feb22 Feb17 Jan06   (anderson sus)TERRAZA GERMAN 125 3.50    
6  JAR Aug29         (cowans d)NAVAS YOEL 121 4.00 34% 2.00    
 
BTP-5   05/14/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LAST ROO Mar19 Mar06 Feb07 Jan23 Jul10 (beck rowena)MOJICA JR 123 6.00    
2  BOLD ADVENTURE Apr21 Mar28 Mar12 Feb07 Nov04 (loveland del)CANUTO THIAGO 123 3.50    
3  PUTTHEGLASSDOWN Mar06 Jan23 Dec27 Dec11 Nov20 (moreno tito)SERPA ANGEL 123 4.50 20% 4.10    
SCR  BEACH FRONT Apr11 Mar26 Dec17 Nov19 Nov02 (haehn r)OUZTS W 123 3.00    
5  J W RUCKUS May05 Mar19 Feb23 Feb07 Jan23 (livers charli)COURT J 123 2.00 42% 1.40    
6  HINDOSTAIN FALLS Nov26 Nov03 Oct20 Oct02 Sep06 (woodbury judy)MURGIA A 123 8.00 6% 14.80    
 
BTP-6   05/14/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($16.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PLAYFULASITGETS Apr05 Mar19 Jan07 Dec10 Nov11 (smith larry)OUZTS W 123 5.00    
2  NOAH MY BABY Aug24 Jul18 Jun18 May07 Mar28 (smith larry)JIMENEZ ALBIN 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  ENTICED BY CHANCE Oct02 Sep14 Aug15 Jul31 Jul06 (anderson sus)TERRAZA GERMAN 123 4.50 10% 8.70    
4  MR. BALI May03 Mar19 Feb26 Sep26 Sep14 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 123 2.50 59% 0.70    
5  K C OUTWORK May03 Mar19 Feb15 Dec13 Oct02 (brafford miche)JURADO EDDIE 123 3.50    
SCR  GLOBAL HYSTERIA May06 Apr05 Mar19 Mar04 Feb08 (juarez-me)CORREA L 123 6.00    
 
BTP-7   05/14/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($16.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LA MARINERA May02 Apr17 Mar01 Feb08 Jan17 (fernandez kelly)LARA VICTOR 114 4.00    
2  MEET IN SECRET Feb23 Jan16 Dec26 Dec04 Nov09 (brafford miche)JURADO EDDIE 123 6.00    
3  MONTEGO BAY (IRE) Mar22 Feb27 Jan18 Dec12 Nov16 (mott riley)MCKEE J 123 2.00 29% 2.50    
4  OUTRAGE Feb26 Feb07 Jan02 Dec12 Nov21 (baez sergio)OUZTS W 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  SARISSA Mar28 Feb27 Jan16 Oct22 Sep11 (sandy s)MURGIA A 123 4.50    
6  SO FAR SO GOOD Mar20 Feb27 Dec28 Dec06 Nov13 (smith larry)JIMENEZ ALBIN 123 3.50 37% 1.70    
 
BTP-8   05/14/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  URGENT FURY Mar20 Mar01 Jan25 Dec11 Oct03 (ortiz )GRISALES DANILO 123 3.50 22% 3.60    
2  UNUSUAL ACTIVITY Mar29 Mar20 Feb22 Feb06 Jan18 (townley steve)JIMENEZ ALBIN 123 6.00    
3  MOTION TO ADJOURN Dec04 Nov14 Oct23 Oct10 Sep23 (thomps)GUTIERREZ RAMOS 118 2.50 41% 1.50    
4  NO MANCHES Mar01 Feb06 Jan03 Oct01 Sep12 (wittek karyn)LEBRON VICTOR 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  STRIKE PRICE May03 Mar20 Mar06 Feb23 Feb06 (schuette shery)PAULY SUMMER 118 4.50    
6  RARE N READY Feb06 Jan03 Oct28 Sep23 Sep09 (greenhill jef)SOSA LAUREANO 123 5.00    
7  ROUNDBALL ROCK May07 Feb23 Jan25 Dec28 Nov13 (caramori caio)SERPA ANGEL 123 8.00 15% 5.70    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.