Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Wednesday - April 30, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TUP-3   WIN (6/4/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/1/7)-(6/4/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/1/7)-(6/4/1/7)-(6/4/1/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/4/1/7)-(5/6/3/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/4/1/7)-(5/6/3/7)-(3/7/8/2) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
TUP-4   WIN (5/6/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/3/7)-(5/6/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/3/7)-(5/6/3/7)-(5/6/3/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/6/3/7)-(3/7/8/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/6/3/7)-(3/7/8/2)-(8/5/4/11/7) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
TUP-5   WIN (3/7/8/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/8/2)-(3/7/8/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/8/2)-(3/7/8/2)-(3/7/8/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/7/8/2)-(8/5/4/11/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/7/8/2)-(8/5/4/11/7)-(2/4/1/8/7) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
TUP-6   WIN (8/5/4/11/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/5/4/11/7)-(8/5/4/11/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/5/4/11/7)-(8/5/4/11/7)-(8/5/4/11/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/5/4/11/7)-(2/4/1/8/7) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (8/5/4/11/7)-(2/4/1/8/7)-(9/1/7/8) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
TUP-7   WIN (2/4/1/8/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/4/1/8/7)-(2/4/1/8/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/4/1/8/7)-(2/4/1/8/7)-(2/4/1/8/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/4/1/8/7)-(9/1/7/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/4/1/8/7)-(9/1/7/8)-(6/11/8/2/10) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
TUP-8   WIN (9/1/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/1/7/8)-(9/1/3/7/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/1/7/8)-(9/1/3/7/8)-(9/1/3/7/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (9/1/7/8)-(6/11/8/2/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (9/1/7/8)-(6/11/8/2/10)-(2/7/10/3/5) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
TUP-9   WIN (6/11/8/2/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/11/8/2/10)-(6/11/8/2/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/11/8/2/10)-(6/11/8/2/10)-(6/11/8/2/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/11/8/2/10)-(2/7/10/3/5) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
TUP-10   WIN (2/7/10/3/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/7/10/3/5)-(2/7/10/3/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/7/10/3/5)-(2/7/10/3/5)-(2/7/10/3/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-3   04/30/2025 2970ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($21K) 2 ALL PT- 4:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PHANTOM EXPRESS Apr10         (martinez esteba)LOPEZ KARLO 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  MOONSHINER         (belvoir van)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 5.00    
3  ARIZONA ROSE         (simpson shannon)GARCIA F 118 6.00    
4  MINISTER CONFESSOR         (fearon johnathon)KRIGGER K 118 4.00 29% 2.40    
5  ANGEL'S EFFORT Apr10         (duarte-noriega j)MONTALVO C 118 15.00    
6  DIVA IN MOTION Apr10         (lucarelli )AMERICANO MANUEL 113 2.50 38% 1.60    
7  THREE P'S Apr10         (hone bart)VALENZUELA A 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  EZ COWBOY         (belvoir vann)CORBETT W 121 4.50    
 
TUP-4   04/30/2025 4290ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  Z'S WARDROBE Feb22 Jan23 Dec08 Nov22   (freeman edw)HERNANDEZ HARRY 118 2.50    
2  SHIRLEY ANN'S GIRL Apr10         (rarick wade)MONTALVO C 124 6.00    
3  DENADA Feb24 Mar23 Mar03     (owens kory)CORBETT W 124 8.00 9% 9.60    
4  ROYAL INTEGRITY Mar19         (owens kory)LOPEZ KARLO 124 5.00    
5  RAFFINA         (barraza s)GARCIA F 124 6.00 42% 1.40    
6  SWISS DANCER Apr10 Mar12 Feb24 Feb03 Jan02 (eikleberry kevi)VERGARA P 124 3.50 21% 3.80    
7  IT'S NOT THE LAW Apr16 Apr02 Mar12     (campo stacy)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  FRANK'S LORRAINE Apr10 Feb24 Feb03     (eikleberry)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 6.00    
 
TUP-5   04/30/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($10.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MANDELA EFFECT Apr03 Mar11 Jan29 Apr08 Mar20 (bratcher ryan)MAWING A 122 6.00    
2  PRINCE OTTO Mar27 Feb26 Feb04 Jan24 Jan01 (esquibel ma)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  MAJESTIC CRAKEN Apr16 Mar18 Feb26 Jan19 Oct24 (silva a)LOPEZ KARLO 122 3.00 32% 2.10    
SCR  ANOTHERBOTTLE Apr16 Mar13 Feb26 Jan15 Dec10 (woolle)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 122 20.00    
SCR  OM FIRE Apr16 Mar25 Feb26 Feb04 Oct06 (hone bart)VALENZUELA A 122 3.50    
6  HIDDEN PROFIT Apr19 Sep25 Sep05 Aug25 Jul28 (silva g)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 5.00    
7  MACCHIATO D'ORO Apr19 Mar31 Apr11 Apr04 Mar14 (mendoza elo)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 4.00 22% 3.60    
8  BLUES RAPPER Apr09 Mar27 Mar13 Mar04 Feb24 (hernandez m)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 122 6.00 14% 6.00    
9  MIDNIGHT KID Mar27 Mar04 Feb12 Jan24 Nov11 (castillo joe)RODRIGUEZ JOSE 122 20.00    
 
TUP-6   04/30/2025 5280ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($4K) Purse ($14.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HERECOMEGEORGIEBOY Apr15 Mar27 Feb11 Jan22 Jan07 (diodor)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 124 15.00    
2  ROBO Apr15 Mar18 Mar03 Jan24 Jan11 (silva a)LOPEZ KARLO 124 3.00    
3  FLY NIGHTLY Apr15 Mar27 Mar12 Feb19 Jan27 (silva g)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 6.00    
4  FORT LANGLEY Apr15 Mar17 Mar06 Feb18 Jan22 (gutierrez qui)GARCIA F 124 12.00 10% 8.80    
SCR  SKY CLOUD Apr22 Mar20 Feb19 Jan30 Jan21 (rosales jorge)MAWING A 124 15.00 27% 2.70    
6  MOVE OVER (GB) Apr09 Mar27 Mar18 Mar06 Feb06 (toye joe)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 6.00    
7  ITS A BOY Mar27 Mar12 Feb06 Dec28 Dec11 (sanderson bruce)KRIGGER K 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  PICAHOUSE Apr22 Mar31 Mar17 Mar03 Feb18 (rosales )CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 124 4.00 41% 1.50    
9  PACIFIC THEATER Apr03 Mar11 Feb20 Jan07 Nov06 (rarick wade)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 5.00    
10  DE LA LUNA Apr22 Apr01 Mar11 Feb17 Oct11 (rosales jor)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 12.00    
11  SHUT UP MICHAEL (IRE) Apr08 Mar18 Feb25 Feb06 Jan22 (kereluk e)VALENZUELA A 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
TUP-7   04/30/2025 3630ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($21K) 3 F PT- 7:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NATIVE CHARMER Feb21 Jan31 Jul27     (evans justin)CORBETT W 121 2.50 15% 5.60    
2  MAXIMUM SPARKLE Mar04 Sep14 Aug31 Aug10   (rarick wade)MONTALVO C 121 3.50 39% 1.60    
3  LADY CYCLONE Sep22 Aug25 Aug11 Jul07   (simpson s)KELLENBERGER KODY 121 20.00    
4  IMA MARGARITA GIRL Nov13 Oct05 Sep21 Aug31 Aug10 (tubbs scott)KRIGGER K 121 4.50 19% 4.30    
5  EXPECT LOVE Apr01 Mar04 Jan16 Dec06 Nov17 (belvoir va)AMERICANO MANUEL 116 5.00    
6  SELINUS Apr08         (mcfarla)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 121 6.00    
7  GARAVANI Mar25 Mar03       (belvoir vann)LOPEZ KARLO 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  BANGO GAL Apr08 Mar25 Feb17 Feb03 Dec26 (barraza raf)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
9  MISS HOTROD Aug25 Aug11 Jul07     (simpson shannon)GARCIA F 121 20.00    
 
TUP-8   04/30/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KANDEREL Apr19 Mar03 Mar09 Feb10 Jan15 (barraza rafael )VERGARA P 124 4.00 22% 3.50    
2  VICENTE'S SHADOW Feb19 Feb04 Jan14 Nov30 Nov20 (stevens sat)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 20.00    
3  XTREME MAYHEM Apr17 Mar26 Mar03 Jan23 Jan01 (martinez esteba)LOPEZ KARLO 124 4.50 ★    
4  FIGHT ME Apr01 Jan14 Dec04 Nov14 Apr22 (figueroa juan)RAMEY CASH 119 20.00    
5  BEL RAGAZZO Apr02 Mar04 Feb18 Jan30 Jan15 (kereluk ed)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 10.00    
SCR  MULBERRY STREET Feb06 Dec16 Sep25 Sep06 Aug24 (gutierrez qui)GARCIA F 124 5.00    
7  PEDRO PEREZ Apr17 Apr01 Mar10 Feb18 Nov03 (alvarez s)VALENZUELA A 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  CHELSEA DAGGER Jan15 Dec19 Nov27 Nov17 Nov06 (denny tra)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
9  PEACEFUL WATERS Apr10 Feb27 Dec27 Dec11 Aug17 (evans justi)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.00 54% 0.80    
10  YOU KIDDING ME Apr02 Mar20 Mar10 Feb25 Feb11 (fearon johnathon)KRIGGER K 124 12.00    
 
TUP-9   04/30/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($25K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ROCKIN THE DAD BOD Dec11 Dec02 Sep28 Sep16 Aug23 (ortiz isaiah)GARCIA F 122 20.00    
2  PLANE TALK Apr19 Mar22 Feb11 Jan23 Dec16 (gu)DA FAUSTO 122 6.00 9% 10.60    
3  LOVELY LOLA Apr10 Nov17 Oct19 Sep29 Sep08 (simpson s)KELLENBERGER KODY 117 20.00    
4  LITE RANCHIN KID Mar06 Feb12 Jan09 Dec26 Nov23 (barraza rafael )CORBETT W 122 15.00    
5  COASTAL KID Apr09 Feb12 Jan25 Dec18 Dec05 (rarick )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 10.00    
6  DIAMOND RIM Apr09 Mar10 Feb24 Feb11 Jan06 (mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 122 6.00 33% 2.10    
7  MR. WHO Mar10 Feb24 Jan25 Dec11 Sep30 (gutierrez )AMERICANO MANUEL 117 4.00    
8  COASTAL JAZZ Apr19 Mar22 Jan06 Dec11 Nov14 (evans jus)VALENZUELA A 124 3.00 16% 5.40    
9  TRUTH SEEKER Apr09 Feb24 Jan06 Oct27 Sep29 (barraza s)MAWING A 122 20.00    
10  ARMA D'ORO Apr09 Mar22 Feb06 Jan23 Dec18 (rarick wade)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
11  DEPARTURE Mar27 Mar10 Feb06 Jan25 Dec30 (ortiz sr)VERGARA P 122 5.00 22% 3.50    
 
TUP-10   04/30/2025 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($22.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NOLONGERAHOBBY Mar13 Feb04 Feb12 Dec26 Dec09 (gutierrez j)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 12.00    
2  WELLSWORT (IRE) Apr08 Mar18 Mar03 Feb11 Dec28 (gu)DA FAUSTO 124 4.00 25% 3.00    
3  ATHENS MOON Apr08 Feb05 Dec30 Dec17 Nov27 (ferguson curt)LOPEZ KARLO 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  MONGOLIAN MEMORY Mar19 Mar04 Feb12 Dec31 Dec11 (tubbs scott)KRIGGER K 122 12.00    
5  THREEBROTHERS Mar24 Mar03 Feb06 Dec30 Dec17 (diodor)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  LIBERAL (IRE) Apr06 Feb09 Oct29 Sep04 Jul22 (lucarelli frank)MAWING A 122 8.00    
7  APOLLO RISING Feb07 Dec01 Nov13 Oct23 Jun07 (diodoro)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 5.00 23% 3.40    
8  TRANCHE Apr06 Feb02 Nov30 Oct31 Sep21 (kitchingman ada)VERGARA P 122 6.00    
9  MY CAIRO KID Mar18 Feb10 Jan02 Dec05 Nov21 (laufenber)VALENZUELA A 122 20.00    
10  THE BLACK STRAT Apr16 Mar19 Feb20 Dec02 Nov13 (martinez e)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 3.00 21% 3.70    
11  PURE CANE SUGAR Apr15 Mar06 Feb18 Jan14 Dec26 (toye joe)CORBETT W 122 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.