Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Tampa Bay Downs
Wednesday - March 26, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TAM-1   WIN (4/8/2/6/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/8/2/6/3)-(4/8/2/6/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/8/2/6/3)-(4/8/2/6/3)-(4/8/2/6/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/8/2/6/3)-(7/4/5/8/3) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (4/8/2/6/3)-(7/4/5/8/3)-(2/4/3/1) 100 $1.00 $100 
TAM-2   WIN (7/4/5/8/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/4/5/8/3)-(7/4/5/8/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/4/5/8/3)-(7/4/5/8/3)-(7/4/5/8/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/4/5/8/3)-(2/4/3/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/4/5/8/3)-(2/4/3/1)-(1/3/5/6) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-3   WIN (2/4/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/3/1)-(2/4/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/3/1)-(2/4/3/1)-(2/4/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/4/3/1)-(1/3/5/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/4/3/1)-(1/3/5/6)-(2/4/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-4   WIN (1/3/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/5/6)-(1/3/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/5/6)-(1/3/5/6)-(1/3/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/3/5/6)-(2/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/3/5/6)-(2/4/3)-(1/2/6/11) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-5   WIN (2/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/3)-(2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/3)-(1/2/6/11) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/4/3)-(1/2/6/11)-(4/5/7/10) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-6   WIN (1/2/6/11) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/6/11)-(1/2/7/6/11) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/2/6/11)-(1/2/7/6/11)-(1/2/7/6/11) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/2/6/11)-(4/5/7/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/2/6/11)-(4/5/7/10)-(4/8/2/7/3) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-7   WIN (4/5/7/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/7/10)-(4/5/7/8/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/5/7/10)-(4/5/7/8/10)-(4/5/7/8/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/5/7/10)-(4/8/2/7/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/5/7/10)-(4/8/2/7/3)-(7/5/2/6/1) 100 $1.00 $100 
TAM-8   WIN (4/8/2/7/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/8/2/7/3)-(4/8/2/7/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/8/2/7/3)-(4/8/2/7/3)-(4/8/2/7/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/8/2/7/3)-(7/5/2/6/1) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
TAM-9   WIN (7/5/2/6/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/5/2/6/1)-(7/5/2/6/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/5/2/6/1)-(7/5/2/6/1)-(7/5/2/6/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TAM-1   03/26/2025 5400ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT-12:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ICONIC ROCK Mar09 Feb23 Feb07 Jan19 Dec29 (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 123 4.00    
COASTAL RIVER Feb28 Feb07 Jan10 Dec27 May03 (ellebracht g)GONZALEZ CESAR 118 10.00 15% 5.90    
TWO STORMY OCEANS Feb05 Jun29 Jun02 Apr13 Mar09 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
AIR FORCE ROYALTY Mar01 Jan18 Dec29 Dec05 Nov01 (yates michae)MENESES MARCOS 125 3.00 20% 3.90    
SNOVEMBER Mar09 Mar01 Feb07 Dec27 Apr19 (barron rory)MARIN SAMUEL 125 6.00    
BIVOL Mar09 Feb23 Feb07 Jan19 Dec29 (kutt donn)MALDONADO GABRIEL 125 8.00 12% 7.30    
RAPID ROY Feb28 Dec27 Apr27     (paramo martin)HESS SARA 118 20.00    
RIGHT ON TARGET Mar09 Feb07 Jan12 Jun19 Apr20 (granitz anthon)CAMACHO SAMY 125 2.50 17% 4.80    
MYWIFEHASAGUN Feb16 Jan29 Jan10 Dec18 Nov27 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 118 12.00    
 
TAM-2   03/26/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($20K) 3 F PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ENDLESS FASHION Mar09 Feb16 Feb05 Jan24 Jan12 (mendieta alejandr)HESS SARA 115 30.00    
NANA MOON Mar07         (ellebracht gary)FERRER C 122 3.50    
SHE STOPPED SHORT Mar09 Feb05 Jan03 Dec07 Nov20 (campbell joel)MORALES PABLO 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
TENTACION         (rodriguez dari)MARIN SAMUEL 122 4.50 19% 4.30    
DON'TDRAINMYPOCKET Mar05         (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 122 6.00 17% 4.80    
ACT VIOLENTLY Mar05         (smith craig )GONZALEZ CESAR 115 15.00    
MOM'S HAD ENOUGH Mar01         (o'connel)GALLARDO A 122 2.00 28% 2.50    
WILLING TO TRY         (smith crai)FUKUMOTO DAISUKE 122 12.00 12% 7.30    
WILD PRINCESS Mar06         (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 122 6.00    
 
TAM-3   03/26/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($53K) 3 ALL PT- 1:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EL TINMARIN Mar02 Sep05 Aug17     (lusk r)CASIQUE UBARDO 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
RIDING A DREAM Feb22 Feb02 Dec27 Nov23 Aug31 (arriagada jua)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 2.50 32% 2.10    
TROOPS Feb15 Jan25 Jan08     (vinson g)MORALES PABLO 118 6.00 10% 9.00    
SPEIGHT THE SNOW Oct23 Oct07 Sep20 Aug12 Jul24 (potts ro)RODRIGUEZ O 118 5.00 32% 2.20    
SHADOW FACTOR Mar02 Oct21 Sep20 Jul19 Jun05 (potts g)VILLA-GOMEZ H 118 3.50    
FULLY AUTHORIZED Feb26 Feb02 Dec13 Oct19 Sep28 (dini mike)MARIN SAMUEL 118 3.00    
DEPORTIVO Mar02 Jan24       (avila car)GIL CIPRIANO 118 8.00    
 
TAM-4   03/26/2025 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($20K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOUNDTRACK Dec29 Dec11 Nov20 Sep26 Sep13 (arnett g)MARIN SAMUEL 122 1.80 39% 1.60    
CURLING ROSE Feb19 Aug18 Jul21 Jun30   (cascallares nesto)HESS SARA 115 30.00    
MAMA DRAMA Feb28         (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 122 3.00 24% 3.10    
SCR  UNE DE MAI         (romero rafa)OLIVEROS CHARLE 122 12.00    
ADIOS TIPSY Mar12         (gulick james)GONZALEZ CESAR 115 8.00 9% 10.50    
BELLS OF BRAM Mar12 Mar05 Feb23 Oct19   (gardea abraham)GIL CIPRIANO 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
MAMAS LULLABYE Mar12 Feb23 Mar20 Feb25 Feb03 (cook devin)SUAREZ JESUS 122 20.00    
CAWAMA Dec18         (lusk r)CASIQUE UBARDO 122 20.00    
BONITA DIAMOND Feb28 Dec02       (torres pablo)BATISTA A 122 2.50    
 
TAM-5   03/26/2025 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MS KENDRICK B. Feb15 Feb01 Jan15 Dec29 Dec07 (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 116 8.00    
ROSE VIEW Feb19 Feb12 Dec28 Dec04 Oct27 (arnett g)LEON SONNY 122 4.50 35% 1.90    
CLASSY DISPOSITION Mar02 Feb19 Jan29 Jan08 Oct19 (avila car)GIL CIPRIANO 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
BONITA BREEZE Feb19 Feb01 Jan03 Oct19 Sep06 (yanez r)FERRER C 122 4.00 22% 3.60    
RUNWAY LIGHTS Mar08 Feb15 Jan31 Jan11 Dec06 (sacco gregory )MARIN SAMUEL 122 6.00    
LITTLE MARTHA Feb19 Feb01 Dec27 Dec04 Oct15 (potts g)ALLEN D 122 5.00    
TRUE MYTH Mar08 Feb05 Jan17 Nov30 Oct19 (terranov)GALLARDO A 122 3.00    
SCR  AIN'T NO LADY Nov14 Oct23 Aug27 Jul26 Jun19 (englehart jef)MORALES PABLO 122 12.00    
 
TAM-6   03/26/2025 5400ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NAUTILUS (BRZ) Feb26 Dec21 Nov27 Sep18 Aug23 (marrero nest)GONZALEZ CESAR 115 4.00 45% 1.20    
HE'S A GOOD DANCER Mar07 Feb22 Feb07 Jan05 Dec27 (sacco gregory )MARIN SAMUEL 122 3.00 30% 2.30    
SCR  ERIC THE SALESMAN Feb21 Feb02 Jan24 Jan03 Jul27 (roque elis)CLEMENTE ALFRED 122 30.00    
MACKENZIE'S NOVVA Mar01 Feb21 Jan24 Jan12 Dec27 (rice kevin)COTTO L 122 4.50    
FORT CHARLES Mar12 Feb22 Feb12 Jan29 Jan12 (torres pa)MALDONADO GABRIEL 122 6.00    
TONY SMALL Mar07 Oct22 Sep23 Sep11 Aug21 (ward dennis)HESS SARA 115 15.00 5% 19.00    
MISSION KEY Mar05 Feb15 Feb01 Jan11 Dec24 (rarick lynn)ALLEN D 122 4.00    
BURNING MAN Feb22 Feb02 Jan19 Dec20 Dec06 (quiroz angel)LUGO D 122 20.00    
SEVENTY SEVENTYCAT Mar02 Jan19 Jan12 Dec20 Dec13 (richards r)MITCHELL RICHARD 122 30.00    
10  JOE'S HAD ENOUGH Mar12 Feb22 Feb12 Jan17 Dec11 (torres pablo )GONZALEZ ALEX 122 5.00    
11  HENRYTHETHIRD Mar12 Feb21 Jan25 Dec18 Nov08 (moreno-barba)BELISARIO JUAN 112 30.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SARGEANT BARGER Mar12 Feb12 Jan24 Jan12 Jan04 (alessi jame)BELL BARRINGTON 122 30.00    
SCR  GALACTIC EMPIRE Mar14 Feb08 Jan19 Sep06 Aug02 (correa maxine)MORALES PABLO 122 30.00    
SCR  MEAN TWEETS Mar19 Feb28 Feb14 Jan31 Jan17 (posadas pedro)GIL CIPRIANO 122 6.00    
 
TAM-7   03/26/2025 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($20K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLUE SKY'S SYL Jan10 Mar15       (wasiluk peter )ALLEN D 122 30.00    
OCEAN SOUL Apr21         (smith g)LEON SONNY 122 20.00    
LENA'S JAZZ Feb28 Feb07 Jan17 Dec27 Mar24 (barbazoniii leste)HESS SARA 115 5.00    
BOY O' BOY Nov10 Aug31 Aug09 Jul12 May12 (deaton willi)MENESES MARCOS 122 2.50 59% 0.70    
SON OF A SLEW Feb23 Jan25 Jan01 Nov10 Oct05 (deaton william)CAMACHO SAMY 122 2.00 10% 9.40    
AMERICAN WIND Mar14 Feb23       (drake robert)FERRER C 122 20.00    
STOW ON THE WOLD Feb28 Oct13 Sep15 Jul27 Jun15 (carra)DIAZ RAFAEL 122 6.00 5% 18.40    
RAGAZZO D'ORO         (rodriguez dari)MARIN SAMUEL 122 6.00    
LYLA'S LUCKY BOY Feb23 Feb07 Dec22 Nov30 Sep06 (paramo martin)GIL CIPRIANO 122 30.00    
10  DOMINATOR C. Mar16 Dec06 Apr28 Apr14   (baez ral)RODRIGUEZ O 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  VITTORIANO Feb23 Feb07 Jan12 Dec27 May03 (agostini arth)IORIO MELISSA 122 30.00    
SCR  I'M NO ANGEL Mar09 Feb07 Jan17 Dec27   (potts ro)RODRIGUEZ O 122 6.00    
SCR  ZIMBAWEE Feb21 Jan17 Dec06 May03 Apr17 (charl)DIAZ RAFAEL 122 15.00    
 
TAM-8   03/26/2025 5610ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($24.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWEET NOLA Mar14 Feb02 Jan01 Dec13 Oct14 (arriagada juan)MARIN SAMUEL 119 3.00    
MARVELOUS LADY Jan31 Jan12 Dec20 Dec06 Nov23 (rarick lynn)ALLEN D 119 4.00 21% 3.80    
PURE ELEGANCE Mar14 Feb28 Feb07 Jan24 Oct20 (torres pablo )GONZALEZ ALEX 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
SALAGADOOLA Mar07 Feb28 Jan26 Dec18 Nov23 (aguayo ramon)MENESES MARCOS 123 5.00 24% 3.10    
INOUAINTALKINTOME Feb07 Jan26 Jan15 Jan04 Dec27 (to)LUNA PAUL 119 10.00    
SING SCAT Mar14 Feb28 Jan26 Jan12 Dec18 (mendieta alej)IORIO MELISSA 119 12.00    
CLOUD STORAGE Feb23 Jan15 Dec13 Nov23 Oct18 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 119 4.50 9% 10.60    
CHEM MAJOR Feb23 Jan25 Dec27 Dec18 Oct15 (escobar m)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 119 6.00 22% 3.50    
ANGELAS PARTY GIRL Mar07 Feb02 Jan15 Dec13 Nov23 (goodwin n)WILLIAMS JO 119 15.00    
 
TAM-9   03/26/2025 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HASN'T HAD ENOUGH Feb12 Sep07 Aug26 Aug04 Jun30 (yanez r)FERRER C 124 30.00 5% 19.00    
SPECIALAGENTJONSON Mar02 Feb02 Dec14 Nov29 Oct11 (downing william)CENTENO E 124 3.50 6% 15.30    
MICRO BREWSKY Feb23 Aug25 Aug10 Jul14 Jul07 (ryan derek)FUKUMOTO DAISUKE 124 6.00    
SCR  COUNTRY SLEW Mar01 Sep22 Aug23 Aug09   (laurin roger)HESS SARA 113 20.00    
FAKE CELEBRITY Mar07 Jan03 Nov16 Sep21 Oct27 (o'connell kat)IORIO MELISSA 124 6.00 27% 2.70    
MUNGO Feb23 Feb07 Jan17 Dec27 Dec06 (richards rena)MORALES PABLO 124 4.50 5% 19.00    
GROWTH CAPITAL Feb28 Jan25 Dec10 Sep01 Jul22 (arriagada juan)CAMACHO SAMY 126 4.00 38% 1.60    
ART HANDLER Mar01 Feb23 Feb09 Dec27 Nov23 (moysey chelsey)COTTO L 124 15.00    
ASAASY Feb21 Jan19 Dec06 Nov29 Nov17 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 124 20.00    
10  MAX SWAGGER Mar01 Feb23 Feb02 Dec14 Oct18 (rose orlando)MARIN SAMUEL 124 4.00    
SCR  WHISKEY OR WINE Mar16 Mar01 Feb05 Jan19 Jan03 (campbell joel)LEON SONNY 124 3.00    
12  HALON Jul24 Jul07 Jun15 May23 May03 (potts g)MARTINEZ W 124 15.00    
SCR  PHRASEOLOGISM Mar02 Feb09 May01 Mar01 Jan21 (lilly p)IORIO MELISSA 124 30.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.