Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Wednesday - March 19, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TUP-3   WIN (6/7/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/3/5)-(6/7/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/3/5)-(6/7/3/5)-(6/7/3/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/7/3/5)-(5/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/7/3/5)-(5/3/6)-(1/2/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TUP-4   WIN (5/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/6)-(5/3/6/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/3/6)-(5/3/6/1)-(5/3/6/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/3/6)-(1/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/3/6)-(1/2/5)-(9/11/2/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TUP-5   WIN (1/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/5)-(1/2/7/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/2/5)-(1/2/7/5)-(1/2/7/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/2/5)-(9/11/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/2/5)-(9/11/2/8)-(4/5/1/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TUP-6   WIN (9/11/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/11/2/8)-(9/11/2/8/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/11/2/8)-(9/11/2/8/5)-(9/11/2/8/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (9/11/2/8)-(4/5/1/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (9/11/2/8)-(4/5/1/6)-(4/3/8/1/7) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
TUP-7   WIN (4/5/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/1/6)-(4/5/2/1/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/5/1/6)-(4/5/2/1/6)-(4/5/2/1/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/5/1/6)-(4/3/8/1/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/5/1/6)-(4/3/8/1/7)-(6/11/4/7/10) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
TUP-8   WIN (4/3/8/1/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/3/8/1/7)-(4/3/8/1/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/3/8/1/7)-(4/3/8/1/7)-(4/3/8/1/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/3/8/1/7)-(6/11/4/7/10) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
TUP-9   WIN (6/11/4/7/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/11/4/7/10)-(6/11/4/7/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/11/4/7/10)-(6/11/4/7/10)-(6/11/4/7/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-3   03/19/2025 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($10.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SORORITY PARTY Mar05 Feb22 Jan22 Dec28 Aug31 (tubbs scott)KRIGGER K 124 3.00    
2  QUEEN MYSTIC Feb25 Feb06 Jan29 Jan09 Aug17 (dennis )BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 122 20.00    
3  FLY SOUTH Feb25 Jan20 Dec01 Nov10 Oct12 (peery deb)VALENZUELA A 122 10.00 14% 6.40    
4  RIVER OF AMBITION Feb13 Dec06 Nov10 Oct27 Oct04 (perez serg)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 3.50    
5  CAN'T WANT THAT Mar11 Feb25 Feb06 Jan27 Jan02 (lavanway )KELLENBERGER KODY 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  ONELLA Feb22 Jan30 Dec13 Nov03 Oct03 (evans justin)CORBETT W 124 2.00 28% 2.60    
7  DADDY CLASSY DILL Feb25 Feb06 Jan09 Oct14 Jul16 (silva pabl)CRUZ M 122 2.50 16% 5.10    
 
TUP-4   03/19/2025 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VINNIEBOB Mar03 Jan23 Dec31 Dec12 May04 (story cha)VALENZUELA A 124 6.00 ★    
SCR  CANDY CRUSHER Feb22 Jan16 Dec08 Nov03 Oct20 (torres-)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 118 12.00    
3  LUKA GRAZIE Feb26 Feb11 Jan22 Jan02 Nov19 (homer jaso)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 5.00 30% 2.40    
4  BUY THE RUMOR Feb17 Jan29 Nov29 Nov11 Sep01 (sepich f)CORBETT W 124 5.00    
5  MONGOLIAN SPRING Feb26 Feb11 Jan29 Jan02 Dec03 (toye joe)MONTALVO C 124 3.00 31% 2.30    
6  JIMMY'S WILD BOY Mar04 Aug22 Apr17 Feb07 Dec31 (belvoir van)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 6.00 8% 11.00    
7  DINERO DE LA CASA Feb20 Feb10 Jan29 Jan14 Dec11 (torres-casas alex )GARCIA F 124 5.00    
8  DEKUDYLAN Feb26 Jan29 Dec05 Nov19 Sep14 (birdwell te)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 4.00    
 
TUP-5   03/19/2025 3300ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HIPPIE TRAIL Feb27 May30       (eikleberry)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 4.00 40% 1.50    
2  MOCKTAILS ANYONE Feb24 Feb03 Jan15 Dec19 Nov29 (lucarelli frank)MONTALVO C 124 3.50 34% 1.90    
SCR  SELINUS         (mcfarlan)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 118 6.00    
5  CASHOUT CAROL Feb24         (stevens sat)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  ROYAL INTEGRITY         (owens kory)LOPEZ KARLO 124 5.00    
7  AFFAIR Feb17 Jan19 Nov15 Oct19 Aug30 (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 124 3.00 ★    
8  AL B RAECIN         (belvoir vann)CRUZ M 124 5.00    
SCR  RAFFINA         ( )TBA null      
 
TUP-6   03/19/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EM N HOLL'S FIESTA Feb25 Jan27 Dec27 Dec11 Nov29 (barrio sergio)VERGARA P 124 15.00    
2  RUBYSA Feb25 Jan25 Jan07 Dec04 Nov12 (fuentes )CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  SMOOCHING Mar06 Feb06 Jan16 Nov14 Oct20 (kenney ryan)LOPEZ KARLO 124 5.00    
4  UNRIVALED QUEEN Feb25 Jan21 Dec17 Nov30 Nov13 (evans justin)CRUZ M 124 4.00    
5  CONFIDENCE BUILDER Feb27 Feb03 Jan16 Jan01 Dec18 (hernandez m)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 6.00 ★    
6  PALACE STAR Feb27 Feb17 Feb05 May01 Apr16 (perkins f)JENSEN P 124 20.00    
7  READY TO GIG Feb14 Jan01 Dec18 Dec01 Nov08 (thomas jamey)KRIGGER K 124 8.00    
8  PURRFECT MOON Feb06 Jan24 Jan02 Nov12 Sep14 (silva a)MOJICA O 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
9  HOLY TUTTA BELLA Feb12 Jan25 Jan07 Dec19 Nov21 (evans justin)CORBETT W 124 3.00 66% 0.50    
10  IT'S SAUL RIGHT Mar03 Feb17 Jan29 Dec16 Dec10 (rosales)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 20.00    
11  JUSTIN'S LADY Jan16 Jan01 Nov27 Nov11 Sep01 (tubbs scot)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 6.00 6% 15.00    
 
TUP-7   03/19/2025 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($4.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AVELLINASA Feb10 Jan14 Dec12 Aug24 Aug02 (silva-martinez a)MONTALVO C 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  PAISLEES PROMISE Mar03 Feb20 Feb03 Jan15 Dec28 (bean rober)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 3.50 ★    
3  SWISS LAKER BOY Feb26 Jan22 Dec06 Nov15 Oct20 (story cha)VALENZUELA A 118 5.00    
4  CLUBHOUSE CHARLIE Feb03 Jan24 Dec23 Dec12 Sep23 (homer jason)KRIGGER K 124 6.00 70% 0.40    
5  DRIVE FOR SHOW Feb25 Feb10 Jan24 Jan07 Nov14 (hernandez valen)VERGARA P 124 15.00 7% 12.70    
6  UKRAINE STRONG Mar05 Feb25 Nov23 Nov14 Oct11 (lavanway dayson)CRUZ M 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  GRAZED BY LOVE Mar03 Feb12 Jan29 Jan14 Dec12 (kereluk edw)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 2.50    
8  RALLIFIED Mar03 Feb03 Jan15 Dec03 Sep08 (van horne)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 20.00    
9  I'M MR. SHENANIGAN Mar05 Feb04 Jan24 Dec28 Apr23 (o'brien danny)HARVEY B 124 20.00    
10  LETSGOTOTHEBAR Mar03 Feb03 Jan15 Dec23 May31 (nunnally je)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 8.00    
 
TUP-8   03/19/2025 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($23.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TABLE FOR TWO Feb20 Dec23 Nov13 Aug17 Jul24 (fue)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 122 4.00 12% 7.40    
2  THE BLACK STRAT Feb20 Dec02 Nov13 Sep20 Sep03 (martinez esteban)MOJICA O 122 4.50    
3  ONE FAST BRO Dec31 Nov18 Oct29 Sep24 Aug27 (silva )ASENCIO MARIANO 122 5.00 15% 5.60    
4  ARREST Feb20 Jan25 Dec31 Dec02 Nov13 (silva j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 2.50 34% 1.90    
5  UNCHARTED Mar05 Feb12 Jan21 Dec17 Nov29 (belvoir vann)CORBETT W 122 8.00    
6  THIEF IN THE NIGHT Mar04 Jan23 Sep06 Sep02 Aug17 (scott larry)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 122 12.00    
7  MONGOLIAN MEMORY Mar04 Feb12 Dec31 Dec11 Nov18 (tubbs scott)CRUZ M 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  MCCLUSKY Jan31 Nov27 Sep15 Sep01   (belvoir vann)LOPEZ KARLO 122 6.00 13% 6.90    
9  DON'T LET ME DOWN Mar04 Dec31 Oct13 Sep22 Aug24 (anderson g)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 15.00    
 
TUP-9   03/19/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CORN POP Feb24 Jan25 Jan14 Dec16 Dec02 (mccartney j)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 3.00    
2  PANZER PRIDE Mar04 Feb10 Jan08 Dec19 Oct31 (ortiz i)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 12.00    
3  SMOOTH PAPA Mar04 Jan30 Jan13 Dec26 Nov30 (fearon )BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 124 20.00    
4  PAUL VINCENTS POEM Mar07 Feb13 Jan23 Dec13 Sep21 (lucas j)HARVEY B 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  SIDE STREET DAVE Mar04 Jan30 Jan15 Jan02 Dec10 (sanderson b)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 6.00    
6  SHIP IT RED Mar10 Feb19 Feb05 Jan13 Dec27 (lund valor)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 5.00 62% 0.60    
7  ELUSIVE LOVE Feb05 Jan08 Dec19 Nov20 Apr30 (ortiz man)VALENZUELA A 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  SCRATCHY APACHE Feb19 Feb04 Dec31 Dec17 Dec04 (lavanway dayson)CRUZ M 124 20.00    
9  NORTHCUT Mar04 Feb18 Jan13 Jul08 Jun25 (silva jr)GARCIA F 124 6.00    
SCR  VICENTE'S SHADOW Feb19 Feb04 Jan14 Nov30 Nov20 (stevens satchell)KRIGGER K 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
11  YOU ENJOY MYSELF Dec26 Dec09 Nov20 Oct05 Sep25 (rosales )CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 124 4.00 6% 14.50    
SCR  STORMIN GALILEO Mar10 Feb18 Dec07 Dec01 Nov08 (tamayo isidro)REYES R 124 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.