Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Friday - March 07, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (5/7/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/1/3)-(5/7/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/1/3)-(5/7/1/3)-(5/7/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/7/1/3)-(5/2/9/7/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/7/1/3)-(5/2/9/7/6)-(7/2/4/1/3) 100 $1.00 $100 
TAM-2   WIN (5/2/9/7/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/2/9/7/6)-(5/2/9/7/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/2/9/7/6)-(5/2/9/7/6)-(5/2/9/7/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/2/9/7/6)-(7/2/4/1/3) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (5/2/9/7/6)-(7/2/4/1/3)-(7/4/1/2/3) 125 $1.00 $125 
TAM-3   WIN (7/2/4/1/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/2/4/1/3)-(7/2/4/1/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/2/4/1/3)-(7/2/4/1/3)-(7/2/4/1/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/2/4/1/3)-(7/4/1/2/3) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (7/2/4/1/3)-(7/4/1/2/3)-(12/8/4/2/6) 125 $1.00 $125 
TAM-4   WIN (7/4/1/2/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/4/1/2/3)-(7/4/1/2/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/4/1/2/3)-(7/4/1/2/3)-(7/4/1/2/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/4/1/2/3)-(12/8/4/2/6) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (7/4/1/2/3)-(12/8/4/2/6)-(8/2/3/9) 100 $1.00 $100 
TAM-5   WIN (12/8/4/2/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (12/8/4/2/6)-(12/8/4/2/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (12/8/4/2/6)-(12/8/4/2/6)-(12/8/4/2/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (12/8/4/2/6)-(8/2/3/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (12/8/4/2/6)-(8/2/3/9)-(7/5/2/9/6) 100 $1.00 $100 
TAM-6   WIN (8/2/3/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/2/3/9)-(8/2/3/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/2/3/9)-(8/2/3/9)-(8/2/3/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/2/3/9)-(7/5/2/9/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (8/2/3/9)-(7/5/2/9/6)-(4/10/9/5/1) 100 $1.00 $100 
TAM-7   WIN (7/5/2/9/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/5/2/9/6)-(7/5/2/9/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/5/2/9/6)-(7/5/2/9/6)-(7/5/2/9/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/5/2/9/6)-(4/10/9/5/1) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (7/5/2/9/6)-(4/10/9/5/1)-(3/8/4/6/10) 125 $1.00 $125 
TAM-8   WIN (4/10/9/5/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/10/9/5/1)-(4/10/9/5/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/10/9/5/1)-(4/10/9/5/1)-(4/10/9/5/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/10/9/5/1)-(3/8/4/6/10) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
TAM-9   WIN (3/8/4/6/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/8/4/6/10)-(3/8/4/6/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/8/4/6/10)-(3/8/4/6/10)-(3/8/4/6/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   03/07/2025 5400ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($17K) 4UP M/F PT-12:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SECORD Jan29 Jan03 Nov30 Sep28 Sep13 (torres pa)MALDONADO GABRIEL 122 15.00 9% 10.10    
2  CAJUN GAL Feb09 Jan05 Dec13 Jul21 Jun23 (tsirigotis j)BATISTA A 122 10.00    
3  UNIFIEDS PRINCESS Jan22 Jan10 Dec13 Nov27 May01 (marrero n)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  ONMYWAYTOSAVTHDAY Jan22 Jan05 Oct14 Jul16 Jun18 (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 122 5.00    
5  STARSHIP SARATOGA Jan22 Jan05 Nov06 Jan30   (ferraro anthon)LEON SONNY 122 2.50 51% 1.00    
6  FUTURE FORTUNE Feb19 Feb02 Jan26 Jan10 Jun30 (dobber w)HESS SARA 113 6.00    
7  MIGGI Feb09 Jan22 Aug09 Jul19 Apr17 (hunt donald)CAMACHO SAMY 122 1.40 12% 7.20    
8  UNIVERSAL JOY Feb19 Dec18       (romero)ROJAS EDUARDO 122 20.00    
 
TAM-2   03/07/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($17K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IN THE WEEDS Feb21 Feb07 Jan01 Dec11   (wasiluk pete)BATISTA A 122 12.00    
2  SUPERFIGHT Jan25 Jan05 Sep30     (moyse)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 4.50 14% 6.40    
3  BABA'S BABY BOY May04 Apr21       (ellebracht gary)FERRER C 122 15.00    
4  MITHRIDATES Jan22 Dec22 Dec11 Nov20 Oct30 (delgado jose )SANTOS ADEMAR 122 3.50    
5  TROPHY COLLECTOR Feb21 Feb05 Nov17 Oct13   (bennett gerald )CENTENO E 122 1.80 54% 0.90    
6  THIS TIME YES Feb21 Jan08 Dec12 Nov24 Nov15 (moreno-barb)OLIVEROS CHARLE 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
7  GENTLEMAN CALLER Feb21 Oct26 Oct12 Sep22 Aug25 (mcgoey mon)INFANTE A 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  TABLOID Oct04 Aug20 Jul15 Jul02 Sep23 (mazza jose)MITCHELL RICHARD 122 12.00    
9  RUSTY PISTOL Feb21 Jan31 Jan10 Dec22 Feb24 (jones douglas)LEON SONNY 122 8.00 10% 9.30    
10  PETER RABBIT QUICK Jul15 Jun25       (gonzalez aldana)HESS SARA 115 30.00    
11  FLATTERS CHANCE Feb05 Jan12 Dec22     (cudworth paul)COTTO L 122 30.00    
SCR  WHERE'S JACK Aug26 Aug17 Mar16     (alessi jame)BELL BARRINGTON 122 30.00    
SCR  STANLEY CAT Mar01 Jan31 Jan10 Dec27   (contessa c)SPIETH S 122 2.00    
SCR  FOURTY FOUR Aug16 Aug03 Jun29 Jun21 Apr20 (romero rafael)CAMACHO SAMY 122 3.00    
 
TAM-3   03/07/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  H C HOLIDAY Feb22 Feb12 Jan18 Jan03 Nov01 (contessa gary)IORIO MELISSA 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  HE'S A GOOD DANCER Feb22 Feb07 Jan05 Dec27 Nov20 (sacco gre)MALDONADO GABRIEL 122 6.00 9% 10.30    
3  DYNAMITE KARMA Feb19 Dec19 Jun19 May17 Mar17 (moreno-barb)OLIVEROS CHARLE 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
4  WELL CONNECTED Feb19 Jan22 Jun20 Jun08 May23 (march william)BUSH V 122 8.00 6% 15.80    
5  MILLENNIUM CONDO Sep28 Sep08 Aug10 Jul28 Jun29 (so)LUNA PAUL 122 8.00    
6  MAKIZAN Feb02 Jan19 Dec20 Nov16 Jul13 (simone micha)BATISTA A 122 4.00    
7  HARPOON HARRY Feb08 Jan11 Dec28 Nov30 Aug25 (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 122 2.50 56% 0.80    
8  SILVER STYLE Feb22 Jan19 Jan05 Dec11 Oct24 (rice kev)RODRIGUEZ O 122 6.00    
9  TONY SMALL Oct22 Sep23 Sep11 Aug21 Aug13 (ward dennis)FELICIANO R 122 8.00    
10  CALLIHOO Feb07 Jan24 Dec08 Feb03 Jan21 (carmichael)MARAGH CHRISTIAN 112 20.00    
11  FUNKENSTEIN Feb21 Jan25 Jan12 Dec21 Nov23 (simone michael)GIL CIPRIANO 122 20.00    
 
TAM-4   03/07/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($32K) Purse ($24K) 3 F PT- 2:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NANA MOON         (ellebracht gar)CAMACHO SAMY 120 8.00 10% 8.60    
2  EXPLOSIVE LADY Feb08 Dec24       (hamm timothy)GIL CIPRIANO 120 10.00 9% 9.80    
3  WINIKA         (lightner mary)GONZALEZ ALEX 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  IHAVEISSUES Feb08         (harty eoin)CASTANON L 120 8.00 27% 2.70    
5  RED HOT CATALINA Feb14         (o'connell kath)EVANS CECILY 120 20.00    
6  GOSHAKI GOSHAKI Feb09 Jan11 Dec13 Nov09 Oct26 (dobber w)HESS SARA 113 12.00    
7  SIGNATURE COCKTAIL Feb09         (pompay terri)ALLEN D 120 4.50 29% 2.50    
SCR  HEY COOKIE Feb14         (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 1.20    
9  RICH GIRL         (hernandez enriqu)LEON SONNY 120 10.00    
10  WIN WIN MOON Jan11 Dec07       (lusk bria)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 120 30.00    
 
TAM-5   03/07/2025 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OUR FLAG FLYING Feb14 Jan11 Dec01 Nov17 Oct19 (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 118 10.00    
2  SPECIAL AFFAIR Feb14 Jan24 Jan01 Dec13 Nov27 (hernandez enriqu)LEON SONNY 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
3  LUCKY GIRL COCO Feb14 Jan18 Aug11 Jul14 Jun21 (morales g)MALDONADO GABRIEL 118 30.00    
4  WHISPERING SEA Feb14 Jan24 Dec13 Nov01 Oct17 (wilson tony)IORIO MELISSA 118 10.00 10% 9.20    
5  ALLONS Jan26 Jan12 Dec29 Dec11 Jun07 (creel rick)GIL CIPRIANO 120 5.00    
6  REAL MIKEY Feb23 Jan26 Jan12 Dec13 Nov23 (lusk )DIAZ RAFAEL 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  HEARTBURN Feb23 Jan01 Oct18 Aug22 Aug02 (simone mic)FUKUMOTO DAISUKE 118 30.00    
8  GIRLY THE BUTCHER Feb23 Jan01 Oct11 Sep27 Sep07 (delgado jose )SANTOS ADEMAR 118 4.50 30% 2.40    
9  LADYS CHANT Feb08 Jan22 Jan05 Dec13 Nov27 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 118 15.00    
10  PLAY FREE BIRD Feb19 Jan18 Jan12 Dec28 Dec11 (contessa gary)MORALES PABLO 122 3.50    
11  LIZQUEENFLUERDELIS Dec13 Nov27 Sep06 Aug02 Jul18 (yanez moises)MENESES MARCOS 118 30.00    
12  ALCOHOL Feb19 Jan01 Nov24 Oct27 Sep20 (arnett g)MARIN SAMUEL 118 4.00 32% 2.10    
SCR  MY JANNET Feb23 Jan01 Dec13 Nov27 Oct24 (kleine bernard)MARIN SAMUEL 118 15.00    
 
TAM-6   03/07/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($53K) 3 F PT- 3:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRANCING SPIRIT Jan17 Nov24       (pletcher todd)MORALES PABLO 118 4.50    
2  JUNTA Feb08 Dec24       (granitz anthony )MARTINEZ W 120 2.50 23% 3.30    
3  CARROLL'S HONOR Jan29 Dec07 Nov20     (rice kev)RODRIGUEZ O 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  I'MWISHINGONASTAR Feb08 Jan10 Dec13 Oct26 Oct06 (dini mike)MARIN SAMUEL 118 15.00    
5  COSTA AMALFITANA Feb01 Jan11 Dec07 Oct27   (munoz carlos)GIL CIPRIANO 122 8.00    
SCR  JASMINES WORLD Oct23 Oct07 Sep17 Aug27   (kleine l)LEON SONNY 118 30.00    
7  ANHINGA Jan29 Oct08 Sep20 Jul03 Jun17 (kleine bernard)ALLEN D 118 30.00    
8  SWEET NOTE Jan01 Nov30 Oct27     (walsh brendan )CAMACHO SAMY 118 1.80 44% 1.30    
9  VUELA PALOMA Jan11 Dec07 Oct18 Aug10 Jul26 (bennett gerald )CENTENO E 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
TAM-7   03/07/2025 5940ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($53K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROBAIRE Jan08 Nov29 Oct14 Jul25 May26 (rice kev)RODRIGUEZ O 125 8.00    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of DYNAIRE by DYNAFORMER)
2  VIVALDI Oct28 Sep09       (brown ch)GALLARDO A 125 5.00 12% 7.30    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of CHANNEL LADY by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
SCR  UNSPOKEN REQUEST Jan25 Dec27 Dec06 May17 May03 (fisher davi)QUINONEZ ALONSO 125 15.00    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of GOLDEN FINISH by CHESTERTOWN SLEW)
4  TAKE THE GOLD Jan10 Dec12 Nov02 Oct17 Aug06 (mendieta alejandr)HESS SARA 118 15.00    
  (by GIANT SURPRISE out of DELTA GOLD by GOLD TOKEN)
5  WESTERN RUN (IRE) Jan08 Oct18 Jun30     (mcgaughey clau)MARIN SAMUEL 125 1.60 20% 4.00    
  (by JUSTIFY out of RUN OF THE RIVER by TAPIT)
6  MR. FUNTASTICO Feb12         (aguayo ramon)FERRER C 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FUNTASTIC out of KALANI by AFLEET ALEX)
7  DEBT LIMIT (FR) Jan22         (brown c)CAMACHO SAMY 125 2.00 32% 2.10    
  (by WOOTTON BASSETT out of SILVER STORM by ALWAYS A CLASSIC)
8  SILENT RAGE Nov20 Oct25       (ramirez l)GIL CIPRIANO 118 30.00    
  (by VIOLENCE out of LA BOMBA by MENIFEE)
9  TINEBAR Feb07 Jan18 Jul27 Jun15   (breen j)MORALES PABLO 125 10.00 11% 8.00    
  (by ARROGATE out of JUMP RULER by ROMAN RULER)
 
TAM-8   03/07/2025 5400ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($21K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NAA DUDETTE Feb21 Jan24 Dec22 Nov29 Sep28 (waltke e)HESS SARA 111 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  VIKING QUEEN Jan26 Jan08 Jan01 Dec13 Nov23 (ward dennis)FERRER C 120 3.50    
3  THAT'S MY CAT Feb07 Dec20 Oct09 Sep20 Aug22 (hardesty lesli)CAMACHO SAMY 118 15.00    
4  SALAGADOOLA Feb28 Jan26 Dec18 Nov23 Oct17 (aguayo ramon)MENESES MARCOS 118 4.50 51% 1.00    
5  GLITTER BAY Jan31 Jan18 Jan04 Dec20 Nov30 (curto bev)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  LADY DOMINANCE Feb07 Jan26 Jan15 Jan03 Dec11 (torres r)LEON SONNY 118 6.00    
7  TIZ ERIN Feb14 Oct19 Sep01 Aug04 Jul21 (canegata jame)GONZALEZ ALEX 118 30.00    
SCR  INOUAINTALKINTOME Feb07 Jan26 Jan15 Jan04 Dec27 (to)LUNA PAUL 118 4.50    
9  ANGELAS PARTY GIRL Feb02 Jan15 Dec13 Nov23 Nov04 (goodwin n)WILLIAMS JO 120 4.00 11% 7.80    
10  SANDPIPER MEMORIES Feb14 Jan26 Jan12 Dec22 Dec11 (simone m)RODRIGUEZ O 118 5.00 17% 4.90    
 
TAM-9   03/07/2025 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($53K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DRUNK ON SAKE Jan18 Dec07 Sep08 Jul27 Jun29 (crook-demasi kat)LEON SONNY 118 20.00    
2  KANSAS CAT (ARG) Feb08         (barbazoniii lest)BRACHO A 118 20.00    
3  EHSAAN Feb08 Dec24 Jun29 Jun02 May04 (joseph saffie )CAMACHO SAMY 118 2.00 40% 1.50    
4  FRED GEORGE (IRE) Aug14 Jul30 Jul09 Jun18 Jun10 (rice kev)RODRIGUEZ O 118 15.00 11% 8.20    
5  PAXTON Feb19 Jan25 Dec22 Nov29 Nov10 (miller rory )MENESES MARCOS 118 15.00    
6  DENYING Feb19 Jan22 Jan11 Dec24 Nov23 (ryan )DIAZ RAFAEL 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  FAKE CELEBRITY Jan03 Nov16 Sep21 Oct27 Sep04 (o'connel)GALLARDO A 118 6.00    
8  SONIC SPEED Feb08 Jan18 Dec24 Dec14 Nov29 (escobar martin)CASTANON L 118 4.00 24% 3.10    
9  UNCLE TRULY Jan26 Nov29 Oct12 Sep14 Aug24 (arriagada juan)MARIN SAMUEL 118 3.00    
10  TAP THE SKY Feb19 Oct15 Sep30 Sep11 Sep02 (connelly tere)MORALES PABLO 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  PASSIONED Sep10 Aug18 Jul19 Jun21 Jun01 (nixon ju)GALLARDO A 118 2.00    
SCR  SUPREME DOMINANCE Feb15 Jan29 Jan17 Dec22 Nov29 (goodwin n)WILLIAMS JO 118 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.