Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Tuesday - February 25, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TUP-3   WIN (5/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/3)-(5/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/3)-(5/1/7/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (5/3)-(5/1/7/3)-(6/1/3/2) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
TUP-4   WIN (5/1/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/7/3)-(5/1/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/7/3)-(5/1/7/3)-(5/1/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/1/7/3)-(6/1/3/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/1/7/3)-(6/1/3/2)-(2/8/3/4) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
TUP-5   WIN (6/1/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/3/2)-(6/1/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/3/2)-(6/1/3/2)-(6/1/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/1/3/2)-(2/8/3/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/1/3/2)-(2/8/3/4)-(1/4/5/10/2) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
TUP-6   WIN (2/8/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/8/3/4)-(2/8/5/3/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/8/3/4)-(2/8/5/3/4)-(2/8/5/3/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/8/3/4)-(1/4/5/10/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/8/3/4)-(1/4/5/10/2)-(1/9/3/8) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
TUP-7   WIN (1/4/5/10/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/4/5/10/2)-(1/4/5/10/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/4/5/10/2)-(1/4/5/10/2)-(1/4/5/10/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/4/5/10/2)-(1/9/3/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/4/5/10/2)-(1/9/3/8)-(10/9/1/3) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
TUP-8   WIN (1/9/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/9/3/8)-(1/9/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/9/3/8)-(1/9/3/8)-(1/9/3/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/9/3/8)-(10/9/1/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
TUP-9   WIN (10/9/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/9/1/3)-(10/9/8/1/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (10/9/1/3)-(10/9/8/1/3)-(10/9/8/1/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-3   02/25/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNRIVALED QUEEN Jan21 Dec17 Nov30 Nov13 Sep09 (evans justin)LOPEZ KARLO 124 4.00    
2  DON'T TELL HYDEE Feb05 Jan07 Dec18 Nov21 Nov12 (tubbs scott)CORBETT W 124 10.00    
3  RUBYSA Jan25 Jan07 Dec04 Nov12 Sep26 (fuentes ruben)REYES R 124 8.00 18% 4.40    
SCR  DIPLOMATICA Feb06 Jan16 Dec30 Dec03 Aug18 (martinez esteba)VERGARA P 124 3.50    
5  HIGH GUNNER Jan25 Dec28 Jun01 May01 Mar25 (belvoir va)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 3.00 48% 1.10    
SCR  DRINK AND A WINK Jan14 Dec23 Dec05 Sep14 Sep01 (barraza s)GARCIA F 124 10.00    
SCR  MISS UNION Jan16 Dec10 Nov13 Sep22 Jul13 (ferguson curt)CRUZ M 124 2.00    
 
TUP-4   02/25/2025 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  G G GILLEY Feb03 Jan14 Dec08 Nov03 Jul14 (alvarez se)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 4.00 5% 17.70    
2  REGARDING HARRY         (campo stacy)MORALES ALLYSSA 118 10.00    
3  KNOCKOUT GUY Nov11 Sep15 Aug31 Aug24 Aug11 (fearon john)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  FIREFIGHT Dec26 Sep28 Sep07 Aug10   (birdwell tena)CRUZ M 124 3.00    
5  BROWNSTONE Feb03 Jun23 Apr13 Mar30 Feb24 (mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 124 2.00 66% 0.50    
6  REBELLIOUS RED Feb03         (rarick wade)MONTALVO C 124 6.00    
7  GONZAGA Feb03 Jan14 Dec16 Dec03 Oct07 (homer jason)KRIGGER K 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  BIG STETSON         (barraza rafael )VERGARA P 124 8.00    
 
TUP-5   02/25/2025 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ASPIRATIONAL Apr21 Feb16 Sep29 Sep04 Aug11 (stevens sat)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 122 3.50 10% 9.40    
2  LITTLE BIT TIPSY Feb11 Dec23 Dec05 Nov18 Sep26 (lund valor)AMERICANO MANUEL 113 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  ANNIE FOX Jan24 Jan07 Dec19 Nov19 Oct12 (tubbs scott)CRUZ M 122 8.00 7% 12.60    
4  ROPERS N WRANGLERS Jan07 Dec16 Nov26 Nov18 Aug31 (rennie rich)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 12.00    
5  CHARYBDIS Jan30 Dec04 May20 Apr30   (mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 124 10.00    
6  MINEDANDREFINED Feb06 Jan27 Dec26 Dec04 Nov19 (silva j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 2.50 60% 0.70    
7  ROCKBAR Feb06 Jan15 Dec19     (owens kory)CORBETT W 122 4.50    
8  LOVE ALIVE Feb03 Aug02 Jun15 May27 Apr28 (drysdale neil)MOJICA O 124 4.00    
 
TUP-6   02/25/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SAHARA SUE Jan20 Dec07 Nov23 Oct27 Sep15 (peery debbie)KRIGGER K 124 6.00    
2  BEA MISCHIEF Feb06 Jan24 Dec27 Dec19 May12 (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 124 5.00 55% 0.80    
3  NIGHT FLYER Oct13 Sep29 Sep07 Aug30 Aug16 (brown r)CORBETT W 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  EM N HOLL'S FIESTA Jan27 Dec27 Dec11 Nov29 Nov12 (barrio sergio)VERGARA P 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  VELLA Feb03 Dec27 Dec02 Jun29 May19 (whitehous)VALENZUELA A 124 6.00 ★    
6  DEFICIT MAJA Feb06 Jan25 Dec27 Dec05 Nov11 (silva pabl)CRUZ M 124 6.00    
7  UNIFIED A. P. Feb03 Jan13 Nov29 Nov14 Oct12 (belvoir va)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 3.00    
8  A DIME FOR ME Jan24 Jan16 Nov03 Oct12 Sep15 (tamayo isidro)LOPEZ KARLO 124 3.50 22% 3.50    
9  GAME TO PLAY Oct25 Oct13 Oct04 Sep22 Sep13 (diaz f)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 20.00    
 
TUP-7   02/25/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($10.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HAPPY CHAPPY Feb16 Jan20 Dec06 Oct25 Oct05 (tamayo isi)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 4.00 46% 1.20    
2  MAUI SUNRISE Feb06 Oct11 Sep18 Aug25 May12 (leon p)ASENCIO MARIANO 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  JESSICA BLAH BLAH Feb13 Jan27 Dec27 Jul10 Jun26 (vitali ma)VALENZUELA A 122 15.00    
4  DIAMOND DEE Feb06 Jan25 Jan02 Nov26 Nov12 (thompso)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 5.00 10% 8.70    
5  BANGO'S HEAT Feb06 Jan22 Dec28 Dec19 Nov12 (barraza rafael )CRUZ M 122 6.00 7% 12.60    
6  SISSUE Nov26 Oct24 Oct17 Aug29 Jul17 (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 122 8.00    
7  FLY SOUTH Jan20 Dec01 Nov10 Oct12 Sep22 (peery debbie)KRIGGER K 122 8.00    
8  MEASUREOFDEVOTION Jan22 Dec11 Oct16 Sep23 Jul29 (fuentes)BRAVO MISAEL 122 10.00    
9  QUEEN MYSTIC Feb06 Jan29 Jan09 Aug17 Aug10 (dennis )BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 122 20.00    
10  DADDY CLASSY DILL Feb06 Jan09 Oct14 Jul16 Jul02 (silva pab)REYES R 122 5.00 7% 13.50    
11  CAN'T WANT THAT Feb06 Jan27 Jan02 Dec11 Nov27 (lavanway dayson)MONTALVO C 122 20.00    
12  RUSSIAN TOTHE WIRE Feb13 Jan25 Dec26 Dec05 Nov27 (lund valorie)LOPEZ KARLO 122 6.00    
 
TUP-8   02/25/2025 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WAR CHEST Dec28 Dec16 Nov26 Nov12 Sep28 (fuentes)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.50 56% 0.80    
2  FLINT STROLL Feb04 Jan07 Dec23 Nov22 Oct26 (morfin liandro)CORBETT W 124 8.00    
3  CLUB MESQUITE Jan27 Dec28 Dec03 Sep01 Aug09 (mccartney j)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  AQUACAT Dec28 Dec09 Nov30 Nov12 Oct24 (adams hann)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 6.00    
5  DOS VICIOS Feb11 Dec30 Nov20 Oct27 Aug17 (rosales jorge)MOJICA O 124 4.50    
SCR  BIRTH OF COOL Jan25 Jan15 Dec31 Sep13 Sep01 (silva pabl)CRUZ M 124 3.00    
7  YOU KIDDING ME Feb11 Dec09 Nov25 Jun09 May25 (fearon j)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 20.00    
8  SUNNY SPOT Nov29 Nov10 Oct19 Aug17 Jul27 (perez se)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
9  SHUT UP MICHAEL (IRE) Feb06 Jan22 Dec28 Nov26 Nov12 (kereluk e)VALENZUELA A 124 8.00 15% 5.70    
SCR  THIRTY SECONDS OUT Feb06 Jan13 Dec28 Nov26 Nov12 (silva jr)REYES R 124 6.00    
 
TUP-9   02/25/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($4.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MONGOLIAN NINJA Feb04 Dec28 Dec16 Nov29 Apr23 (soto antonio)HARVEY B 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  MR. MUSTACHE Jan25 Dec27 Aug23     (belvoir va)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 6.00    
3  UKRAINE STRONG Nov23 Nov14 Oct11 Oct02 Sep07 (silva )ASENCIO MARIANO 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  CROWN PROSECUTOR Jan15 Jan02 Sep06 Jul04 Jun01 (campo stacy)KRIGGER K 124 20.00    
5  TAKE MY ALLOWANCE Dec12 May04 Apr04 Mar16   (owens kory)CORBETT W 124 3.00    
6  CRUEL ENDEAVOR Feb10 Jan07 Dec28 Dec16 Nov29 (soto an)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 12.00    
7  CRAZY STORM Feb04 Jan15 Nov30 Nov02 Oct12 (van horne)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 20.00    
8  ROYAL CURLIN Feb12 Jan29 Jan14 Jan02 Dec14 (silva l)CRUZ M 124 4.00 ★    
9  DRIVE FOR SHOW Feb10 Jan24 Jan07 Nov14 Oct04 (barrio sergio)VERGARA P 124 8.00 32% 2.10    
10  SON O' SANPETE Feb10 Jan24 Jan15 Dec23 Nov21 (brown allen)MONTALVO C 124 12.00 47% 1.10    
SCR  YANKEE TEA PARTY Dec16 Dec03 Sep16 Aug19 Jul04 (vitali marc)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 5.00    
12  TEMPTING PROSPECT Jan23 Oct19 Sep22 Aug02 Jun16 (peery deb)VALENZUELA A 124 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.