Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Thursday - February 20, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TUP-2   WIN (2) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (2)-(2/6/5/1) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    TRI (2)-(2/6/5/1)-(2/6/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2)-(5/8/3/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (2)-(5/8/3/1)-(1/5/7/3) 16 $0.50 $8.00 
TUP-3   WIN (5/8/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/8/3/1)-(5/8/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/8/3/1)-(5/8/3/1)-(5/8/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/8/3/1)-(1/5/7/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/8/3/1)-(1/5/7/3)-(1/5/2/4) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
TUP-4   WIN (1/5/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/7/3)-(1/5/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/7/3)-(1/5/7/3)-(1/5/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/5/7/3)-(1/5/2/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/5/7/3)-(1/5/2/4)-(9/3/1/7/10) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
TUP-5   WIN (1/5/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/2/4)-(1/5/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/2/4)-(1/5/2/4)-(1/5/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/5/2/4)-(9/3/1/7/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/5/2/4)-(9/3/1/7/10)-(5/9/3/8/6) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
TUP-6   WIN (9/3/1/7/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/3/1/7/10)-(9/3/1/7/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/3/1/7/10)-(9/3/1/7/10)-(9/3/1/7/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/3/1/7/10)-(5/9/3/8/6) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (9/3/1/7/10)-(5/9/3/8/6)-(5/7/3/1) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
TUP-7   WIN (5/9/3/8/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/9/3/8/6)-(5/9/3/8/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/9/3/8/6)-(5/9/3/8/6)-(5/9/3/8/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/9/3/8/6)-(5/7/3/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
TUP-8   WIN (5/7/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/3/1)-(5/7/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/3/1)-(5/7/3/1)-(5/7/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-2   02/20/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WINNING BIG Feb10 Jan28 Jul06 May24 May10 (valerio)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.50 ★    
2  REGAL REDWOOD Feb04 Jan24 Jan07 Dec27 Dec01 (tubbs scott)CORBETT W 122 4.00 72% 0.40    
3  MOBLEY Feb05 Jan07 Dec28 Dec16 Nov29 (carlson dou)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 122 10.00    
4  A LOT OF VERVE Jan21 Jan13 Dec17 Dec05 Nov21 (toye joe)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 6.00    
5  HE'S INIT TO WINIT Jun08 May18 Apr20 Apr06 Mar02 (baze robert)KRIGGER K 122 3.00 ★    
6  RUN SMITTY RUN Jan01 Dec09 Nov11 Sep10 Aug23 (mckinney d)MOJICA O 122 5.00 ★    
7  MEMOLOTSAMISCHIEF Jan09 Aug04 Jun15 May02 Jan29 (barrio sergio)CRUZ M 122 6.00    
 
TUP-3   02/20/2025 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DINERO DE LA CASA Feb10 Jan29 Jan14 Dec11 Nov29 (torres-casas alex )GARCIA F 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  DORADUS Feb12 Dec28 Nov30 Nov16 Nov02 (rosales)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 5.00    
3  BOOP ME Jan29 Dec16       (evans justin)LOPEZ KARLO 124 6.00 10% 9.40    
4  PAISLEES PROMISE Feb03 Jan15 Dec28 Nov14 Oct12 (bean a)BARNES JOSE 124 12.00    
5  DRIVE TRAIN Jan29 Dec31 Dec11 Nov20 Nov11 (tubbs scot)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 4.00 49% 1.00    
SCR  AUTISM MIND Feb04 Jan24 Jan02 Dec19 Dec03 (torres-)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 124 20.00    
7  LAST VINTAGE Jan03 Dec08 Jul04     (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 118 3.50    
8  ARIUS Feb12 Jan23 Dec20 Nov04 Oct03 (rosales jorge)KRIGGER K 124 2.50 13% 6.50    
 
TUP-4   02/20/2025 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($23.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ARREST Jan25 Dec31 Dec02 Nov13 Aug17 (silva j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 3.50 44% 1.30    
SCR  TIGER TOO Feb04 Jan06 Feb09 Jan13 Jan01 (essex charles)CRUZ M 122 12.00    
3  TABLE FOR TWO Dec23 Nov13 Aug17 Jul24 Jun08 (fuentes ruben)REYES R 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  CODE FIVE Feb05 Jan14 Dec16 Apr14 Mar14 (owens kory)CORBETT W 122 4.00    
5  ANITANEWMERCEDES Jan17 Dec08 Oct31 Oct14 Sep28 (tamayo isi)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 4.50 15% 5.70    
6  PACIFIC THEATER Jan07 Nov06 Oct17 Oct05 Sep21 (rarick wade)VERGARA P 122 8.00    
7  HOUSE OF LORDS Jan15 Dec30 Dec02 Nov13 Sep21 (si)DA FAUSTO 122 5.00 13% 6.70    
8  THE BLACK STRAT Dec02 Nov13 Sep20 Sep03 Aug06 (vitali j)MOJICA O 122 3.00    
 
TUP-5   02/20/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CROSS THE CAUSEWAY Feb06 Jan27 Jan09 Dec23 Nov27 (essex charles)CRUZ M 124 6.00 24% 3.20    
2  BEDROCK (GB) Feb04 Jan14 Dec26 Dec09 Sep23 (evans justin)LOPEZ KARLO 124 4.00 15% 5.80    
3  SUPER CLASSIC Nov26 Sep02 Aug16 Aug10 Aug03 (duarte javie)RODRIGUEZ JOSE 124 20.00    
4  HAPI HAPI Jan27 Jan09 Dec03 Oct20 Sep13 (uranga je)VALENZUELA A 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  WINTER FALCON Feb11 Jan08 Dec28 Dec16 Dec02 (silva j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 5.00 17% 4.80    
SCR  CREATIVE BID Feb11 Jan25 Dec30 Dec02 Nov13 (evans )ASENCIO MARIANO 124 6.00    
SCR  GRAPE NUTS WARRIOR Jan30 Dec30 Nov12 Oct20 Sep01 (peery debbie)KRIGGER K 124 4.00    
SCR  POPULIST Jan30 Jan07 Dec16 Dec05 Nov11 (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 124 3.00    
 
TUP-6   02/20/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOLLYWOOD RUMOR Feb06 Dec08 Nov23 Nov03 Oct06 (evans justin)REYES R 124 4.50 9% 10.00    
2  UPTOWN RHAPSODY Jan25 Dec19 May04 Apr10 Mar25 (perkins f)JENSEN P 124 20.00    
3  SECRET MISTRESS Jan09 Jul29 Jul09 Jun25 May28 (sanderson b)CARMONA SERAFIN 119 6.00 20% 4.10    
4  FLIPLIT Feb06 Jan01 Sep27 Aug04 Jun23 (whitehouse )MORALES ALLYSSA 124 20.00    
5  MAMALONA Dec27 Dec02 May01 Apr23 Apr10 (soto an)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 20.00    
6  DRILL BABY DRILL Jan24 Dec09 Sep14 Sep06 Aug09 (cruz pea)CRUZ M 124 5.00    
7  HAYNESPUN Jan24 Dec19 Jul27 Jul21 Jul13 (warren kayl)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  GETAWAY DAY Jan24 Dec27 Dec09 Aug03 Jul13 (eikleberry)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 3.50    
9  MEAN SHARON Jan21 Jan09 Dec27 Nov02 Oct12 (garcia f)LOPEZ KARLO 124 2.50 45% 1.20    
10  ATHENA THE GODDESS Feb06 Jan24 Nov20 May02 Apr08 (soto anto)VALENZUELA A 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
TUP-7   02/20/2025 4950ft TURF RC11 FIRM Princess Purse ($40K) 3 F PT- 5:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SAPELLO LA FINA Jan17 Dec23 Dec05 Nov18 Aug03 (hernandez m)MORALES ALLYSSA 119 8.00    
  (by GIRVIN out of JULES N ROME by DUNKIRK)
2  KITTY HOUSE Jan27 Dec26 Dec05 Oct26 Oct12 (anderson gonzal)LOPEZ KARLO 119 5.00    
  (by COUNTRY HOUSE out of KITTENISTIC by KITTEN'S JOY)
3  A THOUSAND MILES Nov18 Sep15 Aug03 Jun22 Jun09 (hone bart)CORBETT W 119 5.00 16% 5.20    
  (by THOUSAND WORDS out of SWISS ARMY WIFE by COLONEL JOHN)
4  STRIKING NOTES Feb04 Jan06 Dec17     (eikleberry)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 10.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of STRIKING SCHOLAR by SMART STRIKE)
5  SAYUCAN Dec26 Dec05 Nov13 Sep22   (eikleberry kevi)VERGARA P 119 4.50 32% 2.20    
  (by PROMISES FULFILLED out of BOLD KITTEN by JACINTO)
6  BRUMBODOPPELGANGER Feb03 Dec04 Sep15 Aug25   (eikleberry kevin)GARCIA F 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by EZ EFFORT out of DADDY'S MELODY by SCAT DADDY)
7  SOCIAL PROMISE Oct13 Sep14 Aug31 Aug10   (rennie richard )CRUZ M 119 20.00    
  (by PROMISES FULFILLED out of SOCIAL STATEMENT by SUAVE)
8  WELCOMETOHOLLYWOOD Feb04 Dec23 Dec05 Nov18 Sep17 (brown jared)MOJICA O 121 4.00 5% 17.60    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of ARCH OF TROY by ARCHARCHARCH)
9  TWO BAR Dec26 Nov16 Oct18 Aug25 Jul21 (mcfarla)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 121 2.50 24% 3.30    
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of ROADBUG by QUALITY ROAD)
 
TUP-8   02/20/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($25K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LETS DECLARE PEACE Jan22 Jan01 Oct25 Sep20 Jul24 (gibson f)KRIGGER K 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  ASENA Jan22 Jan01 Dec10 Nov25 Nov13 (lund valor)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 6.00    
3  CREME DE MENTHE (IRE) Jan22 Aug31 Aug04 Jul07 Jun07 (lucarelli frank)LOPEZ KARLO 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  BLESSED ANGEL Jan29 Nov30 Mar20 Mar11 Feb19 (belvoir vann)CRUZ M 124 6.00    
5  NEVER SWAY Jan22 Jan01 Dec10 Oct09 Aug09 (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 122 3.00 40% 1.50    
SCR  SPITTEN KITTEN Jan28 Nov25 Aug24 Aug05 Jul16 (buffalo marvin)CORBETT W 122 3.50    
7  MOVINGLIKEAWINNER Feb12 Jan24 Dec02 Nov05 Sep28 (silva j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 6.00 27% 2.70    
8  ROCKY BAY RAE Jan27 Dec28 Aug11 Jul14 Jun15 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 124 4.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.