Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Wednesday - February 19, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-1   WIN (8/4/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/4/5/6)-(8/4/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/4/5/6)-(8/4/5/6)-(8/4/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/4/5/6)-(1/3/7/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/4/5/6)-(1/3/7/6)-(6/5/1/4) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
PEN-2   WIN (1/3/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/7/6)-(1/3/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/7/6)-(1/3/7/6)-(1/3/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/3/7/6)-(6/5/1/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/3/7/6)-(6/5/1/4)-(7/1/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
PEN-3   WIN (6/5/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/1/4)-(6/5/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/1/4)-(6/5/1/4)-(6/5/1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/5/1/4)-(7/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/5/1/4)-(7/1/5)-(3/2/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
PEN-4   WIN (7/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/1/5)-(7/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/1/5)-(7/1/5)-(7/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/1/5)-(3/2/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/1/5)-(3/2/8)-(7/6/5) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
PEN-5   WIN (3/2/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/8)-(3/2/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/8)-(3/2/8)-(3/2/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/8)-(7/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/2/8)-(7/6/5)-(1/3/7) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
PEN-6   WIN (7/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/6/5)-(7/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/6/5)-(7/6/5)-(7/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/6/5)-(1/3/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/6/5)-(1/3/7)-(5/4/7) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
PEN-7   WIN (1/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/7)-(1/3/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/7)-(1/3/7)-(1/3/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/7)-(5/4/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/3/7)-(5/4/7)-(2/1/5) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
PEN-8   WIN (5/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/7)-(5/4/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/7)-(5/4/7)-(5/4/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/7)-(2/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/4/7)-(2/1/5)-(4/1/6) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
PEN-9   WIN (2/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/5)-(2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/5)-(4/1/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
PEN-10   WIN (4/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/6)-(4/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/6)-(4/1/6)-(4/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   02/19/2025 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($17K) 3 ALL PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COVE BAY BOY Jan09 Oct24       (albright ge)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 10.00    
2  MOONCHILL Feb03 Dec10       (king clarence )AGUILAR JEAN 122 15.00    
SCR  GEE POWER Jan26 Jan09 Dec13 Nov29 Nov08 (chircop steven)CONNER TYLER 120 2.50    
4  SPECTACULAR JEDI         (kravets bru)RAMOS O 122 4.50 18% 4.50    
5  CHUCKY OUR LAW         (galligan gera)ROJAS MARTINA 120 12.00 18% 4.50    
6  CAPPETTA Nov08 Oct07 Aug26 Aug12 Jul09 (fields kevin)FLORES E 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  WILLY WILLY Dec19         (rathman e)HERNANDEZ A 122 3.00    
8  SAPPHIRE PRINCE         (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 122 4.00 28% 2.60    
 
PEN-2   02/19/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($12K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DREAM RIVER Dec11 Nov29 Oct19 Sep29 Sep13 (leaf j)ROJAS MARTINA 123 3.50 30% 2.30    
2  I ONCE STOOD ALONE Jan09 Nov21 Oct24 Sep11 Aug23 (rathman e)HERNANDEZ A 123 6.00    
3  MARTINKELLY Jan02 Nov20 Nov05 Oct21 Sep30 (albright am)INIRIO J 123 4.00 21% 3.80    
4  KAZ SWEET HEIST Jan09 Dec18 Nov27 Jul06 Jun09 (synnefias d)CORUJO LEONARDO 123 4.00    
5  RIBBONS AND MEDALS Jan30 Jan09 Nov20 Nov05 Oct21 (salvaggio mark)TORRES JOMAR 123 5.00    
6  DON'T LOSEMYMONEY Dec27 Dec11 Nov15 Oct31 Sep25 (rodriguez fra)DIAZ VLADIMIR 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  FATHER WALSH Jan30 Jan11 Nov11 Oct08 Sep30 (albright amy)CORA D 123 3.00 14% 6.10    
 
PEN-3   02/19/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 3 ALL PT- 6:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOT ROD KITTY         (stites flin)INIRIO J 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DIVINING ROD out of AMY'S KITTY by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
2  MY DETROIT CITY Dec19 Nov14 Oct24 Sep10   (houghton thomas)CORA D 122 3.00    
  (by HOPPERTUNITY out of DEANIES DANCER by LION HEARTED)
3  QUIET APPEAL Jan29         (kravets bru)RAMOS O 122 4.00    
  (by WEIGELIA out of IAIN'TNOSIZETWO by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
4  TITAN CITY         (houghton thoma)TORRES JOMAR 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by HOLY BOSS out of LAKOTA by JUMP START)
5  QUAMASH Jan09 Nov22       (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 122 6.00 6% 16.50    
  (by MOSLER out of INTO THE EAST by ORIENTATE)
6  LOU'S BIRTHDAY Sep14 Aug17 Jul24 Jul03 Jun15 (capuano p)HERNANDEZ A 122 2.50 62% 0.60    
  (by BLOFELD out of MISCHIEF MUSIC by WEIGELIA)
7  DANCING ON AIR Jan29 Nov18 Nov05 Oct22 Jul09 (arce josue)OCASIO M 122 10.00    
  (by AIROFORCE out of BOTTLE DANCE by CAPE BLANCO (IRE))
8  GOOD FRIDAY MAN Dec30 Dec19 Nov22     (zalalas michael)BEATO INOEL 122 10.00    
  (by PAT ON THE BACK out of FRIDAY MASS by REDEEMED)
 
PEN-4   02/19/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($22K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRAQUET Jan09 Dec07 Nov14 Oct17 Oct10 (kreise)LOPEZ EDUARDO 121 4.00 17% 5.00    
SCR  BROOKLYN GIRL Dec08 Oct27 Aug11 Aug04 Jul20 (milosevic m)HAMILTON WESTON 121 3.00    
3  IRIE EMPRESS Nov19 Oct28 Sep16 Sep02 Jul17 (king clarence)RANGEL JOEZER 121 12.00    
4  TITOSCHANGEDMYLUCK Jan01 Nov15 Oct16 Oct03 Sep05 (lawrence james)CONNER TYLER 123 6.00    
5  DATE NIGHT KISSES Jan25 Sep15 Aug15 May24 Mar09 (allen f)HERNANDEZ A 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  JESS'S GYPSY GIRL Dec14 Nov17 Jun12 May04 Feb04 (alvarado diane)PEREZ XAVIER 121 3.50    
7  AFRICAN ANGEL Dec27 Nov15 Oct24 Aug08 Jul26 (houghton thomas)CORA D 121 2.50 56% 0.80    
 
PEN-5   02/19/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KESTENNA (GB) Jan31 Dec10 Oct30 Oct09 Oct01 (m)YANCAPALLO SHIRLE 121 15.00    
2  SWEET MAEVE Jan03 Dec06 Nov06 Oct24 Sep24 (o'callahan )RAMOS O 123 8.00 13% 6.80    
3  WARRIOR BERNICE Dec20 Oct23 Sep16 Aug30 Jul10 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 121 2.00 59% 0.70    
SCR  PENNY POLKA Jan15 Dec12 Oct17 Oct01 Aug13 (rodriguez)HERNANDEZ A 121 2.50    
5  FOXEY G Jan15 Dec20 Oct25 Oct05 Aug30 (kravets bruce)ROJAS MARTINA 121 12.00    
SCR  LOUELLA STREET Feb04 Dec10 Nov19 Oct29 Oct18 (castillo mich)DIAZ VLADIMIR 121 12.00    
SCR  TIME OF OUR LIVES Dec18 Dec06 Oct31 Aug21 Aug07 (kulp l)BEATO INOEL 121 3.00    
8  ELEVENMONTHSLATER Dec20 Oct23 Oct09 Sep16 Aug29 (martinez a)CORA D 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
PEN-6   02/19/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIKEY'S JEWEL Nov29 Nov06 Oct30 Aug29 Aug08 (salinas jose)CORA D 125 12.00    
2  LISA'S PALACE Jan17 Dec06 Nov13 Jul26 Jun22 (salvaggio mark)CONNER TYLER 125 3.00    
SCR  PROTECTTHEWITNESS Sep02 Aug13 Jul10 May28 Oct25 (rojas murray )ROJAS MARTINA 125 2.50    
4  CRICKET WEST Jan31 Jan17 Dec16 Dec06 Nov06 (m)YANCAPALLO SHIRLE 125 30.00    
5  RAINBOW TROUT Jan14 Nov18 Feb26 Feb02 Jan10 (lake scot)RODRIGUEZ R 125 8.00 7% 12.90    
6  JUST STAY HOME Jan03 Dec13 Nov19 Nov11 Aug07 (rodriguez frank)BEATO INOEL 125 6.00 8% 10.80    
7  WILL OR WON'T Jan17 Dec06 Nov08 Mar08 Jan25 (kreise)LOPEZ EDUARDO 125 3.50 59% 0.70    
SCR  R TENDERONI Feb04 Jan14 Nov26 Nov13 Nov02 (diaz jorge)AGUILAR JEAN 125 6.00    
 
PEN-7   02/19/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($36K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIRSTLADY ROSALYNN Nov27 Jun23 May15     (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 121 3.00 42% 1.40    
2  LOVE TO EAT Jan15 Dec15 Nov28 Nov02 Oct17 (magee kieron)CONNER TYLER 125 4.00    
3  PROFITUNITY Jan08 Nov27 Nov01 Sep28 Aug28 (alvarado diane)PEREZ XAVIER 123 6.00 21% 3.70    
SCR  MALIBU MOONSHINE Dec21 Nov15 Oct12 Aug29 Jun21 (beattie m)TORRES JOMAR 121 12.00    
5  PUDD'N N PIE Dec21 Nov18 Oct22 Oct12 Sep25 (deiter kelly)TROTMAN KEIMAR 121 8.00    
SCR  BRZINA Jan10 Dec15 Dec06 Oct16 Sep21 (ness jami)HERNANDEZ A 121 2.00    
7  BEACHFRONT BREEZE Dec28 Nov01 Sep27 Sep14 Dec23 (simoff an)RODRIGUEZ R 121 6.00 13% 7.00    
 
PEN-8   02/19/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($21K) 4UP M/F PT- 9:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ANALOG Dec13         (martin jr)FLORES E 125 12.00    
2  JUST START DANCIN Dec27 Dec13 Nov20 Jun06 May02 (wolfe jr)DIAZ VLADIMIR 125 12.00    
SCR  CLASSIC MYSTERY Dec06 Nov06 Oct11 Sep13 Jun08 (solis jacinto)PENNINGTON F 125 2.50    
4  STORMIN HEIST May16 Apr14 Mar28 Dec29   (sinnefia pa)CORUJO LEONARDO 125 3.00 27% 2.60    
5  WARRIORS JEWEL Dec13 Nov01 Oct02 Aug15 Jul18 (kravets bru)RAMOS O 125 2.00 36% 1.80    
6  CRUZIN ANNA Dec13 Aug23 Aug15     (stites flin)INIRIO J 125 8.00    
7  COWGIRL NATION Jan18 Jan10 Nov22 Nov01 Sep20 (stites w)AGUILAR M 125 6.00 9% 10.30    
 
PEN-9   02/19/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KBCYA LATER Dec18 Nov22 Oct23 Sep29 Sep01 (beattie cody)CHIAPPE R 123 6.00 15% 5.70    
2  CITIZEN MACK Dec19 Nov22 Oct31 Sep20 Aug14 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 121 2.50 39% 1.60    
SCR  JOE PHILLIPS Sep20 Sep09 Jul10 Jun21 May29 (rojas mur)RODRIGUEZ R 121 4.50    
4  SAPONARA Jan09 Dec19 Nov21 Nov01 Sep21 (rathman e)HERNANDEZ A 123 2.00    
5  MISCHIEF WARRIOR Jan09 Dec20 Dec12 Nov08 Oct23 (bobadilla f)CORA D 121 15.00 10% 9.10    
6  CALLIN MY NAME Nov22 Oct31 Oct17 Sep26 Aug15 (kravets bruce)ROJAS MARTINA 121 3.00    
 
PEN-10   02/19/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 4UP M/F PT-10:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DAKOTA SPRINGS Jan02 Dec06 Oct31 Sep10 Aug22 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 123 2.50 21% 3.70    
2  MAJESTY'S FREEDOM Jan10 Dec28 Dec06 Nov10 Oct31 (leaf j)ROJAS MARTINA 121 6.00    
3  STYLE TO FOLLOW Dec27 Dec04 Nov13 Oct31 Oct23 (kravets bru)RAMOS O 121 3.00    
4  MARTINI'S BANK Jan02 Dec18 Nov25 Nov13 Sep18 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 121 3.00 34% 1.90    
5  KAPADOKYA Jan11 Dec27 Dec07 Nov16 Oct26 (martinez a)AGUILAR M 121 5.00    
6  WILDCAT GIRL Dec30 Dec18 Sep17 Sep03 Aug21 (o'callahan carl)CORA D 121 6.00 6% 15.50    
SCR  MASKED HEROINE Jan02 Dec04 Jul05 Mar13 Feb14 (o'callahan )INIRIO J 121 50.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.