Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Wednesday - January 29, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (5/6/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/1/7)-(5/6/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/1/7)-(5/6/1/7)-(5/6/1/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/6/1/7)-(5/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/6/1/7)-(5/1/4)-(3/10/1/7/2) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
TAM-2   WIN (5/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/4)-(5/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/4)-(5/1/4)-(5/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/4)-(3/10/1/7/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (5/1/4)-(3/10/1/7/2)-(8/5/6/2) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
TAM-3   WIN (3/10/1/7/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/10/1/7/2)-(3/10/1/7/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/10/1/7/2)-(3/10/1/7/2)-(3/10/1/7/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/10/1/7/2)-(8/5/6/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/10/1/7/2)-(8/5/6/2)-(8/4/5/3/1) 100 $1.00 $100 
TAM-4   WIN (8/5/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/5/6/2)-(8/5/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/5/6/2)-(8/5/6/2)-(8/5/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/5/6/2)-(8/4/5/3/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (8/5/6/2)-(8/4/5/3/1)-(6/8/1) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
TAM-5   WIN (8/4/5/3/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/4/5/3/1)-(8/4/5/3/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/4/5/3/1)-(8/4/5/3/1)-(8/4/5/3/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/4/5/3/1)-(6/8/1) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (8/4/5/3/1)-(6/8/1)-(4/10/7/3/6) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
TAM-6   WIN (6/8/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/8/1)-(6/4/8/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/8/1)-(6/4/8/1)-(6/4/8/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/8/1)-(4/10/7/3/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (6/8/1)-(4/10/7/3/6)-(8/3/1/4) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
TAM-7   WIN (4/10/7/3/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/10/7/3/6)-(4/10/7/3/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/10/7/3/6)-(4/10/7/3/6)-(4/10/7/3/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/10/7/3/6)-(8/3/1/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/10/7/3/6)-(8/3/1/4)-(9/8/4/1) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-8   WIN (8/3/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/3/1/4)-(8/3/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/3/1/4)-(8/3/1/4)-(8/3/1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/3/1/4)-(9/8/4/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
TAM-9   WIN (9/8/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/8/4/1)-(9/8/2/4/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/8/4/1)-(9/8/2/4/1)-(9/8/2/4/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   01/29/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($21.5K) 4UP ALL PT-12:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CRUISING DEREK Jan03 Dec11 Sep01 Aug09 Jul28 (mazza joseph )IORIO MELISSA 118 4.00 11% 8.50    
2  GUAIO Jan08 Dec14 Nov23 Nov16 Oct26 (agostini a)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 111 5.00    
3  WIZARDOFEZ Jan10 Dec01 Oct11 Jul07 May22 (dominguez )MARAGH CHRISTIAN 108 12.00    
4  SNOWNAME Jun21 May18 Apr14 Mar24 Mar09 (smith g)CENTENO E 118 2.50    
5  SHARON'S PRINCE Jan08 Dec21 Sep17 Aug27 Aug08 (kintz matthe)MARIN SAMUEL 118 3.50 30% 2.30    
6  C SUITE BOY Dec11 Oct03 Aug22 Jul28   (bowersoc)GALLARDO A 120 3.00 30% 2.40    
7  A G DIAMOND Oct12 Sep13 Aug31 Aug22 Jul11 (ramir)DOMINGUEZ G 118 30.00 5% 19.00    
 
TAM-2   01/29/2025 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($32K) Purse ($28.5K) 3 F PT- 1:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CARROLL'S HONOR Dec07 Nov20       (rice kev)RODRIGUEZ O 120 3.00 24% 3.20    
2  HAZARD PAY Oct08 Aug26 Jul22 Jun17 May29 (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 118 12.00    
3  IGNITING THE FLAME Jan17 Dec29 Dec13 Nov20 Jul12 (ferraro anthony)HESS SARA 115 8.00    
4  ANHINGA Oct08 Sep20 Jul03 Jun17 Jun05 (kleine bernard)ALLEN D 118 8.00 18% 4.70    
5  ROGUE DIAMOND Dec05 Oct19 Aug22     (rivelli )GALLARDO A 118 0.80 25% 3.00    
6  FLORIDA FLOWER Jan17 Dec13 Nov29 Oct04 Aug30 (dini mike)CAMACHO SAMY 120 6.00    
 
TAM-3   01/29/2025 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($20K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLOAT ON BY Jan08 Nov30       (delacour arnau)MARIN SAMUEL 122 3.00 8% 11.90    
2  SECORD Jan03 Nov30 Sep28 Sep13 Aug17 (orantes y)MALDONADO GABRIEL 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
3  CLASSY DISPOSITION Jan08 Oct19 Aug12 Mar10   (avila ju)GALLARDO A 122 2.50 37% 1.70    
4  CHANNEL'S DAUGHTER Jan15 Dec22 Nov03 Oct18 Sep04 (amaya gustavo)LUGO D 122 6.00    
5  ELECTRIC RUNNER Jan15 Jan03 Jul21 Jun27 Apr28 (manchan bertram )FERRER C 122 20.00    
6  NO DOUGH NO GO Nov12 Oct06       (reed r)VASQUEZ WILFRED 122 20.00    
7  FAR ABOVE Jan08 Dec22 Dec04 Oct13 Sep27 (dobber w)LEON SONNY 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  DREAMING OF CARLI Jan10 Dec22 Nov25 Nov12 Oct29 (ferraro anthony)HESS SARA 115 30.00    
9  HOLDER CLOSE Jan01 Dec15 Nov16 Oct13 Sep14 (cascallare)URDANETA J 122 5.00    
10  FOREVER AGAIN Jan03 Dec21 Nov30 Oct24 Sep01 (schuh tim)BRACHO A 122 3.50 29% 2.50    
SCR  TINS Jan08 Nov10 Oct19 Sep04 Aug24 (ochoa gerar)OLIVEROS CHARLE 122 15.00    
SCR  WOMANS PEROGATIVE Jan08 Dec24       (cascallares ne)LINDSAY CHAD 122 30.00    
SCR  GAMBI Jan15 Dec06 Nov13 Sep26 Sep13 (alessi james)HIRALDO JOHN 122 30.00    
 
TAM-4   01/29/2025 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRAND DANIEL Jan19 Jan10 Dec22 Nov17 Oct25 (orantes r)HIRALDO JOHN 120 15.00    
2  CHAIN REACTION Jan15 Dec18 Nov13 Oct24 Sep30 (moreno-barb)VASQUEZ WILFRED 120 20.00 7% 13.00    
SCR  NAUTILUS (BRZ) Dec21 Nov27 Sep18 Aug23 Aug01 (marrer)ROJAS EDUARDO 120 3.00    
4  BREADMAN Jan18 Dec06 Nov16 Oct09 Sep25 (cascal)ALMEDINA MARIANGELYS 113 6.00    
5  POLITICAL RIOT Jan12 Dec20 Nov27 Nov10 Sep25 (vanwinkle davi)LINDSAY CHAD 120 4.50 16% 5.30    
6  SUPREME DOMINANCE Jan17 Dec22 Nov29 Oct19 Oct04 (breen j)MARIN SAMUEL 120 2.50 12% 7.40    
7  FORT CHARLES Jan12 Dec06 Nov24 Nov01 Oct04 (torres r)LEON SONNY 120 12.00    
8  LEAD OFF Jan12 Dec27 Nov29 May29 May16 (arriagada jua)SANTOS ADEMAR 120 3.50 35% 1.90    
 
TAM-5   01/29/2025 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($20K) Purse ($27.5K) 3 ALL PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY LIAM Nov16 Sep18       (ra)LUNA PAUL 120 12.00 6% 14.40    
2  HE'S SIDE EYED Jan08 Dec13 Nov23     (canegata james)FERRER C 120 10.00    
3  GOD WITH US Jan08 Dec01 Nov02 Oct06   (romero rafael)BRACHO A 120 6.00 13% 7.00    
4  SPICE BAG Jan15 Aug30       (dini mike)MARIN SAMUEL 120 4.50 17% 4.70    
5  WOCKA WOCKA Jan08 Dec21 Nov09 Sep28 Aug31 (vanwinkle davi)LINDSAY CHAD 120 10.00 14% 6.00    
6  EL DOLLAR Dec17 Nov26 Nov06 Oct03 Sep03 (ashmore co)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 30.00    
7  WOLF BEACH Jan10 Dec21 Oct24 Sep28 Sep01 (delgado )RODRIGUEZ O 122 3.00    
8  BINGO'S GRIND Jan04 Dec21 Nov27 Oct11   (delgado jose )SANTOS ADEMAR 122 1.80 20% 3.90    
9  MAKOA Jan17 Dec12 Oct11 Sep20 Aug11 (wasiluk peter )ALLEN D 120 20.00    
 
TAM-6   01/29/2025 5400ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($20K) 3 ALL PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MYWIFEHASAGUN Jan10 Dec18 Nov27 Oct22   (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  EL DE TOCHO Jan10 Dec20       (orantes yoni)BATISTA A 120 4.00    
SCR  LA GATA SALVAJE Jan15 Jan01       (mckathan kevin)LEON SONNY 115 8.00    
4  CENTERFOLD GUY Jan15 Jan04 Nov23 Oct06 Sep15 (dobber arnou)GONZALEZ CESAR 113 3.00 ★    
5  GO STORMY Jan18         (yanez r)FELICIANO R 120 20.00    
6  PRINCE LANCELOT (GB) Jan19 Jan15 Nov27 Nov10 Oct06 (o'connell kathle)FERRER C 120 3.50 74% 0.40    
7  TEN BUCKS A GLASS Jan05 Sep23 Aug31     (arnett g)TOHILL S 120 6.00    
8  JR SERGIO Jan15 Dec07 Nov30 Nov03   (lopez rober)HESS SARA 113 10.00 5% 19.00    
9  MCKIRGAN Dec27 Nov24 Nov01 Sep20   (garcia rodolfo)CAMACHO SAMY 120 5.00    
 
TAM-7   01/29/2025 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CALMING SEA Dec19 Nov30 Nov09 Oct18 Sep21 (breen j)MARIN SAMUEL 118 4.50    
2  SHAMU Jan12 Jan05 Dec21 Nov29 Oct16 (orantes y)MALDONADO GABRIEL 118 6.00    
3  TOURIST STYLE Jan15 Dec20 Dec04 Apr14 Mar23 (cascal)ALMEDINA MARIANGELYS 115 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  RED WREN Jul08 Jun11 May27 Apr21 Mar09 (dini mike)CASTANON L 118 2.50 35% 1.90    
5  PERMED Jan12 Dec18 Dec04 Nov10 Oct18 (pimental i)FERRER C 118 4.00    
6  HONEYCOMB Jan18 Jan01 Sep26 Sep07 May31 (alessi james)HIRALDO JOHN 118 30.00 5% 19.00    
7  FROTHY Jan05 Dec21 Nov03 Sep27 Aug04 (cascallares nesto)HESS SARA 111 10.00 9% 9.90    
8  UP THE ODDS Dec29 Nov13 Oct28 Oct02 Jun04 (granitz antho)IORIO MELISSA 118 30.00    
9  UDIDN'TPAY Dec30 Dec18 Dec03 Nov06 Oct28 (ashmore co)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 111 30.00    
10  JASSAI Jan18 Jan05 Dec18 Dec11 Nov03 (ochoa gerard)CENTENO E 118 3.50 32% 2.20    
 
TAM-8   01/29/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HAY MOON Jan19 Dec29 Dec05 Nov16 Oct10 (d'angelo jose)MORALES PABLO 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  KALINBA Jan10 Dec08 Nov25 Nov12 Oct30 (cascal)ALMEDINA MARIANGELYS 111 30.00    
3  FENWICK Jan05 Oct24 Sep27 Sep13 Aug09 (d'angelo fr)LEON SONNY 118 3.00 23% 3.40    
4  GENERAL BATTLE AXE Jan19 Dec21 Sep19 Sep02 Aug10 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  KING MIANO Dec20 Aug09 Jul05 Jun16 May18 (o'connell kathle)FERRER C 120 2.00    
6  UNIQUE PATH Dec29 Dec14 Nov23 Sep25 Sep05 (escobar marti)VILLA-GOMEZ H 118 30.00    
SCR  PAPA KATZ Jun20 Apr26 Oct08 Sep23 Aug27 (mcgoey monic)GONZALEZ CESAR 111 10.00    
8  ESTILO MAGICO Jan04 Dec11 Nov23 Sep12 Aug14 (arriagada jua)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 1.80 51% 1.00    
9  NORFIE Jan18 Dec22 Aug30 Aug09 Jun20 (richards renaldo)HESS SARA 111 20.00    
 
TAM-9   01/29/2025 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($20K) 3 ALL PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPARTACUS'S DUDE Jan05 Nov27 Nov10     (canegata james)FERRER C 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  CALVINO Nov27 Sep15 Sep01 Aug09   (laurato micha)MORALES PABLO 120 4.50 ★    
3  DIGNIFIED RESPONSE Dec21 Oct03 Aug30     (o'connel)GALLARDO A 120 3.00    
4  HIGH WATER MARK Jan15 Dec18 Aug30 Aug01   (ferraro m)MALDONADO GABRIEL 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  MR. MAC MIDNIGHT Jan04 Dec20 Sep30     (hamm timothy)SANTOS ADEMAR 120 30.00    
6  EXPRESS PASS Jan18 Nov06 Oct08     (breed rona)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 120 30.00    
7  HOTLINE BLINK Dec24 Oct15 Oct05 Sep08 Aug24 (parra hernan)DIAZ S 120 15.00    
8  TEPEYAC Oct25         (garcia rodolfo)CENTENO E 120 5.00 6% 15.30    
9  OUT ON PAROLE Jan05         (dini mike)LEON SONNY 120 2.50 72% 0.40    
10  DEVIL OF RAMADI Jan04 Dec18 Nov30 Oct26 Sep20 (paragallo je)GONZALEZ CESAR 113 12.00    
SCR  CITY TIME Dec22 Nov27 Oct11 Aug22 Jul27 (arnett g)TOHILL S 120 3.50    
SCR  GREY SHADOW Dec22 Oct12 Sep07 Aug30 Aug12 (rodri)DOMINGUEZ G 120 10.00    
SCR  GAP TO GAP Dec22 Nov30 Oct11 Sep07   (avila carlo)LEON SONNY 120 3.00    
SCR  ZADDY Dec19 Nov17 Oct19 Sep28 Aug31 (deaton wil)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 113 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.