Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Charles Town
Saturday - January 25, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CT-1   WIN (6/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/1)-(6/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/1)-(6/4/1)-(6/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/4/1)-(6/7/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/4/1)-(6/7/2/8)-(7/6/4/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-2   WIN (6/7/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/2/8)-(6/7/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/2/8)-(6/7/2/8)-(6/7/2/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/7/2/8)-(7/6/4/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/7/2/8)-(7/6/4/2)-(5/4/7/2) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-3   WIN (7/6/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/4/2)-(7/6/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6/4/2)-(7/6/4/2)-(7/6/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/6/4/2)-(5/4/7/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/6/4/2)-(5/4/7/2)-(3/4/9/6) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-4   WIN (5/4/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/7/2)-(5/4/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/7/2)-(5/4/7/2)-(5/4/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/4/7/2)-(3/4/9/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/4/7/2)-(3/4/9/6)-(2/6/5/3) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-5   WIN (3/4/9/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/9/6)-(3/4/9/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/9/6)-(3/4/9/6)-(3/4/9/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/4/9/6)-(2/6/5/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/4/9/6)-(2/6/5/3)-(2/7/8/4) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-6   WIN (2/6/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/5/3)-(2/6/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/5/3)-(2/6/5/3)-(2/6/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/6/5/3)-(2/7/8/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/6/5/3)-(2/7/8/4)-(5/8/3/7/9) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-7   WIN (2/7/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/8/4)-(2/7/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/8/4)-(2/7/8/4)-(2/7/8/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/7/8/4)-(5/8/3/7/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
CT-8   WIN (5/8/3/7/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/8/3/7/9)-(5/8/3/7/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/8/3/7/9)-(5/8/3/7/9)-(5/8/3/7/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CT-1   01/25/2025 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MI CATRINA Dec06 Nov06       (mangual)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 111 12.00 5% 19.00    
DANZIG TOO Jan15 Dec12 Oct31 Oct24 Oct11 (jones e)ACOSTA D 124 20.00    
RUNAWAY GOLD Jan04 Dec06 Oct04     (stehr p)RODRIGUEZ V 118 3.50    
MOONSHINE MAMA Dec07 Oct24 Oct05 Sep13   (brown )ARAUJO VICENTE 118 2.00 13% 6.50    
GOOD HOLIDAY Dec12         (craig armonte)HO WESLEY 118 3.00    
GROOM THE HOUSE         (contreras ja)DIAZ JR 124 2.50 52% 0.90    
SCR  PRETTY CASTLE Jan17 Nov30 Nov20 Jan11 Dec14 (boykins kevi)BATISTA A 124 30.00    
 
CT-2   01/25/2025 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOLD FIBER Dec11 Nov21 Oct19 Oct11 Aug16 (peltroche vane)CHILO MAXIMO 124 3.50    
EDWARD MADDEN Dec19 Nov22 Oct31 Oct11 Aug15 (iannotti i)HO WESLEY 122 2.50 15% 5.70    
SHANGHAI WARRIOR Jan11 Dec07 Sep15 Sep07 Jun23 (brown keith )DIAZ JR 122 8.00    
ESTRELLA FUGAZ Jan03 Dec11 Oct30 Oct18 Aug15 (peltroche vanes)PELTROCHE F 124 12.00    
INSIDE RISK Jan18 Jan03 Dec14 Dec05 Sep12 (caison l)GILBERT KYLE 122 6.00    
BUDDY BUDDY Dec14 Dec04 Nov21 Nov06 Oct19 (collins tim)RIOS-CONDE A 122 5.00 38% 1.60    
LUCAGO Jan03 Dec10 Nov18 Oct20 Sep06 (gotera car)LEON A 122 4.50 20% 3.90    
MY BLUE EYES Nov13 Oct18 Sep26 May10 Apr20 (martinez jose)THORPE DARIUS 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-3   01/25/2025 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  UBETCHAMISTER Dec27 Dec10       (farrior anth)LEWIS M 118 5.00    
  (by VEKOMA out of ROXANNE O by ROCK HARD TEN)
RIDE TO REMEMBER Jan04 Dec15 Nov28 Nov10   (jackson angelo )BOCACHICA O 118 12.00 9% 10.30    
  (by WICKED STRONG out of AUNT LOIS by FORD EVERY STREAM)
GOLDEN BOSS LADY Jan09 Dec18 Oct12 Sep19 Sep12 (s)YANCAPALLO SHIRLE 124 20.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of STREET SAILING by STREET BOSS)
MADAM SENATOR         (joy j)STANLEY O 124 12.00 17% 4.90    
  (by BANDBOX out of JUSTANARCH by ARCHARCHARCH)
MISS SHACK ATTACK Dec14 Nov30 Nov22 Aug16 Jul06 (campbell marshall)LARROSA G 124 10.00    
  (by SHACKLEFORD out of LOOKIN' FOR INDY by A.P. INDY)
ANTONACCI GIRL         (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 6.00 23% 3.30    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of TWO TIMING GIRL by TWO STEP SALSA)
MUDSLIDE Dec14 Oct10 Aug28     (deiter kelly)TROTMAN KEIMAR 124 0.60 28% 2.60    
  (by COMPETITIVE EDGE out of SAN GREGORIA by FAIRBANKS)
MAJESTIC WINNER Dec14         (knudsen kent)MAWING A 124 15.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of SHIMMER by PULPIT)
 
CT-4   01/25/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIT OF BLESSINGS Jan03 Dec12 Nov20 Oct31 Oct16 (collins tim)RIOS-CONDE A 120 4.00    
BUTTERFLY WORLD Jan11 Jan03 Nov29 Oct17 Oct05 (brown ronney)LEWIS M 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  TAPTAP Nov29 Nov24 Nov08 Oct24 Sep20 (pyke jose)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 115 30.00    
MACHEN MAYHEM Dec10 Nov25 Oct30 Oct20 Sep24 (baird m)HERNANDEZ H 122 2.50 32% 2.20    
ADDY MAE Jan11 Nov23 Nov13 Oct04 Sep14 (johnson dew)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 2.00 36% 1.80    
SWIPE THAT CANDY Jan11 Nov23 Nov06 Oct24 Oct04 (rideout m)HO WESLEY 120 12.00    
SPARKLEINYOUREYE Jan11 Nov23 Aug22 Jul26 Jul13 (jones e)ACOSTA D 122 15.00 11% 8.40    
MISS ARGENTINA Jan03 Nov23 Nov06 Oct24 Sep20 (gomez a)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 115 4.50    
 
CT-5   01/25/2025 4290ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($20.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MARCHED Jan11 Nov30 Nov16 Nov01 Oct24 (kee j)RODRIGUEZ V 122 3.50    
SCR  RIVER CROSROAD RVF Dec12 Nov21 Oct25 Aug09 Jul25 (runco j)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 115 5.00    
PENGUIN PARADE Jan03 Nov04 Aug17 Jul19 Jun28 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 6.00 45% 1.20    
ROCKET APPEAL Jan03 Dec13 Nov27 Nov04 Oct18 (spriggs toschia)PELTROCHE F 120 6.00 15% 5.80    
SCR  GOLDEN APPEAL Jan16 Dec13 Oct25 Oct10 Sep20 (craig e)RIVERA JAVIER 120 20.00    
BOSS E BOOGS Jan03 Dec13 Nov22 Oct31 Oct12 (wilhelm)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
STROLLINGINTHEWIND Jan02 Dec14 Nov29 Nov08 Oct19 (jones e)ACOSTA D 120 20.00    
HURRICANE ALERT Jan17 Jan03 Nov30 Nov09 Oct25 (brown w)BOCACHICA O 120 4.50    
NEVERPOPTHECORK Nov09 Nov01 Oct11 Aug17 Jul19 (petty kristy)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 4.00 13% 6.70    
10  CHARITABLE WINDSOR Jan02 Nov29 Nov08 Oct19 Sep27 (sanderson)BOCACHICA J 120 15.00    
 
CT-6   01/25/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COURT TUDOR Dec12 Nov27 Nov02 Jul13 Jun22 (kirlew lenworth)PELTROCHE F 122 8.00    
DESTIN'S RAINBOW Dec12 Nov15 Oct20 Aug29 Jul27 (meyers madi)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 1.40 33% 2.10    
OUR BRIGHTEST STAR Jan04 Dec06 Nov15 Oct26 Oct04 (petty kristy)LARROSA G 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
SAN SEBASTIAN Nov14 Nov02 Oct08 Sep25 Aug25 (rideout anthony )ACOSTA D 120 30.00    
CALLISTO'S BRIGADE Dec12 Nov14 Oct26 Jul26 Jul05 (rose davi)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 115 6.00 16% 5.20    
SEA OF TRANQUILITY Dec12 Nov27 Nov02 Jul13 Jun07 (contreras)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.60 25% 3.00    
MALEKES MAGIC Dec12 Nov14 Nov06 Oct26 Oct10 (aylor n)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 20.00    
TOWN HOT Dec12 Nov21 Oct24 Oct05 Sep21 (pyke jose)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 15.00    
 
CT-7   01/25/2025 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28.8K) 3UP ALL PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RADAR ALERT Dec07 Nov23 Sep11 Sep02 Jul27 (runco c)CRUZ ANGEL 120 3.50    
MAIN LINE CIPHER Dec28 Dec11 Feb21 Jan25 Jan11 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 2.00 64% 0.60    
SESAME STREEK Jan02 Nov01 Oct08 Sep28 Sep12 (keller christoph)ACOSTA D 120 5.00    
BRERETON'S BAYTOWN Dec11 Aug29 Aug12 Jul27 Jul07 (mcentee pau)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
BAYTOWN BEATLE Nov14 Nov08 Oct16 Sep29 Sep10 (mcentee paul)HO WESLEY 116 20.00    
MIDNIGHT TEMPESTA Dec27 Dec15 Nov08 Sep29 Sep01 (chircop s)BOCACHICA J 120 2.50    
ROCK ANNA ROLL Aug23 Aug10 Jun08 May18 May04 (stites flint )THORPE DARIUS 120 10.00 7% 12.40    
BLOOD BROTHER Dec07 Oct17 Sep19 Aug22 Jul04 (viands stace)LEWIS M 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-8   01/25/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.3K) 3UP M/F PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BORNFORGREATNESS Jan15 Nov27 Nov07 Jul06 Jun30 (pickett g)HO WESLEY 122 30.00    
ONE WITH THE FORCE Dec04 Nov13 Oct11 Aug30   (valvo zoe)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 5.00    
TANGERINEGINGER Jan15 Dec07 Nov16 Oct27 Oct19 (reynolds joan)THORPE DARIUS 122 3.00 7% 13.90    
DASHING LASS Jan04 Nov30 Nov13 Sep28 Aug12 (shanley t)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 115 20.00    
VINO FROM ERNIES Nov13 Oct18 Sep22 Aug08 Jul13 (jackson l)CULLUM W 122 3.50 59% 0.70    
SCR  GOODBYE ROMANCE Jan02 Aug02 Jul03 Jun14 May26 (gillespie a)ACOSTA D 122 15.00    
CORTADO Jan04 Dec11 Nov30 Nov22 Sep26 (hernand)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
MOST UNUSUAL DAY Dec06 Nov06 Oct02 Sep14 Aug29 (valvo )ARAUJO VICENTE 122 2.50 7% 13.00    
AUNT JO Dec13 Nov20 Nov13 Oct31 Oct23 (smith lawrence )JORGE JULIO 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SKY BUY Oct16 Sep27 Sep07 Aug29 Aug07 (sterling michael )LARROSA G 122 15.00    
11  WHEN YOUR STRANGE Jan09 Nov25 Nov09 Sep26   (kravets b)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 3.00    
SCR  REZQUIA Dec12 Oct25 Aug30 Aug21 Aug02 (albright amy)THORPE DARIUS 122 3.50    
SCR  LITTLE CRYBABY Dec30 Jul27 Jul07 Dec26 Dec02 (worsley john)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 10.00    
SCR  LOVE NOTION Jan04 Nov30 Nov13 Oct19 Oct03 (shanley)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.