Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Gulfstream Park
Wednesday - January 15, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

GP-1   WIN (2/4/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/5/6)-(2/4/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/5/6)-(2/4/5/6)-(2/4/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/4/5/6)-(3/4/7/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/4/5/6)-(3/4/7/6)-(7/5/6/1) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
GP-2   WIN (3/4/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/7/6)-(3/4/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/7/6)-(3/4/7/6)-(3/4/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/4/7/6)-(7/5/6/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/4/7/6)-(7/5/6/1)-(4/2/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
GP-3   WIN (7/5/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/6/1)-(7/5/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/6/1)-(7/5/6/1)-(7/5/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/5/6/1)-(4/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/5/6/1)-(4/2/3)-(6/5/8) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
GP-4   WIN (4/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/3)-(4/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/3)-(4/2/3)-(4/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/3)-(6/5/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/2/3)-(6/5/8)-(1/4/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
GP-5   WIN (6/5/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/8)-(6/5/8/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/5/8)-(6/5/8/4)-(6/5/8/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/5/8)-(1/4/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/5/8)-(1/4/3)-(1/7/6/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
GP-6   WIN (1/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/3)-(1/4/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/4/3)-(1/4/3/5)-(1/4/3/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/4/3)-(1/7/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/4/3)-(1/7/6/2)-(4/1/3/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
GP-7   WIN (1/7/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/6/2)-(1/7/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/7/6/2)-(1/7/6/2)-(1/7/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/7/6/2)-(4/1/3/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/7/6/2)-(4/1/3/2)-(2/10/1/4/9) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
GP-8   WIN (4/1/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/3/2)-(4/1/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/3/2)-(4/1/3/2)-(4/1/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/1/3/2)-(2/10/1/4/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
GP-9   WIN (2/10/1/4/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/10/1/4/9)-(2/10/1/4/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/10/1/4/9)-(2/10/1/4/9)-(2/10/1/4/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
GP-1   01/15/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($17.5K) Purse ($28K) 4UP M/F PT-12:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YOOOU KNOW May25 May03 Mar13 Feb14 Nov19 (cibelli jane)EGAN DAVID 122 20.00    
BUBBLY CHAMPAGNE Dec19 Nov30 Nov03 Sep15 Aug30 (walder peter )VELAZQUEZ R 122 4.50 42% 1.40    
MINXY Dec20 Feb16 Feb03 Jan06 Dec02 (sweezey kent)RUIZ JORGE 122 3.50    
LOOK LIKE IT Sep22 Aug03 Jun08 May19   (joseph saffi)ZAYAS J 122 2.50 28% 2.60    
CLASSIC DIVA Sep06 Aug29 Jul27 Apr19 Feb18 (spatz ronald )ORTIZ JR 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
CLAY SOLDIER Dec20 Nov23 Oct20 Sep27 Aug30 (collazo henry)PEREZ EDGAR 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  DELIGHTFUL DIXIE Dec19 Sep13 Aug23 Jul28 Jul07 (dini m)VASQUEZ ANGEL 122 12.00    
MOOR STRENGTH Dec20 Nov23 May30 Apr12 Feb03 (santillana fra)REYES LEONEL 122 30.00    
DEMAR'S LEGACY Jun09 May11 Feb08 Nov24 Oct28 (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 122 3.00    
 
GP-2   01/15/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($17.5K) Purse ($27K) 3 F PT-12:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CICATRIZ Dec13 Oct05       (perez carlo)GONZALEZ MELVIS 111 6.00    
DADDY'S QUEEN Dec06 Oct13 Sep07     (croft barry)PANICI LUCA 118 12.00    
CANDY AND WINE         (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 118 1.80 40% 1.50    
RANCHO VISTA Dec13 Nov09 Sep29 Sep01 Aug10 (braddy david)JARAMILLO E 118 2.00 24% 3.20    
HAPPY SUNDAY Dec13 Dec01 Oct05 Sep21 Aug30 (yates michael)ROJAS RENZO 118 3.00    
PRINCESS CLAUDIA Jan01 Dec20 Nov17     (sano antonio)BOSSA FEDERICO 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
DAWN'S MIST         (passley m)REYES LEONEL 118 15.00 13% 6.60    
 
GP-3   01/15/2025 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($44K) 3 ALL PT- 1:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPURIOUS Dec29 Dec07 Nov14 Oct04   (lopez mario)SPANABEL SKYLER 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  LEX'S GAME Oct25 Oct05 Sep04     (cibelli jane)EGAN DAVID 118 8.00    
OLD MARSH (IRE)         (preciado gua)MORELOS E 118 20.00    
MAX N FIFO Nov22 Oct03 Aug29     (barboz)VASQUEZ ANGEL 118 10.00    
NEW YORK NEW YORK         (cox h)SAEZ LUIS 118 2.50 26% 2.80    
STEWBALL Dec21 Oct27       (trombetta mic)KARAMANOS A 118 5.00 16% 5.20    
REPLEVIN Dec15 Nov08 Oct17 Sep20 Aug29 (dibona robert)ORTIZ JR 118 2.00 34% 2.00    
KNOCK KNOCK JOKE Dec15 Nov09 Sep21 Aug24 Jul13 (orseno jos)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.50    
 
GP-4   01/15/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($23K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLATTER ME Nov29 Nov01 Oct05 Sep14 Aug11 (miller herbert)ROJAS RENZO 122 6.00    
PIRATE RADIO Dec22 Nov29 Nov17 Nov02 May18 (garoffalo )GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 8.00 25% 3.00    
THINGSRGETTINHARRY Dec22 Nov29 Nov01 Sep27 Sep13 (santillana )OCASIO JONATHAN 122 20.00 8% 11.60    
KNOX Dec13 Oct11 Aug17 Jun23 May09 (delgado jorg)ZAYAS J 122 2.00 31% 2.20    
ROWDY JESS Dec22 Nov24 Nov01 Oct04 Sep14 (williams andr)TREJOS JOSEPH 122 30.00    
SIXTEEN CIGARETTES Dec12 Oct25 Oct04 Aug24 Aug03 (castro ed)GONZALEZ MELVIS 115 3.50    
SCR  SECRET LOVER Nov22 Oct19 Oct06 Sep13 Aug04 (sano antonio)SAEZ LUIS 122 1.60    
 
GP-5   01/15/2025 4950ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($37K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CARRINGTON Dec15 Sep08 Aug03 Mar14 Feb24 (delgado gust)CASTELLANO J 122 1.80    
SCR  TINTA ROJA Dec19 Nov24 Sep06 Aug23 Jul21 (barboza jr)SAEZ LUIS 122 8.00    
SEEKINGBYTHESTORM Sep15 Aug02 Jul05 May26 Apr06 (lizardi e)RUIZ JORGE 122 30.00    
MOBAY PRINCESS Dec27 Dec19 Nov24 Oct27 Sep28 (rodriguez ange)REYES LEONEL 122 6.00    
GIMME MO BABY Dec19 Oct27 Oct28 Sep30 Aug26 (dibona s)DAVIS DYLAN 122 5.00 28% 2.50    
CHA CHA CHUKKA Dec19 Nov30 Oct23 Sep26 Aug19 (maker michael )ROSARIO JOEL 122 4.00 40% 1.50    
JAYANA Dec12 Oct20 Sep22 Aug17 Jul12 (catanese joseph)PEREZ EDGAR 122 20.00    
MISCREANT Dec19 Sep22 Jul18 May05 Mar21 (serpe philip )ORTIZ JR 122 3.50 10% 9.40    
 
GP-6   01/15/2025 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($50K) 3 F PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPIRITED BOSS Dec19         (d'angelo jose)ORTIZ JR 118 1.80 43% 1.30    
  (by STREET BOSS out of SPIRITED STORM by STORMY ATLANTIC)
I STAND COLLECTED Oct05         (trask benjam)ZAYAS J 118 15.00    
  (by COLLECTED out of D' COUNTRY by D'WILDCAT)
STARSHIP VENGEANCE Dec01         (smullen heather)JARAMILLO E 118 6.00 16% 5.10    
  (by THE BIG BEAST out of FORCE OF PASSION by LIMEHOUSE)
GRADE A Dec19 Nov28       (o'dwyer jeremiah)EGAN DAVID 118 2.50 19% 4.30    
  (by ARMY MULE out of DOWNTOWN DRIFTER by DEVIL HIS DUE)
WIN AFTER WIN         (trombetta michae)RUIZ JORGE 118 3.50    
  (by STREET SENSE out of VICTORY TO VICTORY by EXCHANGE RATE)
CHOSEN FACTOR Dec21         (gulick james )VELAZQUEZ R 118 20.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of STARSHIPUNFAITHFUL by DIALED IN)
BRITTANY'S WAY         (danner kelsey)SAEZ LUIS 118 5.00    
  (by ST PATRICK'S DAY out of LOTTERY QUEEN by HEAR NO EVIL)
 
GP-7   01/15/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($26K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
I'M A LUCKY MAN Dec15 Sep06 Aug11 May17 Apr19 (hernandez sandi)JARAMILLO E 122 1.60 70% 0.40    
CACIQUE ABARRIO Dec26 Nov15 Sep29 Sep15 Aug24 (mckanas )FIGUEROA HERIBERTO 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
DAVID'S SONGS Dec13 Nov16 Sep14 Aug18 May23 (young jennifer )PEREZ EDGAR 122 3.00    
AUSTONIAN Dec28 Dec12 Mar07 Feb07 Dec16 (fawkes dav)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 6.00    
IMAPEPPA Dec08 Nov24 Nov01 Aug23 Aug03 (hurtak daniel)ROJAS RENZO 122 12.00    
SEVERANCE Dec26 Nov28 Jan06 Dec29 Dec07 (cazares laura)REYES LEONEL 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
LACE UP Dec21 Nov22 Oct27 Sep13 Aug24 (david carlo)GONZALEZ MELVIS 115 3.50 7% 13.30    
HIGH STRIKE Aug04 Jun22 Nov02 Sep22 Jul24 (labo frederi)MORELOS E 122 10.00    
 
GP-8   01/15/2025 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($54K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEASTLY SPEED Dec13 Oct11 Sep14 Aug17 Jul05 (dibona s)SAEZ LUIS 120 2.50 28% 2.50    
ROAR READY Nov09 Sep28 Aug31 Aug04 Jul05 (sierra rube)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
IMPROPTUDE Jun02 Apr28 Mar16 Feb23 Feb02 (sano antonio)BRAVO J 120 4.50 10% 8.70    
W W CANDY Nov03 Sep12 Aug03 Jun30 Jun08 (maker michae)ZAYAS J 120 3.50 30% 2.30    
YORKVILLE Dec22 Nov01 Oct18 Sep27 Sep07 (owens steve)RUIZ JORGE 120 15.00    
BELTS 'N BROOKS Dec26 Dec13 Nov16 Oct06 Sep14 (negrete javi)MORELOS E 120 6.00    
RAGING FURY Dec13 Nov16 Oct27 Sep13 Aug09 (ramsey nol)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 3.00    
CALL THE CAVALRY Apr20 Jul15 Jun04     (mcpeek kenneth )DAVIS DYLAN 120 15.00    
 
GP-9   01/15/2025 4950ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($35K) Purse ($37K) 3 ALL PT- 4:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
I'M DUE Dec21 Nov24 Nov03 Sep07   (sweezey kent)RUIZ JORGE 118 4.50 8% 12.10    
MALDINI Nov17         (delgado gustavo)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.00 40% 1.50    
SCR  WAR WARRIOR Nov15 Sep15 Aug18 Jul21 Jun23 (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 118 2.50    
SENOR MONEY Nov08         (pinchin jose)REYES LEONEL 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
SOLO ME Nov10 Sep01       (garoffalo jo)MORELOS E 118 30.00    
IMPERATUS Jan02         (sano a)VASQUEZ ANGEL 118 15.00    
RASHID Jan02 Nov09 Oct20     (gutierrez fa)GONZALEZ EDWIN 118 8.00    
EL CHISPAZO Dec06         (lightner mar)ZAYAS J 118 15.00    
KEENE PIKE         (o'dwyer jeremiah)EGAN DAVID 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
10  DAZZLE A. P. Dec08         (clement ch)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 27% 2.60    
11  BOLT TO RUN Jan04 Dec15 Aug24     (hurtak daniel)RUIZ JORGE 118 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.