Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Wednesday - January 15, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (5/6/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/8/3)-(5/6/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/8/3)-(5/6/8/3)-(5/6/8/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/6/8/3)-(4/5/8/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/6/8/3)-(4/5/8/9)-(1/5/4/2) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-2   WIN (4/5/8/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/8/9)-(4/5/8/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/8/9)-(4/5/8/9)-(4/5/8/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/5/8/9)-(1/5/4/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/5/8/9)-(1/5/4/2)-(10/2/1/5) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-3   WIN (1/5/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/4/2)-(1/5/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/4/2)-(1/5/4/2)-(1/5/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/5/4/2)-(10/2/1/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/5/4/2)-(10/2/1/5)-(8/4/2/3/11) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-4   WIN (10/2/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/2/1/5)-(10/2/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (10/2/1/5)-(10/2/1/5)-(10/2/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (10/2/1/5)-(8/4/2/3/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (10/2/1/5)-(8/4/2/3/11)-(2/6/10/9/11) 100 $1.00 $100 
CT-5   WIN (8/4/2/3/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/4/2/3/11)-(8/4/2/3/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/4/2/3/11)-(8/4/2/3/11)-(8/4/2/3/11) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/4/2/3/11)-(2/6/10/9/11) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (8/4/2/3/11)-(2/6/10/9/11)-(5/4/1/3) 100 $1.00 $100 
CT-6   WIN (2/6/10/9/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/6/10/9/11)-(2/6/10/9/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/6/10/9/11)-(2/6/10/9/11)-(2/6/10/9/11) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/6/10/9/11)-(5/4/1/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/6/10/9/11)-(5/4/1/3)-(7/11/6/5/9) 100 $1.00 $100 
CT-7   WIN (5/4/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/1/3)-(5/4/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/1/3)-(5/4/1/3)-(5/4/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/4/1/3)-(7/11/6/5/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/4/1/3)-(7/11/6/5/9)-(11/3/6/7/9) 100 $1.00 $100 
CT-8   WIN (7/11/6/5/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/11/6/5/9)-(7/11/6/5/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/11/6/5/9)-(7/11/6/5/9)-(7/11/6/5/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/11/6/5/9)-(11/3/6/7/9) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
CT-9   WIN (11/3/6/7/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (11/3/6/7/9)-(11/3/6/7/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (11/3/6/7/9)-(11/3/6/7/9)-(11/3/6/7/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   01/15/2025 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLATTERING WAY Dec12 Nov13 Oct24 Jul25 Jul05 (barahona is)ESPINOZA ALEXIS 124 4.00    
2  RUMORGOINGAROUND Nov30 Oct31 Aug05 Jul26 Feb28 (collyer jamie)ADAMS L 117 50.00    
3  HOLD DEM Dec12 Nov13 Nov02 Oct18 Oct05 (pyke jose)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  THE GODMOTHER Dec14 Nov13 Oct04 Sep21   (carlisle jo)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 4.50    
5  QUINN ELIA Nov13 Oct24 Sep14 Jul25 Jun07 (schian)ARAUJO VICENTE 124 2.00 54% 0.90    
6  SHAMELESS VISIONS Dec12 Oct24 Sep14 Aug10 Jul25 (brown ronney)LEWIS M 122 4.00 20% 4.10    
7  DANZIG TOO Dec12 Oct31 Oct24 Oct11   (jones michael )CHILO MAXIMO 122 30.00    
8  BARAPHA Dec14 Nov02 Oct11 Sep21 Aug23 (conn p)RODRIGUEZ V 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
9  REECE'S DRAMA Sep27 Jul18       (deiter kelly)TROTMAN KEIMAR 124 5.00    
 
CT-2   01/15/2025 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHAMPAGNE PLEASE Dec13 Nov21 Sep26 Jul25 Jul11 (gillespie a)ACOSTA D 120 10.00    
SCR  CARIBBEAN COMEDY Dec14         (brown w)BOCACHICA O 122 1.20    
SCR  CURB Jan04 Nov28 Nov08 Oct13 Sep11 (brown r)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 111 20.00    
4  ARGAN Dec13 Dec06 Nov23 Nov01 Sep26 (gutierrez)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 1.40 37% 1.70    
5  MOLLY FACTOR Oct25 Sep14       (mangual manolo)CRUZ ANGEL 116 15.00 24% 3.20    
6  INTEGRATED DESIGN Dec13 Nov23 Nov14 Nov01 Jun24 (joy j)STANLEY O 120 30.00    
7  SHERUNSTHISTOWN Dec14 Nov16       (sterling michael )LARROSA G 118 20.00    
8  ITZAYANA Nov16 Oct25       (mangual mano)DIAZ JR 118 20.00 10% 9.40    
9  EMM ESS EH Oct10 Aug04 Jul14 Jun22 May26 (hetrick kri)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 12.00 6% 14.60    
 
CT-3   01/15/2025 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3 ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WE CALLED SOL         (bailes )BRICENO GREGOR 122 5.00 25% 2.90    
2  FEAR THE FACTS Nov13 Oct26 Oct05 Sep19 Sep05 (keller christ)THORPE DARIUS 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  MIDNIGHT KOA Dec11 Nov27 Oct26 Sep19   (jones e)ACOSTA D 122 2.50    
4  OYSTER SOUP         (figgins oll)CESPEDES JHORMA 112 10.00 20% 4.00    
5  BAYTOWN SUNDANCE Dec05 Nov13 May09 Apr21   (mcentee pau)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 3.50 23% 3.40    
6  VERNOR'S JUNCTION Dec20 Nov13 Oct27 Aug31   (bailes)ARAUJO VICENTE 122 4.50    
7  WAR THUNDER Dec11 Oct26       (brown kelton)LEWIS M 122 12.00    
8  CANDYLAND PHIL Dec20 Nov22       (knudsen kent)BOCACHICA O 122 6.00    
 
CT-4   01/15/2025 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.8K) 3 ALL PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY YOKE         (perez ernesto)RODRIGUEZ V 122 15.00 21% 3.90    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of TRIAL AND ERROR by UNCLE MO)
2  NO TIME TO BOOGIE Dec11 Nov27 Oct26     (atkins)ARAUJO VICENTE 122 4.00 24% 3.10    
  (by UNCLE LINO out of KLUVYABYE by WINDSOR CASTLE)
3  I'MANISLANDBOY Dec13 Nov21 Oct27 Sep29   (chircop s)HERNANDEZ A 122 12.00    
  (by TAKE CHARGE INDY out of ISLAMORADA by DEVONGATE)
4  LIKEAGENTLEMAN Dec11 Dec01 Oct30 Oct10 Aug30 (brown k)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 20.00    
  (by MASTERY out of UNIQUELY CHIC by UNION RAGS)
5  RAGTIME SCRIBBLE Dec11         (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of SCRIBBLE IT by CARPE DIEM (FR))
6  BIG MO GEE Dec05 Nov27 Oct26     (shanley t)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 20.00    
  (by MO TOWN out of QUEEN OF THE LAKE by SALT LAKE)
SCR  SUMMERINTHECOUNTRY Sep15 Aug25 Aug03 Jul20 Jun30 (mcmahon)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 1.80    
  (by UPSTART out of SUMMER KISS by SUMMER FRONT)
8  BAYTOWN GUVNAH Dec27 Dec11 Sep29 Sep12 Aug17 (mcentee pau)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 4.50    
  (by COMPLEXITY out of HEY NIKI by INCLUDE)
SCR  BOSSME         (perez ernesto)LARROSA G 122 20.00    
  (by HOLY BOSS out of TAYLOR JAGGER by STUDENT COUNCIL)
10  ROCKET SCIENCE Nov27 Jul20       (gillespie ryan )BOCACHICA O 122 5.00 27% 2.70    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of LAURA'S MOON by MIGRATING MOON)
 
CT-5   01/15/2025 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SKY BUY Oct16 Sep27 Sep07 Aug29 Aug07 (sterling michael )LARROSA G 122 20.00    
2  BREAKING BULLET Oct24 Sep12 Aug09 Jul18 Jun28 (walters l)PELTROCHE F 120 12.00 11% 8.40    
3  TIDBIT Jan04 Nov13 Oct19 Sep28 Aug22 (viands r)BOCACHICA O 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  BOBBI TWO STEPS Dec04 Nov13 Oct03 Sep12 Aug09 (jackson l)CULLUM W 122 15.00 17% 4.90    
5  MISS PEARL HART Dec04 Nov13 Oct24 Oct03 Aug30 (knudsen kent)MAWING A 122 20.00    
6  ICED MOCHA Nov28 Nov08 Oct03 Sep08 Jul14 (perri gina)CRUZ ANGEL 122 1.80    
7  SUNNY SUNSHINE Dec22 Nov28 Nov08 Oct18 Sep22 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 5.00    
8  LOVELY LUCY Dec04 Nov13 Oct24 Sep12 Aug09 (ramos ago)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 4.50 44% 1.30    
9  FROSTY MAYA Nov13 Oct19 Sep26 Aug30 Aug17 (perri gin)BOCACHICA J 122 6.00    
10  TANGERINEGINGER Dec07 Nov16 Oct27 Oct19 Sep27 (reynolds joan)THORPE DARIUS 122 6.00    
11  BANKERS ROSE GOLD Dec20 Dec04 Oct26 Oct10 Sep24 (smith osborne)GILBERT KYLE 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-6   01/15/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VALYRIAN SKY Jan02 Oct04 Sep19 Aug25 Aug04 (chircop s)HERNANDEZ A 122 8.00    
2  CROWN THAT SAINT Dec11 Nov22 Oct31 Oct19 Sep28 (brown r)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 4.00 30% 2.30    
3  YANGARRA Dec11 Nov20 Oct31 Oct17 Oct11 (o'neill tonya )CHILO MAXIMO 120 12.00    
SCR  GHOSTLYPRINCE Dec14 Oct05 Sep19 Aug02 Jul06 (murdock s)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 115 4.50    
SCR  MO MOSCATO Dec07 Nov08 Oct10 Aug30 Jul12 (joy j)STANLEY O 122 10.00    
6  HUB Nov27 Oct22 Sep24 Jun02 May09 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 3.50 18% 4.70    
SCR  RASCALLY REBEL Dec06 Nov29 Nov10 Oct27 Oct10 (serey j)LUGO JR 120 15.00    
8  MR. BUSTA Dec07 Nov08 Sep27 Aug17 Jul26 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 6.00    
9  STORMIN ROCKET Aug11 Jul09 Jun16 May27 Jun06 (craig e)HO WESLEY 124 10.00 10% 9.00    
10  PINK DINGHY Dec07 Nov20 Oct11 Sep21 Aug23 (contreras )LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 8.00 15% 5.90    
11  VALHALLA'S PALACE Dec14 Nov27 Nov08 Nov01 Oct19 (brown r)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 119 8.00 6% 17.10    
12  AWARD NOMINATED Jun22 Jun01 May25 May05 Aug03 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 6.00    
 
CT-7   01/15/2025 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($26.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  YOU MUST CHILL Dec14 Nov22 Oct11 Sep10 Aug26 (jones e)ACOSTA D 120 15.00 21% 3.70    
2  SUMMONING DENIS Dec14 Nov30 Nov09 Nov01 Aug17 (shanley ti)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 12.00    
3  YO VINNIE Dec04 Nov18 Sep30 Aug20 May17 (runco j)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 115 10.00 6% 16.40    
4  UNIFIED WEEKEND Dec13 Oct24 Sep29 Sep08 Aug15 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 6.00 23% 3.40    
5  ROYAL PAIN Dec04 Nov16 Nov01 Oct12 Oct03 (johnson jame)LEWIS M 122 4.00 23% 3.40    
6  BROTHER BRAD Dec21 Nov17 Oct05 Aug18 Jul28 (alvarado diane)PEREZ XAVIER 122 2.50    
7  BUCKIN' DREAMER Dec13 Nov15 Nov02 Oct13 Oct05 (geralis e)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 3.00    
8  EGOT A POKER FACE Nov19 Sep25 Aug22 Jul31 Jun17 (stites flint )THORPE DARIUS 120 5.00    
 
CT-8   01/15/2025 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28.8K) 3UP M/F PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOVE TO EAT Dec15 Nov28 Nov02 Oct17 Sep22 (magee kieron)ACOSTA D 120 2.00    
2  SPECIAL NOTE Dec13 Nov30 Nov09 Oct04 Sep12 (knudsen kent)MAWING A 120 12.00    
SCR  XHILARATINGPURPOSE Nov24 Nov13 Oct23 Oct09 Sep18 (fiesman r)HERNANDEZ H 120 15.00    
SCR  IMPRESSIONISM Nov21 Sep28 Aug20 Aug02 Jul05 (runco j)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 115 10.00    
5  IHEARTRAINACOMN Dec12 Nov30 Nov21 Nov09 Oct19 (dollinger)BOCACHICA J 122 8.00 6% 14.80    
6  STILL GRUMPY Dec07 Nov20 Oct24 Oct12 Sep13 (jones e)CRUZ ANGEL 120 12.00 7% 13.70    
7  LUCKY BLONDE Nov21 Nov09 Oct30 Oct10 Aug23 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 120 2.50 41% 1.50    
8  BULL'S LEGACY Dec04 Nov22 Oct10 Sep27 Aug17 (rideout a)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 12.00    
9  BEATIFUL KARLA Dec13 Nov09 Oct19 Sep25 Aug24 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
10  QUANTICO CREEK Dec12 Nov30 Oct25 Oct04 Sep14 (gillespie a)CULLUM W 120 12.00    
11  TEARDUC Nov17 Jun28 Jun06 May17 Apr27 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.80 21% 3.80    
 
CT-9   01/15/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.3K) 3UP M/F PT-10:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  APPEALING ROAD Dec11 Nov20 Oct30 Aug15 Jul04 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 3.50    
2  ZIPSY ROSE LEE Dec10 Nov25 Nov03 Oct20 Oct01 (fiesman r)HERNANDEZ H 122 20.00    
3  SMILES FOR DAVID Jan03 Nov29 Nov22 Nov01 Oct17 (chircop steve)DAVID MICHAEL 122 5.00 18% 4.50    
SCR  SOULFUL TARA Sep18 Aug27 Aug13 Jul29 Jul01 (o'callahan ca)THORPE DARIUS 122 15.00    
SCR  BREADMAN'S ROSEBUD Jan02 Dec04 Nov21 Nov02 Oct19 (jackson angelo )STANLEY O 124 8.00    
6  MUSIC LASS Dec11 Nov20 Oct30 Oct10 Sep21 (tuomisto cl)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 5.00 17% 4.70    
7  SHEWEARSSTILETTOS Dec11 Nov20 Oct30 Oct10 Sep14 (brown r)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 4.00 8% 11.10    
8  TAPWRIT WARRIOR Jan02 Dec14 Nov23 Oct05 Sep25 (hernandez s)CRUZ ANGEL 122 15.00    
9  JUST HAVE FAITH Dec14 Dec04 Nov14 Oct05 Aug24 (boggs joanna)LEWIS M 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
10  BORNFORGREATNESS Nov27 Nov07 Jul06 Jun30 Jun08 (pickett c)BOCACHICA J 122 6.00    
11  MITOLE CANDY Dec04 Nov14 Oct05 Sep20 Aug22 (farrior anthony)CRUZ ANGEL 124 2.50 32% 2.20    
SCR  SNEAKY LYNK Dec04 Oct30 Oct03 Sep21 Jul12 (boggs joa)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.