Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Sunday - January 12, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (3/4/9/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/9/5)-(3/4/10/9/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/4/9/5)-(3/4/10/9/5)-(3/4/10/9/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (3/4/9/5)-(8/3/4/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/4/9/5)-(8/3/4/1)-(4/3/2/1/9) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-2   WIN (8/3/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/3/4/1)-(8/3/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/3/4/1)-(8/3/4/1)-(8/3/4/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/3/4/1)-(4/3/2/1/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (8/3/4/1)-(4/3/2/1/9)-(3/6/8/5/7) 100 $1.00 $100 
TAM-3   WIN (4/3/2/1/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/3/2/1/9)-(4/3/2/1/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/3/2/1/9)-(4/3/2/1/9)-(4/3/2/1/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/3/2/1/9)-(3/6/8/5/7) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (4/3/2/1/9)-(3/6/8/5/7)-(8/6/3/1) 100 $1.00 $100 
TAM-4   WIN (3/6/8/5/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/6/8/5/7)-(3/6/8/5/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/6/8/5/7)-(3/6/8/5/7)-(3/6/8/5/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/6/8/5/7)-(8/6/3/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/6/8/5/7)-(8/6/3/1)-(2/8/4/3) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-5   WIN (8/6/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/6/3/1)-(8/6/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/6/3/1)-(8/6/3/1)-(8/6/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/6/3/1)-(2/8/4/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/6/3/1)-(2/8/4/3)-(9/3/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-6   WIN (2/8/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/8/4/3)-(2/8/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/8/4/3)-(2/8/4/3)-(2/8/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/8/4/3)-(9/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/8/4/3)-(9/3/8)-(6/3/10/1/5) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
TAM-7   WIN (9/3/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/3/8)-(9/3/5/10/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/3/8)-(9/3/5/10/8)-(9/3/5/10/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (9/3/8)-(6/3/10/1/5) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (9/3/8)-(6/3/10/1/5)-(1/4/5/9/8) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
TAM-8   WIN (6/3/10/1/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/3/10/1/5)-(6/3/10/1/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/3/10/1/5)-(6/3/10/1/5)-(6/3/10/1/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/3/10/1/5)-(1/4/5/9/8) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
TAM-9   WIN (1/4/5/9/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/4/5/9/8)-(1/4/5/9/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/4/5/9/8)-(1/4/5/9/8)-(1/4/5/9/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   01/12/2025 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($17K) 4UP ALL PT-12:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FIRSTFLASHOFMOON Nov08 Aug17       (torres pablo)BATISTA A 122 4.00    
2  FLATTERS CHANCE Dec22         (cudworth paul)HIRALDO JOHN 122 12.00    
3  RED ABARRIO Oct26 Sep28 Aug31 Jul28 Jun09 (romero rafa)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 5.00 71% 0.40    
4  PICCATA PRINCE Dec29 Dec11 Nov30 Oct25 Sep28 (spanabel r)HESS SARA 113 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  AGENT MOR Jul18 Jun28 May11 Apr20   (mcgoey monic)GONZALEZ CESAR 115 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  WESTDAKOTA Jan03 Dec14 Sep28 Sep19 Sep07 (rarick lynn)SPANABEL SKYLER 122 30.00    
7  RIGHT ON TARGET Jun19 Apr20       (granitz an)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 6.00    
8  VITTORIANO Dec27 May03       (parra hern)ALONSO LUIS 122 20.00    
9  KENRIC Dec22 May04 Apr19 Apr07 Feb24 (lilly jam)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
10  JOHNNY FROM BOSTON Oct17 Sep18 Aug31 Aug14 Aug01 (downing william)CENTENO E 122 3.00 ★    
11  KADAR INDY Feb02 Jan07 Dec23 Nov29 Oct22 (cascallares nest)LEON SONNY 122 6.00    
 
TAM-2   01/12/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($18K) 4UP M/F PT-12:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPRING SPINNING Dec22 Sep04 Aug07 Jul12 Jun13 (alessi james)HIRALDO JOHN 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  MISS NEO Oct29 Oct07 Aug11 Jul21 Jul13 (hernandez)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 118 4.50    
3  CAJUN EXPECTATION Dec27 Dec06 Nov20 Aug29 Aug02 (ra)LUNA PAUL 118 30.00 5% 19.00    
4  MARTHAMAYWHOVIER Dec27 Sep29 Aug30 Aug04 Jul21 (wasiluk jr)HESS SARA 111 30.00 5% 19.00    
5  SADIE BABY Dec24 Sep27 Aug25 Jul27 Jun30 (mcburney patri)MARIN SAMUEL 118 4.00    
6  KEEP ON ROCKIN Jan01 Dec13 Oct12 Sep15 Aug24 (dini mike)CAMACHO SAMY 122 3.50    
7  DELIZIOSA Dec27 Dec13 Oct13 Sep27 Aug29 (ochoa gerard)MENESES MARCOS 122 3.00    
8  PRACTICALITY Dec27 Dec13 Nov20 Feb24 Jan19 (arriagada jua)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 2.50 69% 0.50    
 
TAM-3   01/12/2025 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($20K) 3 F PT- 1:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SLEW CROWN Sep09 Aug14 Jul23     (rini anthony)CENTENO E 120 6.00 5% 18.90    
2  WHEN IN ROMA Dec22 Dec07 Oct04     (dini mike)MARIN SAMUEL 120 2.50 9% 10.00    
3  O K TO DANCE Dec22 Nov09 Oct10     (o'connel)GALLARDO A 120 2.00 10% 8.90    
4  CAJUN PRIME Dec22 Nov10 Oct18 Sep07 Aug10 (yates michael)FERRER C 120 3.00 56% 0.80    
5  ENDLESS FASHION Dec07 Nov29 Oct25 Sep26   (mendieta alejandr)HESS SARA 113 30.00    
6  WILLFUL ROSE Dec29 Dec07 Nov29     (kutt donn)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 120 30.00    
SCR  DANZING EMBERS Nov06 Oct22       (ferraro anth)CASTANON L 120 30.00    
8  CHICA CATHOLIC Dec22 Oct26 Sep01     (cascallares n)GONZALEZ ALEX 120 20.00    
9  GOONIE Dec22 Nov15 Oct09 Sep14 Aug25 (clark a)IORIO MELISSA 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
10  HER LUCKY DIAMOND Dec22 Oct10 Sep23 Aug26   (kintz matthew)FELICIANO R 120 20.00    
SCR  BETTER HAVE CASH Dec21 Nov02 Sep26     (alessi james)HESS SARA 113 15.00    
SCR  CENTEYA Dec28 Oct04       (rodriguez dari)CAMACHO SAMY 120 3.00    
SCR  TINY TEARS Dec28 Sep20 Sep14 Aug17 Aug03 (ryan s)IORIO MELISSA 120 20.00    
SCR  CLASSICALS FINALE Dec28 Dec06 Nov21 Oct04 Sep20 (contessa c)SPIETH S 120 1.80    
 
TAM-4   01/12/2025 5400ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REDISUR Jan03 Nov29 Sep25 Sep07 Aug29 (rarick lynn)GONZALEZ ALEX 120 30.00    
2  VENEZUELAN TRIUMPH Dec21 Nov23 Oct04 Sep08 Aug31 (avila c)MENESES MARCOS 120 3.50    
3  FUNKENSTEIN Dec21 Nov23 Sep08 Aug17 May25 (carrascojr vic)CAMACHO SAMY 120 3.00 40% 1.50    
4  SARGEANT BARGER Jan04 Sep25 Sep13 Aug16 Jul26 (alessi james)HESS SARA 113 30.00    
5  POLITICAL RIOT Dec20 Nov27 Nov10 Sep25 Sep07 (vanwinkle )GREENIDGE ELIJAH 115 4.50 7% 13.00    
6  LEAD OFF Dec27 Nov29 May29 May16 Mar22 (arriagada jua)SANTOS ADEMAR 120 2.50 15% 5.60    
7  FORT CHARLES Dec06 Nov24 Nov01 Oct04 Sep06 (torres r)LEON SONNY 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  MACKENZIE'S NOVVA Dec27 Oct21 Oct08 Sep11 Sep02 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 120 6.00 11% 8.40    
9  SEVENTY SEVENTYCAT Dec20 Dec13 Nov29 Jun01 Apr28 (drake robe)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 30.00    
10  FALCONS FURY Dec21 Nov27 Oct21 Oct02 Sep14 (ocasio osva)CLEMENTE ALFRED 120 30.00    
SCR  CAPTAIN CREED Dec01 Nov05 Oct20 Aug04 Jul17 (pickett g)DIAZ S 120 15.00    
 
TAM-5   01/12/2025 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($32K) Purse ($24K) 3 ALL PT- 2:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HYPER VENOM Dec21 Nov27 Nov10 Oct12 Sep07 (manchan be)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  PRICHARD Dec06 Oct23 Sep07     (west aar)GALLARDO A 120 6.00    
3  SCOLLY SQUARE         (stewart j)MARIN SAMUEL 120 8.00 12% 7.10    
4  S J B EXPRESS Nov30 Sep07 Aug03     (o'connell kath)GIL CIPRIANO 120 4.50    
5  SHACE SLOANE Oct20 Sep29 Jun21     (delgado jorge)LEON SONNY 120 3.50    
6  SECRET POWER         (canegata)GONZALEZ HENDERSON 120 15.00 14% 6.20    
SCR  BIG SHOULDERS Oct19 Sep07 Aug10     (baumgardner b)MORALES PABLO 120 5.00    
8  HALL MONITOR         (clement christ)CAMACHO SAMY 120 3.00 46% 1.20    
9  FELIX SLEW Dec29 Nov09       (ochoa gerard)FERRER C 120 20.00    
10  NO TELLING Dec22 Nov30 Sep15     (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 20.00    
SCR  DANCER'S SHADOW Dec24 Oct28 Sep25 Aug24   (alessi james)HESS SARA 113 30.00    
 
TAM-6   01/12/2025 5400ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($53K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ETHAN ENERGY Apr20 Mar02 Jan20 Dec23 Oct22 (cox h)CAMACHO SAMY 119 1.60    
2  CONSPIRACY FACT Dec28 Dec04 Aug31 Jun22 May25 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 119 3.50 46% 1.20    
3  FEUILLETON Dec04 Oct03 Sep07 Aug23 Jul17 (dimmett james)GONZALEZ ALEX 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  CUPID'S DUDE Dec20 Nov03 Sep15 Aug31 Aug11 (dini mike)MARIN SAMUEL 119 8.00 10% 9.00    
5  EVERDOIT Dec21 Dec11 Nov20 Oct24 Sep11 (rice kevin)VILLA-GOMEZ H 119 10.00    
6  BROADCASTER (IRE) Dec04 Sep29 Aug30 Apr13 Mar10 (rondon-mora carl)BRACHO A 119 15.00    
7  POST FACTO Sep15 Aug25 Jul06 Aug31 Aug10 (torres pab)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 112 4.50    
8  PANDO Dec22 Dec04 Oct16 Aug31 Jul27 (wilson tony)MENESES MARCOS 119 5.00 14% 6.00    
 
TAM-7   01/12/2025 5400ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($24.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RITABOOK Dec28 Dec04 Aug18 Jul26 Jun28 (clark a)MORALES PABLO 119 15.00    
SCR  PURE ELEGANCE Oct20 Sep27 Sep12 Aug29 Aug09 (mendieta a)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 119 12.00    
3  SING SCAT Dec18 Nov30 Oct26 Oct04 Sep25 (davis scooter)IORIO MELISSA 119 6.00 21% 3.80    
4  DIOSA CATRINA Dec28 Nov17 Oct27 Oct10 Aug30 (wright michael)CAMACHO SAMY 119 8.00    
5  SENSE YOU LEFT Apr30 Mar27 Mar13 Feb22 Feb04 (casse ma)GALLARDO A 119 3.00 ★    
6  VINGATIVA Jan04 Dec20 Nov30 Nov09 Oct09 (simone michae)SANTOS ADEMAR 119 20.00    
7  CALISUE Dec22 Nov30 Oct26 Sep22 Aug18 (campbell joel)MARIN SAMUEL 119 6.00    
8  MARVELOUS LADY Dec20 Dec06 Nov23 Oct19 Sep28 (rarick lynn)ALLEN D 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
9  AFERDITA Dec22 Nov12 Oct20 Sep20 Aug27 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 123 3.50 55% 0.80    
10  SANDPIPER MEMORIES Dec22 Dec11 Nov30 Nov09 Oct19 (rice kev)RODRIGUEZ O 119 5.00 ★    
 
TAM-8   01/12/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($53K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HAPPY BELLA Oct25 Sep20 Sep01     (crichton rohan)LEON SONNY 118 5.00 8% 12.00    
2  RIDE ON CUPID Dec26 Aug02 Jun29 May16 Apr19 (barbazoniii le)CAMACHO SAMY 118 15.00    
3  QUALIFICATA Dec27 Oct26 Sep28 Sep01 Jun22 (gutierrez fau)MORALES PABLO 118 4.00 22% 3.60    
4  MY CAJUN LADY Nov07 Sep20 Aug18 Aug03 Jun01 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 118 12.00    
5  BUNNY HOP Dec27 Dec14 Nov10 Oct31 Oct10 (lopez rober)HESS SARA 113 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  JAMIE'S JOY Mar31         (o'connel)GALLARDO A 118 6.00 38% 1.60    
7  COMPASS FIRE Aug29 Jul27 Jun21 May30 Aug17 (seale christop)MARIN SAMUEL 118 8.00    
8  SEXARITO Dec14 Nov03 Oct15 Aug27 Jun08 (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 30.00    
9  ATHENA'S WISDOM Dec06 Aug03 May04 Apr03 Feb24 (torres pablo )GONZALEZ ALEX 118 4.50    
10  FACTORBELLA Dec27 Dec06 Nov23 Oct19 Aug17 (wilson tony)MENESES MARCOS 118 3.50 9% 9.50    
11  JUST MERCY Nov27 Oct25 Sep08 Aug23 Aug02 (agostini a)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 111 20.00    
12  INTO STARS Dec06 Oct30 Oct09 Sep16 Aug07 (kintz s )RODRIGUEZ O 118 20.00    
 
TAM-9   01/12/2025 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THREE RUN BOLT Dec29 Nov02 Sep01 Aug24 Jul27 (bennett gera)BATISTA A 119 5.00 55% 0.80    
2  CHILLING FACTOR Dec29 Nov27 Aug31 Jul26 May19 (fisher davi)QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 3.50    
3  BOLD LOOK Jan05 Dec21 Nov12 Oct28 Oct02 (ferraro anth)CASTANON L 119 15.00    
4  PLAY FREE BIRD Dec28 Dec11 Oct18 Sep13 Aug17 (contessa g)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 119 4.50 11% 7.90    
5  SHAMU Jan05 Dec21 Nov29 Oct16 Sep18 (orantes r)HIRALDO JOHN 119 10.00 8% 11.80    
6  ALLONS Dec29 Dec11 Jun07 May26 May03 (creel rick)ALONSO LUIS 119 3.00    
7  PERMED Dec18 Dec04 Nov10 Oct18 Sep13 (pimental i)CENTENO E 119 8.00    
8  FRACING WILDCAT Oct08 Aug12 Jun23 Jun03 Apr27 (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
9  CHICA MUSIC Dec22 Oct25 Oct05 Sep22 Sep04 (ochoa gerard)FERRER C 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
10  REAL MIKEY Dec13 Nov23 Jul27 Jul07 Jun22 (lusk r)GIL CIPRIANO 119 30.00    
SCR  UP THE ODDS Dec29 Nov13 Oct28 Oct02 Jun04 (granitz antho)IORIO MELISSA 119 30.00    
SCR  HARD SPICE Dec28 Jul12 Jun20 Apr19 Mar17 (lusk brian)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 119 30.00    
SCR  JASSAI Jan05 Dec18 Dec11 Nov03 Oct13 (ochoa gerard)MENESES MARCOS 119 5.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.