Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Thursday - December 12, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-1   WIN (3/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/5)-(3/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (3/5)-(3/5/2/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (3/5)-(3/5/2/4)-(3/1/5/10/6) 40 $1.00 $40.00 
PEN-2   WIN (3/5/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/2/4)-(3/5/2/7/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/5/2/4)-(3/5/2/7/4)-(3/5/2/7/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (3/5/2/4)-(3/1/5/10/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/5/2/4)-(3/1/5/10/6)-(1/9/5/8) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
PEN-3   WIN (3/1/5/10/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/1/5/10/6)-(3/1/5/10/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/1/5/10/6)-(3/1/5/10/6)-(3/1/5/10/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/1/5/10/6)-(1/9/5/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/1/5/10/6)-(1/9/5/8)-(2/1/7/5) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
PEN-4   WIN (1/9/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/9/5/8)-(1/9/4/5/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/9/5/8)-(1/9/4/5/8)-(1/9/4/5/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/9/5/8)-(2/1/7/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/9/5/8)-(2/1/7/5)-(8/5/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PEN-5   WIN (2/1/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/7/5)-(2/1/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/7/5)-(2/1/7/5)-(2/1/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/1/7/5)-(8/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/1/7/5)-(8/5/1)-(1/10/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PEN-6   WIN (8/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/5/1)-(8/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/5/1)-(8/5/1)-(8/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (8/5/1)-(1/10/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
PEN-7   WIN (1/10/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/10/6)-(1/10/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/10/6)-(1/10/6)-(1/10/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   12/12/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($19K) 2 ALL PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAVIS MISCHIEF Nov22 Sep13 Aug20 Jul23   (gallimore tr)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 4.00    
SCR  AIRMAN TREVOR Nov29 Nov22 Nov02 Oct14 Oct07 (gallimore t)WOLFSONT ANDREW 122 3.00    
3  SKINNY JOEY Oct03 Sep14       (simoff an)HERNANDEZ A 122 2.50 54% 0.90    
4  BROTHER VINNY Nov25 Nov05 Oct14     (wyner harold)BOWMAN ADAM 120 10.00    
5  STIFLING HEAT Oct17 Oct01       (kulp l)BEATO INOEL 122 4.50 18% 4.60    
SCR  KING PITTHEUS Nov08 Oct24       (albright geor)TUNON JORDANO 122 12.00    
SCR  TANKSTER Nov08 Oct04       (rathman eli)RAMOS O 122 5.00    
 
PEN-2   12/12/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNCLE EDDIE Oct31 Sep27 Aug30 Jul11 Jun12 (moreno-barban l)BEATO INOEL 122 4.50    
2  MAYBE IT'S TIME Nov08 Sep21 Aug24 Jul19 Jun28 (gorham michael )MENA E 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  MISCHIEF WARRIOR Nov08 Oct23 Oct16 Oct02 Sep18 (kulp l)TORRES JOMAR 121 3.50 67% 0.50    
4  HE'S FANCY FREE Oct24 Oct16 Aug28 Aug16 Jul19 (albright ge)INIRIO J 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  LUCKY RUNNING CAT Nov08 Oct24 Sep18 Aug22 Jul25 (crook-dem)HERNANDEZ A 121 3.00 10% 9.10    
6  BAG OF GOLD Oct24 Aug30 Aug16 Jul11 Jun26 (moreno ti)RODRIGUEZ R 120 5.00    
7  CHUCKA MOON Nov15 Oct24 Aug15 Aug02 Jun13 (beattie cody)CHIAPPE R 121 8.00 ★    
8  LUCKY LUCKY LUKE Oct19 Sep24 Aug17 Jul24 Jun28 (sanchez-)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 116 5.00    
9  SEATIGER Nov26 Nov12 Nov05 Oct09 Sep30 (loaiza ilmar)TUNON JORDANO 121 20.00    
 
PEN-3   12/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAPT. CANDY Sep20 Aug29 Jul19 Jul11 Jun20 (kravets bru)RAMOS O 121 6.00 25% 3.00    
2  DANCE FOR GREEN Nov07 Oct10 Sep20 Aug17 Jul19 (kravets bru)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 4.50    
3  ONE WAY FARRIOR Nov21 Oct19 Sep20 May24 May05 (kreiser timoth)TORRES JOMAR 122 5.00 36% 1.80    
4  BUSTIN LOOSE Nov06 Sep28 Sep08 Aug25 Jul06 (spina charles)CORA D 123 8.00    
5  DARK TIMBER Nov16 Oct30 Oct08 Sep18 Sep04 (ness jami)HERNANDEZ A 121 3.50 11% 8.30    
6  WARRIOR'S PAYOFF Aug16 Jun12 Oct10 Sep25 Sep06 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  ENERGY EFFICIENT Nov28 Nov14 Oct03 Aug17 Jul20 (magee kieron)CEDENO CAROL 121 8.00    
8  TROPHY ROOM Nov21 Oct24 Sep20 Aug30 Aug15 (mcclellan c)FLORES E 123 10.00    
9  YES IT'S ROO Nov20 Aug15 Jul24 Jul04 Jun20 (rideout ronald)AGUILAR M 121 20.00    
10  DEE JAY Nov21 Oct06 Aug30 Aug15 Jul19 (lawrence james )GOMEZ KEVIN 121 6.00 6% 16.00    
SCR  TRAINER PLEASE Oct27 Oct04 Sep01 Aug02 Jun11 (crook-demas)SALGADO ANTHONY 123 6.00    
 
PEN-4   12/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31K) 2 F PT- 7:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIFT THE LID Nov15         (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 2.50 40% 1.50    
  (by AUDIBLE out of HIJAAB by TIZNOW)
2  ALYVIA MAVIS Nov26 Nov18 Oct30 Oct22 Oct07 (gallimore t)WOLFSONT ANDREW 122 8.00    
  (by GAME WINNER out of J'RAY'S SUNSHINE by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
3  EAZY WHIRLED Oct26 Sep20 Sep14 Jul21   (spina charles)TORRES JOMAR 122 12.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of ELRAAZY by MALIBU MOON)
4  WICKLOW POOKA Nov14         (stites w)CORA D 122 3.50 ★    
  (by IRISH WAR CRY out of MELLYUMPKIN by TALENT SEARCH)
5  KASHMIR WITCH         (kravets bru)RAMOS O 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by WEIGELIA out of C J'S LITTLE GIRL by ATTORNEY)
6  QUALIFIED HIRE Nov14         (mcclellan erin )BEATO INOEL 122 6.00    
  (by MADEFROMLUCKY out of GWENDOLYN by LION HEARTED)
7  GOLDEN STYLE Nov14         (stites w)CHIAPPE R 122 15.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of DECORATEDWITHSTYLE by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
8  TESORO ROSSA         (kravets b)HERNANDEZ A 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of TREASURE FOREVER by SKY MESA)
9  SOMNIUM Oct26         (merryman el)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 3.00 36% 1.80    
  (by STREET BOSS out of ZEEZEE ZOOMZOOM by CONGRATS)
 
PEN-5   12/12/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REZQUIA Oct25 Aug30 Aug21 Aug02 Jul18 (o'callahan )RAMOS O 122 5.00 17% 4.90    
2  PENNY POLKA Oct17 Oct01 Aug13 Jul30 Nov17 (rodriguez)HERNANDEZ A 123 3.00 35% 1.90    
SCR  MO NIGHEAN DONN Nov06 Jul29 May21 Nov13 Oct24 (o'callahan carl)CORA D 123 12.00    
4  URBAN DANCER Nov30 Nov14 Oct25 Sep28 Sep01 (machado antonio)BEATO INOEL 124 3.50    
5  CHELLS GIRL Nov30 Nov07 Oct19 Oct10 Sep28 (jones michael )ADORNO ABNER 122 10.00 7% 13.30    
6  LUCKY OPPORTUNITY Nov29 Nov11 Nov02 Oct16 Oct01 (flores-coba feli)CASTILLO A 122 8.00    
7  JAYCE AND LIAM Nov25 Nov06 Oct09 Sep24 Sep09 (englehart)RODRIGUEZ R 122 4.00 16% 5.20    
8  UPTOWN CHARLY GIRL Oct25 Sep26 Aug29 Aug14 Jul17 (stowers mic)INIRIO J 123 6.00    
 
PEN-6   12/12/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIRST DEPUTY Oct21 Oct07 Sep30 Sep07 Aug24 (moreno-barb)INIRIO J 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  CRITICAL THINKING Nov29 Nov13 Jul03 Jun19 May31 (shea lydee)DIAZ VLADIMIR 125 4.00    
3  TOP OF THE MINT Oct31 Oct10 Aug16 Jul27 Jun14 (jones michael )ADORNO ABNER 125 3.50    
SCR  BUCK WILD Nov25 Nov08 Oct29 Oct14 Sep30 (wadams dewight)AGUILAR JEAN 120 12.00    
5  GIMMEBACKMYBULLETS Oct30 Oct08 Sep21 Aug28 Aug01 (rathman e)HERNANDEZ A 125 2.50 30% 2.30    
SCR  HROTHGAR Sep06 Aug23 Jul17 Jul05 Jun25 (morzan e)CASTILLO A 125 20.00    
7  ECLIPTICALS BEAR Nov01 Sep10 Aug14 Jul15 Jun27 (agnew naoise)VILLEGAS JERRY 125 10.00    
8  LAFITTE'S FLEET Nov13 Oct24 Sep21 Jul19 Apr13 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 125 3.00 33% 2.00    
 
PEN-7   12/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MALIBU KNIGHT Oct25 Sep09 Jul12     (rathman eli)CORUJO LEONARDO 124 5.00 43% 1.30    
SCR  WILD NUGGET Oct25 Oct03 Sep01     (synnefias dim)TUNON JORDANO 124 8.00    
3  SYLVIA I AM Nov13 Jul31 Jul03 Jun26 May22 (shea lydee)DIAZ VLADIMIR 123 8.00    
SCR  NINJA KITTY Nov13 Oct25 Aug01 Jul03   (stites flin)INIRIO J 125 10.00    
SCR  ROLLY Nov13 Oct30 Oct09 Sep24 Sep09 (kravets bru)RAMOS O 124 3.00    
6  SEARCH FOR HOPE Nov24         (stites w)CHIAPPE R 123 10.00 9% 10.60    
7  VALORE Nov29 Nov09 Oct20 Oct06 Sep15 (demario charles)BEATO INOEL 122 20.00    
SCR  FORCED ERRORS Nov01 Oct03 Aug31 Aug02 Jun21 (kreiser c)CORA D 124 3.50    
9  NAUGHTY SQUIDWARD Nov20         (montford leslie)LLOYD W 124 20.00    
10  CHAPIN ELEVEN Nov15 Oct30 Oct03     (deiter ke)HERNANDEZ A 124 6.00 21% 3.80    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.