Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Delta Downs
Thursday - December 12, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

DED-1   WIN (2/4/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/6/3)-(2/4/7/6/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/4/6/3)-(2/4/7/6/3)-(2/4/7/6/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/4/6/3)-(8/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/4/6/3)-(8/2/4)-(6/10/9/4/5) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
DED-2   WIN (8/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/2/4)-(8/2/4/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (8/2/4)-(8/2/4/6)-(8/2/4/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (8/2/4)-(6/10/9/4/5) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (8/2/4)-(6/10/9/4/5)-(4/7/3/6) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
DED-3   WIN (6/10/9/4/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/10/9/4/5)-(6/10/9/4/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/10/9/4/5)-(6/10/9/4/5)-(6/10/9/4/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/10/9/4/5)-(4/7/3/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/10/9/4/5)-(4/7/3/6)-(9/3/7/2/8) 100 $1.00 $100 
DED-4   WIN (4/7/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/3/6)-(4/7/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7/3/6)-(4/7/3/6)-(4/7/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/7/3/6)-(9/3/7/2/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/7/3/6)-(9/3/7/2/8)-(6/7/4/3) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
DED-5   WIN (9/3/7/2/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/3/7/2/8)-(9/3/7/2/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/3/7/2/8)-(9/3/7/2/8)-(9/3/7/2/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/3/7/2/8)-(6/7/4/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (9/3/7/2/8)-(6/7/4/3)-(6/8/10/9) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
DED-6   WIN (6/7/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/4/3)-(6/7/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/4/3)-(6/7/4/3)-(6/7/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/7/4/3)-(6/8/10/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/7/4/3)-(6/8/10/9)-(5/1/9/7/4) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
DED-7   WIN (6/8/10/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/8/10/9)-(6/8/10/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/8/10/9)-(6/8/10/9)-(6/8/10/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/8/10/9)-(5/1/9/7/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
DED-8   WIN (5/1/9/7/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/1/9/7/4)-(5/1/9/7/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/1/9/7/4)-(5/1/9/7/4)-(5/1/9/7/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
DED-1   12/12/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STARBUCK LUCK Nov30 Jun20 May25 Apr20 Feb01 (segura kear)SANTIAGO EDWARD 116 10.00    
ITSNOTMYJOB Nov08 Apr13 Mar23 Feb24 Jan05 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 121 3.50 48% 1.10    
LUNCH LADY Nov05 May17 Feb09 Jan13 Dec28 (zeno benjam)MELANCON JANSEN 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
DIANNA'S JET Nov30 Jul08 Jun24 Apr28 Mar12 (pomier chase)BARRERA J 124 6.00 27% 2.70    
BITSY C C LIL GIRL Nov30 Nov08 Aug17 Aug01 Jun20 (zenon shelton)ARANA KELVIN 116 8.00    
BET ON BOURBON Nov08 Sep10 Aug05 Mar03 Feb03 (beavin judy)RAMIREZ PAULINA 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
LADY HOPPER Nov29 Oct12 Aug09 Jul19 Jun20 (ludwig jame)DEL-CID VICENTE 121 4.00    
AUNT IRENE Nov30 Nov08 Oct28 Oct21 Oct01 (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 124 20.00    
VALTESSE Nov21 Nov08 Oct19 Aug17 May30 (ramirez-rodrig)THORNTON G 121 2.50    
 
DED-2   12/12/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($43K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOUISIANA LUCA Nov14         (cormier card)BARRERA J 123 6.00    
  (by MIDNIGHT STORM out of FROM TIZ MOMENT ON by TIZNOW)
PEGASO (PER) Nov29 Nov14 Sep11     (turner patti)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 3.50 27% 2.70    
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of GLITTERING SNOW by ROOKIE SENSATION)
SCR  TEE'S ZONG Feb24         (cormier housto)DEONAUTH P 123 15.00    
  (by ZONG out of PRINCESS ZARA by A.P. INDY)
BLESSEDUPONASTAR         (larrosa jua)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of BLESS D'CAT by D'WILDCAT)
MARIACHI MAN Jun21 May24       (castille ricke)ARANA KELVIN 118 8.00    
  (by IRON FIST out of SAWYERS TRUSTYLADY by INDIAN CHARLIE)
STAR APRIORITY Nov22 Nov05 Oct12 Sep09 Aug23 (thomas lee)MELANCON JANSEN 123 4.00    
  (by APRIORITY out of ARMS RACE by GOLDEN MISSILE)
TARGET READY Jul13         (broussard jarmon)ROSIER R 123 15.00    
  (by TAKEOVER TARGET out of L. A. READY by MORE THAN READY)
CHAD'S FLASHY WAYS Nov07 May23 Apr25 Mar08 Jan25 (ward ro)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 123 2.00 49% 1.00    
  (by SKY MESA out of FLASHY WAYS by BO JINSKY)
 
DED-3   12/12/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BERNDT MARSHMALLOW Sep16 Sep04       (kanhai joseph)ARANA KELVIN 118 20.00    
IRON FORTUNE Nov20 Sep23 Aug23 Jul19 Jun07 (zenon charle)BARRERA J 124 4.50    
FRENETIC DAY Nov29 Nov05 Sep09 Jul04 Jun25 (dixon tim)RENGIFO JOHAN 123 6.00    
LOUISIANA BARGAIN Nov26 Oct29 Sep23 Sep09 Aug26 (beavin judy)RAMIREZ PAULINA 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
MAGIC BIND Sep03 Aug23 Aug03 Jul19 Jun28 (broussard vinc)MUNOZ SERGIO 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BITSY'S STAR Nov20 Aug22 Aug03 Jun07 May18 (prejean ray)MELANCON JANSEN 123 2.50 37% 1.70    
ASTROLOGY WONOWON Nov26 Oct19 Sep17 Sep02 Aug16 (patt roland)DEL-CID VICENTE 124 8.00    
SCR  R T'S CAJUN Aug24 Aug10       (fuselier jon)JOURNET JARRED 123 20.00    
KAT'S SOLDIER Nov26 Nov14 Feb10 Jan19 Dec21 (mason sha)PEREZ CARLOS 119 15.00 7% 12.40    
10  BELLAMY BROTHER Nov05 Sep23 Sep02 Jul09 Jun26 (ramirez ro)RAMIREZ JR 119 3.50 32% 2.10    
SCR  NATIVE REQUITE Nov29 Sep23 Aug26 Aug07 Jun25 (gomez da)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 123 6.00    
SCR  KAH NIGH Nov29 Oct19 Sep23 Sep09 Aug16 (dussette alvi)LOZADA CARLOS 123 8.00    
 
DED-4   12/12/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INCHHIGHATAHUNDRED Oct16 Aug16 Jul26 Jul11 Jun21 (breaux samuel)THORNTON G 118 10.00    
RED IDOL Oct17 Sep03 Aug09 Jun15 May11 (cormier card)MAGNON H 117 8.00    
MAYHEMINTHEPALACE Nov05 Oct04 Aug24 Aug03 Jul13 (sanchez ama)DEL-CID VICENTE 119 4.00 12% 7.30    
TIZ DONEGAL Oct29 Nov17 Oct26 Sep02 Jul22 (alberto anto)BARRERA J 120 1.80 52% 0.90    
BRIARTOWN Nov30 Oct16 Sep14 Aug06 Jul16 (beavin judy)MELANCON JANSEN 120 8.00    
LIL SWEET THANG Nov30 Nov15 Oct29 Oct11 Aug17 (giangrosso )RAMIREZ PAULINA 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  FIRST CLASS HARLOW Nov05 Aug14 Jul12 May30 May11 (mojica )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 3.00 12% 7.30    
 
DED-5   12/12/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LEXINGTON DIVA Nov14 Oct10 Sep21 Aug23 Aug14 (govea cesar)MUNOZ SERGIO 124 6.00    
BEULAH K Nov27 Jun04 May18 Apr26 Mar02 (nelson eric )DOMINGUEZ JOEL 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
SHE SMILED AT ME Oct30 Apr24 Feb22 Feb04 Dec27 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 120 3.00 20% 4.10    
RAGAZZA Nov20 Nov09 Sep02 Jul18 Jun29 (escobar ali)RAMIREZ PAULINA 123 15.00    
SCR  SPARKLE CITY Nov02 Jul19 Jun22 Jun04 May22 (west henry)ROSIER R 121 15.00    
BYE BYE BIG BABY Jan05 Dec18 Nov17 Oct12 Aug10 (cribeiro la)SANTIAGO EDWARD 116 15.00    
ASPEN LINK Sep09 Aug01 Jul05 Jun15 May23 (thomas )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 4.00 18% 4.40    
NOWNOWDANCER Mar15 Feb23 Jan06 Dec09 Nov17 (nelson r)ARANA KELVIN 116 12.00 5% 19.00    
HIDDEN LOVE Nov06 Aug23 Jul27 Jul06 Jun13 (gelner scott)BARRERA J 124 4.50 36% 1.80    
10  GOGO BOBBYJO Nov09 Oct11 Aug16 May24 May03 (broussard v)LEDET THEODRICK 123 10.00    
 
DED-6   12/12/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($44K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BET AGAIN Nov16 Jun13 May22 May01 Apr05 (toups brent)POMPELL L 120 12.00    
STEEL ARGUMENT Nov21 Nov09 Aug03 Jun01 Mar07 (larrosa juan)BARRERA J 119 4.00    
A MILLION STARS Aug13 Jun10 May04 Jul09 May06 (johnson )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
INFINITESIMAL Nov23 Oct25 Sep11 Aug27 Aug15 (larrosa juan)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 4.00 12% 7.10    
CHAD'S FLASH Nov16 Aug15 Jul30 Jul03 Jun13 (fuselier jonah)MUNOZ SERGIO 120 15.00    
MIDNIGHT HALO Nov21 Nov06 Oct17 Jul25 Jul05 (ramirez-rodrig)THORNTON G 119 2.50 38% 1.60    
MOKINGS Nov23 Nov09 Sep25 Sep17 Aug28 (gonzalez is)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 3.00 23% 3.30    
THROWIN' SHADE Oct17 Jul04 Jun06 May17 Apr19 (mojica )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 10.00    
 
DED-7   12/12/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOUBLE GEM Nov21 Oct29       (courville ricky)ROSIER R 120 20.00    
SCR  CIRCLE UP Nov22 Oct30 Jul13 Jun06 Apr26 (breaux samue)BARRERA J 116 4.00    
MRS. MACOMBER Nov07 Sep26 Sep02 Aug21 Aug06 (ramirez ju)RAMIREZ JR 115 8.00    
SCR  RUN DREAMING Nov22 Oct30 Aug31 Aug20 Jul24 (foster josep)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 10.00    
QUIET MELODY Nov22 Nov02 Oct10 Jun21   (giangrosso )RAMIREZ PAULINA 123 20.00    
WINGS LIKE EAGLES Nov16 Jul19 Jun21 May30 Nov23 (ramirez-rodrig)THORNTON G 120 2.50 60% 0.70    
BAILEYS SHOT Nov09 Nov18 Oct28 Sep30   (hibdon n)BIRZER E 121 15.00    
YOU HAVE NO IDEA Nov16 Oct29 Sep20 Sep06 Aug12 (gonzalez)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 6.00 10% 9.10    
MOLLI WAY Nov22 Jun01 Feb15 Jan06 Nov25 (romero j)ARANA KELVIN 112 8.00 5% 19.00    
10  MOLTO VINO Nov22 Oct25 Aug17 Jul13 May18 (breaux samu)DEL-CID VICENTE 116 5.00 9% 9.70    
SCR  BELLA CARMELINA Nov27 Oct17 Jul13 Jun20 May10 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 123 12.00    
 
DED-8   12/12/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($23K) 2 ALL PT- 9:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POSTUP         (romero j)MUNOZ SERGIO 118 20.00 18% 4.60    
SCR  WOW BUBBLE Nov16         (sanchez ama)DEL-CID VICENTE 121 2.50    
FRIENDLY HINT Nov16 Nov02 Aug31 Aug13   (dunn he)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 6.00    
SCR  IRISH BILLY Nov14         (ramirez ro)RAMIREZ JR 116 15.00 5% 19.00    
DEWCLAW Nov22 Nov02       (brinkman brett)PEREZ CARLOS 113 3.50 21% 3.70    
KEEP UP THE PACE Nov01 Sep26 Sep14 Aug28 Jul14 (garza e)ROSIER R 121 15.00    
TEXAS CACTUS JACK         (jeane scott)ARANA KELVIN 116 12.00 13% 7.00    
SONNY'S NELSON Nov16 Oct18       (breaux samue)BARRERA J 118 12.00    
NIGHT STICK Nov16 Oct26       (foster josep)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 6.00 18% 4.60    
10  SEITAN Oct26 Oct10       (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 118 5.00    
SCR  PEA EYE Nov14         (dixon tim)POMPELL L 121 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.