Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Tuesday - December 10, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TUP-4   WIN (3/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/2)-(3/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/2)-(3/1/2)-(3/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/2)-(3/2/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/1/2)-(3/2/6)-(5/2/1) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TUP-5   WIN (3/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/6)-(3/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/6)-(3/2/6)-(3/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/6)-(5/2/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/2/6)-(5/2/1)-(5/1/6/7/4) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
TUP-6   WIN (5/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/1)-(5/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/1)-(5/2/1)-(5/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/1)-(5/1/6/7/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (5/2/1)-(5/1/6/7/4)-(5/4/6/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
TUP-7   WIN (5/1/6/7/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/1/6/7/4)-(5/1/6/7/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/1/6/7/4)-(5/1/6/7/4)-(5/1/6/7/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/1/6/7/4)-(5/4/6/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/1/6/7/4)-(5/4/6/3)-(9/10/2/6/3) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
TUP-8   WIN (5/4/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/6/3)-(5/4/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/6/3)-(5/4/6/3)-(5/4/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/4/6/3)-(9/10/2/6/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
TUP-9   WIN (9/10/2/6/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/10/2/6/3)-(9/10/2/6/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/10/2/6/3)-(9/10/2/6/3)-(9/10/2/6/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-4   12/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ASENA Nov25 Nov13 Aug10 Jul13 Apr25 (lund va)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 4.00 27% 2.70    
2  YOUNG LIFE LAURA Nov25 Sep14 Aug31 Aug04 Jul21 (silva-martinez ale)MOJICA O 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
3  ALOHA BREEZE Nov13 Aug11 Jul21 Jun22 Aug13 (rarick wade)MONTALVO C 122 2.50 43% 1.30    
4  MISS UNION Nov13 Sep22 Jul13 Jul01 Jun08 (ferguson curt)CRUZ M 124 3.00    
5  NEVER SWAY Oct09 Aug09 May03 Mar24 Feb18 (diodoro robe)HUGHES RASHEED 122 3.50    
6  GO GO SADIE Apr25 Apr03 Mar26 Feb27 Feb01 (guerra ja)VALENZUELA A 122 8.00    
 
TUP-5   12/10/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($10.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHELBY SHORTSTOP Nov12 Sep08 Aug30 Aug18 May29 (silva-martinez a)MONTALVO C 121 15.00    
2  SENSIBLE LUTE Nov29 Nov19 Sep13 Aug17 Aug03 (hernandez mi)MARTIN A 124 6.00 22% 3.60    
3  BUCCHERA Sep01 Aug16 Jul19 Jun02 Apr25 (birdwell tena)CRUZ M 121 3.00 40% 1.50    
4  KEEPYOURPRANCEON Nov29 Oct27 Oct12 Sep14 Aug17 (dennis cl)IRONEYES R 121 12.00    
SCR  TIA SUZI Nov12 Oct12 Sep15 Aug18 Aug03 (alvarez se)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 121 10.00    
6  CANDIED JOULE Aug18 Aug04 Jul20 Jul06 Jun22 (tubbs scott)REYES R 124 10.00 16% 5.40    
SCR  LIKE NO OTHER Nov10 Oct12 Nov02 Sep29 Sep09 (chambers mike)MAWING A 124 0.80    
 
TUP-6   12/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($22K) 2 ALL PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CLOUD BLITZ Nov17 Jul07       (martinez a)VERGARA P 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  F B I BOB Nov13 Sep23 Aug31 Aug10 Jul22 (mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 121 3.50 16% 5.40    
3  JUST TRUST ME Nov09 Oct27 Oct06 Aug15 Jul25 (williams )IRONEYES R 121 2.50    
SCR  BUTTERMAKER Nov25 Oct11 Sep05 Aug02   (kenney rya)GALLARDO EDUARDO 121 8.00    
5  CANDY CABALLO Sep15 Aug11 Jul13     (rarick wade)MONTALVO C 121 5.00 46% 1.20    
6  BORDER VIGIL Sep15 Jul27 May27 May12   (evans j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 121 6.00    
7  COLONEL LUDLOW Nov26 Sep15 Aug23 Aug11   (evans justin)MOJICA O 121 5.00    
 
TUP-7   12/10/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($10.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DEFENSOR FORTIS Nov18 Aug17 Aug03 Jul27 Jun07 (evans justin)LOPEZ KARLO 122 3.50 23% 3.30    
2  DIXON TUFF Nov27 Nov11 Jul21 Jun30 Jun08 (matt wende)GALLARDO EDUARDO 122 15.00    
3  COASTAL FOG Jun06 Apr22 Mar26 Mar13 Feb27 (silva j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 15.00    
4  BEER BEGONE Nov27 Nov11 Oct13 Sep16 Sep09 (silva-marti)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  SOLDATNA Nov27 Nov18 Oct13 Oct06 Sep30 (baze robert)REYES R 122 6.00 34% 1.90    
6  ANOTHERBOTTLE Nov02 Sep16 Sep04 Jun29 Jun15 (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 119 2.50 14% 6.10    
7  BARON'S SONG Nov27 Nov11 Aug11 Jul13 Jun09 (zimmerman)IRONEYES R 122 10.00 6% 17.20    
8  ROSENQUIST Sep25 Sep07 Aug11 Jul28 Jul10 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 122 12.00    
9  DR VINNIE BOOMBATZ Nov23 Nov06 Oct17 Sep13 Aug24 (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 122 4.50    
 
TUP-8   12/10/2024 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($22.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLEETRIDGE Jan12 Dec09 Nov15 Oct13 Sep15 (evans j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 5.00    
2  BLUEGRASS GO GO Nov27 Oct19 Oct11 Aug17 Jul27 (lucarelli fran)REYES R 122 10.00    
3  STOP AND A TRES Nov25 Oct19 Sep08 Aug17 Jul20 (anderson gon)HUGHES RASHEED 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  LETTHERAINSETTLEIT Nov19 Jun20 Jun08 Apr30 Apr15 (martinez esteba)LOPEZ KARLO 122 4.50 10% 8.80    
5  MEANT FOR ME Nov25 Oct04 Jul26 Jul07 Jun16 (evans justin)CORBETT W 122 4.00 58% 0.70    
6  WEDGE POND Oct19 Oct13 Sep28 Sep13 Sep07 (brown r)MUIR SHAMAREE 122 8.00 6% 14.80    
7  LANSDOWNE (GB) Nov18 Oct19 Sep22 Aug16 Jul21 (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 122 3.00    
8  GOLD MAGIC Nov18 Oct20 Oct04 Sep26 Aug22 (kenney rya)GALLARDO EDUARDO 122 6.00    
 
TUP-9   12/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SIDE STREET DAVE Aug19 Aug05 Jun25 Jun10 May27 (sanders)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 15.00    
2  WESTPHAL Nov20 Sep07 Aug25 Aug11 Jul03 (toye joe)CRUZ M 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  ITS FIVE SOMEWHERE Nov30 Nov20 Oct14 Sep22 Sep16 (christian)JENSEN P 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  WEDNESDAY AT SHADY Nov26 Nov12 Aug18 Jul27 Jul14 (tubbs scott)REYES R 121 5.00    
5  STORMIN HONGKONG Nov20 Nov12 Sep25 Sep14 Aug25 (silva gabr)GALLARDO EDUARDO 124 20.00    
6  INFINITE CROWN Jul21 Jul13 Jun30 Jun22 Jun01 (warren ka)IRONEYES R 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  TIGER BY HIS TAIL Apr24 Apr03 Mar19 Oct11 Sep04 (alcoverde er)RODRIGUEZ JOSE 124 20.00    
8  HOGMANAY (IRE) Nov26 Nov12 Oct16 Sep15 Aug03 (christian)VALENZUELA A 124 4.00    
9  INVARIABLY Nov20 Nov12 Oct02 Sep17 Aug27 (evans justin)LOPEZ KARLO 124 2.50 50% 1.00    
10  DELTA DELTA Nov19 Oct13 Oct07 Sep23 Aug25 (gibson howa)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 12.00 22% 3.50    
11  JON L Nov01 Oct18 Sep08 Aug31 Aug17 (tsosie te)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 20.00    
12  FABSTRACTION Nov26 Oct18 Sep29 Sep12 May12 (macvittie)ULLOA JOAN 124 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.