Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Monday - December 09, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TUP-3   WIN (6/8/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/8/1/2)-(6/8/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/8/1/2)-(6/8/1/2)-(6/8/1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/8/1/2)-(1/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (6/8/1/2)-(1/4)-(6/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
TUP-4   WIN (1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/4)-(1/2/8/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4)-(1/2/8/4)-(1/2/8/4) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (1/4)-(6/2/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/4)-(6/2/7)-(5/6/3/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
TUP-5   WIN (6/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/7)-(6/2/7/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/7)-(6/2/7/8/5)-(6/2/7/8/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (6/2/7)-(5/6/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/2/7)-(5/6/3/7)-(4/3/7/6/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
TUP-6   WIN (5/6/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/3/7)-(5/6/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/3/7)-(5/6/3/7)-(5/6/3/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/6/3/7)-(4/3/7/6/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/6/3/7)-(4/3/7/6/2)-(8/4/6/3) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
TUP-7   WIN (4/3/7/6/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/3/7/6/2)-(4/3/7/6/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/3/7/6/2)-(4/3/7/6/2)-(4/3/7/6/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/3/7/6/2)-(8/4/6/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
TUP-8   WIN (8/4/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/4/6/3)-(8/4/11/6/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/4/6/3)-(8/4/11/6/3)-(8/4/11/6/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-3   12/09/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($10.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRINCE OTTO Nov17 Nov01 Oct20 Oct06 Apr16 (esquibel mark)TOHILL S 122 10.00 8% 11.30    
2  AUTISM WARRIOR Nov19 Oct13 Sep29 Sep16 Aug30 (christian)JENSEN P 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  THOMPSON Nov14 Sep24 Apr27 Mar23 Feb11 (betts nancy)KHELAWAN KERRON 119 10.00    
4  FORT NECESSITY Oct24 Oct03 Sep13 Aug22 Nov04 (rosales jo)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 4.00    
5  UNUSUAL WIN Oct27 Oct05 Sep20 Sep07 Aug17 (martinez a)VERGARA P 122 5.00    
6  RUN SMITTY RUN Nov11 Sep10 Aug23 Aug06 Jun28 (barraza ra)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 1.80 59% 0.70    
7  CHICKNFINGERFRIDAY Nov11 Oct13 Oct06 Sep08 Sep01 (tor)VALENZUELA RAUL 122 15.00    
8  DERBY BOY Nov19 Oct13 Sep29 Sep16 Aug25 (gibson f)CRUZ M 119 6.00 11% 7.80    
 
TUP-4   12/09/2024 5280ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COASTAL WATERS Nov26 Nov12 Sep12 Aug29 Aug10 (homer jaso)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 3.00 75% 0.30    
2  ELECTROSTATIC Nov13 Oct24 Oct09 Sep24 Aug19 (silva j)BRAVO MISAEL 117 5.00 ★    
3  AQUACAT Nov30 Nov12 Oct24 Oct08 Sep24 (adams hanna)CRUZ M 124 6.00    
4  LESLIE CHOW Nov13 Nov03 Oct24 Oct14 Sep24 (silva jua)ULLOA JOAN 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  DENNARD Nov26 Nov11 Oct14 Sep29 Sep13 (baze robert)REYES R 122 3.50    
6  WELLSWORT (IRE) Nov19 Nov01 Sep21 Aug17 Aug02 (silva jos)CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 122 4.00    
7  YOU KIDDING ME Nov25 Jun09 May25 May12 Mar30 (fearon johnat)MUIR SHAMAREE 122 20.00    
8  INESPERADO (FR) Sep12 Aug10 Jul03 May25 May01 (fuentes)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 5.00 ★    
 
TUP-5   12/09/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FOREMAN Oct09 Oct02 Sep25 Sep18 Sep10 (silva jua)ULLOA JOAN 124 8.00    
2  BEDROCK (GB) Sep23 Sep16 Aug08 Jun21 Jun01 (christian)JENSEN P 124 12.00 28% 2.60    
3  MEET JOE Sep07 Aug25 Aug11 Jul28 Jul04 (kenney ryan)VERGARA P 124 6.00    
4  ROYAL HALO Aug25 Aug04 Apr16 Apr08 Mar19 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 124 4.00    
5  SCOOTER'S BOY Nov01 Oct18 Oct04 Sep20 Sep05 (gangidino lisa)MAWING A 124 6.00 ★    
6  YOU ENJOY MYSELF Nov20 Oct05 Sep25 Sep07 Apr15 (barraza ra)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 3.00 44% 1.20    
7  MARKET KING Sep24 Sep03 Jul22 Jun07 May22 (brown jared)MOJICA O 124 8.00 6% 16.00    
8  KHAIKY'S COMMAND Aug17 Jul13 Jun22 Apr29 Feb28 (cruz pea)CRUZ M 124 8.00 ★    
9  FEROCIOUSLY Nov12 Sep29 Sep13 Jul06 Jun22 (evans justin)LOPEZ KARLO 124 5.00    
 
TUP-6   12/09/2024 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($22.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EMERALD SEA Sep15 Aug31 Aug11 Jul06 Jun07 (velasquez rigobe)MAWING A 122 5.00    
2  BIG BEAUTY Apr03 Mar19 Feb06 Jan29 Dec19 (evans justin)LOPEZ KARLO 122 3.50    
3  BOHEMIAN JIGGLES Nov27 Nov12 Sep19 Sep01 Aug11 (valerio)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 121 15.00 15% 5.80    
4  IN THE VAULT Sep08 Aug17 Jul06 Jun07 May19 (lucarelli frank)MONTALVO C 122 10.00    
5  AVENTAPP Aug17 Jul25 Jun07 May18 Mar10 (si)DA FAUSTO 122 2.50 30% 2.40    
6  GETAWAY DAY Aug03 Jul13 Jun14 Apr30 Apr10 (eikleberry kevin)TOHILL S 119 4.50 19% 4.30    
7  SHE'S SO SHINY Aug30 Jun28 Jun07 Mar03 Feb16 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  ANYBODY'S CHOICE Nov21 Aug30 Oct20 Aug27 Jul23 (belvoir va)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 5.00    
 
TUP-7   12/09/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LADY YELLOWSTONE Nov09 Oct19 Oct12 Aug29 Jun27 (rosales jo)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 121 6.00    
2  INTRUSIVE Nov26 Oct13 Oct07 Sep29 Sep16 (perez hilar)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  GI GIS MAP Nov19 Sep25 Sep05 Aug24 Jul06 (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 121 6.00 22% 3.50    
4  MARK OF VICTORY Nov26 Sep25 Aug15 Jul14 Jun30 (lund valorie)REYES R 124 4.00 36% 1.80    
5  VANDULIE Sep08 Jul27 Jun29 Jun16 Jun02 (bullock steve)KRIGGER K 124 8.00    
6  LEIPZIG Nov19 Sep29 Sep17 Sep02 Jul29 (silva pabl)CRUZ M 124 3.00 5% 18.70    
7  POCKET KNIFE Nov19 Sep06 Aug10 Jul28 Jul13 (carlson do)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 5.00 8% 11.30    
8  CALY BALI Nov19 Sep21 Sep05 Aug17 Jul24 (martinez esteba)LOPEZ KARLO 124 6.00    
9  CALIFORNIA DIVA Nov29 Nov12 Sep19 Sep01 Apr30 (woolley)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 15.00    
 
TUP-8   12/09/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CAPITAL HEAT Nov27 Sep08 Aug25 May04 Feb07 (belvoir vann)CORBETT W 124 2.50    
2  MISS ACCELERATE Nov21 Oct12 Sep29 Sep15 Jul20 (betts nancy)MAWING A 124 12.00    
3  SQUARE FUN Nov25 Nov12 Oct14 Oct04 Sep01 (b)ROJAS EDUARD 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  OCTANE (BRZ) Nov30 Oct19 Aug04 Jul25 Jul06 (si)DA FAUSTO 124 3.50 36% 1.80    
5  TIZ A TIGER Nov21 Nov12 Sep08 Aug23 Aug03 (nunnally jennif)LOPEZ KARLO 124 12.00    
6  DRILL BABY DRILL Sep14 Sep06 Aug09 Jul26 Jul12 (cruz pea)CRUZ M 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  SUZZIE'S DARLIN Nov20 Sep27 Sep01 Jul28 Jul20 (fuentes ru)AMERICANO MANUEL 116 12.00    
8  DISTINCTIVE DEB Nov27 Oct14 Sep30 Sep16 Aug25 (crowe shelly)REYES R 124 5.00 42% 1.40    
SCR  SHE HIT A HOMER Nov11 Oct18 Oct04 Sep13 Jun15 (barraza ra)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 12.00    
10  MO CONNELLY Nov25 Nov11 Sep15 Sep01 Mar19 (johnston ki)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 15.00    
11  HOT LAVA CAKE Nov21 Nov12 Sep28 Sep06 Aug18 (silva-martinez ale)MOJICA O 124 6.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.