Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Parx Racing
Tuesday - December 03, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PRX-1   WIN (1/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/3)-(1/7/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/7/3)-(1/7/3)-(1/7/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/7/3)-(6/2/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/7/3)-(6/2/1/5)-(5/1/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PRX-2   WIN (6/2/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/1/5)-(6/2/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/1/5)-(6/2/1/5)-(6/2/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/2/1/5)-(5/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/2/1/5)-(5/1/2)-(11/6/5/9/2) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
PRX-3   WIN (5/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/2)-(5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/2)-(11/6/5/9/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (5/1/2)-(11/6/5/9/2)-(8/4/6) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
PRX-4   WIN (11/6/5/9/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (11/6/5/9/2)-(11/6/5/9/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (11/6/5/9/2)-(11/6/5/9/2)-(11/6/5/9/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (11/6/5/9/2)-(8/4/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (11/6/5/9/2)-(8/4/6)-(1/4/7/2) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
PRX-5   WIN (8/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/4/6)-(8/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/4/6)-(8/4/6)-(8/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (8/4/6)-(1/4/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/4/6)-(1/4/7/2)-(2/7/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PRX-6   WIN (1/4/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/7/2)-(1/4/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/7/2)-(1/4/7/2)-(1/4/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/4/7/2)-(2/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/4/7/2)-(2/7/5)-(4/2/10/5/8) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
PRX-7   WIN (2/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/5)-(2/7/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/7/5)-(2/7/5)-(2/7/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
PRX-8   WIN (4/2/10/5/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/2/10/5/8)-(4/2/10/5/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/2/10/5/8)-(4/2/10/5/8)-(4/2/10/5/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PRX-1   12/03/2024 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT-12:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REMARKABLE MO Oct16 Sep12 Aug18 Jul22 Jun30 (padilla e)VARGAS A 125 4.50 39% 1.60    
MAGICAL ROAD Sep28 Jul31 Jun27 May29 May09 (catalano l)AGUILAR JEAN 113 5.00    
HEAT ALERT Oct15 Sep18 Sep04 Jul10   (abrams jack)ADORNO ABNER 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
SPINNING HEART Nov11 Oct09 Sep28 Aug08 Jul18 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 122 1.80    
SCR  RENARD (BRZ)         (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 122 6.00    
EVASIVE MOVES Oct28 Sep11 Aug20 Jul15 Jun04 (st lewis)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 117 12.00    
I CAN DO MAGIC Nov05 Oct14 Sep18 Sep04 Aug20 (guerrero guad)RUIZ ELISEO 122 2.50 21% 3.90    
 
PRX-2   12/03/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT-12:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RAHMER Nov02 Oct24 Oct16 Sep30 Aug01 (diaz jorge)OCASIO M 122 2.00 8% 12.00    
RECKLESS PLACE Nov20 Oct30 Oct21 Oct01 Sep11 (williams ab)WILLIAMS AJHARI 122 3.00 9% 9.90    
SHANGHAI SUPERFLY Nov13 Oct24 Oct11 Oct02 Sep24 (diaz j)GONZALEZ JR 122 4.00    
COUSIN ANDREW Nov20 Nov02 Oct16 Sep30 Sep11 (wilson bre)MITCHELL RICHARD 122 8.00    
EMPIRE'S SCORE Nov20 Nov13 Oct30 Oct14 Sep07 (brown r)AGUILAR JEAN 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
SPOTTED BULL Nov20 Nov12 Nov02 Sep07 Aug16 (serey juan)OTERO AAROM 115 5.00 49% 1.00    
MIZZEN MAN Oct30 Oct16 Sep30 Jul02 Apr01 (solis jacinto)RUIZ ELISEO 122 8.00    
 
PRX-3   12/03/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT-12:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE GRAYT PUMPKIN Nov20 Oct16 Sep03 Aug19 Jul23 (mann farrel)BOWMAN ADAM 122 6.00 23% 3.30    
EL DE LEO Nov27 Oct29 Oct07 Sep14 Jul27 (gonzalez cla)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
HEAVY TIMBER Nov11 Oct16 Sep14 Aug16 Nov06 (vega ri)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 114 5.00    
WHY STOP THERE Oct21 Sep24 Sep04 Aug28 Jul15 (flores-coba fe)AGUILAR JEAN 114 2.50    
BORRACHO CONCHO Nov11 Oct16 Sep24 Sep03 Jul09 (guerrero)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 117 1.80 27% 2.70    
CHECKING BOXES Nov18 Oct02 Sep23 Aug27 Jul23 (guerrero guad)RUIZ ELISEO 119 3.00    
 
PRX-4   12/03/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLAG SONG FLYIN Nov11 Oct28 Oct14 Oct02 Sep16 (curry dee)MOYA F 119 8.00    
FIVE STAR FRAN Oct28 Oct02 Sep09 Jul24 Jun25 (perez ruperto)OCASIO M 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
FAST GAL Nov25 Nov11 Oct28 Sep16 Aug20 (lake scott )CONNING CRYSTAL 122 4.50    
SCR  HYACINTH BUCKET Nov05 Jan03 Dec11 Nov08   (linder louis)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 3.50    
WIKI LIO Nov25 Oct28 Oct21 Nov17 Sep20 (moore michae)HERNANDEZ ANDY 122 8.00 9% 10.30    
MERRYCHILL Nov06 Aug14 Jul25 Jun26 Jun11 (lawrence jame)SILVERA RUBEN 119 4.00 24% 3.10    
SCR  SISTER EVE Nov25 Oct14 Sep16 Aug29 Aug21 (velazqu)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 119 15.00    
UDIDN'TPAY Nov06 Oct28 Oct12 Sep25 Aug20 (king clare)MITCHELL RICHARD 119 20.00    
ECHO LAKE Nov25 Jun11 May27 May13 Oct13 (sanchez-)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 114 12.00 7% 14.10    
10  VICTORIOUSVICTORIA Nov25 Oct15 Oct01 Sep21 Sep04 (ashton patrick)ORTIZ JOSHUA 109 20.00    
11  PULL NO PUNCHES Nov08 Oct10 Sep14 Aug30 Aug12 (epley ste)VARGAS A 119 3.00 36% 1.80    
 
PRX-5   12/03/2024 5490ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($50K) 2 ALL PT- 1:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AU SOME WARRIOR Nov18 Nov04 Oct14 Sep21 Aug15 (lake scot)RODRIGUEZ R 122 3.50    
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of AU FUDGE by JUMP START)
JUST CHEESY Nov25         (velazqu)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 117 8.00    
  (by CATHOLIC BOY out of OUR MISS JONES by ALPHABET SOUP)
GREY IMAGES Nov20 Nov04       (st lewis)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 117 12.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of KERRY'S RING by KITTEN'S JOY)
RIVER'S GAMBLE Nov20 Nov04 Oct19 Sep21 Sep03 (wyner harold)BOWMAN ADAM 122 5.00 25% 3.10    
  (by GIFT BOX out of PARDONMECOMINGTHRU by CHATAIN)
SCR  FOIL Nov20         (duarte jorge )TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 4.50    
  (by STREET SENSE out of ELUDE by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
THE TIRE MAN Nov04 Oct07 Aug20 Jul23 Jun24 (linder louis)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 6.00 9% 10.70    
  (by FROSTED out of LITERATA by READ THE FOOTNOTES)
SCR  L GOLDEN BOY Nov25 Nov04       (padilla )GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 122 6.00    
  (by WEIGELIA out of SPECIAL INCLUDED by INCLUDE)
NATIONAL LAW Sep07 Jul28       (duarte jorge)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 6.00 33% 2.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of SUSIE'S BABY by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
 
PRX-6   12/03/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BAAFEED Sep10 Jul22 Jun26 May29 May08 (guerrero guad)RUIZ ELISEO 122 2.00 63% 0.60    
CATCH MY VIBE Nov26 Nov12 Oct22 Oct08 Sep09 (thompson m)MITCHELL RICHARD 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
SEA TRIDENT Oct22 Sep30 Sep10 Aug28 Jul15 (caban )GONZALEZ JR 122 15.00    
JW'S THIRD MISCHIE Nov20 Oct22 Oct07 Sep24 Sep11 (diaz jor)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 120 4.00 8% 11.60    
ROCKIN FREEBEE Oct29 Sep25 Aug21 Aug01 Jul09 (romero alex)VASQUEZ WILFRED 122 15.00    
POWER AGENDA Nov25 Nov06 Oct30 Oct02 Sep17 (penaloza mig)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 4.50    
PYLON Nov12 Nov05 Oct16 Sep30 Sep18 (rodrigue)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 122 3.00 8% 11.90    
BOOM BOOM KABOOM Nov26 Nov06 Sep11 Sep04 Aug24 (gallimore trev)ORTIZ JOSHUA 112 15.00    
 
PRX-7   12/03/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHUCK WILLIS (IRE) Nov04 Oct05 Sep21 Sep01 Aug18 (ramirez )MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 117 15.00    
WINNING TIME Nov11 Oct28 Jan30 Jan08 Jan03 (crook-demasi)LOPEZ PASCACIO 125 5.00 43% 1.30    
TUSKEGEE AIRMEN Nov04 Oct15 Sep23 Aug21 Aug01 (servis c)PENNINGTON F 122 5.00    
SCR  BOLT OF AURUM Oct28 Sep28 Jul14 Jun08 Nov11 (duarte jorge )TOLEDO JEVIAN 119 4.00    
WINDSOR GOLD Nov02 Oct15 Aug26 Jul23 Jun25 (moore michae)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
DON'T WAIT UP Nov03 Oct15 Oct01 Sep02 Aug08 (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 122 2.50    
ALPINE THUNDER Nov09 Oct12 Aug24 Jul14 Jun30 (padilla esteba)ADORNO ABNER 122 3.50 18% 4.50    
 
PRX-8   12/03/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROAD CALL Nov19 Nov06 Oct07 Sep09 Aug24 (mccasl)GONZALEZ JR 122 12.00    
BIRTHDAY BOND ROB Sep24 Aug24 Jul24 Jul10 Jun26 (brown howar)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 2.50 19% 4.10    
ZONA DE AMIGOS Oct29 Oct21 Oct02 Sep23 May22 (penaloza migue)AGUILAR JEAN 114 15.00    
STRASSE Nov11 Nov04 Oct16 Sep16 Aug27 (mosco rob)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 119 3.50 38% 1.60    
SAM WHEAT Nov22 Nov06 Sep20 Sep03 Aug16 (wyner harold)BOWMAN ADAM 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
BLACKWATER FALLS Nov03 Oct17 Jul21 Jun14 May31 (epley j)LUGO JR 122 20.00    
SOCIAL JOE Oct31 Sep18 Sep07 Aug22 Jul25 (gallimore t)WOLFSONT ANDREW 122 20.00    
KHOPESH Nov19 Nov12 Oct28 Sep16 Sep02 (guerrero)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 114 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  JIGGERY POKERY Nov15 Nov04 Jun26 Jun04 May22 (castillo mi)WILLIAMS AJHARI 119 8.00    
10  MENDELSFLY Nov12 Oct29 Sep20 Aug28 Jun26 (velazquez d)CONNING CRYSTAL 119 4.50 16% 5.40    
11  WHOOSH Nov13 Nov02 Oct19 Oct08 Sep23 (tapsas ilias)HADDOCK DEXTER 125 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.