Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Friday - November 22, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-1   WIN (6/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/5)-(6/4/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/4/5)-(6/4/1/5)-(6/4/1/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/4/5)-(5/1/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/4/5)-(5/1/2/6)-(4/10/9/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PEN-2   WIN (5/1/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/2/6)-(5/1/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/2/6)-(5/1/2/6)-(5/1/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/1/2/6)-(4/10/9/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/1/2/6)-(4/10/9/8)-(3/4/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PEN-3   WIN (4/10/9/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/10/9/8)-(4/10/9/8/11) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/10/9/8)-(4/10/9/8/11)-(4/10/9/8/11) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/10/9/8)-(3/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/10/9/8)-(3/4/2)-(7/3/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PEN-4   WIN (3/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/2)-(3/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/2)-(3/4/2)-(3/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/2)-(7/3/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/4/2)-(7/3/6)-(7/3/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PEN-5   WIN (7/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/3/6)-(7/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/3/6)-(7/3/6)-(7/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/3/6)-(7/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/3/6)-(7/3/4)-(6/8/3/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PEN-6   WIN (7/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/3/4)-(7/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/3/4)-(7/3/4)-(7/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/3/4)-(6/8/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PEN-7   WIN (6/8/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/8/3/4)-(6/8/7/3/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/8/3/4)-(6/8/7/3/4)-(6/8/7/3/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   11/22/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31K) 2 ALL PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOOD FRIDAY MAN         (harigeorgio)INIRIO J 121 6.00 ★    
  (by PAT ON THE BACK out of FRIDAY MASS by REDEEMED)
2  MYCROFT Nov01         (mcclellan erin )BEATO INOEL 121 15.00    
  (by GET STORMY out of SHESANATURALBLONDE by WANDO)
3  QUAMASH         (mcclellan erin)TORRES JOMAR 121 5.00    
  (by MOSLER out of INTO THE EAST by ORIENTATE)
4  EXPLOSIVE LOVE Oct24 Sep19       (stites w)CHIAPPE R 121 2.50 11% 7.90    
  (by VOLATILE out of LAST TRUE LOVE by YES IT'S TRUE)
5  MAVIS MISCHIEF Sep13 Aug20 Jul23     (gallimore t)CONNING CRYSTAL 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by HONEST MISCHIEF out of SWEET MEADOW MIST by D' FUNNYBONE)
6  QUILLING Oct24         (kravets bru)RAMOS O 121 2.00 58% 0.70    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of ITEM by ORIENTATE)
7  AIRMAN TREVOR Nov02 Oct14 Oct07     (gallimore t)WOLFSONT ANDREW 121 4.00    
  (by UNIFIED out of BALBINA by LEMON DROP KID)
 
PEN-2   11/22/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CITIZEN MACK Oct31 Sep20 Aug14 Jul26 Jul12 (mcclellan erin )BEATO INOEL 125 3.50 23% 3.30    
2  CHEERS FOR KITTEN Oct31 Oct10 Sep23 Sep02 Aug16 (rathman e)HERNANDEZ A 121 8.00 14% 6.30    
3  CALLIN MY NAME Oct31 Oct17 Sep26 Aug15 Jul24 (kravets bru)RAMOS O 118 4.00    
4  VESELSKY Nov09 Sep29 Sep08 Aug24 Aug03 (singh somraj)FUENTES ERICK 111 8.00    
5  GREY STREAK Nov13 Oct05 Sep15 Jun29 Jun07 (kreiser c)CORA D 121 2.50 25% 3.00    
6  UNCLE JOCK Oct31 Sep26 Sep11 Aug27 Jul30 (boyer david )VILLEGAS JERRY 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  KBCYA LATER Oct23 Sep29 Sep01 Aug24 Aug03 (beattie cody)CHIAPPE R 121 6.00    
8  EDWARD MADDEN Oct31 Oct11 Aug15 Aug01 Jul11 (iannotti th)CONNING CRYSTAL 121 6.00    
 
PEN-3   11/22/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWEET MAEVE Nov06 Oct24 Sep24 Oct28 Sep26 (o'callahan )RAMOS O 123 8.00    
2  TRECHMO GIRL Nov06 Oct16 Sep11 Aug22 Jul24 (kravets b)HERNANDEZ A 123 15.00    
3  MOST UNUSUAL DAY Nov06 Oct02 Sep14 Aug29 Aug14 (mcclellan erin)TORRES JOMAR 122 5.00    
4  DOLCE VELOCE Oct31 Sep24 Sep02 Aug12 Jul15 (o'callahan carl)BEATO INOEL 120 8.00 34% 1.90    
SCR  DANCING NANCY Nov06 Oct18 Oct12 Sep20 Aug07 (boucher lilith)CHIAPPE R 120 15.00    
SCR  UPTOWN KID Sep18 Aug29 Dec28 Dec14   (albright amy)VILLEGAS JERRY 123 10.00    
7  UPTOWN CHARLY GIRL Oct25 Sep26 Aug29 Aug14 Jul17 (stowers mic)INIRIO J 123 8.00    
8  PENNY POLKA Oct17 Oct01 Aug13 Jul30 Nov17 (rodriguez jose)CEDENO CAROL 123 3.50 9% 10.60    
9  TIME OF OUR LIVES Oct31 Aug21 Aug07 Jul05 Jun27 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 4.00 9% 9.70    
10  KENTUCKY REIGN Nov06 Oct31 Sep27 Sep16 Aug29 (bobadilla f)CORA D 123 6.00 19% 4.30    
11  BANKERS ROSE GOLD Oct26 Oct10 Sep24 Sep10 May23 (lucas bonnie)AGUILAR M 122 4.50 ★    
SCR  CAROLINA SUN Nov02 Oct13 Sep22 Aug28 Jul18 (geralis )VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 123 8.00    
 
PEN-4   11/22/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HENRYTHETHIRD Nov08 Oct23 Sep30 Sep17 Aug28 (moreno-barb)CORUJO LEONARDO 123 4.00    
2  WILL E SUTTON Oct10 Aug23 Jul25 Jul05 Apr16 (moreno tito)BEATO INOEL 123 6.00 6% 14.90    
3  SYNONYM Nov09 Sep20 Aug29 Jul31 Jul11 (mcclellan erin)TORRES JOMAR 123 2.00 52% 0.90    
4  INDIRECTLY Oct25 Sep11 Aug21 Jul25 Jul05 (rathman eli)RAMOS O 125 3.00 17% 4.80    
5  HONORABLE AVENUE Aug13 Jul29 Jul16 Jun11 May27 (o'callaha)RODRIGUEZ R 123 3.50    
6  BONDED (IRE) Oct24 Oct03 Sep18 Aug31 Aug24 (martin r)MENA E 123 8.00    
 
PEN-5   11/22/2024 3960ft DIRT RC6 SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DARK DUTCHESS Nov03 Oct02 Sep13 Aug29 Aug15 (neilson wallac)CEDENO CAROL 120 3.50    
2  FLEETING EMBER Nov07 Sep19 Aug21 Jun27 Jun06 (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 120 8.00    
3  DANCING CHIME Oct31 Aug15 Jul24 Jun27 May17 (houghton thomas)CORA D 120 4.00 10% 8.60    
4  DAKOTA SPRINGS Oct31 Sep10 Aug22 Jul10 Jun18 (houghton thomas)CHIAPPE R 120 12.00    
SCR  WARRIOR'S TREASURE Oct31 Oct09 Sep09 May02 Apr10 (beattie t)HERNANDEZ A 123 2.50    
6  LADY ANNABELLE Oct24 Oct09 Sep24 Aug28 Aug15 (stites flin)INIRIO J 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  EMPRESS ARIANA Mar06 Jan03 Dec12 Nov23   (beattie cody)AGUILAR M 123 4.50 67% 0.50    
8  MY HONEYBUNCH Nov07 Sep27 Sep07 Aug16 Aug09 (spina charles)TORRES JOMAR 120 6.00    
 
PEN-6   11/22/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LADY LANCER Nov14 Oct05 Sep19 Sep05 Aug22 (sepulveda carl)TORRES JOMAR 121 8.00    
SCR  KESTENNA (GB) Oct30 Oct09 Oct01 Sep16 Aug28 (morzan)GONZALEZ JR 121 30.00    
3  WARRIOR BERNICE Oct23 Sep16 Aug30 Jul10 Jun25 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.00 15% 5.80    
4  MY JO JO Oct26 Oct10 Sep19 Aug29 Aug01 (iannotti )CRISPIN ALEXANDER 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  REZQUIA Oct25 Aug30 Aug21 Aug02 Jul18 (o'callahan )RAMOS O 120 3.50    
6  ELEVENMONTHSLATER Oct23 Oct09 Sep16 Aug29 Jul24 (martinez a)CORA D 121 10.00    
7  MO TRAFFIC Nov07 Sep20 Sep05 Jul24 Jun15 (stites w)CHIAPPE R 121 2.50 53% 0.90    
SCR  HIGH FASHION LADY Oct23 Oct02 Aug21 Jul16 Apr22 (morzan javi)VASQUEZ WILFRED 121 20.00    
 
PEN-7   11/22/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HEY WHAT'S UP Oct19 Oct07 Sep03 Aug19 May28 (rosado ro)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 120 12.00    
2  HE'S FANCY FREE Oct24 Oct16 Aug28 Aug16 Jul19 (albright geor)TUNON JORDANO 121 20.00    
3  MAYBE IT'S TIME Nov08 Sep21 Aug24 Jul19 Jun28 (gorham michael )MENA E 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  GRATED COCONUT Oct16 Sep25 Jul19 Jun24 May12 (rathman eli)RAMOS O 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  LUCKY LUCKY LUKE Oct19 Sep24 Aug17 Jul24 Jun28 (sanchez-pinero )OTERO AAROM 111 6.00    
6  MISCHIEF WARRIOR Nov08 Oct23 Oct16 Oct02 Sep18 (kulp l)TORRES JOMAR 121 3.00 64% 0.60    
7  BAG OF GOLD Oct24 Aug30 Aug16 Jul11 Jun26 (moreno ti)RODRIGUEZ R 118 4.00 ★    
8  ARMY CADET Oct25 Oct10 Sep20 Aug31 Aug21 (shankle)ORTIZ ORLANDO 121 5.00 13% 6.40    
SCR  MUSKOKA GIANT Nov08 Oct24 Aug30 Jul25 Jul10 (beattie sand)SALAZAR TERESA 114 30.00    
10  UNCLE EDDIE Oct31 Sep27 Aug30 Jul11 Jun12 (moreno-barban l)BEATO INOEL 122 4.50    
11  SPELLED WELL Oct31 May13 Apr17 Mar21 Mar06 (moreno tito)INIRIO J 121 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.