Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Delta Downs
Wednesday - November 13, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

DED-1   WIN (6/8/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/8/4/7)-(6/8/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/8/4/7)-(6/8/4/7)-(6/8/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/8/4/7)-(10/8/2/4/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/8/4/7)-(10/8/2/4/6)-(1/2/4/3/5) 100 $1.00 $100 
DED-2   WIN (10/8/2/4/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/8/2/4/6)-(10/8/2/4/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/8/2/4/6)-(10/8/2/4/6)-(10/8/2/4/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/8/2/4/6)-(1/2/4/3/5) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (10/8/2/4/6)-(1/2/4/3/5)-(11/4/1/7/9) 125 $1.00 $125 
DED-3   WIN (1/2/4/3/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/2/4/3/5)-(1/2/4/3/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/2/4/3/5)-(1/2/4/3/5)-(1/2/4/3/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/2/4/3/5)-(11/4/1/7/9) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (1/2/4/3/5)-(11/4/1/7/9)-(5/1/2/9/8) 125 $1.00 $125 
DED-4   WIN (11/4/1/7/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (11/4/1/7/9)-(11/4/1/7/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (11/4/1/7/9)-(11/4/1/7/9)-(11/4/1/7/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (11/4/1/7/9)-(5/1/2/9/8) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (11/4/1/7/9)-(5/1/2/9/8)-(3/5/4/8) 100 $1.00 $100 
DED-5   WIN (5/1/2/9/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/1/2/9/8)-(5/1/2/9/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/1/2/9/8)-(5/1/2/9/8)-(5/1/2/9/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/1/2/9/8)-(3/5/4/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/1/2/9/8)-(3/5/4/8)-(6/3/7/4) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
DED-6   WIN (3/5/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/4/8)-(3/5/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/4/8)-(3/5/4/8)-(3/5/4/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/5/4/8)-(6/3/7/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/5/4/8)-(6/3/7/4)-(9/10/2/7/5) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
DED-7   WIN (6/3/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/7/4)-(6/3/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/7/4)-(6/3/7/4)-(6/3/7/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/3/7/4)-(9/10/2/7/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
DED-8   WIN (9/10/2/7/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/10/2/7/5)-(9/10/2/7/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/10/2/7/5)-(9/10/2/7/5)-(9/10/2/7/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
DED-1   11/13/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOBOT Oct29 Sep17 Aug07 Jun05 Mar20 (ramirez ju)RAMIREZ JR 116 4.00    
IT'S A BIRD Oct25 Aug15 Jul04 Jun13 May18 (larrosa)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 117 5.00    
SCR  SHANKINSTINE Oct25 Oct12 May07 Mar07 Feb18 (ramirez e)STOKES J 117 15.00    
BRILLIANT COLORS Oct12 Sep20 Sep08 Aug26 Aug03 (gonzalez v)BIRZER E 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  GOLDUSTER Aug03 May31 May08 Apr12 Feb10 (alberto ant)SANTIAGO EDWARD 115 6.00    
HANKS Aug14 Jun29 Jun08 May17 May03 (delany sarah)BARRERA J 120 1.80 57% 0.80    
QUARTER RAT Oct25 Sep11 Aug15 Jul04 Jun13 (reeves jeffe)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
TAYSOM Oct23 Sep10 Aug19 Aug06 Jul24 (degeyter ra)MELANCON JANSEN 118 8.00 16% 5.20    
 
DED-2   11/13/2024 3300ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($44K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAKEOVER QUEEN Oct10 Jan19 Nov17 Nov04   (chatters be)SANTIAGO EDWARD 113 15.00    
TENSAS LU LU Oct17 Aug23 Jul06 Jun21 May19 (ramirez-rodrig)THORNTON G 120 3.50 6% 16.70    
CAJUN CATALINA Oct17 Aug10 Jun29 May24 May09 (thomas )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 4.50    
SUZY DOLL'S READY Oct12 Aug10 Jul12 Jun21 May24 (ward ronnie)MELANCON JANSEN 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
GOTTEMINABIND Aug23 May20 Apr27 Apr12 Feb23 (larrosa juan)BARRERA J 120 15.00    
MISS TARGET Oct17 Sep04 Nov16 Nov01 Oct12 (shamsie mike)LOZADA CARLOS 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
BIND ON EARTH Oct17 Sep10 Aug17 Jul13 Jun20 (ramirez eduardo)POMPELL L 120 8.00    
TWO JET Oct17 Sep25 Aug20 Aug05 Jul13 (gibson)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 6.00 18% 4.60    
SARAH'S COURT Oct29 Aug15 Jul18 Jun13 May10 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 12.00    
10  CANKTON'S COWGIRL Oct17 Aug23 Jul27 Jun29 May31 (landry ray)FUSILIER C 118 3.00 52% 0.90    
 
DED-3   11/13/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($43K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LORD HARMONY Oct16 Aug24 Jan19 Dec27   (breaux samue)BARRERA J 122 4.00 47% 1.10    
  (by LORD NELSON out of SOFTLY SINGING by HOLY BULL)
LA NINA DORADA         (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 122 5.00 16% 5.40    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of FLAWLESS GOLD by GOLD TRIBUTE)
SHE'S GOT A SECRET Aug22         (morrell cynthi)PEREZ CARLOS 117 12.00 6% 15.80    
  (by SECRET CIRCLE out of MY GAL CHARLENE by MY PAL CHARLIE)
LIGHT FACE Jun22 May31 May10 Apr18 Feb24 (perron gerard)FUSILIER C 122 3.00 9% 10.20    
  (by INTERACTIF out of LEROY'S SALTINE by LEROIDESANIMAUX (BRZ))
LA DEAL         (cormier car)SANTIAGO EDWARD 117 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by EL DEAL out of ATLANTA BREEZE by SWING LORD)
KISSTER Oct16 Jul25 Jul12 May31 May14 (ward ro)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 124 6.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of KISS A YANKEE by YANKEE GENTLEMAN)
C. F. TINNY DEAL Oct29         (ali an)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 12.00    
  (by EL DEAL out of BELLAMY ROADSTER by BELLAMY ROAD)
AUBREE'S HALO Oct29 Sep04       (schultz terry)LOZADA CARLOS 122 20.00    
  (by TAKEOVER TARGET out of ESTHER CARL by SEFAPIANO)
GIRL FROM DE BAYOU May22 Apr13 Feb23     (roberts roy)RAMIREZ PAULINA 122 6.00    
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of DOUBLE DOSE by DEVON LANE)
10  F J'S CHAOS Aug24 Feb24 Feb03 Dec29 Nov30 (maturin chad)STOKES J 122 8.00    
  (by BRETHREN out of MYSTIC BLUE by GOLD SAGA)
SCR  DOUBLE CUTE Oct23         (zenon shelton)ARANA KELVIN 117 15.00    
  (by IDE LIKE A DOUBLE out of YOUJUSTCANTBETER by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
 
DED-4   11/13/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUCKY MOON DOG Oct18 Sep18 Jul29 Nov25 Oct26 (johnson henry )MUNOZ SERGIO 119 6.00 15% 5.70    
KIT KAT KIDD Oct23 Aug03 May24 Apr19 Mar08 (knudsen kent)ROSIER R 124 12.00    
SCR  BYATHREAD Aug03 Jul11 Jun21 May29 Apr17 (zenon charles)STOKES J 124 15.00    
CAJUN CYCLONE Oct23 Aug17 Aug01 Jul20 Jun21 (mojica )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 2.50 24% 3.20    
G'S STORM Oct18 Sep02 Aug14 Jul30 Jun24 (dixon )GUERRERO ANDRES 124 8.00    
ITELLYOUTHEFACTS Aug03 Jul02 Jun07 May20 May04 (govea cesa)RAMIREZ JR 119 12.00    
OLDER AND WISER Jun28 May29 May10 Apr17 Mar08 (woodley j)FUSILIER C 124 4.00 10% 9.00    
SCR  HALF A BUCK Sep02 Aug14 Jul30 Jun24 Jun04 (pedigo randy)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 5.00    
HEZA SEXY ZONG Oct23 Jun21 Jun08 May29 May18 (dison phill)MELANCON JANSEN 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
10  HOLIDAY DIAMOND Aug22 Jun07 May23 May10 Apr19 (nichols bes)LEDET THEODRICK 124 15.00    
11  FLAT OUT RUNNER Oct23 Aug27 Aug13 Jun15 May23 (ramirez-rodrig)THORNTON G 122 3.50 25% 2.90    
SCR  STONE ALLIANCE Jul18 Jun07 May23 Apr10 Mar06 (zenon charles)STOKES J 124 15.00    
 
DED-5   11/13/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BERTIE'S CAUSE Oct26 Jun23 May17 Apr27 Mar24 (ramirez-rodrigu)MCMAHON J 120 4.50 6% 15.80    
SIENNA BREEZE Oct30 Jul27 May11 Feb21 Jan15 (rosier charles)ROSIER R 117 20.00 5% 19.00    
ACELA EXPRESS Sep02 Aug16 Jun03 May10 Apr16 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 120 6.00    
EMITYAAZ Oct23 Sep12 Aug20 Aug04 Jul25 (ward ronnie)PEREZ CARLOS 115 15.00    
FLAWLESS TAKEOVER Oct19 Sep03 Jun07 May17 Apr20 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 117 4.00 61% 0.60    
BOLD EXAGGERATION Oct17 Aug28 Aug02 Jun07 May13 (delany sarah)BARRERA J 124 2.50    
AKIANE'S SOLDIER Oct26 Sep09 Aug17 Aug03 Jul25 (boxie s)FUSILIER C 117 15.00    
MISCHIEF ANGEL Oct17 Sep23 Sep11 Aug24 Jun30 (rangel raul)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SHOW ME THE CANDY Oct30 Aug28 Jun12 May21 Apr14 (bryant g)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
10  MISS DARLENE Nov01 Jul20 Jun27 May22 May03 (ward ronnie)MELANCON JANSEN 120 6.00    
 
DED-6   11/13/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AFFIRM CHIEF Oct23 Feb21 Dec20 Nov17 Nov03 (robbins ra)RAMIREZ JR 119 12.00    
HOSTILE AFLEET Oct23 Oct12 Jun16 May10 Apr18 (larrosa jua)MELANCON JANSEN 121 6.00    
SAMMY DANSEUR JR. Oct30 Oct11 Jun29 Jun16 May23 (ramirez-rodrig)THORNTON G 121 4.50 44% 1.30    
FAHAN Oct19 Jul06 Jun15 May22 May03 (noel dane)POMPELL L 124 5.00 9% 10.80    
SADIE'S LIGHT May09 Apr18 Dec14 Nov29 Nov01 (averett ronn)BARRERA J 121 2.50 14% 6.10    
BAYOU JAM Jul13 Jun29 Jun07 May11 Apr13 (bourgeois ke)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 3.50    
SIR ELI Sep26 Sep14 Aug30 Aug11 Feb01 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 124 15.00    
MILITARY BEARING Oct26 Sep25 Sep09 Jul10 Jun05 (rivera nestor)RENGIFO JOHAN 124 8.00 6% 15.70    
 
DED-7   11/13/2024 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($38K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MAJESTIC WAYS May27 May03 Apr06 Feb17 Jan18 (gelner j)MCMAHON J 120 3.50    
FIRED UP TIGER Sep14 May11 Apr05 Mar02 Dec08 (devereux p)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 4.50    
ANOTHER HOT MESS Jun08 Apr05 Feb16 Jan18 Dec09 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 120 8.00 24% 3.10    
TWIRLING TIGRESS Aug22 Aug10 Mar15 Mar01 Feb10 (nelson eric )DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
TIPSY GAL Nov01 Oct09 Sep14 Sep05 Nov04 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 120 5.00    
MY FRIEND AMY Sep20 Jul24 Jun16 May27 May03 (gelner jayde)BARRERA J 120 2.00 33% 2.00    
LADY DREAMER Jul20 Jun07 Apr26 Mar01 Jan05 (briley lonnie)VARGAS P 120 6.00 10% 9.00    
 
DED-8   11/13/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  KATS PICK May06 Apr07 Feb22 Feb11 Nov23 (gonzalez v)FUSILIER C 121 20.00    
CHIEF HARLAN Oct19 Sep03 Aug19 Jul29 Jul02 (zenon shelton)ARANA KELVIN 119 3.50 10% 9.30    
BRANDON'S BEST Oct29 Sep23 Sep04     (nelson eric )DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 15.00    
VELOCIDAD Nov01 Oct12 Aug24 Aug01   (escobar alis)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 12.00    
MALIBU MONEY Sep17 Sep03 Aug10 Jul02 Jun19 (mojica)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
WATCH THE COAST Oct16 Jun13 May29 May08 Apr17 (ramirez eduard)PEREZ CARLOS 114 8.00    
WHATDIDWEDO Oct19 Aug22 Aug01 May18 Feb25 (latour )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 2.50 7% 13.60    
ASTRONEER Oct29 Sep11 Aug26 Jul29 Sep03 (garcia luis)MUNOZ SERGIO 116 20.00    
ICETECA Aug24 Jul27 Jul04 Apr27 Mar16 (leblanc richa)VARGAS P 124 6.00 30% 2.40    
10  MY UNCLE BILLY Oct19 Aug10 Jul25 Jun13 May29 (bernard john)RENGIFO JOHAN 124 4.50 27% 2.70    
SCR  MISTERHOLYROLLER May02 Apr17 Mar16 Feb24 Feb13 (gomez ra)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 119 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.