Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Friday - October 25, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-1   WIN (2/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/1)-(2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/1)-(4/7/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/5/1)-(4/7/1/6)-(9/4/5/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PEN-2   WIN (4/7/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/1/6)-(4/7/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7/1/6)-(4/7/1/6)-(4/7/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/7/1/6)-(9/4/5/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/7/1/6)-(9/4/5/3)-(1/4/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PEN-3   WIN (9/4/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/4/5/3)-(9/4/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/4/5/3)-(9/4/5/3)-(9/4/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/4/5/3)-(1/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (9/4/5/3)-(1/4/5)-(2/8/9/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PEN-4   WIN (1/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/5)-(1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/5)-(2/8/9/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/4/5)-(2/8/9/1)-(6/1/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PEN-5   WIN (2/8/9/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/8/9/1)-(2/8/9/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/8/9/1)-(2/8/9/1)-(2/8/9/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/8/9/1)-(6/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/8/9/1)-(6/1/3)-(3/4/1/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PEN-6   WIN (6/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/3)-(6/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/3)-(6/1/3)-(6/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/3)-(3/4/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PEN-7   WIN (3/4/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/1/5)-(3/4/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/1/5)-(3/4/1/5)-(3/4/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   10/25/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NEVER SO LUCKY (IRE) Sep20 Aug29 Aug16 Aug01 Jul18 (harigeorgiou konstan)CORA D 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  MAJOR HOULIHAN Sep13 Aug18 Jul26 Jun29 Jun16 (mcmahon d)RODRIGUEZ R 121 2.50 57% 0.70    
3  FILTERED LIGHT Oct09 Aug30 Jul26 Jul04 Jun18 (moreno tito)BEATO INOEL 121 5.00    
4  GUN RUNNIN' GAL Sep02 Aug19 Jul27 Jun13 May18 (gonzalez claud)MARIN SAMUEL 121 3.00    
5  DIVINE ROMANCE Oct09 Sep28 Sep15 Aug14 Jul24 (kravets bru)RAMOS O 121 4.00 14% 6.00    
6  MADELINE'S GROGU Aug24 Aug03 Jul17 May26 May18 (spina charles)TORRES JOMAR 121 3.50    
 
PEN-2   10/25/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BELLA PRIMA Sep28 Sep20 Aug18 Jul12 May04 (kravets bru)RAMOS O 121 4.00 7% 13.70    
2  NO EASY ANSWER Sep08 Aug14 Jul29 Jul13 May24 (mcclellan erin)TORRES JOMAR 121 4.50    
3  LA TOURISTA Mar13 Jan11 Dec06 Nov18 Oct01 (pino mich)RODRIGUEZ R 121 4.00    
4  TAM CHAR Nov02 Oct14 Sep09 Aug26 Jun10 (gorham michael )MENA E 121 3.50 33% 2.00    
5  STASSI Oct08 Sep10 Jul11 May08 Mar07 (houghton thomas)CORA D 121 3.00    
6  CARLY HUSTLE Sep22 Aug28 Aug21 Aug08 Jul19 (salinas jose)AGUILAR M 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  UTTERLY ENCHANTING Oct12 Sep27 Sep14 Aug24 Jul03 (mancilla carl)TOLEDO JEVIAN 121 6.00 31% 2.30    
 
PEN-3   10/25/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TWIXTER Oct07 Sep11 Aug31 Aug23 Aug08 (bobadilla f)CORA D 123 8.00    
SCR  I AM THAT I AM Oct10 Sep20 Aug31 Aug23 Jul27 (jones )LOPEZ EDUARDO 123 5.00    
3  INDIRECTLY Sep11 Aug21 Jul25 Jul05 Jun13 (rathman eli)WOLFSONT ANDREW 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  TWO THIRTY FIVE Sep20 Aug17 Jun26 May30 Feb22 (simoff an)HERNANDEZ A 123 4.00 11% 7.80    
5  CRAFTY DON Sep30 Sep08 Aug24 Aug03 Jul13 (perez ruperto )AGUILAR JEAN 118 6.00 6% 16.80    
6  PURPLE SHIRT Sep11 Aug08 Aug01 Jul25 Jul12 (harigeorgio)BURNHAM MATILDA 116 30.00    
7  CARNIVORE Oct07 Sep25 Sep09 Aug21 Aug03 (diaz jor)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 118 8.00    
SCR  ZOOMER Oct04 Sep07 Aug23 Jul26 Jul05 (graci a)AGUILAR M 123 3.00    
9  BIG BEAUTIFUL WALL Oct03 Sep17 Sep05 Jul25 Jul17 (dunham be)RODRIGUEZ R 123 6.00 58% 0.70    
 
PEN-4   10/25/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DUBAI FIRE Oct02 Sep12 Aug23 Aug03 Mar08 (beecher m)RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.00 36% 1.80    
2  DOUBLE NICKEL Oct09 Sep21 Sep13 Aug08 Jul31 (kravets bru)RAMOS O 122 1.80    
3  GRUMPY BROOKSIE Aug30 Aug23 Aug08 Jul18 Jul03 (fields kevin)FLORES E 120 4.00    
4  DELETED VIDEO Sep16 Aug30 Jun29 Jun08 May23 (crane clovis)CORA D 120 4.50 16% 5.20    
5  SHARP SENSATION Sep24 Jul26 Jul02 Feb06 Dec27 (mccaslin jo)SALGADO ANTHONY 123 8.00 6% 16.70    
6  NOTORIOUS REY Aug08 Jul26 Jul03 May29 May16 (ippolito mark)BEATO INOEL 123 15.00    
 
PEN-5   10/25/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NINJA KITTY Aug01 Jul03       (stites w)CHIAPPE R 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  CHAIN LIGHTNING Sep12         (crook-dem)HERNANDEZ A 122 3.00 41% 1.40    
3  MUSIC BOX DANCER Aug26 Aug16 Sep15 Aug25 Aug02 (houghton thomas)CORA D 122 5.00    
4  KALAHARI NOT SORRY Feb06         (crook-demas)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 10.00    
5  MALIBU KNIGHT Sep09 Jul12       (rathman e)VARGAS L 122 12.00    
6  WILD NUGGET Oct03 Sep01       (synnefias d)RAMOS O 122 4.00    
SCR  NORTHERN CARDINAL Oct11 Sep15 Sep04 Jul27 Jul07 (mcmahon d)RODRIGUEZ R 122 6.00    
8  SANDY'S REFUGEE Aug01 Jul12 Jun18 May29   (carpio erin)BEATO INOEL 122 4.50 30% 2.30    
9  NONE THE WISER Sep06 Aug17 Jul26 Jun07   (allen ferris)TORRES JOMAR 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
PEN-6   10/25/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MUCHO MACHO MRYTLE Sep28 Sep19 Aug25 Aug02 Jul24 (mancilla carl)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 3.50 29% 2.50    
SCR  BELLA MAMA Oct04 Sep11 Aug28 Jul27 Jul09 (deiter kelly)TROTMAN KEIMAR 120 2.50    
3  LET'S GO MO Oct01 Aug30 Aug22 Aug02 Jul18 (miller marl)ROBLES O 116 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  FOXEY G Oct05 Aug30 Aug21 Jul26 Jul17 (kravets bru)RAMOS O 120 6.00    
5  UPTOWN CHARLY GIRL Sep26 Aug29 Aug14 Jul17 Jun20 (stowers michelle)FLORES E 123 4.00    
6  REZQUIA Aug30 Aug21 Aug02 Jul18 Jun20 (o'callahan )SALGADO ANTHONY 120 2.00 33% 2.10    
 
PEN-7   10/25/2024 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MR. REDOLFO Sep12 Aug16 Jul26 Jun20 Oct17 (lawrence james)TORRES JOMAR 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  SOCIALLY AWKWARD Sep18 Dec27 Dec07 Nov10   (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 6.00    
3  DIVINE CHILD Oct12 Sep21 Aug23 Jul19 Jun21 (mancilla carl)TOLEDO JEVIAN 120 2.00 63% 0.60    
4  BOUNTEOUS (IRE) Sep25 Aug17 Aug07 Jun27 May17 (arriagada ju)BATISTA A 120 3.00 9% 10.00    
5  BRADY Aug21 Jun11 May17 Mar22 Feb22 (rodriguez fra)DIAZ VLADIMIR 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  TACTICAL HUMOR Aug28 Aug16 Aug08 Jul25 Jul10 (kreiser tim)RAMOS O 120 3.00    
7  WE'RE EVEN Aug16 Jul19 May30 May17 May03 (stites p)CORA D 123 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.