Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mountaineer Park
Sunday - October 13, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MNR-1   WIN (8/1/5/2/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/1/5/2/7)-(8/1/5/2/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    DD (8/1/5/2/7)-(6/1/4/8/2) 25 $2.00 $50.00 
MNR-2   WIN (6/1/4/8/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/1/4/8/2)-(6/1/4/8/2) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    TRI (6/1/4/8/2)-(6/1/4/8/2)-(6/1/4/8/2) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
    DD (6/1/4/8/2)-(7/1/5/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/1/4/8/2)-(7/1/5/3)-(2/6/1/9) 80 $2.00 $160 
MNR-3   WIN (7/1/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/5/3)-(7/1/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    DD (7/1/5/3)-(2/6/1/9) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
MNR-4   WIN (2/6/1/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/1/9)-(2/6/1/9/10) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    TRI (2/6/1/9)-(2/6/1/9/10)-(2/6/1/9/10) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
    DD (2/6/1/9)-(7/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
MNR-5   WIN (7/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/4/5)-(7/4/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/5)-(7/4/5)-(7/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
MNR-6   WIN (1/9/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/9/8/4)-(1/9/8/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (1/9/8/4)-(1/9/8/4)-(1/9/8/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (1/9/8/4)-(5/1/6)-(5/1/8/3/6) 60 $2.00 $120 
MNR-7   WIN (5/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/6)-(5/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (5/1/6)-(5/1/8/3/6) 15 $2.00 $30.00 
MNR-8   WIN (5/1/8/3/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/1/8/3/6)-(5/1/8/3/6) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    TRI (5/1/8/3/6)-(5/1/8/3/6)-(5/1/8/3/6) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MNR-1   10/13/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.5K) 2 F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CALCETINES Sep26 Aug29 Jun29 Jun04 May27 (fernandez kelly)SERPA ANGEL 118 3.50 29% 2.50    
  (by CLUBHOUSE RIDE out of MEAN MAGGIE MAY by MALIBU MOON)
2  LA MEDUSA Aug28 Aug01 Jul18 Jun15 May25 (fernandez a)YARANGA Y 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by UNIFIED out of STORMY ENCOUNTER by FED BIZ)
3  REVOCATA Sep30 Sep16       (silva pabl)NEGRON LUIS 118 6.00    
  (by BEE JERSEY out of UNCHECKED by UNBRIDLED)
4  MS ABIGAIL Sep30 Aug09 Jul14     (figueroa rol)VILCHEZ MAIKOL 113 15.00    
  (by NEOLITHIC out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
5  BUXTEHUDE         (johnson jennif)GILBERT KYLE 118 10.00 9% 9.80    
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of STREET LINE by STREET CRY (IRE))
6  MIMA PRINCESS Sep30 Aug25 Jun17 May29   (bouali wa)HERNANDEZ H 118 15.00    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of IDERATHERBLUCKY by IDE)
7  STREET LASS Sep30 Sep16 Jun08 May24 May03 (stanoszek sara)WHITACRE B 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of FAIR POINT by SMART STRIKE)
8  BETH ALMIGHTY         (connelly ter)GONZALEZ KEVIN 118 1.60 40% 1.50    
  (by CATALINA CRUISER out of GREATEST REWARD by GRAND REWARD)
9  SAN LINO Sep26         (chapma)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 5.00    
  (by TOM'S D'ETAT out of BALLADE'S GIRL by SAINT BALLADO)
 
MNR-2   10/13/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SIMPLY JACK Jul27 Jun27 May31 May10 Apr26 (farrior antho)BARBARAN ERIK 120 6.00 12% 7.30    
2  EVENT PARTY Oct01 Sep18 Sep08 Aug20 Jul05 (clouston edward)PAUCAR E 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  LOTS OF MISCHIEF Sep24 Sep01 Aug07 Jul14 Jun30 (clouston edw)TAPARA BRANDON 120 6.00    
4  ALTMEISTER Sep23 Sep08 Aug21 Jul29 Jul03 (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 120 5.00 10% 9.40    
5  NOBLE UNION Sep29 Sep08 Aug13 Dec15 Nov25 (silva pablo)WHITACRE B 123 6.00    
6  CARPE BELLUM Sep25 Sep08 Aug26 Jul16 Jul01 (silva pabl)NEGRON LUIS 120 3.00 50% 1.00    
7  THISPOINTINTIME Sep18 Sep04 Aug17 Aug08 Jul19 (figueroa cesar )SERPA ANGEL 120 8.00    
8  VORTEX (GB) Sep18 Sep01 Aug07 Jul16 Jun26 (barker jame)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
9  SAILOR'S CHANCE Sep28 Sep05 Aug22 Jul31 Jul18 (donjua)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 6.00    
10  JACK'S DREAM Sep25 Sep08 Aug21 Jul30 Dec14 (spiess shane)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 50.00    
 
MNR-3   10/13/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BAD KARMA Sep25 Sep02 Jul28 Jun26 Jun09 (mcdonald w)WEATHERLY BAILEY 123 4.50 26% 2.90    
2  RUNAWAY MOM Oct01 Sep17 Sep04 Aug20 Aug06 (stanoszek sara)DAVILA M 123 15.00    
3  OUT OF ROMANCE Sep25 Sep02 Aug07 Jul17 Oct25 (howard william)GILBERT KYLE 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  BEE WINGS Sep17 Sep09 Aug25 Aug14 Aug06 (montano wilf)TAPARA BRANDON 123 4.00    
5  I MATTER Sep17 Sep04 Aug06 Jul16 Jun09 (howard wi)HERNANDEZ H 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  STATE OF GRACE Sep04 Aug21 Jul17 Jul02 Jun13 (norris stephani)YARANGA Y 123 8.00    
7  WICCA WISDOM Jul14 Jul06 Jun21 May18 Apr12 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 123 0.80 46% 1.20    
 
MNR-4   10/13/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($4K) Purse ($7.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DEGAGE Sep23 Sep10       (murtough steph)GILBERT KYLE 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  CASSOULET Sep30 Sep17 Sep02 Aug13 Jul29 (ccamaque )HERNANDEZ H 118 4.00 53% 0.90    
3  SAHISH Sep18 Aug25 Aug13 May04 Apr17 (cordero-)GONZALEZ HENDERSON 118 4.50    
SCR  PAUL'S TRICKY TALE Nov01 Oct12 Sep22 Sep07 Aug09 (yovano)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 6.00    
5  QUEENS RIOT Sep30 Sep17 Aug25 Aug13 Jul31 (stanoszek sara)DAVILA M 123 8.00    
6  NOUVEAU RICHE Aug18 Jul21 Jun30 May18 Dec07 (corder)RODRIGUEZ A 108 2.50 18% 4.70    
7  RAG TOWN Aug25 Aug13 Jul31 Jul23 May12 (brown t)WHITACRE B 123 20.00    
8  JANES HOPE Sep03 Aug05 Jul16 Oct25 Oct10 (meals lois)VEGA L 123 15.00    
9  BLOSSOM DIVA Oct04 Sep12 Aug29 Aug07 Jun28 (quezada in)WEATHERLY BAILEY 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
10  DANDY DAY Sep30 Jul31 Jul15 Jul08 Jun25 (montano wilfrid)NEGRON LUIS 118 12.00 ★    
SCR  FLAT OUT FAY Sep26 Aug23 Aug15 Aug01 Jul24 (cambray andr)HEBERT LINDSEY 123 6.00    
 
MNR-5   10/13/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($18.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOUTHERN SENSE Sep29 Aug26 Aug12 Jul21 Jul08 (silva pabl)NEGRON LUIS 120 8.00    
2  EL CARDINAL Sep29 Sep17 Aug26 Aug11 Jul23 (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 120 3.00    
3  MEAN TWEETS Sep18 Sep04 Aug19 Jul30 Jul02 (allen lisa)WEATHERLY BAILEY 120 4.00    
4  STUBBORNKINDAFELLA Sep17 Jun02 Apr30 Mar27 Mar06 (sanders meli)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 3.50 19% 4.20    
5  RED HURRICANE Jan08 Dec04 Oct30 Oct04 Sep05 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 120 6.00 11% 8.00    
SCR  FAR WEST May20 Apr30 Feb21 Feb07 Jan19 (silva jua)HERNANDEZ H 120 20.00    
7  BIG FIG Sep25 Sep03 Jul16 Jun19 Jun10 (rivera xavie)BELISARIO JUAN 113 2.50 29% 2.50    
 
MNR-6   10/13/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UP IN ARMS Oct01 Sep16 Sep04 Aug27 Aug09 (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 120 4.00 65% 0.50    
SCR  SO RED THE ROSE Sep27 Sep17 Aug13 Jun21 Apr06 (obed-letts k)TAPARA BRANDON 123 12.00    
SCR  LA BRODY Sep17 Sep04 Aug21 Aug05 Jul10 (lawrence dal)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 3.00    
4  MARKET OF STOCKS Sep25 Sep04 Aug16 Jul25 Jul17 (rodak geraldine)YARANGA Y 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  YESTERDAYSPLAN Oct01 Sep17 Aug27 Aug20 Jul17 (inman l)WHITACRE B 123 4.00    
6  MYRA FLEENER Sep30 Sep22 Sep03 Aug21 Aug06 (lopez e)VEGA L 120 5.00    
7  NOT OVER YET Sep29 Sep12 Aug22 Aug12 Jul02 (urieta johanna)NEGRON LUIS 121 5.00    
8  FORGLO Oct01 Sep16 Sep04 Aug20 Aug05 (stanoszek sara)DAVILA M 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
9  HONEY BOURBON Sep17 Sep04 Aug25 Aug06 Jul10 (ramgee)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
10  YOU'RE A DANDY Jul02 May05 Apr14 Mar30 Dec03 (aguirre r)TAPARA LUIS 120 20.00    
 
MNR-7   10/13/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($21.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MARKHAMIAN Sep30 Mar05 Jan15     (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 120 4.00 31% 2.30    
2  LORD ANTE Sep01 Aug11 Jul16 Jul02 Jun17 (cluley denn)BARRIOS RICARDO 118 2.00    
3  READY FOR ACTION Sep26 Sep07 Jul24 Jul13 Jun22 (douaihy mi)CARPIO J 118 8.00    
SCR  BRADFIELD BABY Sep18 Sep03 Jul10 Jun12 May15 (rivera xavie)BELISARIO JUAN 113 10.00    
5  SHARP AZ CAN BE Sep16 Jul24 Jun11 May20 Apr25 (urieta johanna)NEGRON LUIS 118 3.00 40% 1.50    
6  DANELAND Sep22 Sep08 Aug13 Jul17 Jun26 (norris steph)TAPARA BRANDON 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  EE YAH Sep25 Jun20 Feb11 Apr21 Mar23 (ocasio osvaldo)JURADO EDDIE 120 6.00    
 
MNR-8   10/13/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FREE SMOKE Sep29 Sep08 Aug27 Aug13 Jul17 (cordero-l)HERNANDEZ H 120 2.50 24% 3.20    
2  THENAME OF THEGAME Sep26 Aug31 Aug24 Aug16 Jul18 (mancil)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 5.00    
3  HIALEAH NATIVE Sep29 Sep08 Aug14 Jul29 Jun27 (silva pabl)NEGRON LUIS 120 12.00 12% 7.60    
4  EL DUQUE Sep29 Sep04 Jul29 Jul08 Jun05 (ccamaque marc)BARBARAN ERIK 120 30.00    
5  ROYALLY BITTER Oct02 Sep14 Aug31 Jul06 Jun21 (pinzon maria)SERPA ANGEL 123 1.40 27% 2.70    
6  JONES FALLS Sep29 Sep08 Aug14 Jul29 Jul08 (gilbert julia)GILBERT KYLE 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CHICA CHUCK Oct03 Sep12 Aug31 Aug09 Jun15 (maldonado jo)TAPARA BRANDON 118 8.00    
8  RUSH CENTER Sep29 Sep12 Aug22 Aug01 Jun16 (cloust)RODRIGUEZ A 110 8.00 14% 6.00    
9  TAPAWAY Sep08 Aug26 Aug07 Jul24 Jun29 (vickers ri)WEATHERLY BAILEY 120 50.00    
10  KALINBA Oct06 Apr03 Mar26 Mar18 Feb29 (cordero-lope)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.