Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Presque Isle Downs
Thursday - October 10, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PID-1   WIN (4/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/3)-(4/5/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/3)-(4/5/3)-(4/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/3)-(2/6/5/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (4/5/3)-(2/6/5/7)-(3/6/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PID-2   WIN (2/6/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/5/7)-(2/6/5/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (2/6/5/7)-(2/6/5/7)-(2/6/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/6/5/7)-(3/6/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (2/6/5/7)-(3/6/4)-(2/4/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PID-3   WIN (3/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/4)-(3/6/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/4)-(3/6/4)-(3/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/4)-(2/4/3) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (3/6/4)-(2/4/3)-(9/7/8) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PID-4   WIN (2/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/3)-(2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/3)-(9/7/8) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (2/4/3)-(9/7/8)-(2/4/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PID-5   WIN (9/7/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/7/8)-(9/7/8/5/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (9/7/8)-(9/7/8/5/1)-(9/7/8/5/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (9/7/8)-(2/4/1) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (9/7/8)-(2/4/1)-(5/8/9/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PID-6   WIN (2/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/1)-(2/4/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/1)-(2/4/1)-(2/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/1)-(5/8/9/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (2/4/1)-(5/8/9/1)-(10/5/1/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PID-7   WIN (5/8/9/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/8/9/1)-(5/8/9/1/3) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    TRI (5/8/9/1)-(5/8/9/1/3)-(5/8/9/1/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/8/9/1)-(10/5/1/4) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
PID-8   WIN (10/5/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/5/1/4)-(10/5/1/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (10/5/1/4)-(10/5/1/4)-(10/5/1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PID-1   10/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNRAPTURED Sep24 Aug29 Jul29 Jul04 Jun04 (rogers mich)MORALES PABLO 122 4.50    
2  CALL ME LATER Sep24 Sep09 Aug07 Apr28 Dec12 (russell )MARTINEZ A 122 2.50    
3  WOODCHUCK Aug21 Aug07 Jul15 Jun26 Jun10 (rogers mic)AYALA J 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
4  CROSSTOWN SHOOTOUT Sep20 Jul15 Jun10 Apr21 Mar08 (ramsey n)GALLARDO A 122 1.40 59% 0.70    
5  BANYAN BREEZE Aug10 Jul01 Jun12 Nov15 Oct19 (tasso mark)CAMILO D 122 3.50 13% 6.40    
 
PID-2   10/10/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 2 F PT- 3:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COMMEMORATIVE         (motion h)MARTINEZ A 120 5.00    
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of MEMORIAL WALL by CHATTAHOOCHEE WAR)
2  ART NOUVEAU Sep23 Aug27 Jul22 Jul03   (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 120 2.50 33% 2.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of MODERN MASTERPIECE by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
3  HER LUCKY DIAMOND Sep23 Aug26       (kintz s )RODRIGUEZ O 120 5.00    
  (by BREAKING LUCKY out of WATCH HER STRUT by STROLL)
4  SUMMER FOREVER Oct02 Sep17       (fennessy john)WALKER M 120 10.00    
  (by SEEKING THE SOUL out of PERFECT MINE by MINESHAFT)
5  BILLIE CEE Sep08         (rivelli )GALLARDO A 120 3.50 13% 6.70    
  (by WAR OF WILL out of TAP SOFTLY by TAPIT)
6  DELORAINE Aug27 Jul21       (harty eoin)MARTINEZ W 120 3.00 15% 5.90    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of ELAINE'S CAT by DISCREET CAT)
7  STRAWBERRY SKY         (valdez moise)AYALA J 120 8.00 10% 9.30    
  (by KHOZAN out of GOLDEN BUCKET by MASS MEDIA)
 
PID-3   10/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GUACO Sep11 Aug19 Jul30 Jul02 Jun12 (clarke mat)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 3.00    
2  DR RAGS Sep24 Sep04 Aug12 Jul30 Jul24 (judd cassandr)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 6.00    
3  SHANTY SHACK Sep20 Sep03 Aug21 Jul16 Jun18 (potts g)ALLEN D 122 1.80 40% 1.50    
4  GET EVEN Sep24 Sep03 Jun24 May29 May01 (allen lisa)ALLEN M 122 5.00 11% 8.30    
5  ESCAPE MISSION Sep04 Jul17 Jun03 May13 Nov20 (breed ronald)HARKIE K 122 10.00    
6  CHEERS FOR KITTEN Sep23 Sep02 Aug16 Jul05 Jun13 (brion keri)SPIETH S 122 2.50 23% 3.30    
 
PID-4   10/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CARLOTUK Sep18 Aug28 May27 Oct24 Oct11 (girten t)GALLARDO A 122 1.60    
2  KAGERO Sep23 Sep04 Aug27 Aug06 Jun26 (fennessy joh)ALENCAR WALBER 122 2.50 28% 2.60    
3  CARMEL SUNRISE Sep30 Sep16 Aug28 Aug13 Jul08 (valdez moises)LOPEZ DERECK 115 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  WHATS GOIN ON Sep23 Sep10 Aug26 Jul24 Jun29 (gotera car)BAYS BROOKE 115 6.00 26% 2.90    
5  SECRET WISPER Sep23 Aug22 Jul24 Jun26 Jun12 (albright am)CALDERON OLIVER 122 4.50    
6  DOMINANT STRANGER Sep30 Sep16 Jul29 Jun26 Jun11 (judd cassandr)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 4.00    
 
PID-5   10/10/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPOKEN VOW Sep18 Sep03 Jul02 Sep20   (russell randall)BAYS BROOKE 111 4.50 ★    
  (by MR SPEAKER out of PRICING by AUSTRALIA (GB))
2  GRUIT Sep24 Sep03 Aug21 Aug07 Jul15 (mckinley mary)VILLA-GOMEZ H 124 30.00    
  (by EQUALITY out of MYSTERY DATE by DEHERE)
3  MR. IMPATIENT Sep26 Sep03 Aug21 Aug07 Jul29 (rice kev)RODRIGUEZ O 121 10.00    
  (by GOT THE LAST LAUGH out of TURKOCRAFT by CRAFTY FRIEND)
4  MICHAELSHATRICK Sep26 Sep10 Aug26 Aug07 Jul01 (barron rory)SEVERINO VICTOR 121 6.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of FLEETHEART by NORTHERN AFLEET)
5  CROWNING PRINCE Sep26 Aug21 Aug07 Jul01   (morrell justin)ALLEN D 124 6.00 ★    
  (by CROWN OF THORNS out of DOUBLEBLACKDIAMOND by CASH DEPOSIT)
6  RECKLESS JONES May10 Oct26 Oct09 Sep19 Aug29 (albright ge)CALDERON OLIVER 124 10.00    
  (by SMARTY JONES out of QUEEN OFTHE CASTLE by DONERAILE COURT)
7  SHEZ UNTAPPABLE Sep11 Jul10 Jun17 May27 Jul26 (russell )MARTINEZ A 121 3.50 15% 5.50    
  (by RACE DAY out of SHEZA MAGIC MATCH by ZULU MAGIC)
8  GRAYTE WHYTE         (mckinley mary )LOPEZ DERECK 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by JACOB'S RUN out of RUBY'S NECKLACE by TWIN HALO)
9  MAYFLY Mar09 Jan20 Dec09 Nov12 Oct22 (delacour)GALLARDO A 118 1.60 62% 0.60    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of CRYSTAL MOONLIGHT by NEW APPROACH (IRE))
 
PID-6   10/10/2024 5490ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($34K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIBERTY BELLE Sep11 Aug15 Jul25 Jul08 Jun10 (winters mic)SEVERINO VICTOR 122 12.00 6% 15.20    
2  VINOS ANGEL Sep26 Aug26 Jul29 Jul03 May30 (morey e)MARTINEZ W 119 3.50 34% 2.00    
SCR  I RECALL Sep26 Sep09 Aug10 Jul19 Sep26 (bourke joh)AYALA J 122 4.00    
4  TOOLCAT Sep26 Sep02 Aug12 Jul16 Jul02 (potts g)MORALES PABLO 124 2.50 31% 2.30    
5  OUR STRONG VOWS Sep23 Aug16 Jul18 Jun18 May03 (russell )MARTINEZ A 124 8.00    
6  DI'S SURPRISE Sep19 Aug29 Jul07 Jun09 May19 (rivelli )GALLARDO A 119 1.80    
 
PID-7   10/10/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VILLAGE PREACHER Sep26 Sep10 Aug26 Aug12 Jul23 (markgraf davi)MORALES PABLO 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
2  JEN'S SONG Sep30 Aug28 Jul23 Jul02 Jun19 (depasquale k)AYALA J 124 8.00    
3  MARSAC Aug26 Jul30 Jul15 Jul01 Jun12 (depasqu)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 124 5.00 ★    
4  CHOCOLATE PHILLING Sep26 Sep17 Aug19 Jul30 Jan22 (wilson ariane)WALKER M 124 20.00    
5  WROTE IN STONE Sep26 Sep08 Jul30 Jul15 Jul04 (fennessy joh)ALENCAR WALBER 124 3.50 61% 0.60    
6  PORSUPUESTO Aug30 Aug24 Jul23 Jul09 Jul01 (valdez moises)DELGADO DAVID 124 15.00    
7  CANDY KINGDOM Sep18 Sep08 Aug13 Jul31 Jul11 (zook w)WHITACRE B 124 8.00    
8  SECRETARY OF WAR Sep26 Sep10 Aug21 Jul22 Jul04 (kintz mat)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 4.00 7% 13.00    
9  UNCLE ANDREW Sep20 Aug30 Aug23 Aug01 Jul20 (dickey keith)LOPEZ DERECK 117 3.00 5% 19.00    
 
PID-8   10/10/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALL THE RAGE Sep25 Sep04 Aug06 Jun22 Apr27 (rice linda)ALENCAR WALBER 119 3.00 15% 5.50    
2  DIABLO DADDY Aug26 Aug13 Jul25 Jun22 Jun09 (zook w)WHITACRE B 122 2.50    
SCR  SNIP THE ROSES Sep25 Sep02 Aug26 Aug12 Jul24 (judd cassandra)SPIETH S 122 20.00    
4  BALLINDINE Sep25 Sep10 Aug26 Jul26 Jun22 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  MAC'S CAT Sep25 Sep16 Sep03 Aug14 Jul15 (russell )MARTINEZ A 122 4.00 18% 4.40    
6  THREE O ONE Sep25 Sep10 Aug12 Jul16 Jul09 (rice kevin)LOPEZ DERECK 115 20.00    
SCR  TRAVELLER Sep25 Sep10 Aug26 Jul16 Jul03 (depasquale ki)WALKER M 122 10.00    
8  RAPA NUI Sep25 Sep10 Aug26 Aug12 Jul24 (buhrow jamie )DELGADO DAVID 122 30.00    
9  BOOKER'S CHARM Sep25 Sep10 Sep02 Aug12 Jul16 (musarro jos)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 15.00    
10  DANCING MISCHIEF Sep25 Sep02 Jul25 Jul07 Jun14 (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 119 6.00 41% 1.40    
SCR  SIGMUND Sep25 Sep10 Aug26 Jul27 Jul07 (girten t)GALLARDO A 122 4.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.