Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Hawthorne
Thursday - October 03, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
HAW-1   WIN (4/7/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/3/1)-(4/7/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7/3/1)-(4/7/3/1)-(4/7/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/7/3/1)-(4/6/3/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/7/3/1)-(4/6/3/1)-(8/2/3/4) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
HAW-2   WIN (4/6/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/3/1)-(4/6/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/3/1)-(4/6/3/1)-(4/6/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/6/3/1)-(8/2/3/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/6/3/1)-(8/2/3/4)-(7/6/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
HAW-3   WIN (8/2/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/2/3/4)-(8/2/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/2/3/4)-(8/2/3/4)-(8/2/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/2/3/4)-(7/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/2/3/4)-(7/6/2)-(6/2/5/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
HAW-4   WIN (7/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/6/2)-(7/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/6/2)-(7/6/2)-(7/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/6/2)-(6/2/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/6/2)-(6/2/5/7)-(2/5/1/9/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
HAW-5   WIN (6/2/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/5/7)-(6/2/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/5/7)-(6/2/5/7)-(6/2/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/2/5/7)-(2/5/1/9/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/2/5/7)-(2/5/1/9/4)-(9/2/8/7) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
HAW-6   WIN (2/5/1/9/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/5/1/9/4)-(2/5/1/9/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/5/1/9/4)-(2/5/1/9/4)-(2/5/1/9/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/5/1/9/4)-(9/2/8/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/5/1/9/4)-(9/2/8/7)-(7/4/8/9) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
HAW-7   WIN (9/2/8/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/2/8/7)-(9/2/8/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/2/8/7)-(9/2/8/7)-(9/2/8/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/2/8/7)-(7/4/8/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (9/2/8/7)-(7/4/8/9)-(7/6/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
HAW-8   WIN (7/4/8/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/8/9)-(7/4/8/9/11) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/4/8/9)-(7/4/8/9/11)-(7/4/8/9/11) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/4/8/9)-(7/6/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
HAW-9   WIN (7/6/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/6/9)-(7/6/9/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6/9)-(7/6/9/3/1)-(7/6/9/3/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HAW-1   10/03/2024 4950ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 2 ALL PT- 3:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FRONTIER MARSHAL Sep15         (boyce mich)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 112 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SKY MESA out of HAPPY HENRIETTA by SUPREMO)
2  CUTLASS KING Sep11         (hernandez armando)EMIGH A 119 4.50    
  (by HIT IT A BOMB out of KISS THE KING by ROMAN RULER)
3  ROYAL BRO Sep08 Aug26 Jul29     (divito james )HERNANDEZ K 119 2.50 13% 6.80    
  (by BRODY'S CAUSE out of ROYAL TAAT by FALTAAT)
4  TAUNTING Sep15         (block chris)COLON H 119 5.00 33% 2.10    
  (by DAREDEVIL out of RENDITION by A.P. INDY)
5  HEARTBREAK GAME         (lynch e)SANTOS ADEMAR 119 20.00    
  (by GAME WINNER out of SURPRISE GUEST by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
6  RUMBLING Sep15 Aug25       (boyce michel)CENTENO ALEXIS 119 10.00    
  (by GET STORMY out of LIL RUM TUM by KODIAK KOWBOY)
7  EXECUTOR Sep08         (block chris)MOJICA O 119 3.50 31% 2.20    
  (by WAR OF WILL out of FINANCIAL RECOVERY by STREET CRY (IRE))
8  BUZZSAW Sep14         (padilla t)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 119 10.00    
  (by ADIOS CHARLIE out of AWESOME MASS by BRETHREN)
 
HAW-2   10/03/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROGUE ELEMENT Sep08 Aug22 Aug01 Jun22 Jun01 (cook brian)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  IZEONDEC Sep08 Sep01 Jul18 May26 May11 (rodriguez edu)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 6.00    
3  KHOZAN'S SUCCESS Sep15 Sep05 Aug15 Aug01 Jul18 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 122 5.00 17% 5.00    
4  DEVIL VISION Sep25 Sep07 Aug11 Jul28 Jun27 (robertson )GALLARDO EDUARDO 122 3.50 33% 2.00    
5  MILLARD'S SMILE Sep15 Sep01 Aug01 Jul06 Apr28 (reid david)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 115 1.80    
6  CHRISTMAS PRESENT Sep22 Aug15 Aug04 Jun29 Jun23 (cook bria)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 4.00 23% 3.40    
7  IMPULSIVENESS Jun30 Jun22 May23 Mar24 Jan10 (irion heath)ARRIETA REYNIER 122 6.00    
 
HAW-3   10/03/2024 3630ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($10K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RIGHTEOUS FREEDOM Aug04 Jun16 May25 Mar16 Feb24 (roussel j)FELIX E 122 4.00    
2  MIDNIGHT SPECIAL Sep19 Nov23 Oct15 Sep24 Sep15 (simonovich dani)COHEN DAVID 122 5.00 24% 3.20    
3  DRAGON DREW Sep19 Sep05 Jul28 Jul13 Jun22 (cook brian)GALLARDO EDUARDO 122 8.00 14% 6.30    
4  CYCLONE ATTACK Aug29 Jul28 May25 Nov14 Sep12 (childers vance)BAIRD T 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  I'M YOUR CAPTAIN Sep15 Aug25 Aug04 Jul11 Jun29 (dizeo din)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 20.00    
6  PINBALLER Sep19 Aug18 Jul28 Jul07 Jun22 (poulos dee)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 115 12.00    
7  YO DAWG Sep22 Aug29 Aug03 Jul07 Jun06 (berndt joel)EMIGH A 122 2.50    
8  GRAND HIDEAWAY Sep19 Jul28 Jul13 Oct03 Aug30 (reid r)HERNANDEZ K 124 3.50 30% 2.30    
 
HAW-4   10/03/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($37K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PURR SEA Sep08 Aug18 Jun29 Jun15 May19 (boyce michele)SANTOS ADEMAR 124 1.80    
2  BROKEN HEARTS BAY Sep09 Apr20 Mar30 Mar03 Feb17 (arnett g)COHEN DAVID 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  WILMA MANKILLER Aug18 Aug01 Jun29 Oct12 Aug31 (rivelli larry)BAIRD T 122 6.00    
4  ALBERTA SUN Sep04 Aug13 Mar28 Mar11 Feb01 (cook brian)EMIGH A 122 15.00    
5  SALLY'S SUPRISE Aug22 Aug01 Jul14 Jun22 May05 (rodriguez edu)HERNANDEZ K 122 12.00    
6  BEEHIVE Sep08 Aug18 Aug01 Jun22 Jun01 (boyce michel)CENTENO ALEXIS 119 4.50 19% 4.30    
7  KAELY'S SISTER Sep08 Jul08 Jun15 May12 Apr27 (rivelli larry)MOJICA O 122 2.50 57% 0.70    
 
HAW-5   10/03/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CALL'EM ALL Sep21 Sep02 Aug10 Jul27 Jul13 (robertson )GALLARDO EDUARDO 119 6.00    
2  MISS MIKOS Sep12 Jun01 May18 Mar24 Aug31 (robertson hugh)COHEN DAVID 119 3.00 31% 2.30    
3  TWAS LOLA Sep19 Jul07 Jun22 Jun08 May01 (haran john)FELIX E 119 5.00    
4  REBA ATTACK Sep19 Sep01 Aug06 Jul16 Jun16 (childers vance)BAIRD T 122 15.00    
5  SAY CHEESE Sep10 Aug24 Nov18 Oct02 Sep09 (mcdonnell ber)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 6.00 13% 6.70    
6  DEVIL Sep12 Sep01 Aug11 Jul14 Jun16 (boyce michel)CENTENO ALEXIS 121 2.50 32% 2.20    
7  JUDY'S MS. OFFICER Sep07 Jan25 Dec27 Dec08 Nov21 (cristel j)COLON H 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  SECRET OPERATION Sep19 Aug11 Aug01 Jul14 Jun01 (slager mik)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 115 8.00    
 
HAW-6   10/03/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 2 F PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLACK GINGER         (lopez elias)EMIGH A 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of PERFECT PREDICTION by MAJESTICPERFECTION)
2  ESCOVEDO         (rivelli larry)COHEN DAVID 119 3.50 37% 1.70    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of MS. SHORT FUZE by ZENSATIONAL)
3  MISS CONTROL FREAK Aug30 Jul21       (tracy tanner)MOJICA O 119 8.00    
  (by HIGHER POWER out of TOTAL CONTROL by BELLAMY ROAD)
4  FAITH HOPE N LOVE Sep10 Aug24 Aug01 Jul11 Jun23 (pompell rober)SANTOS ADEMAR 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by WELL POSITIONED out of PUT AND TAKE by PUT IT BACK)
5  NOTIPTONI Sep15 Aug22 Aug01 Jul11   (zawitz joel)REYES FRANK 119 4.00 24% 3.20    
  (by MASTERY out of SHE'LL HEIR by WILDCAT HEIR)
SCR  WORD GAME         (pompell robert)DIEGO JAVIER 119 8.00    
  (by THOUSAND WORDS out of STEF'S INHERITANCE by LEESTOWN)
7  CAVALLA Sep05 Aug15 Jul13     (campbell mich)HERNANDEZ K 119 6.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of ROCKIN GIRL by ROCK HARD TEN)
8  LADY ELISE         (cristel mark)CENTENO ALEXIS 119 4.50    
  (by LORD NELSON out of EXQUISITE LADY by POSSE)
9  FALLON         (mitchell anthony)FELIX E 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by VOLATILE out of FIGHTER WING by EMPIRE MAKER)
 
HAW-7   10/03/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($10K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RIVER REDEMPTION Sep15 Aug15 Jun22 May16 Jan31 (young r)COLON H 122 8.00    
2  COLOSSEO Sep15 Aug17 May31 May13 Mar02 (young r)MOJICA O 122 5.00 11% 8.40    
3  LAND MARK DEAL Sep08 Sep01 Aug18 Jul30 Jun15 (meraz antoni)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 15.00    
4  WICKED SUPRISE Sep15 Aug22 Aug01 Jul11 Jun22 (winebaugh chery)REYES FRANK 122 6.00    
5  MONSTERONTHEMIDWAY Sep12 Aug04 Jul06 Jun15 Oct11 (block chris)COHEN DAVID 122 6.00    
SCR  TEMPER TANTRUM Jan20 Sep14 Jul13 Jun15 Dec26 (hernandez armando)BAIRD T 122 3.50    
7  REJECTION HURTS Sep26 Sep05 Aug11 Jul25 Jul03 (berndt jo)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  BANDIT SWANSON Sep08 Sep01 Jul28 Jul18 Apr16 (hernandez armando)EMIGH A 122 12.00 9% 10.40    
9  SAILING SOLO Sep12 Jun15 Dec22 Nov23 Aug16 (roussel j)FELIX E 122 3.00 59% 0.70    
SCR  CODE RUNNER Sep15 Sep03 Jul07 Apr17 Jan12 (rodriguez hug)SANTOS ADEMAR 124 4.00    
 
HAW-8   10/03/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLEET OF HOOF Sep26 Aug19 Apr27 Mar24 Mar10 (tracy tanner)COHEN DAVID 122 12.00    
2  MON AMI FUZZIE Sep05 Aug22 Aug04 Jul14 Jun29 (reid david)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 20.00    
3  PERFECT WAGER Sep01 Aug22 Aug04 Jul27 Jul13 (dizeo dino)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 115 20.00    
4  BUMPERDOO Sep15 Jul16 Jun11 May29 Apr05 (arnett g)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 6.00 28% 2.50    
5  DEMAND RANSOM Sep19 Sep05 Aug25 Aug08 Jul28 (hughes ea)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 20.00    
6  IMPERIAL MOMENT Sep15 Aug29 Jul21 Jun30 Apr30 (childers vance)EMIGH A 122 10.00    
7  RIVZONAROLL Sep19 Aug15 Jul28 Jul07 Jun22 (rodriguez jose)COLON H 122 3.50 44% 1.30    
8  SOUPER FORTUNE Sep21 Sep07 Aug20 Jul20 Jun29 (watkins m)FELIX E 122 5.00 6% 16.90    
9  SLAVA UKRAINI Sep26 Sep19 Sep01 Aug04 Jul18 (rosas rigo)REYES FRANK 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MKAR THE FAST Sep14 Aug29 Jul20 Jun29 Jun15 (lynch e)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 15.00    
11  PADDY'S HOUSE Aug29 Aug15 Aug04 Jul03 Jun12 (tracy tanner)MOJICA O 122 6.00 ★    
SCR  RUNAWAY READY Sep25 Jul28 Jun23 Jun09 Jan13 (robertson )GALLARDO EDUARDO 122 8.00    
13  LAWMAKER Sep12 Aug22 Aug01 Jul11 Jun23 (miller pat)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 115 15.00    
 
HAW-9   10/03/2024 3630ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IRISH SPARK Sep12 Aug22 Aug08 Jul18 Jun01 (divito james )SANTOS ADEMAR 121 6.00 ★    
2  LIONS LAW Sep12 Aug22 Jul21 Jun01 May18 (young r)COLON H 121 20.00    
3  PURE HICKORY         (robertson )HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 8.00 ★    
4  ISABELLA'S BEAUTY Sep12 Aug22 Aug04     (hernandez armando)EMIGH A 121 15.00    
SCR  MISS HIGH N MIGHTY Sep12 Jun15 May19 Apr20 Nov07 (ramirez c)ULLOA JOAN 124 20.00    
6  CUPID'S OBSESSION Sep19         (robertson )GALLARDO EDUARDO 121 3.50 9% 10.30    
7  AIN'T NO OTHER Aug19 Jul29 Jun18 Apr25 Mar23 (catalano m)MOJICA O 121 3.00 64% 0.60    
8  SAFECRACKER SUE Sep01 Aug08 Jul21 Jun30 Jun09 (simonovich)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 114 10.00    
9  EPIC MOMENT         (clay pat)HERNANDEZ K 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
10  ENTICING OPTION Sep01         (young ter)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 121 20.00    
SCR  WW BEST OF TIMES Sep01 Aug08 May21     (becker sc)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 121 5.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.