Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Finger Lakes
Monday - September 30, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FL-1   WIN (5/4/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/1/7)-(5/4/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/1/7)-(5/4/1/7)-(5/4/1/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/4/1/7)-(4/7/3/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
FL-2   WIN (4/7/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/3/5)-(4/7/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7/3/5)-(4/7/3/5)-(4/7/3/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/7/3/5)-(2/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FL-3   WIN (2/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/1)-(2/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/1)-(2/3/1)-(2/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/1)-(1/3/9/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FL-4   WIN (1/3/9/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/9/5)-(1/3/9/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/9/5)-(1/3/9/5)-(1/3/9/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/3/9/5)-(4/8/5/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
FL-5   WIN (4/8/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/8/5/7)-(4/8/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/8/5/7)-(4/8/5/7)-(4/8/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/8/5/7)-(4/5/3/2/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
FL-6   WIN (4/5/3/2/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/5/3/2/7)-(4/5/3/2/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/5/3/2/7)-(4/5/3/2/7)-(4/5/3/2/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/5/3/2/7)-(1/9/5/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
FL-7   WIN (1/9/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/9/5/3)-(1/9/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/9/5/3)-(1/9/5/3)-(1/9/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/9/5/3)-(8/3/5/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
FL-8   WIN (8/3/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/3/5/4)-(8/3/5/7/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/3/5/4)-(8/3/5/7/4)-(8/3/5/7/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (8/3/5/4)-(2/5/6/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
FL-9   WIN (2/5/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/6/1)-(2/5/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/6/1)-(2/5/6/1)-(2/5/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FL-1   09/30/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ACH DU LIEBER Aug05 Jul04 Jun19 May27 Jan28 (breed ronald )DAVILA A 122 3.00 7% 12.60    
2  BUCK WILD Sep10 Jul04 Jun12 May28 Jan11 (wad)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 6.00    
3  RILEY BEE Sep18 Sep10 Aug21 Aug05 Jul23 (lopez arcadi)BERRIOS C 124 15.00    
4  ANYTHING PAZIBLE Sep16 Sep04 Jul23 Jul10 Jun19 (gutierrez luis)ALVARADO R 122 5.00 10% 8.70    
5  ASAP RESTORATION Sep10 Aug27 Jul29 Jul01 Jun18 (ronen assaf)BROWN DALTON 122 3.50 51% 1.00    
SCR  KNIGHT OFTHE CROWN Sep10 Aug27 Aug13 Jul17 Jul04 (dixon lin)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 124 4.00    
7  RINGGOOD Sep23 Sep10 Aug21 Jul24 Jul17 (bond brent)DE EMANUEL 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  ANGELIC MISSION Sep11 Aug14 Jul31 Jul02 Jun19 (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 122 8.00    
 
FL-2   09/30/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHE'S WICKED Oct21         (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 121 6.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of WICKED CHARM by GHOSTZAPPER)
2  P. A. ADVANTAGE         (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 6.00    
  (by BELLAMY ROAD out of WEEFC by TAPIT)
3  SPIRIT WILING         (meadow patri)HARKIE K 121 10.00 7% 13.20    
  (by REDESDALE out of DEVILISH SPIRIT by ROARING FEVER)
4  DHARMA Sep16 Aug19 Jul15 Jul09 Jun25 (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 121 2.00 51% 0.90    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of COMFORT LEVEL by MIZZEN MAST)
5  CREWS IN TO WIN Sep10 Aug27 Aug05 Jul23 Jul04 (d'alessandro r)BROWN DALTON 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BIG BROWN out of SWEET FROST by FROST GIANT)
6  OUTTA THE CLOUD Sep16 Sep02 Aug19 Jul24 Jul11 (dean vic)DAVIS A 124 2.50    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of SURPRISE CAMEO by GIANT SURPRISE)
7  PLAYING WITH DOLLS Sep02 Aug05 Jul04 Nov20   (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 121 3.50 10% 9.40    
  (by WORLD OF TROUBLE out of ANY VALID SATURDAY by ANY GIVEN SATURDAY)
 
FL-3   09/30/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MASETA Sep10 Aug05 Jul16 Jul01 Jun18 (murphy t)DAVIS A 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  CENTRAL LOVE Sep17 Sep02 Aug21 Aug05 Jul23 (lopez arcadio)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 3.00 39% 1.50    
3  JACOBA Sep10 Aug27 Aug13 Jul31 Jul17 (pettine jame)HARKIE K 122 3.50 34% 1.90    
4  OLIVER WITHA TWIST Sep18 Aug27 Aug13 Jul31 Jul04 (clarke mat)DE EMANUEL 122 8.00    
SCR  RED FORTRESS Sep02 Aug13 Jun18 Nov13 Oct11 (ferraro michae)COA J 124 2.50    
6  O K GAME ON Sep16 Jul31 Jul17 Jun12 Sep26 (gutierrez lui)DAVILA A 122 20.00    
SCR  PREPARE FOR GLORY Sep11 Aug20 Jul23 Jul08 Jun26 (lecesse m)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 122 6.00    
8  KODIAK BROWN Sep02 Aug05 Jul16 Jul01 Jun18 (englehart chris)ROHENA M 122 8.00    
 
FL-4   09/30/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  B C GLORY DAYS Sep17 Sep03 Aug21 Aug12 Jul31 (gutierrez luis)ALVARADO R 124 6.00 28% 2.50    
2  WITH KNOW NAME Sep11 Sep03 Aug06 Jul24 Jul09 (loaiza ilmar)HARKIE K 124 6.00    
3  GO GET THE BAG Sep17 Aug21 Jul10 Jun24 Nov22 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 4.50 23% 3.40    
4  FIVE ACES Sep17 Aug28 Aug20 Jul24 Jul01 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 121 8.00    
5  GAME MISCONDUCT Jun11 May17 Apr27 Apr12 Feb19 (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  PEACEFULPERSUASION Sep03 Aug12 Jul31 Jul23 Jun11 (lord tammi )CAMILO D 121 20.00    
SCR  VAUNTED Sep16 Aug13 Jul10 Jun24 May20 (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 124 3.00    
8  MACDONOUGH Sep17 Aug21 Jul24 Jul10 Jun26 (ronen assaf)DAVILA A 124 4.00    
9  DON ANTONIO Sep03 Aug13 Jul01 Jun17 May27 (monserrate marisa)CRUZ JOEL 124 10.00 15% 5.60    
 
FL-5   09/30/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($11K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOX FOR DAUGHTERS Sep18 Aug26 Jul24 Jun30 Jun10 (falk jacqueline)FRET STEVEN 121 20.00    
2  KING KHALI Sep17 Aug06 Jul09 May29 Nov21 (englehart chris)ROHENA M 121 3.00    
3  IN A MINUTE Sep16 Aug26 Aug06 Jun24 Jun14 (miller-saul beth)CRUZ JOEL 121 15.00    
4  VENGE Sep17 May25 Apr26 Mar01 Feb09 (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 124 2.50 55% 0.80    
5  RANGER BLUE Sep16 Sep03 Jul30 Jul09 Jun11 (tasso mark)PEREZ E 121 12.00 10% 9.40    
6  CONNECT THE BROCKS Aug28 Aug13 Jul24 Jun17 May22 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 6.00    
7  OLLIE CAN DANCE Sep16 Aug26 Aug06 Jul22 Jun26 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  HINENI Sep16 Aug26 Jul24 Jun10 Nov21 (lecesse michae)COA J 124 4.00 12% 7.10    
SCR  FREE FOLK Sep16 Aug06 Jul09 Jun10 May27 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 121 10.00    
 
FL-6   09/30/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TUMBLES Aug14 Jul30 Jul04 Jun18 Jun04 (ashley julius)BROWN DALTON 122 15.00    
2  RULER OF THE NIGHT Aug19 Jul24 Jun17 May27 Apr30 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 6.00 8% 12.00    
3  RAW POWER Aug30 Aug21 Aug02 Jul19 Jun23 (sells rachel)PEREZ E 124 10.00 9% 10.40    
4  NECESSARYANDPROPER Sep11 Aug19 Aug06 Jul16 Jun05 (ferraro anth)COA J 119 3.50 46% 1.20    
5  LUNA LOCA Sep11 Aug27 Jul31 Jul17 Apr05 (saul dana)BAEZ JOSE 122 3.00 9% 10.20    
6  SHE LOVES TO MOVE Sep11 Aug19 Jul29 Jul10 May01 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 119 4.00    
7  SWEET TOOTH SUE Sep11 Aug28 Aug19 Jul31 Jul01 (marino josep)HARKIE K 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  SUBTLE GIANT Sep11 Jul17 Jul01 Jun04 May21 (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 122 20.00    
9  SHASI Sep10 Aug13 Jul16 Jun24 May03 (mastin k)DAVIS A 124 6.00    
 
FL-7   09/30/2024 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOST IN NEWYORK Aug29 Jul05 Jun12 May24 May04 (graci a)AGUILAR M 124 8.00 32% 2.20    
SCR  DEVIOUS BANKER Sep16 Aug28 Aug07 Jun11 May29 (pettine jame)HARKIE K 124 5.00    
3  MARTINKELLY Sep11 Sep02 Aug05 Jul23 Jul02 (murphy t)DAVIS A 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  OLD MAN WINTER Sep02 Aug12 Jul16 Jul02 May21 (acquilano jam)DAVILA A 124 12.00    
5  FATHER WALSH Aug26 Aug12 Jul29 Jul08 Jun18 (sabine michael )ROHENA JR 124 8.00 8% 11.40    
6  IN SKY WE TRUST Aug12 Jul29 Jul16 Jun11 May18 (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 124 2.50    
7  SUTTON BREEZE Sep11 Sep01 Jul29 Jul16 Jun04 (lopez arcad)CAMILO D 124 12.00    
8  NUTSIE Sep11 Aug26 Jul29 Jul16 Jul04 (ferraro anth)COA J 124 3.50    
9  SIGALERT Sep16 Sep03 Aug07 Apr04 Jan12 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 6.00 28% 2.60    
 
FL-8   09/30/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($26.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JOE WEST Sep09 Aug26 Aug12 Jul22 Jun26 (acquilano jam)NAVARRO KEVIN 121 8.00    
2  BIG BABY HENRY Sep02 Aug19 Jul29 Jul01   (marino josep)HARKIE K 121 10.00    
3  ENTICING PROSPECT Sep02 Aug20 Aug06 Jul08 May20 (ferraro anth)COA J 121 3.50 24% 3.20    
4  PROFITABILITY Aug20 Aug06 Jul22 Jun26 Jun10 (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  PLEASE BE NICE Sep16 Apr21 Mar24 Feb11 Jan13 (englehart )DE EMANUEL 124 8.00 15% 5.70    
6  GOLD TEMPLAR Sep02 Aug20 Jul24 Jun30 Jun19 (falk jacqueline)FRET STEVEN 124 20.00    
7  SHARP PLAY BOY Aug20 Aug05 Jul22 Jul01 May20 (breed ro)DAVIS A 124 6.00 ★    
8  I GOT BUSTED Feb19 Feb02       (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 121 3.00 36% 1.80    
SCR  GUNMAN Jul08 Jun24 May21 May06 Apr28 (williams omani)BROWN DALTON 124 20.00    
10  PERNO Sep04 Jul05 May17 Apr26 Mar24 (gid)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 121 4.00    
 
FL-9   09/30/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAKE THE EDGE Sep17 Sep03 Aug20 Aug05 Jul23 (babcock edward)FRET STEVEN 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  SEATIGER Sep17 Aug27 Aug20 Jul29 Jul09 (loaiza ilmar)HARKIE K 122 3.00 27% 2.70    
3  PAPI ON ICE Sep17 Sep04 Jul25 Jun22 May17 (henry n)BROWN DALTON 124 3.50    
4  BLACKSMITH STRONG Sep18 Aug21 Jul09 Oct18 Sep14 (barrow paul)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 15.00    
5  NEMO'S FORTUNE Sep03 Aug21 Jun25 Nov06 Oct17 (saul dana)BAEZ JOSE 122 6.00 27% 2.80    
6  OVER THE CAP Sep17 Jun25 Nov15 Oct23 Oct02 (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 122 5.00 12% 7.10    
SCR  LUCKY MUCHO MAN Sep18 Aug06 Jul17 Jul08 Jun24 (vasquez r)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 122 20.00    
8  RAW COURAGE Sep18 Sep03 Aug13 Jul10 Jun24 (khan s)DAVILA A 122 5.00    
9  REUNION TOUR Sep17 Sep03 Aug20 Aug05 Jul23 (d'alessandro r)ALVARADO R 122 20.00    
SCR  BOTTOMLESS REFILL Sep17 Sep03 Aug22 Jul11 Jun07 (murphy tim)DE EMANUEL 119 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.