Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Charles Town
Friday - September 27, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CT-1   WIN (5/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/1)-(5/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/1)-(5/3/1)-(5/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/1)-(5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/3/1)-(5/4)-(6/7/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
CT-2   WIN (5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/4)-(5/2/7/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4)-(5/2/7/4)-(5/2/7/4) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (5/4)-(6/7/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/4)-(6/7/1)-(1/2/4/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
CT-3   WIN (6/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/7/1)-(6/7/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/7/1)-(6/7/1/5)-(6/7/1/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/7/1)-(1/2/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/7/1)-(1/2/4/6)-(1/3/9/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-4   WIN (1/2/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/4/6)-(1/2/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/4/6)-(1/2/4/6)-(1/2/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/2/4/6)-(1/3/9/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/2/4/6)-(1/3/9/4)-(8/10/3/9) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-5   WIN (1/3/9/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/9/4)-(1/3/9/4/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/3/9/4)-(1/3/9/4/10)-(1/3/9/4/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/3/9/4)-(8/10/3/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/3/9/4)-(8/10/3/9)-(6/2/4/8) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-6   WIN (8/10/3/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/10/3/9)-(8/10/3/2/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/10/3/9)-(8/10/3/2/9)-(8/10/3/2/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (8/10/3/9)-(6/2/4/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/10/3/9)-(6/2/4/8)-(8/5/4/11/7) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-7   WIN (6/2/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/4/8)-(6/2/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/4/8)-(6/2/4/8)-(6/2/4/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/2/4/8)-(8/5/4/11/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
CT-8   WIN (8/5/4/11/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/5/4/11/7)-(8/5/4/11/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/5/4/11/7)-(8/5/4/11/7)-(8/5/4/11/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CT-1   09/27/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CREME DE LA QUEEN Aug24 Jul27 Jul01 May23 Apr20 (brown kelton)LEWIS M 115 10.00 5% 19.00    
LIME STAR Aug16 Jun08 May17 Apr05 Feb01 (conn linda )ESPINOZA ALEXIS 120 12.00    
BULL'S LEGACY Aug17 Jul27 May30 May09 Apr18 (brown )ARAUJO VICENTE 120 2.50 20% 3.90    
BET YOUR BOOTS Aug24 Jun15 Apr20 Feb17 Jan03 (groves janice)CHILO MAXIMO 122 12.00    
KRISTINACHRYSALIS Sep13 Aug17 Aug02 Jul16 Jul05 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.00 49% 1.00    
MAD SWANN Sep14 Aug24 Jul06 Jun14 May03 (brown w)BOCACHICA O 120 3.50    
 
CT-2   09/27/2024 2970ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOG TOWN ALLEN Sep13 Jul26 Jun29 Jun08 May18 (harrison )RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 113 50.00    
HARLEY SIOUX Aug15 Jul12 Mar28 Mar06 Jan03 (straughn willia)RODRIGUEZ V 122 6.00    
TUP'S TO TAKE Aug24 Jul19 Jul11 Jun21 May30 (jones mic)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 118 10.00    
EL PACHO Aug03 Jul20 Jun21 Nov29 Oct28 (reyes d)BOCACHICA O 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
MIC'D UP Aug03 Jun21 Apr19     (walters l)PELTROCHE F 118 0.60 69% 0.50    
CECIL THE GREAT Aug23 Jun01 Apr20 Mar08 Feb01 (clement rolan)THORPE DARIUS 120 4.50    
SHOW TIME ALLEN Aug24 Aug03 Jul12     (harrison n)LARROSA G 118 5.00    
 
CT-3   09/27/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROBBEDINTHEBAHAMAS Sep21 Sep01 Aug02 Jul25 Jul12 (shanley timo)LEWIS M 117 12.00 5% 19.00    
SHAMELESS APPEAL Aug17 Jul12 Mar21 Oct27 Sep02 (soldo elaine)ACOSTA D 122 20.00    
HE ROLLS Aug22 Jul27 Feb08 Jan12 Jan05 (collyer ja)SCHNEIDER JOSEPH 122 8.00    
JACK CLOUD Sep13 Aug24 Jul03 Jun01 May15 (allen )ARAUJO VICENTE 120 10.00    
CATCHING STARS Aug22 Aug01 Jul21 Jun21 May05 (reyes ruben)ESPINOZA ALEXIS 122 15.00    
BINGO WAS HIS NAME Aug23 Jul26 Apr26 Mar23 Feb25 (brown w)BOCACHICA O 120 1.60 45% 1.20    
RUN FOR REAGAN Aug16 Jul05 Apr19 Mar16 Mar10 (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 1.20 31% 2.20    
TREJO Jun20 May23 May04 Apr11 Mar21 (picket)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 20.00    
 
CT-4   09/27/2024 2970ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($28.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LEMORIAN May25 Mar07 Oct06 Sep03 Aug08 (schiano-dicola ra)HO WESLEY 115 1.60 25% 3.00    
MARSHALL PEANUT Aug17 Jul20 Jun28 Jun15 May11 (atkins mi)BOCACHICA J 122 4.50 17% 5.00    
RIVER WARRIOR RVF Nov09 Oct21 Mar31 Jan19 Jun09 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 4.00    
EL LUCERITO Aug17 Jun15 May17 Apr26 Mar16 (campbell marsha)BOCACHICA O 124 8.00 14% 6.20    
MR. BUSTA Aug17 Jul26 Jul05 Jun04 May14 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 6.00    
WOODLINE May24 Mar27 Feb29 Jan13 Dec08 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
FIBER STRONG Sep13 Aug17 May24 Feb29 Nov30 (runco jeff )ROBLES O 119 5.00    
 
CT-5   09/27/2024 4290ft DIRT RC9 SLOPPY Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($18.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIVINE FASHION Sep01 Aug02 Jul12 Mar29 Mar08 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 2.50 37% 1.70    
RIDE THE RAPIDS Sep14 Aug23 Aug09 Jun21 May31 (ramos agost)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 20.00    
ROCK ROSE Aug30 Aug02 Jul03 Jun21 May31 (farrior anth)LEWIS M 117 3.00 28% 2.50    
DUNVEGAN DOLL Sep01 Aug18 Jul14 May27 May15 (corral)ARAUJO VICENTE 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
G'S FIREBALL Sep14 Aug24 Aug09 Jul28 Jul06 (jones )LOPEZ EDUARDO 118 10.00    
WATERLOO ROSE Jul12 Jun21 May31 May11 Apr27 (o'neill tonya )CHILO MAXIMO 120 8.00    
ALWAYS FORWARD Sep01 Aug24 Aug11 Jul21 Jun09 (corrales)RODRIGUEZ L 113 10.00    
FLAT DISCOUNT Sep18 Aug03 Jul20 Jul12 Jun21 (ginter ra)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 8.00    
UTTERLY ENCHANTING Sep14 Aug24 Jul03 May23 Apr21 (mancilla carlos )ACOSTA D 120 6.00 9% 9.90    
10  A LITTLE BIT CRAZY Sep03 Aug14 Aug02 Jul12 Jun21 (shanley timothy)BOCACHICA O 120 10.00    
 
CT-6   09/27/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REMYS GUNSMOKE Sep14 Aug03 Jul12 Jun15 May03 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 124 6.00    
HURRICANE ALERT Sep20 Aug16 Aug01 Jul20 Jun18 (brown ron)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 115 4.50    
STROLLINGINTHEWIND Aug24 Aug01 Jun15 Jun03 May03 (jones micha)ESPINOZA ALEXIS 122 5.00 6% 16.20    
DASHING D'ARTAGNAN Aug24 Jun15 May12 Apr26 Mar29 (corrales)RODRIGUEZ L 113 12.00    
HAPPY YEARS Sep20 Jun15 May31 May03 Nov06 (knoblauch-pe)LEWIS M 119 15.00    
JUST A FLIRT Aug16 Jul12 Jul05 Jun01 May09 (mcgill sylvester)ACOSTA D 124 6.00    
SCR  ON A WHIM Sep13 Aug01 Jul19 Jul05 Jun07 (murtaugh a)SCHNEIDER JOSEPH 124 30.00    
DR JACK FLYER Aug17 Jul25 Jul08 Mar29 Feb28 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 2.50 37% 1.70    
CHARITABLE WINDSOR Aug23 Jul27 Jul06 Jun15 May09 (sanderson wade )PELTROCHE F 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
10  NOID Aug24 Jul30 Apr22 Apr01 Jan27 (meehan eliza)WHITACRE GRANT 124 8.00 32% 2.10    
11  UNCLE EDDIE Aug30 Jul11 Jun12 May30 May15 (moreno-barb)CALDERON OLIVER 120 5.00    
 
CT-7   09/27/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($28.4K) 3UP ALL PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PRIME SHOPPING Aug24 Jul13 Jun27 Jun07 May16 (contreras j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 118 4.00    
BAD LINEAGE Aug24 Aug03 Jun22 Jun06 May17 (perry lawrence )PELTROCHE F 122 4.50 15% 5.70    
BERTRAM FLIGHT Aug15 Jul04 May18 May02 Apr13 (mcgee john)ACOSTA D 120 20.00    
MR. DUMBLEDORE Aug24 Jul25 Jun29 Jun01 May11 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 120 8.00 9% 10.00    
WHALE OF A RUN Aug15 Jul25 Jun21 May31 May10 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 118 15.00    
PARK AVE PRINCE Sep02 Aug24 Aug03 Jul13 Jun28 (jones )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 6.00 50% 1.00    
ROBBIELIKESHIM Mar23 Feb17 Jan05 Dec14 Nov25 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 1.40    
RIVER MALBUMOONRVF Aug24 Jul25 Jun22 Jun06 Mar14 (runco jeff )ROBLES O 115 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-8   09/27/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.7K) 3UP M/F PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOLD TIME VIXEN Sep01 Aug10 Jul20 Jun27 Jun15 (kee j)RODRIGUEZ V 122 15.00    
SCR  MISS WAVE Jul20 Jun21 Mar21 Feb21 Jan24 (hillegass ale)THORPE DARIUS 122 12.00    
SCR  MIKEY'S JEWEL Aug29 Aug08 Jul18 Jun25 Jun04 (salinas jose)CHILO MAXIMO 122 15.00    
TIMEISGOLDEN Aug02 Jul06 May31 May11 Apr19 (cornwell jr)CULLUM W 122 4.50 16% 5.20    
BONNIE BLUETOOTH Jul20 Jun01 May11 Apr27 Apr12 (brown )ARAUJO VICENTE 124 1.80 17% 5.00    
WOODSONG'S CASTLE Jul04 May23 May09 Apr19 Apr06 (shanley timothy)BOCACHICA O 122 20.00    
SHERIFF'S KID Apr27 Apr06 Mar16 Feb24 Feb15 (collyer ja)SCHNEIDER JOSEPH 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
ABIDALE May20 Mar12 Feb14 Jan24 Jan08 (brown ronney)LEWIS M 117 2.00 39% 1.60    
CHURCH KEY Aug24 Jun09 May28 Apr21 Mar08 (harrison )RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 115 15.00    
10  SO RED THE ROSE Sep17 Aug13 Jun21 Apr06 Mar07 (obed-letts ket)REYNOLDS C 122 20.00    
11  CALYPSO GHOST Sep17 Aug02 Jun21 May31 May11 (harting chri)LEWIS M 119 10.00 8% 12.10    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.