Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belterra Park
Wednesday - September 25, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BTP-1   WIN (6/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/1)-(6/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/1)-(6/2/1)-(6/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/2/1)-(5/1/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/2/1)-(5/1/3/6)-(6/3/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
BTP-2   WIN (5/1/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/3/6)-(5/1/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/3/6)-(5/1/3/6)-(5/1/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/1/3/6)-(6/3/1)-(3/1/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
BTP-3   WIN (6/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/1)-(6/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/1)-(6/3/1)-(6/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (6/3/1)-(3/1/5)-(8/5/6/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
BTP-4   WIN (3/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/5)-(3/1/7/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/1/5)-(3/1/7/5)-(3/1/7/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/1/5)-(8/5/6/4)-(2/3/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
BTP-5   WIN (8/5/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/5/6/4)-(8/5/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/5/6/4)-(8/5/6/4)-(8/5/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/5/6/4)-(2/3/5)-(5/2/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
BTP-6   WIN (2/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/5)-(2/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/5)-(2/3/5)-(2/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (2/3/5)-(5/2/3)-(4/6/1) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
BTP-7   WIN (5/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/3)-(5/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/3)-(5/2/3)-(5/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/3)-(4/6/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
BTP-8   WIN (4/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/1)-(4/6/10/9/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/1)-(4/6/10/9/1)-(4/6/10/9/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BTP-1   09/25/2024 5280ft DIRT RC6 GOOD Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP M/F PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SING SCAT Sep05 Jul25 Jul16 Jun27 Jun13 (mendieta alejandr)HESS SARA 116 8.00 15% 5.60    
2  DR. BELLA Aug22 Jul24 Jun28 Jun14 May11 (helmbrecht wi)CANUTO THIAGO 121 10.00 20% 4.10    
SCR  SHE'S A KEEPER Sep04 Aug23 Aug08 Jul17 Mar15 (esquivel je)LAGUNES GABRIEL 121 2.50    
SCR  FRAZZLED Aug29 May24 Apr28 Dec09 Nov20 (barrett grant)SOSA LAUREANO 121 12.00    
SCR  LUCKY SHORE Aug23 Aug07 Jul11 Jun28 Jun13 (sturgeon rober)ELLIOTT JANE 121 4.50    
6  FOR THE BISCUIT Aug24 Aug09 Jul25 Jul12 Jun28 (sherman j)SHERMAN ALEXANDRA 116 5.00 27% 2.70    
7  SUZY Q THE QUEEN Sep12 Aug23 Aug09 Jul16 Jun03 (mauro julia)HEBERT LINDSEY 121 15.00    
8  TWO HEARTED Sep04 Aug22 Aug01 Jul12 Jul04 (salas marcelino)MCKEE J 117 3.50    
SCR  BLOSSOMING Sep05 Aug15 Jul25 Jul13 Jun15 (alessi jam)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 121 6.00    
10  MISS MOON PIE Sep12 Jun29 Jun16 May28 Mar13 (beck rowena)MOJICA JR 121 4.00    
 
BTP-2   09/25/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AMERICAN PURE Sep14 Sep05 Jul06 Jun16 Mar17 (rivera xavier )JURADO EDDIE 125 2.50 22% 3.70    
2  NO HANG CHARLIE Sep05 Aug06 Jul25 Jun19 Jun06 (woodbury judy)CANUTO THIAGO 125 6.00    
3  SILENT CHAOS Sep04 Aug17 Aug02 Jun14 Oct07 (smith larry)SOSA LAUREANO 125 4.00 21% 3.90    
4  CAPE MARCO DRIVE Sep04 Aug17 Aug03 Jul10 Oct24 (lopez e)SERPA ANGEL 125 10.00    
5  PINEDALE Aug26 Jul25 Jun07 May16 Mar28 (pino mic)RODRIGUEZ A 125 3.50 30% 2.40    
6  SHAKEM N BREAKEM Aug17 Aug02 Jul03 Jun14 May17 (dominguez )SANCHEZ LEXANDER 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  SARGEANT BARGER Sep13 Aug16 Jul26 May29 May16 (alessi james)OUZTS W 125 5.00    
 
BTP-3   09/25/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($9.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FRISCO LINE Sep13 Aug28 Aug09 Jul19 Jun26 (morelos ma)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  GORMLEYS GOT GAME Sep13 Aug20 Aug01 Jul15 Jul03 (swingley duwayne)MCKEE J 125 3.00    
3  CHAMPAGNEONME Aug29         (smith larry)SOSA LAUREANO 123 2.50 14% 6.40    
4  D'MONEY HONEY Sep13 Aug28 Aug01 Jul12 Jun21 (cahill f)BUSH V 123 4.50    
5  JAHEZ Sep13 Aug28 Aug17 Aug08 Jun22 (fernandez e)LAGUNES GABRIEL 123 5.00    
6  DOUBLE ADVANTAGE Aug10 Jul24 Jul10 May29 Jan25 (sherman j)SHERMAN ALEXANDRA 118 3.50 62% 0.60    
 
BTP-4   09/25/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PERFECTLY WICKED Sep05 Aug16 Jul15 Jun19 May22 (fletcher ke)LAGUNES GABRIEL 119 2.50 8% 11.20    
2  GENERAL GINNY Aug09 Jul12 Oct07 Sep23 Sep14 (smith larry)OUZTS W 122 5.00    
3  GORMLEYESQUE Sep03 Aug19 Feb03 Jan13 Nov28 (delong ben)MURGIA A 124 4.50 64% 0.60    
4  COUNTLESS DREAMS Aug28 Aug14 Jul24 Jun18 Apr24 (anderson susa)SOSA LAUREANO 122 3.50    
5  MARKET OF STOCKS Sep04 Aug16 Jul25 Jul17 Jul03 (rodak geraldine)SERPA ANGEL 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  QUEEN OF CHILL Sep07 Aug24 Jul12 Jun15 Jun01 (ashmore m)HESS SARA 117 4.00    
7  LONG BLACK VEIL Sep12 Aug14 Jul20 Jul06 Jun14 (jarvis kathy)MOJICA JR 122 6.00 ★    
 
BTP-5   09/25/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KOHAKU Sep07 Aug22 Aug10 Jul27 Jul10 (alessi jam)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 123 6.00    
2  SCAT DANZ Sep07 Aug10 Jul27 Jul13 Jul04 (adams l)SERPA ANGEL 123 5.00    
3  RAMBLIN CHROME Sep11 Aug22 Jul27 Jul08 Jun24 (mauro julia)HEBERT LINDSEY 123 12.00    
4  BENITO Sep14 Aug31 Aug21 Aug10 Jul27 (dailey ronald)HESS SARA 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  EE YAH Jun20 Feb11 Apr21 Mar23 Mar05 (ocasio osvaldo)JURADO EDDIE 123 4.00 12% 7.70    
6  WORKINFROMHOME May31 May06 Apr13 Mar17 Feb17 (guerrero sal)RIQUELME J 123 3.50 5% 19.00    
7  PAST IMPERATIVE Sep11 Aug16 Jul19 Jun29 Jun01 (sandy s)MURGIA A 123 8.00    
8  IBN AL ARABI Sep05 Aug19 Jul28 Jul04 Jun10 (esqu)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 123 2.50 63% 0.60    
 
BTP-6   09/25/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($26.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CARSON N SPENCE Sep06 Aug23 Aug03 Jul18 Jul05 (cline robert )LEBRON VICTOR 120 4.00    
2  MY CARMELITA Aug21 Jul18 Jul03     (antonuik jerry)SERPA ANGEL 120 2.50 57% 0.70    
3  ROCKET LAUNCHER Sep06 Aug22 Aug03 Jul18 Jul05 (kerr n)MOJICA JR 125 2.00 12% 7.10    
4  R CLIFFHANGER Sep06 Aug22 Aug02 Dec13 Nov22 (melancon paul)MURGIA A 123 3.50    
5  KETTLE KING Sep06 Aug23 Aug07 Jul01 Jun11 (mauro julia)HEBERT LINDSEY 123 5.00 5% 19.00    
 
BTP-7   09/25/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOBIL DREAM STAR Sep11 Nov28 Oct28 Sep22   (butcher james)CANUTO THIAGO 121 2.50    
  (by MOBIL out of DREAM MANAGER by BERNSTEIN)
2  MOODY RIVER         (johnston rebecc)MOJICA JR 121 4.50 18% 4.70    
  (by RIVERS RUN DEEP out of SILKY BAY by STRAVINSKY)
3  PRADA MANDALA         (wilson davi)BLANCHE RISHAWN 116 6.00 18% 4.70    
  (by MEDAL COUNT out of PRAY FOR GRACE by SONGANDAPRAYER)
4  GOGO NEV'S Sep11 Aug21 Jul31 Jul18 Jun20 (camp)FRANCA ERIELTUN 121 4.00    
  (by RIVERS RUN DEEP out of VAN GOGO GIRL by VAN NISTELROOY)
5  BOLD LUCY         (drury thomas)MONCADA IRVING 116 3.00 31% 2.20    
  (by BOLD TRUTH out of PURE IMAGINATION by OXBOW)
6  RAVEN'S HONOR Sep11 Aug30 Aug21 Jul31   (holton rebecca )SERPA ANGEL 121 3.50    
  (by TWINSPIRED out of REBECCA'S RAVEN by GRINDSTONE)
 
BTP-8   09/25/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($18.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROSARIO'S PRAYER Aug14 Apr27 Mar02 Jan21 Oct18 (torres concepci)SERPA ANGEL 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BREEZING ALONG Sep05 Jul11 Jul04 Jun06 Apr06 (meah m)MONCADA IRVING 113 3.50    
SCR  FLOWERY PATH Aug31 Feb21 Dec30     (murphy conor)MCKEE J 118 15.00    
4  PEACOCK ROAD Aug26 Aug01 Jul11 May28 May07 (hernandez)CORREA L 118 2.50 42% 1.40    
5  MOLLY'S ROSE Sep12 Jul29 Jul02 Apr07 Mar21 (riefenberg eri)ELLIOTT JANE 122 8.00    
6  VEGAS LOVE Aug23         (morey william)SOSA LAUREANO 118 12.00 28% 2.50    
7  UMEBOSHI Aug26 Jul27 Jun19 May28 Nov10 (brisset rodolph)ACHARD ALEX 118 8.00    
8  MINT DRIVEN Aug24 Aug02       (rider m)LEZCANO ABEL 118 15.00    
9  GUINEVERE Aug02 Jun09 Apr05 Feb21   (ward wes)RODRIGUEZ A 118 4.00 ★    
10  STARLIGHT LOVE Aug09 Jun21 May27 Mar23   (lobo paulo )LAGUNES GABRIEL 118 6.00 ★    
11  STAY FAITHFUL Aug29 Aug14 Jul06 May04 Mar23 (short thomas)CANUTO THIAGO 118 15.00    
SCR  BEAUTIFUL SUMMER Jul03 Jun12 May17 Apr27 Mar30 (waltz brian)MOJICA JR 118 10.00    
SCR  NO NO NO NEVER (IRE) Apr05 Mar03 Jan28 Dec31 Nov08 (reed r)LAGUNES GABRIEL 122 5.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.