Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Mountaineer Park
Tuesday - September 24, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

MNR-1   WIN (5/7/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/2/4)-(5/7/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    DD (5/7/2/4)-(5/4/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
MNR-2   WIN (5/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/2)-(5/4/1/2) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    TRI (5/4/2)-(5/4/1/2)-(5/4/1/2) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
    DD (5/4/2)-(2/3/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/4/2)-(2/3/1)-(3/6/1/4) 36 $2.00 $72.00 
MNR-3   WIN (2/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/1)-(2/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (2/3/1)-(3/6/1/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
MNR-4   WIN (3/6/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/1/4)-(3/6/1/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (3/6/1/4)-(3/6/1/4)-(3/6/1/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (3/6/1/4)-(2/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
MNR-5   WIN (2/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/7)-(2/4/7) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/7)-(2/4/7)-(2/4/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
MNR-6   WIN (3/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/2)-(3/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    PK3 (3/2)-(4/8/1/5)-(4/6/10/5) 32 $2.00 $64.00 
MNR-7   WIN (4/8/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/8/1/5)-(4/8/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    DD (4/8/1/5)-(4/6/10/5) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
MNR-8   WIN (4/6/10/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/10/5)-(4/6/10/5/3) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    TRI (4/6/10/5)-(4/6/10/5/3)-(4/6/10/5/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
MNR-1   09/24/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CANTHO Aug28 Aug18 Aug05 Jul10 Apr22 (fiesman r)HERNANDEZ H 120 20.00    
TAMBARELLA Sep10 Aug18 Jul24 Jun24 Jun16 (norris steph)GONZALEZ KEVIN 118 10.00 11% 7.80    
CITRINA Sep02 Jul25 Jun24 Jun03 May15 (zielinski ric)BRACHO A 118 5.00    
BIDOFHONEY Sep10 Aug28 Aug18 Jul15 Jul06 (crago terry)WHITACRE B 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
IN TO THE NIGHT Aug27 Aug12 Jul31 Jul21 May27 (shuler r)VEGA L 120 2.00 44% 1.30    
GOLD PASS Sep02 Aug14 Jul17 Jun19 Jun04 (howard will)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 20.00    
UNMATCHED Aug26 Aug05 Jul21 Jun25 May19 (blankenshi)WEATHERLY BAILEY 118 2.50 12% 7.30    
EILAT Sep10 Aug18 Jun29 Jun06 May17 (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 120 3.00    
 
MNR-2   09/24/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($18.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
XPENSIVE PRINCESS Sep09 Aug21 Aug05 Jun30 Jun18 (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 123 3.50    
PORTIA'S HOPE Sep01 Aug19 Aug06 Jul23 Jul15 (dixon geo)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
MACHEN MAYHEM Aug06 Jul23 Jul15 Jul01 Jun11 (clouston edward)AVILES YAN 120 4.00    
D'FUNNY GIRL Sep11 Aug21 Aug05 Sep03 Aug20 (cain crystal)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 2.50 31% 2.20    
MY LUCKY DEIA Sep01 Aug06 Jul22 Apr06 Feb14 (baird mi)WEATHERLY BAILEY 118 3.00 41% 1.40    
SHOTGUN MARGARET Sep11 Sep01 Aug19 Jul23 Jun18 (shuler)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 5.00    
TRACE ESTATE Sep11 Jul23 Jul15 Jun23 Jun11 (bissell cheyann)WHITACRE B 120 20.00    
 
MNR-3   09/24/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIDNIGHT STROLLER Sep10 Jul31 Jun19 Jun04 May17 (shuler r)WHITACRE B 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of KINDRED SOUL by FED BIZ)
MAJESTY'S COWBOY Sep10 Aug25 Jul31 May17 May03 (shuler r)VEGA L 118 1.60 34% 1.90    
  (by STORMY'S MAJESTY out of CITY BEAT by TEMPLE CITY)
NORTHERN RUNNER Sep10 Aug26 Jul30 Jul07 Jun04 (ccamaque )HERNANDEZ H 123 3.50 28% 2.60    
  (by PERFECT SOUL out of NORTHERN CHEROKEE by OUTFLANKER)
SCR  FERNANDO'S GOLD Aug25 Jul31 Jul09 Jul01 Jun19 (dixon geoffr)GONZALEZ KEVIN 118 3.00    
  (by BALLADO'S GOLD out of BENNY'S COMPASS by BENNY THE BULL)
THE GROOM'S JUL Sep10 Aug25 Jul31 Jul16 Jul01 (johnson jennif)GILBERT KYLE 118 8.00    
  (by THE LADY'S GROOM out of SHIMMERING JUL by OMEGA CODE)
ALL ROADS TO DENIS Sep10 Aug25 Jul31 Jul09 Jul01 (ewell )BATISTA ALBERTO 123 4.00    
  (by DENIS OF CORK out of ROAD TO ZANZIBAR by QUALITY ROAD)
 
MNR-4   09/24/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROLL ME OVER Aug27 Aug07 Jul10 Jun17 May26 (cuttin)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 4.00 8% 11.70    
LITTLE VAQUERO Sep16 Aug26 Aug14 Jul24 Jun19 (montano wilfrido)BAEZ M 120 30.00    
DR SCHUSTER Sep10 Aug27 Aug14 Aug05 Jul22 (cordero-l)HERNANDEZ H 121 3.00 46% 1.20    
LUVTHEONEURWITH Sep08 Aug27 Aug07 Jul24 Jul14 (gilbert timoth)GILBERT KYLE 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
SAYERS Sep02 Mar12 Mar01 Feb21 Feb04 (silva pabl)VEGA L 120 3.50    
LOTS OF MISCHIEF Sep01 Aug07 Jul14 Jun30 Jun03 (clouston edward)AVILES YAN 120 1.80 23% 3.30    
LEGEND Aug27 Aug11 Jul17 Jul02 Jun11 (cordero-lope)VILCHEZ MAIKOL 115 8.00    
 
MNR-5   09/24/2024 1320ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IN THE GOSPEL Sep11 Dec11 Nov13 Oct23 Oct10 (stanoszek sara)YARANGA Y 123 30.00    
ADIOS COOL ARROWS Sep11 Aug04 Jul24 Jun04 May14 (silva j)BRAVO MISAEL 113 1.60 44% 1.20    
SCR  THREATLEVELMIDNITE (GB) Aug21 Jul28 May25 Apr24 Oct13 (west w)BRACHO A 120 8.00    
AMERICAN BOUND Aug21 Jul29 Jun22 May27 May10 (cuttino m)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 120 3.50 21% 3.70    
MS HEADLEY Sep11 Aug28 Aug04 Jul10 Oct31 (cuttino l)WHITACRE B 122 20.00    
INSPIRING JUSTICE Aug04 Jul14 Jun24 Jun04 May21 (fairma)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 1.80    
SKYLAS GOLD Sep11 Aug04 Jul14 Jun24 Jun04 (stanoszek sara)DAVILA M 127 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
MNR-6   09/24/2024 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($18.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUGAR LIPS Aug18 Jul30 Jul14 Jun28 Jun13 (viands gregory)VEGA L 120 20.00    
RESCUE FIVE Sep17 Aug28 Aug18 Jul30 Jul23 (kocijan marc)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
OUT OF CENTS Sep08 Aug27 Aug12 Jul01 Jun18 (silva pabl)NEGRON LUIS 120 0.60 75% 0.30    
SCR  ROCKET APPEAL Aug24 Aug16 Jul26 Jun14 Jun01 (sprigg)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 15.00    
BLACK CANDY Aug28 Aug18 Jul30 Jul16 Dec14 (blackhurst randy)AVILES YAN 120 8.00    
SCR  FANCY CONCHO Jul26 Jul09 Jun27 May16 Oct14 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 120 3.00    
SCR  MACHEN REIGNS Sep11 Aug11 Jul09 Jul01 Jun11 (carrillo ram)VILCHEZ MAIKOL 112 99.00    
SCR  VINTAGE SPARKLE Sep15 Aug26 Aug05 Jul23 Jul07 (silva pabl)TAPARA LUIS 117 30.00    
 
MNR-7   09/24/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($18.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KOZEM Sep02 Aug25 Aug05 Jun29 Jun07 (montano wilfrid)NEGRON LUIS 118 3.50 20% 4.10    
SCR  SAILING ALONG Aug25 Aug04 Jun25 Jun17 Mar26 (silva j)BRAVO MISAEL 115 8.00    
PRINCESSTAPITURE Sep09 Aug25 Aug07 Jul13 Jun28 (norris ste)WEATHERLY BAILEY 123 2.00    
ONE NIGHT STAND Sep03 Aug07 Jul17 Jun23 Jun10 (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 120 2.50 33% 2.00    
TEAM GOLD DIGGER Sep15 Sep03 Aug27 Jul16 Jul01 (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
KILLARGUE'S GIRL Sep15 Aug29 Aug22 Aug01 Jul17 (marrero nestor)AVILES YAN 120 30.00    
ANCIENT BROWN Aug19 Aug06 Jul22 May05 Dec06 (mcgaffic g)CASTELLANO JESUS 120 50.00    
SASSY JUSTICE Aug25 Jun16 May28 May12 Dec27 (treharne dave)BRACHO A 120 5.00 23% 3.40    
 
MNR-8   09/24/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GUARDIANSOF AUTISM Sep11 Aug21 Aug11 Jul29 Jul16 (kocija)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 10.00    
  (by SMILING TIGER out of FOR SURE FOR SURE by OLD TOPPER)
THE MONSTER IRUS Dec31 Dec06 Nov22 Oct30 Oct03 (cordero-)GONZALEZ HENDERSON 120 30.00    
  (by FED BIZ out of LILLY BELLE BLUE by LINE OF DAVID)
FINNERS GOLDNSENSE Sep18 Sep11 Aug21 Jul05 Jun07 (silva pabl)NEGRON LUIS 118 4.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of CAPSTONE LADY by PAYNTER)
NORTH SHIP Aug21         (hetrick krist)BRACHO A 118 3.00 45% 1.20    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of LARKIN by BERNARDINI)
JUSTCUZIFEELLIKEIT Sep11 Aug27 Nov12 Oct23 Oct09 (cook devin)WHITACRE B 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FLASHBACK out of NANETTE'S SPIRIT by WAR PASS)
CHARLICITO Sep11 Aug21 Jul29 Jul07 Jun17 (barbar)RODRIGUEZ A 108 2.50 29% 2.40    
  (by ADIOS CHARLIE out of SHIRLEY'S RAINBOW by KANTHAROS)
S S FUNNY FOREVER         (gilbert julia)GILBERT KYLE 118 20.00    
  (by D' FUNNYBONE out of HONKY TONK ANGEL by BLUEGRASS CAT)
STREETLIGHT PEOPLE Mar04 Feb19 Jan21 Dec17   (silva j)BRAVO MISAEL 118 6.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of PEGASTORM by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
WEEKEND FLAME Aug14 Jul30 Jun23     (crago terry)GONZALEZ KEVIN 118 10.00    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of WEEKEND WISH by BLUEGRASS CAT)
10  AFTER SUNRISE Sep11 Aug21 Jul01 Jun12 May29 (langley ca)WEATHERLY BAILEY 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DYNAMIC RACER out of CEYLON SAPPHIRE by MACHO UNO)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.