Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Horseshoe Indianapolis
Monday - September 23, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

IND-1   WIN (1/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/5)-(1/4/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/4/5)-(1/4/6/5)-(1/4/6/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/4/5)-(2/6/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/4/5)-(2/6/3)-(6/4/2) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
IND-2   WIN (2/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/3)-(2/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/3)-(2/6/3)-(2/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/6/3)-(6/4/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/6/3)-(6/4/2)-(5/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
IND-3   WIN (6/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/2)-(6/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/2)-(6/4/2)-(6/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/4/2)-(5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/4/2)-(5/4)-(4/2/8/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
IND-4   WIN (5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/4)-(5/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/4)-(4/2/8/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (5/4)-(4/2/8/6)-(3/4/1/6) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
IND-5   WIN (4/2/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/8/6)-(4/2/8/1/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/2/8/6)-(4/2/8/1/6)-(4/2/8/1/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/2/8/6)-(3/4/1/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/2/8/6)-(3/4/1/6)-(7/4/6/13/10) 80 $1.00 $40.00 
IND-6   WIN (3/4/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/1/6)-(3/4/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/1/6)-(3/4/1/6)-(3/4/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/4/1/6)-(7/4/6/13/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/4/1/6)-(7/4/6/13/10)-(5/8/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
IND-7   WIN (7/4/6/13/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/4/6/13/10)-(7/4/6/13/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/4/6/13/10)-(7/4/6/13/10)-(7/4/6/13/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/4/6/13/10)-(5/8/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
IND-8   WIN (5/8/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/8/6)-(5/8/7/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/8/6)-(5/8/7/6)-(5/8/7/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
IND-1   09/23/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($23.12K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY BROTHER KEITH Sep08 Aug24 Jul20 Jun23 May18 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 122 1.20 48% 1.10    
MIDNIGHT TIL DAWN Aug22 Jul30 Jul09 Jun17 Mar13 (contreras )VILLARREAL OSCAR 111 12.00    
RARE N READY Sep09 Aug22 Jul29 May21 Mar27 (greenhill jeff)SANJUR SANTO 122 3.00    
TIVERTON (GB) Sep13 Sep11 Aug18 Jul20 Jul04 (delacruz )BERMUDEZ E 118 10.00 30% 2.40    
DON'T STOP Sep06 Aug06 Jul15 Jun29 Jun14 (medina to)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
ONEPARTICULRHARBOR Aug22 Jul04 May24 Apr27 Mar27 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 117 6.00    
JUDO Aug22 Jul28 Jun27 Feb28 Jan24 (fosdick steve)ROMAN A 122 8.00    
 
IND-2   09/23/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($38.5K) 2 F PT- 2:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  INCLUSIVE JUSTICE         (granitz antho)FLACO ARCELIO 120 4.50    
  (by HARRY'S HOLIDAY out of AMABILE by FAIRBANKS)
CITY PRAYERS Aug29 Aug07       (haran john)ROMAN A 120 2.00 33% 2.00    
  (by PRAYER FOR RELIEF out of CITY SEDUCTION by CITY WEEKEND)
ANNIE EXPRESS Aug29         (west aaro)BERMUDEZ E 120 8.00 11% 8.10    
  (by UNBRIDLED EXPRESS out of EDUCATING by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
KITTEN'S SONG Aug29 Jul17 Jun26     (garcia genar)CALLEJA ANDRES 113 6.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSONG out of KITTEN'S APPROACH by KITTEN'S JOY)
DREAMING GIRL         (davis jose)VILLARREAL OSCAR 113 10.00    
  (by SKYLORD out of COIRA by CARPE DIEM)
SHE'S A WHIRLWIND Aug29 Aug07 Jul17     (duran antonio)PARKER L 120 3.00 29% 2.40    
  (by SANTIVA out of SCARLET BULLETIN by RED BULLET)
PETER'S DREAM Jul17 Jun27 Jun11     (haran john)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 8.00    
  (by STORM'S EYE out of PERFECT LIST by PEAKS AND VALLEYS)
 
IND-3   09/23/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($43.52K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AUSTIN'S MAP         (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 120 4.50    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of APPENZELL by JOHANNESBURG)
ZAPPING STRIKE Jul16 Jun26 May30     (sanchez emma)CALLEJA ANDRES 113 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of STRIKING BEAUTY by CURLIN)
KING HAZELTON Aug27 May30 May04 Apr19   (spraggins)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 20.00    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of BA BA'S BUNCH by EL CORREDOR)
SWEET AS SIN Aug31 Aug06 Jul16 Apr26 Sep22 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 115 2.50 18% 4.50    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of GIANT MOVER by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
FLASH HUMOR Jul25 Jul06 Jun16 May26 May17 (silva miguel)PEREZ E 124 3.50    
  (by FLASHBACK out of LOCUM by DISTORTED HUMOR)
ORANGE DIABLO Feb16 Dec09 Oct29 Sep17   (cox bra)DE CRUZ 120 1.60 48% 1.10    
  (by UNION RAGS out of THEPARTYNEVERENDS by SMART STRIKE)
 
IND-4   09/23/2024 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SINGLE DIP Sep12 Aug20 Jul02 May16 May01 (klopp randy)PEREZ E 117 20.00    
  (by NOTIONAL out of EYE OF THE ARTIST by OLD TRIESTE)
LOOKIN FOR GLORY Aug27 Aug06       (dobbsjr e)PRESCOTT R 120 4.50    
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of SAVANNAH'S GLORY by BLUEGRASS CAT)
SCR  BACHMAN Aug26 Aug10 Jan19 Nov22 Sep25 (caramor)DE CRUZ 120 8.00    
  (by FREE DROP BILLY out of PIPER'S NEW SONG by UNBRIDLED ENERGY)
MY MISTER PERFECT Jul30 Jul13 Jun25 Jun08 May07 (thompson erin)LEAHEY HANNAH 120 10.00 10% 8.70    
  (by FORCE THE PASS out of LITTLEMISSPERFECT by STREET HERO)
ANDELE ANDELE Sep11 Aug15 Aug05 Jul10 Jun13 (rechy chaz)ROMAN A 117 5.00 36% 1.80    
  (by SKYLORD out of FOREVER RED by RED RANSOM)
CHOCOLATE MOOSE Aug20 Jul13 Jun25 Jun08 May27 (klopp randy)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 0.60    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of WHOGOOSEDTHEMOOSE by SPRING AT LAST)
 
IND-5   09/23/2024 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($46.24K) 2 ALL PT- 4:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SIR BAHJY Aug26 Jul18 Jul02     (garcia ge)PEDROZA MARCELINO 115 5.00    
ROBERT'S MOON Aug24 Aug11       (vanden britt)EMIGH A 118 4.50 33% 2.00    
GOODMENARESCARCE Aug15 Aug01 Jul17     (corrigan jim)ELLIOTT JANE 118 6.00    
HOMIE Jun05         (rivelli la)CORRALES GERARDO 118 1.80 39% 1.60    
TRULY LEGIT Aug31 Jul02       (davis chr)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 118 8.00    
LOVELY REGALO Aug15 Jul04 Jun17 May29 May09 (hernandez rey)SANJUR SANTO 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
PERMIT TO CARRY Sep11 Aug26 Jun24 Jun04 May14 (gonza)ULLOA PATRICIO 118 10.00    
URBAN PLANNER Aug05         (harty eoin)MOJICA O 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
INTO GOLDEN ROAD Sep12 Aug11 Jun11     (irion heath)ARRIETA REYNIER 115 15.00    
 
IND-6   09/23/2024 5490ft DIRT RC10 WET FAST Allowance Purse ($38K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BERLONE Sep04 Jun18 Mar14 Feb25 Feb11 (paquett)DE CRUZ 122 4.50 9% 10.00    
INCLINED Sep05 Aug08 Jul10 Jun20 Jun06 (lauer mic)BERMUDEZ E 115 5.00    
CONCENTRATION Sep06 Aug07 Jul18 Jun12 May16 (lauer michael)ASHTON GAVIN 118 0.80 48% 1.10    
LITTLE JAKE Sep04 Aug08 Jul13 Jun08 May08 (eggleston tim)SANJUR SANTO 118 8.00 19% 4.20    
MR NEGATIVITY Sep06 Aug13 Jul29 Jun11 May13 (klopp randy)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 10.00    
REVS MEDAL Sep11 Aug22 Jul10 Jul03 May28 (phillips terry)PARKER L 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
SECRETO DE AMORE Sep11 Aug15 Aug08 Jul18 Jul03 (duran anto)VILLARREAL OSCAR 115 12.00    
 
IND-7   09/23/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 WET FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($43.52K) 2 ALL PT- 5:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GOLD FACTOR Aug31         (pitts helen)MORALES EDGAR 120 8.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of OAKS GOLD by MUNNINGS)
INCREDIBLE Sep10         (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 115 10.00    
  (by AUTHENTIC out of IRISH BLESSING by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
SCR  IMPROBABLE CAUSE Aug29 Jul18 Jul05     (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 120 30.00    
  (by IMPROBABLE out of DARK CORNER by INTO MISCHIEF)
VAMOS CARLITOS         (thomas jo)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 6.00 15% 5.50    
  (by CATHOLIC BOY out of GABEIRA by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
MISSIONARY MAN Aug27 Aug05       (mott riley)TORRES A 120 4.50    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of QUEBEC by INTO MISCHIEF)
DAGUERRE         (medina robert)VAZQUEZ A 120 15.00 6% 14.80    
  (by DEMARCHELIER out of SAMAMTHA WHO by SULTRY SONG)
SPECIAL AGENT Aug21         (cox brad )PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 5.00 34% 1.90    
  (by MAXIMUM SECURITY out of SHADOW PLAY by GALILEO (ARG))
SCR  REAGAN'S WIT Aug18         (devaux cher)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 2.50    
  (by AUTHENTIC out of DAYIENU by SUNDAY BREAK (JPN))
CURLIN' BOURBON         (walsh brendan)CANNON DECLAN 120 8.00    
  (by CURLIN out of NAPLES LADY by GHOSTZAPPER)
10  EL OSO Sep11 Aug21 Jul17     (rivera tirso)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FREE DROP BILLY out of MINE MINE MINE by MINESHAFT)
11  DATE THE PRINCE         (cox bra)DE CRUZ 120 8.00    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of ITS A DATE by DOMINUS)
SCR  LOVE THAT SYMPHONY         (oliver vict)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 6.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of LOVE CO by NOT FOR LOVE)
13  TENSAS CAMP ROAD         (maker j)VAZQUEZ A 120 10.00 6% 14.80    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of HARBOR PRINCESS by BOSTON HARBOR)
SCR  CORMAN         (sharp joe)TORRES A 120 12.00    
  (by FROSTED out of HONEY MUFFIN by CANDY RIDE)
 
IND-8   09/23/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 WET FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOR KOKOMO Jul31 Jul16 May29     (sanchez emma)CALLEJA ANDRES 113 20.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of MOR TRUST by TRUST N LUCK)
SCR  SON OF A MAN Aug26 Jul22 Jun10 May16   (hancock jac)MIRANDA ROGELIO 124 12.00    
  (by CAN THE MAN out of LADY REDD by AFTERNOON DEELITES)
MYSTORYYOURGLORY Sep12         (granitz j)MOJICA O 120 15.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of CELEBRATING by CITY ZIP)
FLINT FIRE Aug27         (huffman pat)ROMAN A 120 20.00    
  (by FLINTSHIRE out of STARGAZZING by ROYAL ACADEMY)
JUSTHAPPYTOBEHERE Sep12 Aug27 Oct04 Sep25 Aug15 (lauer michael)ASHTON GAVIN 120 1.40 52% 0.90    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of WHISTLIN' JEAN by PURE PRIZE)
MORDECAI         (nance)ULLOA PATRICIO 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of WIND ROSE by OXBOW)
HARD SCHOLAR Sep01 Aug10 Jun21     (antonucci)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 2.50    
  (by HARD SPUN out of EDUCATING by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
MOTION TO ADJOURN Sep12 Aug20 Jul30 Jun24 Jun11 (raper ron)PARKER L 124 4.00 24% 3.20    
  (by COMMISSIONER out of EXPLOSIVE DISCO by EXPLOSIVE TRUTH)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.