Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Belterra Park
Thursday - August 29, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

BTP-1   WIN (7/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/2/4)-(7/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/2/4)-(7/2/4)-(7/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/2/4)-(1/2/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/2/4)-(1/2/6)-(2/4/3) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
BTP-2   WIN (1/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/6)-(1/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/6)-(1/2/6)-(1/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (1/2/6)-(2/4/3)-(6/1/4/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
BTP-3   WIN (2/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/3)-(2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (2/4/3)-(6/1/4/3)-(4/1/3/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
BTP-4   WIN (6/1/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/4/3)-(6/1/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/4/3)-(6/1/4/3)-(6/1/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/1/4/3)-(4/1/3/8)-(4/1) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
BTP-5   WIN (4/1/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/3/8)-(4/1/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/3/8)-(4/1/3/8)-(4/1/3/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/1/3/8)-(4/1)-(3/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
BTP-6   WIN (4/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/1)-(4/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    PK3 (4/1)-(3/1/5)-(5/4) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
BTP-7   WIN (3/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/5)-(3/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/5)-(3/1/5)-(3/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/5)-(5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
BTP-8   WIN (5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/4)-(5/6/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (5/4)-(5/6/4)-(5/6/4) 4 $0.50 $2.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
BTP-1   08/29/2024 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.7K) 2 ALL PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISBEHAVIN Jul18 Jul04 Jun05 Apr10   (andrade hugo)MURGIA A 120 4.00    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of CORFE CASTLE by WINDSOR CASTLE)
MISS KENZIE         (gorostieta ci)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 117 6.00 16% 5.20    
  (by CUPID out of DAME WICKED by STORMELLO)
BANIDOSO Jul18         (gorostieta ci)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 3.50    
  (by VEKOMA out of MS DELFY by DIXIE UNION)
SHRINER         (heitzman eric)MOJICA JR 120 8.00 16% 5.20    
  (by GORMLEY out of TEELFA by NORTHERN AFLEET)
SCR  CASE ACE Jul22 May18       (ennis john)DOYLE SOPHIE 120 3.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of LONGSTOCKING by INTO MISCHIEF)
JAR         (cowans d)NAVAS YOEL 120 4.50    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of SNUFF by SALT LAKE)
COMPLEX CAT Jul17 May14       (hernandez rey)SOSA LAUREANO 120 2.50 22% 3.60    
  (by COMPLEXITY out of KITTERY POINT by INCLUDE)
 
BTP-2   08/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JARETH Aug01 Jul19 Jun14 May25 Apr26 (smith larry)OUZTS W 123 2.00 43% 1.30    
CHROMED IMPULSE Aug09 Jun15 May18 Mar01 Jan26 (cahill f)BUSH V 125 3.50 22% 3.50    
CHAMPAGNEONME         (smith larry)JIMENEZ ALBIN 123 3.00    
SCR  DOUBLE ADVANTAGE Aug10 Jul24 Jul10 May29 Jan25 (sherman j)SHERMAN ALEXANDRA 120 4.50    
CELTIC MISCHIEF Aug10 Feb10 Dec16 Aug02 Jul13 (cook k)CANUTO THIAGO 123 8.00    
SAY IT AIN'T SO Aug10 Sep30 Aug26 Aug09 Jul21 (cook k)MURGIA A 123 5.00 5% 19.00    
 
BTP-3   08/29/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($18.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAUSE IMA ROSE Aug09 Jul12 Jun28 Jun12 May08 (guida antho)LAGUNES GABRIEL 124 3.00    
GHOST PLAZA Aug14 Jul26 Jul12 Jun28   (lucas way)OLIVEROS CHARLE 118 3.50 29% 2.50    
FAST TRANSIT Jun27 Aug10 Jun22 Jun01 Sep02 (huffman pat)MIRANDA ROGELIO 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
VOTARY Aug03 Jul17 Nov29 Nov01 Aug30 (peach a)OUZTS W 122 2.50 23% 3.40    
STAY FAITHFUL Aug14 Jul06 May04 Mar23   (short thomas)CANUTO THIAGO 118 4.50    
 
BTP-4   08/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.7K) 2 ALL PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MORALLY Aug15         (hiles jeff )OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 4.00 10% 8.60    
  (by MO TOWN out of STREET RALLY by HARD SPUN)
MR OKLAHOMA Aug07         (eggleston tim)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 4.50    
  (by CODE WEST out of TOWANDA by DYNAFORMER)
IMPROBABLE CAUSE Jul18 Jul05       (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by IMPROBABLE out of DARK CORNER by INTO MISCHIEF)
JACKSON'S ROAR Aug03         (hiles a)MCKEE J 120 3.50 8% 10.90    
  (by UNIFIED out of VIXEN'S ROAR by PULPIT)
LUKE'S LASSO Aug02         (short travis )SOSA LAUREANO 120 8.00    
  (by ACCELERATE out of QUEEN PRISCILLA by FLATTER)
SHABOUJEE Aug14         (engler jeff)LAGUNES GABRIEL 117 2.50 60% 0.70    
  (by UNION RAGS out of STORMY ANTICS by STORMY ATLANTIC)
FAST LUCK Aug02         (short thomas)HESS SARA 115 10.00    
  (by CONNECT out of FAIRWAY LUCK by UNION RAGS)
 
BTP-5   08/29/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($15K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ISA LEI Jul17 Jun09 May22 Apr25 Feb07 (estvanko)MARTINEZ LUIS 117 3.50 18% 4.40    
1A  SHEAR Jul12 Jun14 May18 Apr11 Mar15 (estvanko)MARTINEZ LUIS 122 3.50    
SCR  MAYLEN Jul15 Jun27 May30 May02 Apr11 (leonard george )SERPA ANGEL 117 10.00    
SWIGERT Aug08 Jul12 Jun19 May22 Oct12 (caramori edua)JIMENEZ ALBIN 122 4.50 16% 5.30    
VOGELSANG Jun13 May22 May02 Mar16 Feb03 (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 122 2.50 45% 1.20    
FRAZZLED May24 Apr28 Dec09 Nov20 Oct30 (barrett grant)SOSA LAUREANO 122 15.00    
LUCKY ANA Aug08 Jun13 May18 May08 Apr14 (douaihy mi)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 122 5.00    
GOLDEN STORM May12 Apr13 Mar29 Feb22 Jan10 (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 117 6.00    
SANDRINHA LOVE Aug14 Jul27 Jul17 Jun20 May09 (decker anna)LAGUNES GABRIEL 115 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SACRED CONNECTION Aug07 Jul18 Jun29 Jun15 May18 (smith larry)SOSA LAUREANO 117 8.00    
 
BTP-6   08/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LI'L MISS CAMILLE Aug08 Jul05 Jun21 Jun08 May25 (mendieta alejandr)HESS SARA 115 6.00 18% 4.50    
SCR  HONEYCOMB May31 Jun11 Mar30 Feb23 Feb03 (alessi james)SOSA LAUREANO 120 8.00    
PURE ELEGANCE Aug09 Jul24 Jul13 Jun29 Jun08 (mendieta a)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 120 4.00    
SAVE THE BEES Aug14 Jul25 Jul03 Jun21 May24 (orantes r)NAVAS YOEL 116 3.00 32% 2.20    
SCR  MIND YOUR OWN Aug19 Jan05 Dec08 Nov22 Oct25 (delong ben)MURGIA A 120 4.50    
BEACH KITTEN Aug08 Jul05 Jun21 May25 May10 (grubbs jamie )JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 2.50    
 
BTP-7   08/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($26.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PEEKABOOWILLIE Aug03 Jul18       (helmbrecht wi)CANUTO THIAGO 122 3.50 19% 4.20    
SISSY'S MAY Aug14 Aug03 Jul25 Jun20 May31 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 122 4.00    
GREEN LADY (IRE) Aug03 Jun28 May31 May11   (drury jr)MCKEE J 118 2.00 57% 0.80    
GIMME CLEARANCE Aug14 Jun26 May24 Mar11 Nov06 (silva ferna)LAGUNES GABRIEL 122 8.00    
GIGGLIN KATE Jun22 May31 Oct25 Oct06 Sep06 (craft guy)MURGIA A 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
EMERALD EYES Aug14 Jul25 Jun26 Jun12 May31 (salcedo ra)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 122 4.50    
 
BTP-8   08/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CRYSTAL M Jul31 Jul15 Jun19 May29 May06 (suarez javier)JIMENEZ ALBIN 122 8.00    
SCR  ROCKY CHANNEL Aug08 Jul25 Jul03 Jun13 Jan09 (cline robert )SOSA LAUREANO 122 3.50    
WACKER'S GIRL Aug08 Jul25 Jul17 Jun22 Jun15 (rodak geral)JIMENEZ J 122 4.00    
SAVESOMEFORME Jul25 Jul03 Jun13 May22 May09 (bates l)BUSH V 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
ARTISTIC LANEY Aug03 Jul25 Jul10 Jun15 May31 (fernandez e)LAGUNES GABRIEL 118 2.00 70% 0.40    
TREASURE WILBURNYA Aug08 Jul25 Jul03 Oct04 Aug23 (haehn r)OUZTS W 122 5.00    
SCR  STATE OF GRACE Aug21 Jul17 Jul02 Jun13 May22 (norris stepha)CANUTO THIAGO 122 8.00    
NANA ROZE Aug08 Jul25 Jul03 May31 May22 (morelos ma)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 122 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.