Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Evangeline Downs
Saturday - August 17, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
EVD-1   WIN (5/2/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/7/6)-(5/2/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/7/6)-(5/2/7/6)-(5/2/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/2/7/6)-(2/3/5/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/2/7/6)-(2/3/5/1)-(2/3/6/5) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
EVD-2   WIN (2/3/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/5/1)-(2/3/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/5/1)-(2/3/5/1)-(2/3/5/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/3/5/1)-(2/3/6/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/3/5/1)-(2/3/6/5)-(2/8/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
EVD-3   WIN (2/3/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/6/5)-(2/3/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/6/5)-(2/3/6/5)-(2/3/6/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/3/6/5)-(2/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/3/6/5)-(2/8/3)-(2/6/1/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
EVD-4   WIN (2/8/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/8/3)-(2/8/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/8/3)-(2/8/3)-(2/8/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/8/3)-(2/6/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/8/3)-(2/6/1/5)-(4/6/3/11/8) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
EVD-5   WIN (2/6/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/1/5)-(2/6/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/1/5)-(2/6/1/5)-(2/6/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/6/1/5)-(4/6/3/11/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/6/1/5)-(4/6/3/11/8)-(1/3/6/7) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
EVD-6   WIN (4/6/3/11/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/6/3/11/8)-(4/6/3/11/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/6/3/11/8)-(4/6/3/11/8)-(4/6/3/11/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/6/3/11/8)-(1/3/6/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/6/3/11/8)-(1/3/6/7)-(1/7/3/9) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
EVD-7   WIN (1/3/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/6/7)-(1/3/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/6/7)-(1/3/6/7)-(1/3/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/3/6/7)-(1/7/3/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/3/6/7)-(1/7/3/9)-(8/5/4/3) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
EVD-8   WIN (1/7/3/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/3/9)-(1/7/3/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/7/3/9)-(1/7/3/9)-(1/7/3/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/7/3/9)-(8/5/4/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/7/3/9)-(8/5/4/3)-(3/2/5/8/9) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
EVD-9   WIN (8/5/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/5/4/3)-(8/5/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/5/4/3)-(8/5/4/3)-(8/5/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/5/4/3)-(3/2/5/8/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
EVD-10   WIN (3/2/5/8/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/2/5/8/9)-(3/2/5/8/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/2/5/8/9)-(3/2/5/8/9)-(3/2/5/8/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
EVD-1   08/17/2024 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 2 F PT- 6:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOT BLAST Jul19         (calhoun wil)MELANCON JANSEN 118 15.00    
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of MISCHIEVOUS CHAMP by INTO MISCHIEF)
2  FACTOR OF TIME Jul19         (castille carro)THORNTON G 115 3.00 21% 3.70    
  (by THE FACTOR out of SWEET DREAMS DIVA by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
SCR  MOODY GIRL         (courville ricky)MCMAHON J 118 15.00    
  (by LAOBAN out of SWIMSUIT ISSUE by SCAT DADDY)
4  GIVIN OFF SPARKS         (sanchez)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 12.00    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of GAYLE'S CHANNEL by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
5  ARMALEESE Jul19         (courville ricky)STOKES J 118 2.50 27% 2.80    
  (by CARAVAGGIO out of DOUBLE DOSE by DEVON LANE)
6  CIGARS N CARS         (jeansonne ju)BARRERA J 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FIRST SAMURAI out of MIZZEN DONALD by MIZZEN MAST)
7  SMALL TOWN HEROINE Jul27         (jeansonne jus)LOZADA CARLOS 118 5.00 17% 4.80    
  (by ECHO TOWN out of LADY HEROINE by SEA HERO)
8  CRAWFISH BURL Jul19         (ducoing sturges )ROSIER R 115 3.50    
  (by CLEARLY NOW out of SPARTANBURG by SHARP HUMOR)
9  DREAMCHASER JEWELS         (castille rickey )FUSILIER C 115 20.00    
  (by IRON FIST out of ROMAN JEWELS by CLOSING ARGUMENT)
 
EVD-2   08/17/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALL COUNTRY Aug02 Jul19 Mar24 Feb10 Jan12 (laday ashton)FLORIAN JOSE 113 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  GO CATS Jun29 Jun23 Apr13 Mar29 Mar13 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 121 1.60 48% 1.10    
3  BOBBY MERLOT Aug02 Jul05 Jun20 May09 Apr17 (ramsay-bank)MELANCON JANSEN 121 3.00 16% 5.10    
4  GOTTA DEAL Aug02 Jun24 Jun12 May29 May09 (laday ashton)MUNOZ SERGIO 113 15.00    
5  KEE JEE Jul27 Jun20 May23 May10 Apr17 (david b)VARGAS P 117 4.00 10% 8.90    
6  DYNAMIC MOON Jul19 Jun13 May24 Apr17 Mar22 (briley lonnie)STOKES J 118 5.00    
7  AVERY'S GEM Jul19 Jun21 May22     (bourgeois ke)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 114 8.00    
 
EVD-3   08/17/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  APRIORITY ROCKET Jul26 Jul05 Jun15 May29 May18 (thomas lee)FUSILIER C 124 2.00    
2  WESTERN AFLEET Aug01 Jun24 May21 Apr10 Nov18 (ramirez ju)RAMIREZ JR 115 2.50 32% 2.10    
3  CAJUN CYCLONE Aug01 Jul20 Jun21 May24 May01 (mojica )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 4.50 25% 2.90    
4  R T'S MIDNIGHT Jul20 Jul05 May09 Apr24 Jan19 (sam w)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 10.00    
5  ZOEY'S HIPPIE May23 Apr20 Feb01 Jan11 Dec01 (segura kear)SANTIAGO EDWARD 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  WHATTA LIFE Aug01 Jun15 May25     (larrosa juan )VARGAS P 120 8.00 14% 6.10    
7  ROCKING TOBE Jul26 Jul05 Jun15 May29 Apr27 (larrosa juan)BARRERA J 120 3.50    
 
EVD-4   08/17/2024 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EASY ACES Jul05 Jun22 Nov24 Aug11 Jul20 (ladner herma)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 121 2.50    
2  ZOSIAS SHIP Jul05 Jun08 May16 May01 Jun16 (gelner scott)MCMAHON J 117 1.60 37% 1.70    
3  ALESSANDE Jul26 Apr24 Feb24 Jan19 Dec27 (constantine ca)FLORIAN JOSE 112 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SPOOKY GUITAR Jan12 Dec20 Nov18 Oct19   (latour nicho)QUILES ANTONIO 121 20.00    
5  MONTANA'S ANGEL Aug03 Jun29 May04 Feb10 Jan20 (gelner scot)SANTIAGO EDWARD 115 5.00    
SCR  RAGAZZA Jul18 Jun29 Jun14 May31 May17 (escobar)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 8.00    
7  STARTINI Jul05 Jun08 May01 Feb29   (klanfer alan)FUSILIER C 117 4.50    
8  PURSUIT L'HARMONIE Jul05 May01 Feb09 Jan19 Dec09 (wilson shane)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 15.00 28% 2.60    
 
EVD-5   08/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CUSTOM CADILLAC Jul05 Jun15 May01 Mar10 Feb15 (cuccia j)STOKES J 118 5.00 10% 8.60    
2  TRIPPIN ON BEAUTY Jul19 Jun28 Jun01 May09 Apr17 (gomez rafael )VARGAS P 118 2.00 26% 2.80    
3  STARSTUDDED AFFAIR Jul05 Jun05 May14 Apr12 Feb10 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 6.00    
4  SUMMERTIME PEPPERS Jun28 Jun15 May17 Apr26 Apr10 (knudsen ken)MELANCON JANSEN 117 4.00    
5  GREAT RUNNER Jul06 Jun06 Apr12 Mar07 Feb15 (ladner herm)SANTIAGO EDWARD 116 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  LOVELY SASSICAIA Jun29 Jun08 May24 Apr20 Mar13 (thomas )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 3.00 25% 3.10    
7  BOBBY BOY Jul19 Jul05 Jun14 Dec01 Oct28 (noel dane)ROSIER R 114 10.00    
 
EVD-6   08/17/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WAY TOO TOUGH Jul04         (breaux samuel)MCMAHON J 120 15.00    
SCR  TARGET READY Jul13         (flugence henry)STOKES J 120 20.00    
3  GUMBALL Aug01 May09 Apr25 Mar13 Feb22 (marechal mer)MAGNON H 120 10.00 16% 5.10    
4  WE CALL HIM DOC Jul26 Jul04       (pomier chase)BARRERA J 120 3.00 30% 2.30    
5  CAUGHTUPNDAMOMENT Jul26 Jul06 Jun14 May30   (peterson jessi)MUNOZ SERGIO 119 8.00    
6  TAUREAN Jul26 Jul11 Jun20 May30 May02 (richard rus)SANTIAGO EDWARD 119 3.50 26% 2.90    
7  MUNCLE Jul19 Jul04 Mar21 Mar06 Jan25 (cormier cardel)FLORIAN JOSE 115 20.00    
8  BEAUDEAN Dec20 Nov25 Nov11 Oct21 Aug10 (granger randall)ROSIER R 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
9  HIT THE BULLSEYE Jul11 Jun05 May15 May01 Mar13 (pedigo randy)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 4.50    
10  MY DAD'S GUITAR Jul04 Jun07 May16 Apr11 Feb24 (mojica )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 20.00    
11  BABY'S LAST DANCE Jul25 Jun28 Jun13 May28 May01 (zeno benjami)QUILES ANTONIO 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  INGLIS Aug01 Jul05 Jun13 May23 May09 (jackson dwayne)DEONAUTH P 124 20.00    
SCR  JUSASTEELEDREAMER Aug01 Jul05 Jun15 Nov10   (west henry)RAMIREZ JR 119 8.00    
SCR  WILD APRIORITY Aug02 Jul04 Jun14 May09   (thomas lee)FUSILIER C 124 5.00    
 
EVD-7   08/17/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIL SWEET THANG Jun21 Jun01 Apr12 Mar09 Feb23 (broberg karl)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 121 1.40 38% 1.60    
2  CHIEF KIMOSABI Jul11 Jun15 May29 May04 Apr12 (journet albert)FLORIAN JOSE 113 12.00    
3  TRUE CRIMSON Jun07 May11 Mar20 Feb10 Nov15 (gelner scott)ROSIER R 118 2.50 22% 3.60    
4  PURE MALICE Jul18 Jun22 Jun16 May25 May10 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 117 5.00    
SCR  RED IDOL Aug09 Jun15 May11 Apr17 Mar21 (cormier cardel)MCMAHON J 118 10.00    
6  MARVINS' POSSE Jul27 Jul11 May14 Mar08 Feb16 (gelner jayd)MELANCON JANSEN 121 8.00 15% 5.80    
7  FULL OF GLORY Jun28 May17 Apr24 Feb01 Jan06 (west henry)MUNOZ SERGIO 116 20.00 5% 19.00    
8  Z'S GUITAR Jul18 May24 May11 Apr19 Feb15 (zenon shelton)STOKES J 118 15.00    
 
EVD-8   08/17/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NEW DESTINY Aug02 Jul05 Jun21 Jun07 May17 (larrosa jua)SANTIAGO EDWARD 113 1.80 40% 1.50    
2  MS. CAJUN QUEEN Jul16 Jun20 Jun06 May21 Mar24 (delany sarah)VARGAS P 118 2.50    
3  MSCHITCHATTOUR Jul27 Jun18 May30 May08 Apr26 (zenon shelton)FLORIAN JOSE 116 10.00 12% 7.10    
SCR  TOLATETOOWAIT Jul27 Jul13 May15 Nov03 Aug04 (chatter)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 20.00    
5  BOSTON PAULETTE Jun20 Jun08 May17 Dec15 Nov03 (segura kearn)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 8.00    
6  BE A BANDIT Jul13 Jul01 May30 May08 Apr20 (zenon )RUIZ GARCIA 118 20.00    
7  ROSIE'S ANGUS Aug03 Jun07 Apr17 Dec15 Nov15 (breaux samue)BARRERA J 121 3.00 24% 3.20    
8  AKIANE'S SOLDIER Aug03 Jul25 Jun20 May25 Apr10 (boxie s)FUSILIER C 118 15.00    
9  LOVERS NEVER SAY Aug01 Jul03 Jun17 May21 Mar24 (mojica edit)MELANCON JANSEN 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
EVD-9   08/17/2024 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($35K) 3UP M/F PT-10:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MADELYN'S HIT Aug01 Jun13 May08 Apr10 Feb10 (averett)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 12.00    
2  MOLTO VINO Jul13 May18 Oct07     (breaux samuel)MCMAHON J 120 5.00    
3  DIAMOND DEAL Jul20 Dec31 Nov17 Oct13 Aug05 (gelner jayde)BARRERA J 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  NODAH Aug01 Feb24 Feb07 Aug12 Jul08 (chatters be)SANTIAGO EDWARD 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  GROUND CONTROL Jul25 Nov18       (calhoun willia)THORNTON G 120 1.60 31% 2.20    
6  OVERCAST Dec08 Sep10 Aug26 Aug06 Jul17 (jeansonne jus)VARGAS P 120 15.00    
7  A MISS DEAMEANOR Jul20 Jul06 May31 May16 Mar21 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 8.00    
8  UNDERCOVER GIRL Dec09 Nov18       (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 2.00 41% 1.50    
 
EVD-10   08/17/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT-10:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CHERRY STAR Jul26 Jun21 May18 Apr20 Feb07 (latour )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 6.00    
2  CASHEW Aug02 Jul12 Jun08 May24 Apr19 (gelner scott)BARRERA J 121 4.00 20% 4.00    
3  MARY JACK Jun22 May10 Apr26 Apr11 Mar14 (prejean ray)MELANCON JANSEN 121 2.00 33% 2.00    
4  BITSY C C LIL GIRL Aug01 Jun20 May30 Apr19 Feb24 (bernard joh)SANTIAGO EDWARD 113 20.00    
5  BIND ON EARTH Jul13 Jun20 May30 Apr20 Mar03 (ramirez eduardo)POMPELL L 118 3.00 19% 4.10    
6  KELLYS THE BOSS Aug02 Jul04 May31 Apr13 Feb24 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 12.00    
7  BEYOND D'ORO Aug02 Jul13 Jun20 May22 Apr13 (simon lester)FLORIAN JOSE 113 20.00    
8  MISS CHARLIE GRAS Aug02 May25 Apr20 Feb03 Jan19 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 118 10.00 7% 14.00    
9  VALTESSE May30 May17 Apr13 Feb21 Jan19 (landry ray)FUSILIER C 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
10  HARLANS WARRIOR Aug01 Apr26 Dec27 Nov30 Nov02 (west henry)MUNOZ SERGIO 116 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.