Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Saturday - August 17, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (4/6/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/5/3)-(4/6/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/5/3)-(4/6/5/3)-(4/6/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/6/5/3)-(3/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/6/5/3)-(3/4/5)-(7/4/8/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-2   WIN (3/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/5)-(3/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/5)-(3/4/5)-(3/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/5)-(7/4/8/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/4/5)-(7/4/8/2)-(6/7/1/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-3   WIN (7/4/8/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/8/2)-(7/4/8/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/8/2)-(7/4/8/2)-(7/4/8/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/4/8/2)-(6/7/1/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/4/8/2)-(6/7/1/5)-(6/4/7/5) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-4   WIN (6/7/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/1/5)-(6/7/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/1/5)-(6/7/1/5)-(6/7/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/7/1/5)-(6/4/7/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/7/1/5)-(6/4/7/5)-(5/7/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-5   WIN (6/4/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/7/5)-(6/4/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/7/5)-(6/4/7/5)-(6/4/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/4/7/5)-(5/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/4/7/5)-(5/7/3)-(6/7/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-6   WIN (5/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/7/3)-(5/7/2/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/7/3)-(5/7/2/3)-(5/7/2/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/7/3)-(6/7/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/7/3)-(6/7/3)-(5/9/2/10) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-7   WIN (6/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/7/3)-(6/7/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/7/3)-(6/7/3)-(6/7/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/7/3)-(5/9/2/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CT-8   WIN (5/9/2/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/9/2/10)-(5/9/2/3/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/9/2/10)-(5/9/2/3/10)-(5/9/2/3/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   08/17/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 WET FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOVE IS WICKED Jul13 Jun28 Jun22 Apr13 Mar30 (johnson dewayn)CHILO MAXIMO 118 15.00    
2  RAISE A RUCKUS Jul13 Jun20 May31 May10 Apr19 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 122 6.00    
3  REVEREND JACK Jul25 Dec09 Nov18 Sep15 Aug18 (cuttino mar)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  GREATANDGOOD Jul25 Jun07 May24 Apr13 Mar30 (jones micha)ROBLES O 117 2.00 39% 1.60    
5  VALHALLA'S PALACE Jul30 Jul03 Jun20 Apr19 Mar29 (brown r)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 111 3.00 7% 13.00    
6  MOON FALL Jul25 Jun28 Jun15 May24 Apr13 (jones mic)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 2.50 26% 2.80    
7  HARPERSGONEFISHING Jul30 Mar09 Feb10 Jan27 Dec09 (cuttino mario)RIVERA JAVIER 122 10.00    
 
CT-2   08/17/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($15K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DR JACK FLYER Jul25 Jul08 Mar29 Feb28 Feb17 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 3.50    
2  CANDY FOR JUBA Jul20 Jun28 Jun07 May24 Apr19 (sigler ronald)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 5.00    
3  PENGUIN PARADE Jul19 Jun28 Jun06 Apr26 Apr05 (runco jeff )ROBLES O 119 3.00 52% 0.90    
4  LIEUTENANT BROWN Jun28 Jun06 May30 Apr18 Mar09 (jones mic)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 4.50 15% 5.50    
5  NEVERPOPTHECORK Jul19 Jun28 Mar14 Feb22 Feb01 (petty kri)BOCACHICA J 117 15.00 7% 14.00    
SCR  CYBERTIME Jul27         (farrior anth)LEWIS M 117 2.50    
7  DOCTOR PARDO Aug01 Jul06 Jun15 May25 May03 (hanagan le)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 10.00    
 
CT-3   08/17/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MALEKES MAGIC Jul18 Jun22 Jun01 Feb15 Jan11 (aylor natasha )REAP E 122 15.00    
2  NEVERFOLD Aug01 Jun28 Jun15 May25 May03 (mcgill sylvester)ACOSTA D 122 12.00 5% 17.70    
3  ORANGEBURG Jul06 Jun07 Jan12 Dec16 Dec05 (meehan eliza)WHITACRE GRANT 122 5.00    
4  CURB THAT TIGER Aug01 Jul06 Jun13 May23 May02 (farrior anth)LEWIS M 117 2.50 15% 5.50    
5  TIME TO CHOOSE Aug01 Jul20 Jun28 May23 Apr19 (reyes )ARAUJO VICENTE 122 2.00    
SCR  POUR ME A DRINK May30 May02 Mar27 Jan13 Dec06 (ramos agosto )RIVERA JAVIER 113 15.00    
7  STRIVE FOR STRIDE Jul26 Jul05 Jun13 May23 May11 (brown r)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 113 4.50 30% 2.40    
8  SHINEY GHOST Aug10 Jul20 Jun29 Jun08 May18 (aylor willi)ESPINOZA ALEXIS 120 10.00 13% 6.70    
 
CT-4   08/17/2024 2970ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($28.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIBER STRONG May24 Feb29 Nov30 Aug04 Jul08 (runco jeff )ROBLES O 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  EL LUCERITO Jun15 May17 Apr26 Mar16 Feb24 (campbell marshall)LARROSA G 124 5.00    
3  GOLDEN ARM Jul26 Jul20 Jul03 Jun22 May24 (smith m)ACOSTA D 120 15.00    
4  MARSHALL PEANUT Jul20 Jun28 Jun15 May11 Apr06 (atkins mic)SCHNEIDER JOSEPH 120 3.50    
5  MR. BUSTA Jul26 Jul05 Jun04 May14 Apr20 (contreras javie)BOCACHICA O 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  UNISON Jul04 May18 Apr27 May05 Nov23 (curtis la)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 2.50 37% 1.70    
7  CARIBBEAN PLEASURE Nov29 Nov17 Sep21 Aug17 Aug04 (brown r)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 113 2.00 35% 1.90    
 
CT-5   08/17/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHANGE YOUR LUCK Jul12 Jun15 May31 May18 Apr19 (peltroche vane)RIOS-CONDE A 122 10.00    
2  BONNIE BILL Jul27 Jun14 May18 May05 Apr13 (carlisle jo)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 6.00    
3  MR. MOX Jul05 Jun12 May05 Mar29 Mar08 (walters d)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 5.00    
4  EKATI'S VERVE Jul20 Jun22 Jun15 May24 Apr12 (mancill)BRICENO GREGOR 122 2.50 23% 3.40    
5  AWESOME PRINCE Jul27 Jun30 May11 Apr21 Mar27 (caison l)HO WESLEY 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  PERFECT SILENT CAT Apr08 Feb27 Jan29 Jan03 Dec06 (jones micha)ESPINOZA ALEXIS 122 3.50 23% 3.30    
7  MASAI MAN Jul26 May03 Mar23 Mar16 Mar08 (smith osborne)CHILO MAXIMO 122 8.00 16% 5.20    
8  AUBURN MILL Jul26 Jul05 Jun14 May04 Mar28 (magee kie)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 117 4.00    
 
CT-6   08/17/2024 2970ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($28.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HERE'S A QUARTER Jul16 Jun23 Jun11 May30 May04 (atkins mi)BOCACHICA J 111 15.00    
2  KRISTINACHRYSALIS Aug02 Jul16 Jul05 Jun14 May16 (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 116 6.00 ★    
3  MAMA MARGE Jul27 Jun15 Feb24 Nov22 Oct14 (contreras)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 116 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  BULL'S LEGACY Jul27 May30 May09 Apr18 Apr06 (brown )ARAUJO VICENTE 116 12.00    
5  WHAT'SHERNAME Jul27 Jul05 Jun20 May30   (cromer leslie)CHILO MAXIMO 118 1.40 39% 1.50    
SCR  CREME DE LA QUEEN Jul27 Jul01 May23 Apr20 Mar16 (brown k)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 115 20.00    
7  MOONLIT KISS Jul25 Jun20 May30 May02   (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 120 1.60 35% 1.90    
8  YES TO LOVE Jul27 Jul16 Jun14 May09 Apr27 (lucas anthony)PELTROCHE F 116 15.00    
 
CT-7   08/17/2024 4620ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($28.3K) 3UP ALL PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROYAL PAIN Jul26 May19 May05 Apr20 Mar27 (johnson r)HO WESLEY 120 3.00    
2  PAPA LINGUINE Jul25 Jun07 Mar23 Feb17 Jan27 (johnson)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 113 4.00    
3  SUMMONING DENIS Jul19 Jun27 Jun06 May24 Apr13 (petty kri)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  XCELLENT START Jul19 Jun08 May10 Apr18 Mar23 (jones mic)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 4.50    
SCR  FANCY CONCHO Jul26 Jul09 Jun27 May16 Oct14 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 122 3.50    
6  RUNALDO Jul19 Jun27 May16 Apr27 Mar22 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 2.50 65% 0.50    
7  VAGABOND VIRGIN Jul19 Jun28 Jun08 May16 Apr26 (runco jeff )ROBLES O 115 12.00 10% 9.30    
 
CT-8   08/17/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.7K) 3UP ALL PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  YABBA DABBA DUDE Sep30 Aug26 Jul27 Dec14 Nov03 (heath georg)ESPINOZA ALEXIS 120 20.00    
2  GRAND FIBER Jul27 Jul06 Jun20 Jun08 May16 (mangual manolo)CRUZ ANGEL 122 5.00 6% 16.50    
3  E J'S REVENGE Jul27 Jul06 Jun20 May30 May11 (hurley jack)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 6.00 ★    
4  CLAW Jul26 Jul12 Jul06 Jun14 May24 (maldonado jo)MARRERO CARLOS 122 15.00    
5  WHERE IS MIKE May29 Apr11 Nov05 Jul21 Jun05 (jones mic)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 1.60 41% 1.40    
6  HEY CONGRATS Jul27 May25 Mar22 Dec15 Nov29 (contreras)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 8.00    
7  DAN THE MAN CAN Jul27 Jul06 Jun20 May16 Nov24 (sanderson wade )PELTROCHE F 122 10.00    
8  SHAMELESS APPEAL Jul12 Mar21 Oct27 Sep02 Aug11 (soldo elaine)ACOSTA D 122 30.00    
9  MONTAUK DADDY Jul06 Jun23 Jun01 May11 Apr26 (spriggs toschi)REAP E 122 4.00 31% 2.20    
10  INSIDE RISK Aug09 Jul27 Jun20 Jun01 May11 (caison jody)MCKENZIE CONNIE 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.