Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Saturday - July 27, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (2/4/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/1/6)-(2/4/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/1/6)-(2/4/1/6)-(2/4/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/4/1/6)-(6/8/4/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/4/1/6)-(6/8/4/7)-(3/2/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-2   WIN (6/8/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/8/4/7)-(6/8/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/8/4/7)-(6/8/4/7)-(6/8/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/8/4/7)-(3/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/8/4/7)-(3/2/1)-(1/2/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-3   WIN (3/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/1)-(3/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/1)-(3/2/1)-(3/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/1)-(1/2/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/2/1)-(1/2/3)-(5/3/8/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-4   WIN (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/3)-(1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/3)-(5/3/8/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/2/3)-(5/3/8/1)-(4/1/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-5   WIN (5/3/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/8/1)-(5/3/8/4/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/3/8/1)-(5/3/8/4/1)-(5/3/8/4/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/3/8/1)-(4/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/3/8/1)-(4/1/2)-(2/1/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-6   WIN (4/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/2)-(4/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/2)-(4/1/2)-(4/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/2)-(2/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/1/2)-(2/1/5)-(5/6/8/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-7   WIN (2/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/5)-(2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/5)-(5/6/8/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CT-8   WIN (5/6/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/8/1)-(5/6/8/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/8/1)-(5/6/8/1)-(5/6/8/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   07/27/2024 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KARMA'S INTHEHOUSE         (mcclure dia)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 124 15.00 13% 6.80    
  (by IMAGINING out of GAL NEXT DOOR by LIMEHOUSE)
2  CYBERTIME         (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 1.80 44% 1.30    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of FIRST MISTRESS by FIRST DUDE)
3  YANGARRA Jul05 Jun07 May26 May12 Mar23 (o'neill tonya )CHILO MAXIMO 124 12.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of SUNSET STARLET by MALIBU MOON)
4  HURRICANE JIM         (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 119 4.50 14% 6.00    
  (by STORMY ATLANTIC out of LAST SONG by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
5  NO BRAKE NEEDED Jun13 May26 Apr12 Mar07   (keller)ARAUJO VICENTE 119 2.50    
  (by ACCELERATE out of NO NAME NEEDED by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
6  EL REY DE PAPA Sep01 Aug11       (cornwell jame)RIVERA JAVIER 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MADEFROMLUCKY out of TIME TO WINK by GIMMEAWINK)
7  CROWN THAT SAINT Jun28 Jun16 Jun08 May25 Apr21 (farrior anth)LEWIS M 114 3.00    
  (by ST PATRICK'S DAY out of RUBY CROWN by AWESOME AGAIN)
 
CT-2   07/27/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DAN THE MAN CAN Jul06 Jun20 May16 Nov24 Nov02 (sanderson wade )PELTROCHE F 122 6.00    
2  JAZZ MAN DO Jul06 Mar01 Feb09 Jan25 Dec15 (pennella rh)ESPINOZA ALEXIS 122 30.00    
3  HEY CONGRATS May25 Mar22 Dec15 Nov29 Nov03 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 4.00    
4  E J'S REVENGE Jul06 Jun20 May30 May11 Apr26 (hurley jack)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 4.50 15% 5.80    
5  INSIDE RISK Jun20 Jun01 May11 Mar22 Mar13 (caison jody)MCKENZIE CONNIE 122 20.00    
6  GRAND FIBER Jul06 Jun20 Jun08 May16 Apr20 (mangual manolo)CRUZ ANGEL 122 2.50 32% 2.10    
7  DR. RUSTY RAYMOND May24 Apr12 Mar21 Feb29 Feb08 (pickett)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 115 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  BIG HAMBONE Jul12 Jun30 Mar30 Feb23 Feb09 (dove kevin )CHATRIE E 112 2.00 16% 5.40    
 
CT-3   07/27/2024 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SAME DAY AS L J Jul06 May17 Apr27     (vick timot)SCHNEIDER JOSEPH 119 5.00 5% 19.00    
  (by WEIGELIA out of UMIGHTBEANEMPRESS by NICANOR)
2  FROSTED CUPP         (jackson l)CULLUM W 119 3.50 19% 4.30    
  (by FROSTED out of WILD MOMENT by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
3  RADAR ALERT Jul06 Mar24 Feb10     (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 1.40 57% 0.80    
  (by IMAGINING out of WATERSIDE DREAM by GREAT NOTION)
SCR  TECH DUINN Jul06 Jun13 Jun03 May04 Apr12 (venham d)MAYHEW W 119 4.50    
  (by BIG BROWN out of SEAHAG by CASHEL CASTLE)
5  CALL ME KAT Jul06 Jun05 Apr24     (dollinger-st)MARRERO CARLOS 124 15.00    
  (by GOLD FOR CASH out of Q. T. KAT by STAR CAT)
SCR  UNCLE GREY         (vick t)ARAUJO VICENTE 119 15.00    
  (by BIBLICAL out of ELEANOR'S EMPRESS by GREAT NOTION)
7  BAYTOWN ADMIRAL Jul06 Jun13 May31 Apr26 Apr06 (hillegass ale)THORPE DARIUS 119 6.00    
  (by LORD NELSON out of DBLSECRETPROBATION by PROUD CITIZEN)
 
CT-4   07/27/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PROTA Jul05 Jun13 May24 Apr20 Mar27 (sanderson wade )RODRIGUEZ V 122 6.00 25% 3.00    
2  WELLING Jun14 Jun07 May23 May02 Apr12 (spriggs toschi)REAP E 120 20.00 19% 4.30    
3  CAYENNE CREEK Jul06 Mar28 Mar21 Feb29 Feb08 (davis e)HO WESLEY 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  GOLD N SILVER Jul02 Jun10 May06 Feb04 Jan03 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.80    
5  MASTER THIS Jul05 May23 May03 Apr04 Mar07 (hurley jack)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 8.00    
6  I AM THAT I AM Jun14 Apr16 Mar26 Mar08 Feb05 (jones m)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 2.00    
7  TOP OF THE MINT Jun14 Apr12 Apr06 Feb09 Jan24 (jones michael)RIVERA JAVIER 122 3.50    
 
CT-5   07/27/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOC ELM Jul06 Jun07 Nov16 Oct19 Sep07 (wilhelm)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  AREYOUGONNAKISSME Jul04 May18 May10 Apr12 Mar29 (mckee cynth)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 4.00    
3  MISSIONARY Jul20 Jul06 May25 May16 May03 (knoblauch-pe)LEWIS M 119 5.00 21% 3.70    
4  GOLD FIBER Jul12 Jun20 May25 May03 Mar16 (peltroche vanes)PELTROCHE F 124 6.00 ★    
5  PINK DINGHY Jul04 May25 May03 Mar02 Feb03 (contreras)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 1.60 35% 1.90    
6  DIXIE YODELER Jun13 May03 Mar27 Mar02 Feb08 (davis e)HO WESLEY 119 15.00    
7  HE ROLLS Feb08 Jan12 Jan05 Dec15 Sep08 (collyer ja)SCHNEIDER JOSEPH 122 15.00    
8  COLT ROCK Jul06 Jun15 Jun04 May03 Apr18 (tobin )ARAUJO VICENTE 124 10.00 12% 7.10    
9  CHARITABLE WINDSOR Jul06 Jun15 May09 Apr13 Mar13 (greaves vernon)REAP E 122 12.00    
 
CT-6   07/27/2024 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAMA MARGE Jun15 Feb24 Nov22 Oct14 Sep22 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 116 3.00 24% 3.10    
2  CREME DE LA QUEEN Jul01 May23 Apr20 Mar16 Feb24 (brown k)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  XTENDED STREAK Jul06 Jun14 Jan10 Dec14 Nov17 (lucas anthony)CHILO MAXIMO 120 10.00    
4  BULL'S LEGACY May30 May09 Apr18 Apr06 Mar06 (brown )ARAUJO VICENTE 116 1.60 28% 2.60    
5  REMY'S HOTSHOT Jul16 Jun15 May23 Nov22 Sep21 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 116 3.50    
6  YES TO LOVE Jul16 Jun14 May09 Apr27 Feb28 (lucas anthony)PELTROCHE F 116 6.00    
SCR  SLEWING Jun15 Nov10 Sep30 Aug19 Jun30 (groves janice)MAWING A 120 15.00    
 
CT-7   07/27/2024 4620ft DIRT RC11 FAST Sylvia Bishop Memorial Purse ($75K) 3 F PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OVERNIGHT POW WOW Jul13 Jun14 Jun01 Apr27 Mar16 (mckee cynth)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 2.50 28% 2.60    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of HOLY POW WOW by INDIAN CHARLIE)
2  DIRECT THE CAT Jul04 Jun20 Nov04 Oct14 Sep22 (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 0.20 35% 1.80    
  (by REDIRECT out of CAT THATS GREY by FIBER SONDE)
3  SEVEN NATTY PATTY Jun20 May30 May04 Apr14 Oct14 (mcpeek kenne)BARBOSA JEIRON 122 12.00    
  (by MO TOWN out of CAN'T STEAL MY JOY by EXCLUSIVE QUALITY)
4  WHAT'SHERNAME Jul05 Jun20 May30     (cromer leslie)CHILO MAXIMO 122 6.00    
  (by BLOFELD out of LOV'EMNRUN by NOT FOR LOVE)
5  DAY DRAMA Jun20 Jun08 May24 May02 Apr06 (contreras)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of GROUSE GRIND by FIRST SAMURAI)
 
CT-8   07/27/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.7K) 3UP ALL PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RRACE DAY WARRIOR Jun14 May24 May13 Apr28 Apr12 (smith osborne)CHILO MAXIMO 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  WATCHOUTFORWEAVER May22 Apr02 Mar14 Feb29 Jan30 (farrior anth)LEWIS M 117 5.00    
SCR  CLASS ACTOR Jul11 Jun27 May30 Apr14 Mar08 (na)LUNA PAUL 122 8.00    
4  ANTIPOISON Jul06 Jun14 Apr12 Mar22 Mar09 (maldona)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 115 15.00    
5  MARK DID IT Jul06 Jun14 May25 May04 Apr12 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 4.00 52% 0.90    
6  SIMPLY JACK Jun27 May31 May10 Apr26 Dec09 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 2.50 18% 4.50    
7  BONNIE BILL Jun14 May18 May05 Apr13 Feb16 (carlisle )RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 113 3.00    
8  AWESOME PRINCE Jun30 May11 Apr21 Mar27 Mar16 (caison l)HO WESLEY 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.