Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Emerald Downs
Friday - July 19, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

EMD-1   WIN (4/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/3)-(4/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4/3)-(5/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/3)-(5/4/2)-(6/5/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
EMD-2   WIN (5/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/2)-(5/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/2)-(5/4/2)-(5/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/2)-(6/5/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/4/2)-(6/5/2/3)-(2/6/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
EMD-3   WIN (6/5/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/2/3)-(6/5/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/2/3)-(6/5/2/3)-(6/5/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/5/2/3)-(2/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/5/2/3)-(2/6/5)-(1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
EMD-4   WIN (2/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/5)-(2/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/5)-(2/6/5)-(2/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/6/5)-(1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/6/5)-(1/2)-(5/2/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
EMD-5   WIN (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/2)-(1/2/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (1/2)-(1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (1/2)-(5/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/2)-(5/2/6)-(9/1/2/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
EMD-6   WIN (5/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/6)-(5/2/7/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/2/6)-(5/2/7/6)-(5/2/7/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/2/6)-(9/1/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
EMD-7   WIN (9/1/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/1/2/8)-(9/1/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/1/2/8)-(9/1/2/8)-(9/1/2/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
EMD-1   07/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT-10:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
C JAXON Jun28 Jun15 Jul08 Jun17 Aug21 (balcom clif)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 122 4.00    
FUN CITY Jun21 Jul01 Apr12     (toye joe)CRUZ M 122 1.80    
CHARLIE'S MAN Jun28 Jun15 May31 May02 Apr09 (tubbs scott)REYES R 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
CASH'S CAT Jun15 May18 May04 Apr08 Mar18 (silva-martinez )LOPEZ KARLO 125 2.50 39% 1.60    
SCR  ARIZONA DAVIN Jul06 Jun15 May25 May18 May02 (hernandez miguel)MONTALVO C 121 3.00    
 
EMD-2   07/19/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT-10:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HARD TO DENY Jun30 Oct19 Sep10 Aug19 Jul28 (allen marshall)ZUNINO L 122 4.50    
WESTERN RULE Jun15 May12 Sep03 Aug25 Aug11 (belvoir howa)MARTIN A 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
MADE THE TEAM Jul06 Mar22 Mar01 Feb09 Jan27 (gutierrez jose)MONTALVO C 122 8.00    
TRIBAL IMPACT Jun30 Jun23 May25 Apr15 Mar19 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 125 1.20 15% 5.80    
PRIME EXAMPLE Jun21 Apr09 Sep02 Aug13 Jul01 (toye joe)CRUZ M 122 2.00 59% 0.70    
STEPHEN JAMES Jun28 May31 May18 Sep10 Aug12 (pirone mary )OROZCO E 122 10.00    
 
EMD-3   07/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT-10:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
APRICOT BRANDY Jul03 Jun22 Jun07 May11 Apr05 (nunnally jennif)CRUZ M 125 3.50    
ANOTHER TEN Jun21 May18 Apr16 Aug26 Aug12 (gibson howard )REYES R 125 4.00 8% 12.20    
CAPO SORELLA Jun22 Jun07 May25 Apr29 Feb24 (tubbs scott)LOPEZ KARLO 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
SETTLER'S COVE Jul06 Jun22 May12 Sep16 Aug25 (belvoir howa)MARTIN A 122 20.00    
MIST OONA B Sep16 Aug27 Aug12 Jul21 May29 (toye joe)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 2.50 21% 3.90    
FOR YOU ONLY Jun22 Jun07 May12 Sep17 Sep10 (belvoir howard)MATIAS J 122 2.00 46% 1.20    
LUTES SEA GYPSY Jun21 May31 Aug27 Aug11   (simkins ros)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 118 20.00    
 
EMD-4   07/19/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT-11:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AIN'T NO SISSY Jun16 Jun01 Sep10 Aug25 Aug04 (essex charles)CRUZ M 122 8.00    
UNCLE JUJU Jul07 Jun15 May31 May12 Apr15 (silva-martinez a)MONTALVO C 121 3.50 46% 1.20    
SCR  AUTISM WARRIOR Jul13 Jun16 Apr02 Feb22 Jan18 (christian bill)SAMUELS JAKE 122 20.00    
VALIDATE Jul07 Jun28 Jun16 May31 May12 (evans justin)KRIGGER K 125 4.00    
NORTHERN BLEND Jun28 Jun16 Jun02 May12 Oct01 (dronen sam)AMERICANO MANUEL 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
TRIBUNAL LOVE Oct22 Oct02 Sep03 Aug13 Aug20 (baze robert)REYES R 122 15.00 15% 5.60    
ATTA BOY LLOYD Jun21 May31 May11 Apr23 Apr15 (evans justin)LOPEZ KARLO 125 1.20    
 
EMD-5   07/19/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT-11:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOLY TUTTA BELLA Jul06 May25 May12 Apr25 Apr08 (evans justin)KRIGGER K 122 2.50 34% 1.90    
DON'T TELL HYDEE Jun28 Jun09 May26 Apr23 Mar24 (tubbs scott)LOPEZ KARLO 122 8.00 27% 2.70    
PARCO Jul03 Jun23 Jun08 May25 Apr10 (hernandez m)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 3.00    
LEMON DROP LADY Jun23 Jun16 May11 Apr22 Mar06 (bean a)MONTALVO C 125 4.00    
SCATALICIOUS Jun22 Jun09 May12 Sep10 Aug27 (tubbs scott)CRUZ M 122 6.00    
GOLD COAST GIRL Jan19 Sep10 Aug20 Aug04 Jul22 (bullock )AMADOR RUIZ 122 4.50    
 
EMD-6   07/19/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT-12:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SIMPLY GRACIOUS Jun30 Jun01 May11 Apr20 Mar17 (markle dan)OROZCO E 118 4.50 38% 1.70    
UNBRIDLED VIOLET Jun16 Jun01 May11 Jul15   (madrigal elo)MARTIN A 118 20.00    
POP CHART Jun30 Jun08 May12 Apr25 Apr02 (madrigal elodio)CRUZ M 118 6.00    
YOGYA Jul03 Jun14 May19 Sep02 Aug13 (markle dan)LOPEZ KARLO 122 3.00 39% 1.60    
BUCCHERA Jun02 Apr25 Oct21 Sep09 Jul15 (birdwell tena)MATIAS J 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
SECRET HOTTIE Jul07 Jun14 May19 Aug26 Aug12 (jenne bonnie)GUTIERREZ M 125 4.00    
ROPERS N WRANGLERS Jul03 Jun16 May26 Feb26 Jan31 (johnston ki)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 6.00    
SCR  CHAMP OF PAGNE Jun14 May26 May04 Jul23 Jul03 ( )TBA null      
 
EMD-7   07/19/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT-12:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BENNY BUCKETS Jun29 Jun15 May25 May04 Apr09 (silva-martinez )LOPEZ KARLO 121 3.00 14% 6.10    
ENGLISH MEADOW Jun30 Jun14 Jun02 May18 Mar05 (leonard robert)REYES R 120 6.00 13% 6.90    
SCR  CHINOOK BEND Jul06 Jun29 Jun08 May25 May11 (christian billy)CRUZ M 121 2.50    
SCR  COLTON'S TIGER Jun23 Jun07 Oct08 Sep17 Aug25 (christian shaw)SAMUELS JAKE 125 15.00    
RALLIFIED Jun29 May25 Oct08 Sep02 Aug18 (van debbie)MATIAS J 121 20.00    
BOSSYBYNATURE Jun29 Jun21 May25 Sep03 Aug19 (navarro jose)MAWING A 121 20.00    
FIRST ENDEAVOR Jun29 Jun14 May31 Sep17 Aug27 (bullock steve)KRIGGER K 125 5.00    
CRAZY STORM Jul06 Jun21 May11 Nov11 Oct29 (gilmour jim)MONTALVO C 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
MONGOLIAN SPRING Jul12 Jun21 May31 May18 Feb23 (silva-martine)GUTIERREZ M 125 4.00 50% 1.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.