Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Horseshoe Indianapolis
Tuesday - July 02, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

IND-1   WIN (3/4/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/6/7)-(3/4/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/6/7)-(3/4/6/7)-(3/4/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/4/6/7)-(5/1/6/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/4/6/7)-(5/1/6/3)-(5/1/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
IND-2   WIN (5/1/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/6/3)-(5/1/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/6/3)-(5/1/6/3)-(5/1/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/1/6/3)-(5/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/1/6/3)-(5/1/4)-(8/7/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
IND-3   WIN (5/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/4)-(5/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/4)-(5/1/4)-(5/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/4)-(8/7/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/1/4)-(8/7/3)-(2/3/5/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
IND-4   WIN (8/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/7/3)-(8/7/6/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (8/7/3)-(8/7/6/3)-(8/7/6/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (8/7/3)-(2/3/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/7/3)-(2/3/5/4)-(7/3/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
IND-5   WIN (2/3/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/5/4)-(2/3/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/5/4)-(2/3/5/4)-(2/3/5/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/3/5/4)-(7/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/3/5/4)-(7/3/1)-(7/2/5) 36 $1.00 $18.00 
IND-6   WIN (7/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/3/1)-(7/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/3/1)-(7/3/1)-(7/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/3/1)-(7/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/3/1)-(7/2/5)-(2/4) 18 $1.00 $9.00 
IND-7   WIN (7/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/2/5)-(7/2/9/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/2/5)-(7/2/9/5)-(7/2/9/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/2/5)-(2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
IND-8   WIN (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/4)-(2/9/10/4/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (2/4)-(2/9/10/4/3)-(2/9/10/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
IND-1   07/02/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHIELDMEWITHPRAYER Jun12 May22 Apr17 Nov08   (gorham m)PEREZ E 115 15.00    
SCR  TEAKETTLE Jun13 Jun04 Nov17 Oct25 Sep11 (lauer michael)SANJUR SANTO 122 15.00    
HURRICANE LASSIE Apr23 Mar21 Mar01 Feb03 Jan07 (heitzman eric)COHEN DAVID 122 3.00 47% 1.10    
GOSPEL MUSIC Jun13 May09 Nov09 Oct18 Sep06 (klopp randy)BURGOS ALBERTO 118 6.00 16% 5.40    
CLOSER TOTHE TRUTH Jun13 Aug02 Jul21 Jun29 Jun08 (klopp randy)ROMAN A 122 3.50    
SHARON'S GREY HOPE Jun04 Oct26 Sep25 Aug15 Jul21 (granitz anthony )PARKER L 122 4.50 10% 9.10    
B FLAT OUT Jun13 Jul18 Jun29 Jun10 May29 (phillips )PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
SHAKIN IT UP BABY Jun13 Jun04 May09 Sep29 Sep07 (garcia is)CORREA L 122 4.00    
 
IND-2   07/02/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($36K) 2 ALL PT- 2:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ISMYBUSINESS         (silva mig)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 119 4.50 11% 8.20    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of EARNED by FLATTER)
SCR  MOLLY'S LEGACY         (garcia ge)PEDROZA MARCELINO 116 4.00    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of MOLLY SLEW by CURLIN)
BOURBON CURIOSITY         (silva)ULLOA PATRICIO 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TOM'S D'ETAT out of TASHIARA by EXCHANGE RATE)
TAYLOR'S MOONSHINE         (fletche)DE CRUZ 119 5.00    
  (by YORKTON out of BAYERLY SEEN by BAYERN)
SIR BAHJY         (garcia gen)ANDERSON MCKENNA 116 3.00 46% 1.20    
  (by BAHJATTY out of PROUD DREAMER by PROUD CITIZEN)
DAVID'S CREED         (dobbsjr e)PRESCOTT R 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of GOLDEN STRIKER by LANGFUHR)
SCR  KENTUCKY JUSTICE         (davis d)SANJUR SANTO 119 20.00    
  (by BRODY'S CAUSE out of U S GOLD by U S RANGER)
THE IRISH RANTER         (haran john)BURGOS ALBERTO 119 10.00    
  (by COLLECTED out of PARADISE RETAINED by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
EL ROCKY         (davis joseph)TERRAZA GERMAN 119 15.00    
  (by DEMARCHELIER out of SHE CAN COPE by STEVIE WONDERBOY)
 
IND-3   07/02/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($43.52K) 2 ALL PT- 3:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CUPID'S THUNDER Jun04 May01 Apr10     (hancock j)CORREA L 120 8.00 22% 3.50    
  (by CUPID out of CATECAL by WARRIOR'S REWARD)
ROYALIST Jun04         (hernandez)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 4.00    
  (by LORD NELSON out of FLOWERFUL by OVERANALYZE)
SCR  VEHEMENTLY Jun04         (elliott)DE CRUZ 120 5.00    
  (by VOLATILE out of SHIMMERING MOON by MALIBU MOON)
MISSION IMPROBABLE Jun05         (brisset rodolph)ACHARD ALEX 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by IMPROBABLE out of PAY OFF by BROKEN VOW)
TRULY LEGIT         (davis chr)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 3.50 33% 2.00    
  (by AUTHENTIC out of JORDAN'S HENNY by HENNY HUGHES)
RED SHAHEEN         (matejka pavel)MURGIA A 120 6.00    
  (by PRESERVATIONIST out of GOLD EDGE by EDDINGTON)
SERGEANT CAPPS Jun22 May30 May09 Apr26 Apr10 (capps steve)MIRANDA ROGELIO 120 3.00    
  (by WEST COAST out of PRIVATE ESTATE by PRIVATE TALK)
 
IND-4   07/02/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MY PAL GREG Jun05 May28 May14 Apr25 May09 (richardvi)BERMUDEZ E 124 15.00    
SOLO TOURIST May02         (green darle)CARMONA SERAFIN 117 20.00    
TWO STEP JAKE May13 Apr24       (nance jonathan)PRESCOTT R 117 6.00 5% 19.00    
SAKRA'S PROMISE Jun11 May16 May01 Apr16   (klopp rand)ANDERSON MCKENNA 117 8.00    
SCR  IT'S LAST CALL May07 Apr17 Nov10 Oct23 Sep06 (duran anton)ROMERO M 110 6.00    
JACK D Jun05 May10 Nov06 Oct17 Sep19 (bland greg)LEAHEY HANNAH 124 4.50    
FIREBALL JUSTICE Nov10 Oct23 Oct04 Sep25 Sep06 (klopp randy)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 3.50 12% 7.30    
POP THE CORK Jun05 May21 Apr30 Apr08 Nov01 (gorham m)PEREZ E 117 1.80 66% 0.50    
 
IND-5   07/02/2024 4950ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($23.12K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HALCYON DAYS Jun01 May22 May04 Mar20 Feb22 (short thoma)LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 6.00    
STARLIT SOFI May26 May03 Apr07 Mar20 Feb22 (waltz brian)PRESCOTT R 124 2.00 40% 1.50    
STORY CHANNEL Jun19 Jun01 Dec11 Nov29 Nov08 (monday kevin)MURGIA A 124 4.50 34% 1.90    
READY SET ADIOS Jun12 May24 Apr17 Apr03 Feb25 (bush s)HESS SARA 117 20.00 5% 19.00    
COLLECTED SUCCESS Jun17 May28 May04 Mar27 Feb14 (klopp randy)ROMAN A 120 5.00 6% 15.70    
MISCHIEF JAC Jun17 May28 May07 Mar15 Feb23 (richardvi)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 15.00    
SCR  EVOCATION Jun07 May30 May14 Apr20 Feb21 (caramori cai)TORRES A 120 3.50    
PALACSINTA Jun08 Mar30 Mar03 Oct12 Sep09 (caramor)DE CRUZ 124 12.00    
 
IND-6   07/02/2024 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($32K) Purse ($35.36K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ON PARADISE HILL May30 Mar13       (lobo h)ROMAN A 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
MOLLY'S ROSE Apr07 Mar21 Feb23     (riefenberg e)TORRES A 124 20.00    
ETNA'S NAPPER Jun06 Feb09 Aug04 Jun24 Apr16 (sancal )DE CRUZ 124 4.50 17% 4.90    
SCR  BOLTORO Apr24 Apr07 Feb21 Jan10 Dec17 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 124 3.50    
RENDEZVOUS Jun06 May25 Sep02 Aug01   (michael b)BEALMEAR C 117 20.00    
SCR  NACHTHEXEN Jun06         (walden william)MACHADO LUAN 124 8.00    
FOREVER SAFE Jun06 May14       (cox brad )PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 3.00 62% 0.60    
MS. LILIBET Jun06 Apr21 Mar06 Feb10 Jan01 (williamson bri)ASHTON GAVIN 124 2.50    
 
IND-7   07/02/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MICHIGAN LEFT Jun13 May23 May13 Apr24   (richardvi)PEDROZA MARCELINO 124 15.00    
REITERATION Jun11 Nov13 Sep12 Aug31 Aug01 (phillips terry)PARKER L 124 2.50 23% 3.40    
SCR  OUTSTANDINGJUSTICE Jun05 May16 Apr24 Oct31 Oct18 (davis d)SANJUR SANTO 124 20.00    
SCR  WARING Jun20         (klopp randy)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 10.00    
SLINK Jun11 May28 May21 Nov14 Nov01 (short zacha)CARMONA SERAFIN 113 15.00 5% 19.00    
SINGLE DIP May16 May01 Apr16     (klopp randy)ROMAN A 120 8.00    
BIG CITY HEAT Jun11 Oct12 Sep19 Aug29 Aug01 (waltz brian)PRESCOTT R 124 3.50 50% 1.00    
SCR  PROPHET OBADIAH Jun08 Sep19       (elliott mic)ROMERO M 110 20.00    
HE SAID CASH Jun20 Oct11 Oct03 Sep12 Aug29 (garcia is)CORREA L 124 3.00    
10  NICKELS DEFENSE Jun12         (davis joseph)TERRAZA GERMAN 120 20.00    
 
IND-8   07/02/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($23.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BROKEN JUSTICE Jun08 May22 Mar28 Mar14 Feb14 (short ricky)CARMONA SERAFIN 112 20.00    
GEWURZTRAMINER Jun06 May23 Apr26 Mar28 Feb24 (mott riley)ACHARD ALEX 118 1.60 74% 0.30    
ON PALM SUNDAY Jun12 May21 Sep02 Aug17 Aug03 (davis j)DE CRUZ 122 10.00    
DEEP STRIKE Jun06 Apr17 Feb28 Feb02 Dec27 (granitz a)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
FEAR AND LOATHING May27 May13 Apr07 Mar08 Jan26 (wisner j)PARKER L 118 15.00    
GROOM LAKE Jun12 Mar27 Mar14 Feb23 Dec16 (vosler eu)BERMUDEZ E 122 20.00    
ARTWELL Jun20 May11 Apr13 Mar15 Mar01 (garcia ge)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 6.00    
STEP ON IT Jun12 Apr27 Mar27 Feb23 Jan25 (bush s)HESS SARA 115 10.00    
FIERCE ASSAULT May21 Mar15 Feb23 Jan27 Jun17 (eggleston tim)SANJUR SANTO 122 5.00    
10  CAPTAIN PARTY Jun12 May13 Mar29 Mar14 Feb03 (watkins m)PRESCOTT R 122 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.