Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Monmouth Park
Friday - June 21, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

MTH-1   WIN (4/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/7)-(4/2/7/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/2/7)-(4/2/7/1)-(4/2/7/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
MTH-2   WIN (6/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/7)-(6/5/7) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (6/7)-(6/5/7)-(6/5/7) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
MTH-3   WIN (6/3/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/4/7)-(6/3/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/4/7)-(6/3/4/7)-(6/3/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-4   WIN (5/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/6)-(5/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/6)-(5/4/6)-(5/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
MTH-5   WIN (5/9/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/9/4/8)-(5/9/4/2/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/9/4/8)-(5/9/4/2/8)-(5/9/4/2/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MTH-6   WIN (8/1/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/1/9)-(8/1/11/12/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/1/9)-(8/1/11/12/9)-(8/1/11/12/9) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MTH-7   WIN (4/1/6/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/6/9)-(4/1/6/9/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/1/6/9)-(4/1/6/9/5)-(4/1/6/9/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MTH-8   WIN (1/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/3)-(1/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/3)-(1/5/3)-(1/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
MTH-1   06/21/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($52.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LADY LALA Apr27         (o'connell kath)RENDON JAIRO 119 4.00    
  (by GIRVIN out of ALLYOUNEEDISLOVIN by HIGH COTTON)
FAZOOLS         (brown c)CAMACHO SAMY 119 2.50 22% 3.50    
  (by CURLIN out of HOT CASH by GHOSTZAPPER)
AZTECA STARDUST May26 May02       (potts way)HERNANDEZ F 119 20.00    
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of HELLOO REGINA by WILBURN)
BROOKMESA Nov10 Sep24 Aug20     (pompay terri)LOPEZ PASCACIO 119 3.50 31% 2.30    
  (by SKY MESA out of MELLONBROOK by DISCREET CAT)
MY HONEYBUNCH May11 Aug13       (spina charles)TORRES JOMAR 119 6.00    
  (by KEEN ICE out of SHE'S FLATTERING by FLATTER)
CALIFORNIA ROLL Apr27 Mar29       (schultz linds)JARA FERNANDO 119 5.00    
  (by WEST COAST out of SUSHI GIRL by ORIENTATE (GB))
MARTINGALE Jan27 Dec07 Sep17     (brown cha)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 3.00 18% 4.50    
  (by CURLIN out of SI SI TEQUILA by YES IT'S TRUE)
 
MTH-2   06/21/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($52.5K) 2 ALL PT- 2:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUNGLE GLOW         (spina charles)TORRES JOMAR 117 6.00    
  (by CARAVAGGIO out of SUNLIT FOREST by BERNARDINI)
NOBLE FORCE         (delgado jorge)RENDON JAIRO 117 3.00    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of GUESS WHAT by PROUD CITIZEN)
AMERICA'S HONOR         (sacco gregor)CASTILLO ISAAC 117 3.00    
  (by HONOR A. P. out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
SCR  REALLY QUICK         (milne joan)IORIO MELISSA 112 10.00    
  (by ACCELERATE out of NEVER QUICKER by NEVER TABLED)
BRINK         (schistl rafae)JARA FERNANDO 117 10.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of EQUANT by ORB)
CITY TIME         (sacco gregor)LOPEZ PASCACIO 117 2.00 42% 1.40    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of TIMESLOT by FIRST DEFENCE)
ST. ERLING         (milne joa)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 117 8.00 6% 16.90    
  (by FROSTED out of SPUN SILVER by GRAND SLAM)
 
MTH-3   06/21/2024 3300ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HER TICKET TO RIDE Jun08 May14 Apr09 Mar18 Feb19 (smylie timothy)AGUILAR JEAN 116 15.00    
LADY TRIXMEISTER Jun08 Oct13 Sep15 Aug27 Jul23 (harris holly)CASTILLO ISAAC 123 8.00    
GOLD ALLIANCE May26 Jul15 Jul02     (einhorn kim)JUAREZ NIK 119 5.00 16% 5.40    
WELLTON GIRL May26 Sep02 Aug13 Jul14 Jun23 (ortega )GONZALEZ LUIS 119 6.00 6% 15.40    
SCR  PARTY IS OVER May26 Nov25 Oct20 Sep30 Sep03 (duarte jorge )JARA FERNANDO 123 2.00    
BOLT OF PARADISE Nov05 Aug19 Jul29 Jun30 Jun11 (crook-demasi k)RENDON JAIRO 123 2.50 49% 1.00    
DENIM N LACE May26 Dec14 Nov09 Oct25 Oct05 (bedard alan)TORRES JOMAR 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
DELIGHTFUL DIXIE Aug04 Jul07       (dini mike)IORIO MELISSA 118 8.00    
YELOMA Jun06 May29 May04 Apr15 Mar27 (hogan )GONZALEZ JR 123 20.00    
 
MTH-4   06/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CUPIDS GIRL May25 May09 Apr04 Mar01 Feb23 (potts wayne)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 3.00    
BULLET ON TAP Apr30 Apr22 Apr02 Mar13 Mar05 (gomez p)GONZALEZ LUIS 121 6.00    
LADY YELLEN Jun08 May27 May14 Feb21 Feb07 (padilla-preciad)RUIZ ELISEO 121 3.50    
WAIT A SEC Jun08 May26 Apr17 Mar30 Mar02 (hernandez enri)CAMACHO SAMY 121 3.50 21% 3.90    
MEETMEATTHEBEACH Apr25 Feb21 Feb07 Dec29 Dec14 (serey ma)HERNANDEZ J 119 2.50 38% 1.60    
FOREST MAIDEN Jun08 May14 Apr02 Mar19 Feb20 (linder lo)MALDONADO GABRIEL 116 5.00 5% 19.00    
 
MTH-5   06/21/2024 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($47.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNDERINVESTED         (brown cha)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 5.00    
  (by JUSTIFY out of ROSY HUMOR by DISTORTED HUMOR)
AMERICAN MEMORIES May29 Mar30 Mar08     (pino v)RENDON JAIRO 119 5.00    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of WINTER MEMORIES by EL PRADO (IRE))
BIG ERN MCCRACKEN Jun02 Apr30 Apr09 Feb26 Jul19 (lake a)OCASIO M 119 15.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of HEAVENLY VIEW by DISTANT VIEW)
PARIS SURPRISE Dec10 Nov04       (sweezey kent)BRAVO J 119 4.50 14% 5.90    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of WARM WATER by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
JUAN VALDEZ May10 Mar16 Jan18 Jun02 May06 (mcgaughey cl)LOPEZ PASCACIO 123 3.00 47% 1.10    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of BAFFLED by DISTORTED HUMOR)
SCR  PAXSATIONAL Jul30 Jul15 Jul01 May28 Jan06 (barker ed)CAMACHO JR 123 12.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of BROWSE by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
TRUE FAITH May27 Apr25 Feb19     (synnefias pana)TORRES JOMAR 119 20.00    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of DON'TFORGETABOUTME by MALIBU MOON)
PORTIS May19 Aug06       (schultz lindsa)MARIN SAMUEL 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MIDNIGHT LUTE out of PARTYINSLOWMOTION by BERNARDINI)
MAIN BEACH May19 Apr20       (brown c)CAMACHO SAMY 119 2.50 17% 5.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of SIREN SERENADE by MARFA)
10  TRIUMPHANT ROAD Jun02 May19 Apr21 Jan06 Nov16 (barker r)JUAREZ NIK 123 6.00    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of FOXYSOX by FOXHOUND)
 
MTH-6   06/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($65.625K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DONT ROCK THE BOAT Sep10 Jul23 Jun17 Jun03   (owens jr)RENDON JAIRO 119 6.00 35% 1.90    
  (by SEA WIZARD out of DISCREETLY ROCKIN by DISCREETLY MINE)
T V MAN Jun01 May19 Oct06 Aug27 Aug12 (frangella ja)CASTILLO ISAAC 119 30.00    
  (by KING PUMA out of SUMMER STING by INTENSITY)
MICRO BREWSKY May19 May12 Jul08 Jun10   (ryan s)IORIO MELISSA 118 8.00    
  (by MICROMANAGE out of RED HEADED LILL by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
FULLY COMMITTED Oct06         (dini mike)TORRES JOMAR 119 30.00    
  (by MADEFROMLUCKY out of ELECTRIC COWGIRL by COWBOY CAL)
MY JACK         (margotta antho)MOYA F 119 15.00    
  (by GOLDEN LAD out of HANNA DUE by E DUBAI)
MIDHEIRFLYINHIGH Oct06 Aug27       (ward dan)PEREZ CESAR 109 12.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of IN MID HEIR by WILDCAT HEIR)
SCR  ISLAND SPIRIT May19 Nov01 Jul08 Jun25 Jun10 (huston rory )LOPEZ PASCACIO 123 5.00    
  (by SEA WIZARD out of VODKA HIGH by MOUNT MCKINLEY)
GO IRISH May11         (antonucci m)JUAREZ NIK 119 1.80 40% 1.50    
  (by IRISH WAR CRY out of VADA by MORE THAN READY)
SWEET SPITE         (spina cha)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of WY NOT CANDY by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
10  LECANTO May19         (carango)GONZALEZ LUIS 123 30.00    
  (by PAYNTER out of BROAD GALE by BROAD BRUSH)
11  POST COMMAND Jun01 May19 Jul23 Jul01   (spina charles)CAMACHO SAMY 119 6.00    
  (by IL POSTINO out of REQUESTED VOW by BROKEN VOW)
12  NAVESINK PIRATE May19 Mar16 Feb10     (owens jr)MARIN SAMUEL 119 6.00    
  (by SEA WIZARD out of ALL EVEN by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
 
MTH-7   06/21/2024 5610ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($15K) Purse ($62.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOLD TRUST Jun01 May19       (dini mike)BRAVO J 120 4.00 21% 3.70    
STEEL PIER May26 Sep15 Aug27 Aug20 Sep10 (carango antho)RIVERA D 121 30.00    
ALPHA COMPANY May26 May12 Nov01 Oct06 Aug27 (huston k)TORRES JOMAR 121 8.00    
LEO MONTE Jun09 Feb24 Jan20 Dec22 Nov22 (sacco gregor)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 1.60 47% 1.10    
IRISH RILL Nov18 Oct13 Aug27 Aug06 Jun18 (lynch cat)MALDONADO GABRIEL 116 4.50    
HERE COMES BILLY May26 Mar01 Feb07 Jan21 Jan05 (nunn do)GONZALEZ LUIS 121 6.00 6% 16.20    
JUST COMPLY May12 Dec01 Oct06 Aug27 Jul29 (dini mike)RENDON JAIRO 121 6.00    
PAL May26 Oct13 Sep03 Aug27 Aug06 (frangella ja)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 15.00    
OHANA EMPIRE May11 Apr03 Mar16 Feb16 May29 (sweezey kent)CAMACHO SAMY 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
MTH-8   06/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($52.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COAST ALONG May19 Apr21 Aug11 Jun17 May14 (mcgaughey)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 123 3.00 48% 1.10    
  (by WEST COAST out of MELROSE WOODS by BROKEN VOW)
HOLD OUT May19 Mar08 Feb09 Jan12 Dec08 (gonzalez claud)CAMACHO SAMY 119 6.00    
  (by STREET BOSS out of WIPE OUT by HARD SPUN)
MAXIMATCH Aug12         (pompay terri)CASTILLO ISAAC 119 5.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of TRY TO CATCH HER by BROKEN VOW)
LIVEHAPPY Apr27 Mar02 Feb11 Jan13 Dec16 (abreu jorge )LOPEZ PASCACIO 119 3.50    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of ARTISTIC LIFE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
CONFISCATED Apr30         (crook-de)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 119 4.00 26% 2.90    
  (by ARROGATE out of ASPIRING by SEEKING THE GOLD)
SCR  QUISTMER Apr27 Sep09       (pompay terri)JARA FERNANDO 119 15.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of BAWLMER HON by SILVER TRAIN)
LUCA IL CAVALLO         (coletti edward )RUIZ ELISEO 119 8.00    
  (by FROSTED out of ARCHSTONE by ARCH)
SCR  NIMMO Mar29 Mar08 Feb10 Jan12   (orseno f)BRAVO J 119 6.00    
  (by YOSHIDA out of SIESTA by TIZNOW)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.