Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Assiniboia Downs
Monday - May 27, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

ASD-1   WIN (4/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/3)-(4/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/3)-(4/5/3)-(4/5/3) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (4/5/3)-(6/4/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/5/3)-(6/4/2)-(2/6/3) 27 $0.20 $5.40 
ASD-2   WIN (6/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/2)-(6/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/2)-(6/4/2)-(6/4/2) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    PK3 (6/4/2)-(2/6/3)-(7/6/2/5) 36 $0.20 $7.20 
ASD-3   WIN (2/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/3)-(2/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/3)-(2/6/3)-(2/6/3) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    PK3 (2/6/3)-(7/6/2/5)-(4/6/3) 36 $0.20 $7.20 
ASD-4   WIN (7/6/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/2/5)-(7/6/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6/2/5)-(7/6/2/5)-(7/6/2/5) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    PK3 (7/6/2/5)-(4/6/3)-(6/4/5) 36 $0.20 $7.20 
ASD-5   WIN (4/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/3)-(4/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/3)-(4/6/3)-(4/6/3) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    PK3 (4/6/3)-(6/4/5)-(1/6/8/4) 36 $0.20 $7.20 
ASD-6   WIN (6/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/5)-(6/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/5)-(6/4/5)-(6/4/5) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (6/4/5)-(1/6/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
ASD-7   WIN (1/6/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/8/4)-(1/6/8/10/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/6/8/4)-(1/6/8/10/4)-(1/6/8/10/4) 48 $0.20 $9.60 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
ASD-1   05/27/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VALID DEFENCE Sep12 Aug28 Aug14 Jul31 Jul19 (anders)PATTERSON R 122 12.00    
GIANT ONE Nov19 Oct20 Oct01 Sep08 Aug11 (maxwell cur)DALRYMPLE DARIO 122 6.00    
FINALIZE Oct08 Sep30 Sep20 Sep06 Aug22 (brown shelley)CUMBERBATCH R 122 5.00 8% 11.20    
ADJOURNMENT Sep18 Aug29 Aug07 Jul26 Jul05 (pruitt lise)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 117 3.00 35% 1.90    
LOLLIPOP KID Oct15 Sep30 Sep13 Aug22 Aug08 (brown she)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 122 1.60 23% 3.40    
RATLIFF CITY Apr19 Mar17 Feb23 Feb09 Dec13 (gourneau)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 122 4.00    
 
ASD-2   05/27/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PODEROSO EQUS Apr13 Mar30 Mar16 Sep10 Aug06 (gourneau jer)BADRIE PRAYVEN 122 8.00    
SIDE STREET DAVE Apr27 Apr13 Mar02 Sep11 Aug07 (sanderson bruce)ALI RONALD 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
WATCH THE MUSIC Jan20 Dec30 Dec08 Nov10 Oct15 (brown shelley)PARRIS SACHIN 112 12.00    
NOTACATBUTACARD May20 Apr06 Mar13 Mar06 Feb11 (buffalo marvi)BYNOE DAMARIO 122 3.00 22% 3.50    
EAST RAND Apr24 Apr09 Mar18 Feb22 Feb07 (brown jar)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 122 1.40    
DEANOS CAPE Apr06 Mar01 Feb09 Jan27 Dec09 (gourneau jerry)BALROOP SVEN 122 4.00 34% 2.00    
 
ASD-3   05/27/2024 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BAD PIXIE Sep26 Sep05       (gittens devon)PARRIS SACHIN 113 15.00    
AWARENESS AUTISM Apr30 Apr22 Apr10     (dickey elton)CUMBERBATCH R 117 1.20 52% 0.90    
SCR  TWO CAT Aug21         (anders)PATTERSON R 117 25.00 5% 19.00    
JACKIE'S THUNDER Sep12 Aug09 Jul24 Jul10 Jun26 (husbands ti)DALRYMPLE DARIO 123 20.00    
DRIVING May04 Apr19 Apr07 Mar03 Feb03 (gourneau)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 123 3.00    
WOKE JOKE May04 Apr21 Apr07 Mar22 Mar08 (gourneau jerry)BUDHU ARTHUR 123 4.00 15% 5.80    
SCR  CHARMINGLY WITT Mar30 Mar02 Feb18 Feb04   (gourneau jerry)BALROOP SVEN 117 7.00    
 
ASD-4   05/27/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($20K) 3 F PT- 9:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NOT TOO EARLY         (husbands ti)DALRYMPLE DARIO 119 10.00    
  (by NONIOS out of EARLY SPEED by AIR COMMANDER)
OFFLEY SPECIAL Sep13 Sep04 Aug21 Jul24   (gaskin steven)DAWKINS DANE 119 3.00 13% 6.50    
  (by KENTUCKY BEAR out of YELLING TIMBER by FORESTRY)
LADY ROXANNA         (husbands tiff)PARRIS SACHIN 109 15.00    
  (by SOCIETY'S CHAIRMAN out of MY LADY ANNA by AWESOME AGAIN)
SCR  WHITNEY'S WISH         (brown she)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 119 5.00    
  (by OLD FORESTER out of LISTENTOTHELADY by BODEMEISTER)
PIXI'S DREAMING Sep13         (pruitt lise)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 114 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GOING COMMANDO out of JUSTONEOFAKIND by MORE THAN READY)
SCR  B B BEAR         (anderson carl)TARASENCO P 119 4.00 16% 5.40    
  (by KENTUCKY BEAR out of C Z BELLE by CITY ZIP)
DAISYSADOOZY Sep18 Sep04 Aug14 Jul25 Jul10 (gittens devon)BYNOE DAMARIO 119 2.00 31% 2.30    
  (by CARPE DIEM (FR) out of GRACE OF HEARTS by GRAND SLAM)
 
ASD-5   05/27/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.1K) 3UP M/F PT-10:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MOVE TO ORDER Sep18 Sep12 Aug29 Aug23 Jul25 (donley jim)DALRYMPLE DARIO 121 25.00    
JUST FOR CHARLOTTE Sep20 Sep12 Aug30 Aug21 Aug08 (anderson wendy)BALROOP SVEN 121 12.00    
BITS OF LEMON DROP Sep18 Sep04 Aug21 Aug08 Jul25 (morse )PATTERSON R 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
DOUBLEBARRELDELITE Sep18 Sep04 Aug21 Aug14 Aug01 (nault mic)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 121 5.00 36% 1.80    
SILVER SIGN Dec14 Nov17 Oct07 Sep09 Dec01 (anderson carl)TARASENCO P 121 1.60    
NEXT THING YA KNOW Aug30 Aug02 Jul04     (pruitt lise)CHOW CHAVION 121 4.00 20% 4.10    
RUN FOR JOY Apr26 Apr14 Mar29 Mar10 Mar03 (gourneau jerry)ALI RONALD 117 3.00    
 
ASD-6   05/27/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.3K) 3UP ALL PT-10:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ETU BABOU Aug21 Jul25 Jul04 May22 Apr26 (husbands )WHITEHALL ANTONIO 122 5.00    
HEAVENLY TRIP Sep11 Jul03 May23 Mar16 Dec17 (gardipy tom)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 117 3.00    
PROPERLY CONNECTED Apr19 Apr05 Mar22 Mar02 Feb24 (gourneau jerry)BUDHU ARTHUR 124 15.00    
KITON Sep11 Aug21 Jul26 Jul10 Jun21 (desjarlais rya)CHOW CHAVION 124 4.00 20% 3.90    
SCREENPLAY Apr13 Apr06 Mar23 Mar15 Mar01 (gourneau)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
BIG INVESTMENT Dec15 Dec01 Nov12 Nov03 Oct07 (gittens devon)CUMBERBATCH R 122 1.60 45% 1.20    
C C'S KITTEN Sep11 Aug22 Jul26 Jul05 May22 (gardipy j)PARRIS SACHIN 112 20.00    
 
ASD-7   05/27/2024 3300ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT-11:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MECHANIC SUSIE Aug23 Aug08 Jul24 Jul11 Jun27 (dickey el)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 121 4.50 30% 2.30    
MARY WHO May21 Apr21 Apr05 Mar22 Mar03 (gourneau jerry)BALROOP SVEN 117 6.00    
ISLAND HIGH Sep20 Sep12 Aug23 Aug01 Jul11 (pruitt lise)BADRIE PRAYVEN 121 30.00    
CATCH THE DREAM Sep20 Sep06 Oct29 Oct14 Sep24 (anderson carl)TARASENCO P 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
OLIVE'S CANDY Oct15 Sep20 Aug23 Aug02 Jul12 (gardipy j)BYNOE DAMARIO 121 10.00    
CUSS'N CAT Aug23 Aug02 Jul11 Jun28 May29 (dickey elton)CUMBERBATCH R 121 3.00 26% 2.80    
MIDNIGHTCANDYSTORM Dec29 Oct18 Sep01 Aug04 Jul17 (gardipy jr)ALI RONALD 121 15.00    
DANZIGS STAR STORM Sep06 Aug23 Aug02 Jul12 Jun28 (anderson wendy)DAWKINS DANE 121 12.00 18% 4.50    
MOBIL CREEK Aug14 Jul25 Jul10     (taphorn )STEPHENSON NEVILLE 115 25.00    
10  DYNAMIC STRIKE May21 Dec02 Nov09 Oct19 Sep10 (anderson we)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 110 2.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.