Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Gulfstream Park
Saturday - May 11, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

GP-1   WIN (3/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/1)-(3/7/1/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/7/1)-(3/7/1/2)-(3/7/1/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/7/1)-(4/6/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/7/1)-(4/6/7/5)-(7/4/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
GP-2   WIN (4/6/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/7/5)-(4/6/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/7/5)-(4/6/7/5)-(4/6/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/6/7/5)-(7/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/6/7/5)-(7/4/1)-(8/4/9/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
GP-3   WIN (7/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/4/1)-(7/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/4/1)-(7/4/1)-(7/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/4/1)-(8/4/9/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/4/1)-(8/4/9/6)-(2/4/7/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
GP-4   WIN (8/4/9/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/4/9/6)-(8/4/9/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/4/9/6)-(8/4/9/6)-(8/4/9/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/4/9/6)-(2/4/7/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/4/9/6)-(2/4/7/6)-(8/4/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
GP-5   WIN (2/4/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/7/6)-(2/4/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/7/6)-(2/4/7/6)-(2/4/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/4/7/6)-(8/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/4/7/6)-(8/4/2)-(3/4/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
GP-6   WIN (8/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/4/2)-(8/4/2/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (8/4/2)-(8/4/2/3)-(8/4/2/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (8/4/2)-(3/4/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (8/4/2)-(3/4/1)-(9/5/8/12) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
GP-7   WIN (3/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/1)-(3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/1)-(9/5/8/12) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/4/1)-(9/5/8/12)-(3/6/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
GP-8   WIN (9/5/8/12) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/5/8/12)-(9/5/8/12) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/5/8/12)-(9/5/8/12)-(9/5/8/12) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/5/8/12)-(3/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (9/5/8/12)-(3/6/4)-(9/10/3/12) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
GP-9   WIN (3/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/4)-(3/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/4)-(3/6/4)-(3/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/4)-(9/10/3/12) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
GP-10   WIN (9/10/3/12) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/10/3/12)-(9/10/3/5/12) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/10/3/12)-(9/10/3/5/12)-(9/10/3/5/12) 48 $0.50 $24.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
GP-1   05/11/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($65K) 2 ALL PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ZADDY         (deaton william)MARTINEZ REY 108 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by NEOLITHIC out of SIMPATIA by RAHY)
GREY SHADOW         (rodriguez a)OCASIO JONATHAN 118 20.00    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of DOTTIE by BERNARDINI)
THE BRIGADE         (casse mark)JARAMILLO E 118 1.80 38% 1.60    
  (by WAR OF WILL out of DIDO by BERNSTEIN)
DUDE AFFRIGHT         (minguet ramo)MORELOS E 118 30.00    
  (by FIRST DUDE out of A PRETTY SCARE by SIDNEY'S CANDY)
NERVANA         (lightner mar)ZAYAS J 118 3.00    
  (by WIN WIN WIN out of NERVE LINE by MARCHFIELD)
BOUNDFORTROUBLE         (d'angelo f)PEREZ EDGAR 118 4.00    
  (by WORLD OF TROUBLE out of THE NIAGARA QUEEN by LANGFUHR)
HEAT         (casse )VASQUEZ ANGEL 118 2.00 18% 4.60    
  (by MUNNINGS out of TOO COOL TO DANCE by KITTEN'S JOY)
 
GP-2   05/11/2024 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LAS OLAS Apr04 Mar01 Jan21 Dec31 Dec06 (orseno josep)ZAYAS J 126 2.50    
AWESOME FOR SURE Apr20 Apr06 Nov30 Nov02 Sep22 (abreu fernando)REYES LEONEL 120 10.00    
SCR  DARTH Apr20 Apr04 Feb11 Dec31 Nov18 (cazare)VASQUEZ ANGEL 120 5.00    
BATTLE OF DOVER Apr20 Jan19 Dec22 Nov24 Oct28 (budhoo steve)LEON SONNY 120 3.50 40% 1.50    
FAST CHAD Apr13 Mar10 Feb24 Nov29 Sep28 (smullen heat)MORELOS E 126 10.00 5% 19.00    
MOTIVO Apr14 Feb11 Dec30 Nov09 Oct05 (garcia rodolfo)RIOS M 126 3.00 20% 4.00    
HARI Apr06 Mar14 Feb10 Dec07 Oct05 (sanchez amad)GONZALEZ EDWIN 126 8.00 9% 10.00    
SUMMER STORM STRIC Apr24 Apr14 Mar14 Mar06 Feb01 (lutchman padara)PEREZ EDGAR 120 12.00    
 
GP-3   05/11/2024 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
I LOVE IRELAND Oct08 Sep09 Aug12 Jul29 Jul01 (hurtak daniel)LEON SONNY 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
JOYFUL ELIZA (GB) Mar29 Mar01 Jan28     (acker d)REYES LEONEL 118 8.00    
SCR  CORRIN PEAK Apr20 Mar29 Jan25 Dec02   (ramsey)VASQUEZ ANGEL 118 3.00    
INABLINK Mar21 Feb29 Feb01 Jan12 Dec16 (mckanas j)PEREZ EDGAR 118 3.50 35% 1.90    
JESS'S MOMENT Apr18 Apr07 Mar21 Mar07 Feb09 (alvarez lazar)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 30.00    
LUCEVAN LA STELLE Apr18 Mar29 Mar09 Feb10 Jan20 (abreu fernando)PANICI LUCA 118 4.50    
WHO LADY WHO Mar31 Feb22 Jan12 Nov19   (dibona rober)ZAYAS J 118 1.40 36% 1.80    
 
GP-4   05/11/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($22K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STORM P Apr20 Mar27 Jan19 Nov18   (narvaez carlo)PINTO EDUARDO 111 20.00    
B G LEE Apr21 Apr05 Mar01 Jan26 Jan10 (philipp karyn)TREJOS JOSEPH 123 30.00    
SCR  UNDALAY Apr25 Apr11 Mar15 Feb04 Jul01 (mckanas j)REYES LEONEL 121 20.00    
BOLDNESS Feb17 Jan07 Dec23 Dec01 Aug18 (barboza vict)GONZALEZ EDWIN 121 2.00 29% 2.50    
MENELIK Apr21 Feb23 Jan07 Dec23 May15 (alter happy)GIL CIPRIANO 121 15.00    
GOLDEN TONE Apr24 Apr06 Mar17 Mar03 Feb23 (rivera xavie)MORELOS E 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
BELTS 'N BROOKS Apr21 Apr11 Mar31 Feb23 Jan28 (valery paul)RIOS M 123 8.00    
STORM BRAVE Apr18 Mar14 Dec14 Nov17 Oct28 (joseph saffi)ZAYAS J 121 1.60 36% 1.80    
BOCA BOY Apr13 Feb07 Nov25 Oct21 Aug06 (hernandez sandi)JARAMILLO E 121 5.00 10% 8.90    
 
GP-5   05/11/2024 5610ft TURF RC9 FIRM Starter Allowance ($25K) Purse ($41K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BARRAGE Nov18 Oct06 Aug17 Jun23 May28 (palmer nichola)REYES LEONEL 120 1.20    
JUST FOR LUCK (AUS) Feb25 Jan21 Dec26 Dec02 Nov03 (maker j)JARAMILLO E 122 1.80 45% 1.20    
THE MAR Apr14 Mar14 Feb18 Jan25 Nov04 (nunez eduardo)MORALES ANGEL 122 10.00    
CURLIN'S KITTEN Apr06 Mar08 Feb17 Jan11 Nov11 (alter happy)PEREZ EDGAR 122 12.00 18% 4.50    
MR BRIZEL Apr14 Mar24 Feb25 Jan18 Dec07 (garcia rodol)MORELOS E 120 8.00    
GLOBES Apr20 Mar23 Feb15 Jan11 Dec09 (alvarado jua)ZAYAS J 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
OPPOSITES ATTRACT Apr19 Mar20 Mar01 Jan18 Dec23 (bowers)VASQUEZ ANGEL 120 12.00 7% 13.50    
 
GP-6   05/11/2024 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 3 ALL PT- 3:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIVEEYESONSKYSTARS         (rodriq)VASQUEZ ANGEL 118 20.00    
  (by OUTWORK out of MUSIC MAJOR by STREET SENSE)
COME TO PAPA Mar16         (joseph saffi)GONZALEZ EDWIN 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of SHESACURLINMYTOES by CURLIN)
GO IRISH         (antonucci je)MORELOS E 118 5.00    
  (by IRISH WAR CRY out of VADA by MORE THAN READY)
FROM THE CLOUDS         (joseph saffi)ZAYAS J 118 3.50 16% 5.10    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of DRFERRYTOTHEFINISH by AFLEET ALEX)
AGENT MOR Apr20         (mcgoey mon)PIMENTEL JR 118 30.00    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of AGENT PROVOCATEUR by INTERACTIF)
QUATROCENTO         (gutierrez faus)REYES LEONEL 118 15.00    
  (by WAR FRONT out of HUASCA by TIZ WONDERFUL)
SCR  SHADOW SURGE Apr13         (weaver george)JARAMILLO E 118 4.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of DIPLOMATIC MISS by MR. LEADER)
BIG CITY Mar31 Mar02 Jan27 Dec30   (d'angelo fr)LEON SONNY 118 1.40 60% 0.70    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of DALSAROS by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
 
GP-7   05/11/2024 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($61K) 3 F PT- 4:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUALIFICATA Apr20 Mar29 Mar09 Feb10 Nov09 (gutierrez faust)JARAMILLO E 120 5.00 5% 19.00    
AMY THE BUTCHER Apr20 Mar27 Feb16 Jan21 Sep16 (miller herbe)THOMAS ANTHONY 118 8.00    
MARSHMALLOW QUEEN Apr11 Feb16 Jan04 Nov10 Oct15 (sano antonio)ZAYAS J 120 1.00 32% 2.20    
DEMAR'S LEGACY Feb08 Nov24 Oct28 Jul23   (casse )VASQUEZ ANGEL 120 4.00 25% 3.00    
MISS SAYELY Mar24 Feb09 Dec29 Nov11 Oct13 (d'angelo fr)LEON SONNY 120 3.50    
GALLOP D'HERMES Apr26 Apr12 Mar29 Sep02 Aug04 (zanelli dante)PEREZ EDGAR 118 12.00    
 
GP-8   05/11/2024 3300ft TURF RC11 FIRM Royal Palm Juvenile Fillies Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 4:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CHINA BLUE May02         (gonzalez jav)MORELOS E 118 30.00    
  (by SOCIAL INCLUSION out of IMPERIAL LADY by INTIDAB)
SCR  KIP THE DISTANCE May02         (rodriguez )HERNANDEZ MAIKOL 118 30.00    
  (by NEOLITHIC out of HAUNTING MELODY by SONGANDAPRAYER)
BUNRATTY MANOR (IRE)         (weave)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 12.00    
  (by NO NAY NEVER out of SAPPHIRE RING by GALILEO)
YOU NEED ME         (braddy david)REYES LEONEL 118 30.00    
  (by ST PATRICK'S DAY out of MOCHACCINO by UNCAPTURED)
BULLET         (casse mark)JARAMILLO E 118 6.00 14% 6.30    
  (by WAR FRONT out of MARLINSPIKE by TAPIT)
SCR  RAMSEY POND         (joseph saffie )CAMACHO SAMY 118 10.00    
  (by DIVISIDERO out of SURFS EDGE by MALIBU MOON)
SCR  THE QUEENS M G Apr07         (joseph saffi)ZAYAS J 121 5.00    
  (by THOUSAND WORDS out of SHOW QUEEN by GRINDSTONE)
BOIS BLANC Apr26         (wojczynski justi)LEON SONNY 118 12.00 13% 6.90    
  (by FIRST SAMURAI out of FLORIAN by TWIN TIME)
PERFECT SHANCES Apr11         (ward wes)RODRIGUEZ A 121 1.80 48% 1.10    
  (by SHANCELOT out of AMERICAN BABY by CONQUISTADOR CIELO)
10  GOOD LONG CRY         (weaver georg)GONZALEZ EDWIN 118 10.00    
  (by LONG ON VALUE out of HIGH CRY by STREET CRY)
11  MY EMMY         (casse )VASQUEZ ANGEL 118 10.00    
  (by WAR OF WILL out of KYLLACHY QUEEN by KYLLACHY)
12  UNCHAINED ELAINE Apr12         (biancone p)ASMUSSEN J 118 8.00 5% 18.20    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of RAZORBACK LADY by OVERDRIVEN)
 
GP-9   05/11/2024 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($61K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  AWESOME STRONG Aug22 Jul22 Jun14 Oct01 Sep03 (casse )VASQUEZ ANGEL 120 10.00    
TURBO Apr13 Mar10 Jan01 Oct29 Oct01 (alvarado juan)REYES LEONEL 120 4.00    
CAPE TRAFALGAR (IRE) Mar16 Jan19 Oct21 Sep02 Aug05 (joseph saffi)ZAYAS J 120 2.00 35% 1.80    
BIG MARTINI Mar16 Feb11 Jan12 Dec09 Nov18 (crichton rohan)JARAMILLO E 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
LUNI SIMA Apr14 Jan14 Dec17 Oct21 Sep28 (walder peter)GONZALEZ EDWIN 122 8.00    
BRON AND BROW Apr13 Mar10 Feb03 Jan06 Dec09 (casse mark)MORELOS E 120 4.50 29% 2.40    
TOXIC GRAY Apr13 Mar05 Feb11 Dec30   (plesa jr)PEREZ EDGAR 120 3.00    
 
GP-10   05/11/2024 3300ft TURF RC11 FIRM Royal Palm Juvenile Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 5:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAKEIT TO CHEYENNE         (casse mark)LEON SONNY 118 20.00    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of SPEIGHT'S COMETE by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
ENTERDADRAGON         (d'angelo jose )REYES LEONEL 118 30.00    
  (by OUTWORK out of RAISING AIDA by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
MADROC Apr25         (lightner mary)PEREZ EDGAR 118 12.00 11% 7.80    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of HOLLY HUNDY by YES IT'S TRUE)
CLASSY WAR         (casse mark)MORELOS E 118 12.00    
  (by WAR OF WILL out of CLASSYDAME by BLAME)
REACH FOR THE ROSE         (joseph saffi)ZAYAS J 118 8.00    
  (by AUDIBLE out of DIVINE MISSION by TWIRLING CANDY)
I KNOW I KNOW         (biancone p)ASMUSSEN J 118 15.00    
  (by JESS'S DREAM out of PROVE ME by BIG DRAMA)
GABALDON         (d'angelo f)JARAMILLO E 118 30.00    
  (by GONE ASTRAY out of VALUABLE MISS by VALUE PLUS)
SCR  RAISE THE BAR Apr10         (ward wes)RODRIGUEZ A 121 1.80    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of PASCHALI by BERNARDINI)
BRIGHT SKITTLE Apr25         (arnold r)PANICI LUCA 118 6.00 34% 1.90    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of HARBOR LIGHTS by SHACKLEFORD)
10  GOVERNOR SAM         (weaver georg)GONZALEZ EDWIN 118 4.50 32% 2.10    
  (by IMPROBABLE out of I'M BETTY G by INTO MISCHIEF)
11  INCANTO (IRE)         (siste)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 10.00    
  (by MEHMAS out of HATEEL by KODIAC)
12  GARDEN OF WAR         (casse )VASQUEZ ANGEL 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by WAR OF WILL out of SKY GARDEN by ACCLAMATION)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.