Handicappers' Racing Form

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Lone Star Park
Saturday - May 04, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

LS-1   Win (1/2/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
LS-2   Win (7/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
LS-3   Win (7/1/8/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00
LS-4   Win (4/1/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00
LS-5   Win (9/7/4/5/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00
LS-6   Win (6/4/1/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00
LS-7   Win (7/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00
LS-8   Win (7/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
LS-9   Win (10/2/3/4/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00
LS-10   Win (2/6/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00
LS-11   Win (2/6/8/1/12) 5 $2.00 $10.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
LS-1   05/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:05
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRAMI'S BOY Mar09 Feb10 Jan25 Nov21 Oct21 (broberg karl)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 2.50 33% 2.00    
TILLIS Sep27 Sep02 Jun10 Apr30 Apr08 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 124 1.60 24% 3.20    
CARPE EROS Apr19 Mar17 Feb23 Jan12 Nov25 (caldwe)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
TIZ ALLUPTOME NOW Jul16 Mar24 Jul02 Jun18 May01 (uri)DE CRUZ 124 20.00    
TEXAS TITAN Apr19 Mar30 Mar17 Feb19 Feb03 (payne w)DIEGO V 124 15.00    
FLIP THE COIN JAN Apr19 Mar17 Jan06 Jun25 Jun02 (castellanos ja)ALVAREZ L 124 4.50 18% 4.40    
MY LITTLE PRINCE Apr19 Apr05 Mar24 Mar03 Feb03 (young e)WETHEY JR 124 5.00    
CALIPARI Dec15 Oct26 Sep16 Aug24 Jul03 (mckinney )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 119 10.00    
 
LS-2   05/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($40K) 3 ALL PT- 2:33
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OBVIOUS CONCLUSION Apr05 Mar17       (love alan)CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 122 20.00    
EXPECT GLORY Mar17         (bravo francis)WETHEY JR 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
VINO TEXAS JESS         (calhoun willia)ALVAREZ L 122 3.00 25% 3.10    
SUPER EKATI Apr05         (love alan)GLASS DERBE 117 15.00    
TIGER MAN MCKOOL Mar17 Jun17       (pish danny)DIAZ RENE 122 4.50    
COMES THE SUN Mar17 Feb19 Feb09     (davidson brent)ELLIOTT S 122 4.00    
TURN NORTH Feb09 Jan27 Aug21 Jul03   (broberg karl)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 1.80 44% 1.30    
 
LS-3   05/04/2024 4950ft TURF RC7 GOOD Claiming ($25K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:01
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ARINNITI (FR) Mar15 Feb03 Jan06     (cappellucci d)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 1.60 10% 9.10    
MARKET PROFILE Apr06 Mar15 Feb19 Jan21 Nov16 (hebert matt)CABRERA DAVID 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
GIRLS GOT GAME Mar03 Nov10 Oct19 Sep28 May19 (jacks e)DIEGO V 124 4.00    
BAYOU BEAUTY Apr06 Mar15 Mar02 Dec09 Nov25 (ran)DE CRUZ 124 30.00    
IN OPEN COURT Mar15 Jan28 Dec02 Nov01 Sep03 (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 124 15.00    
SCR  CAIRO MOON Apr27 Apr02 Feb26 Jan31 Dec20 (cappellucci di)ALVAREZ L 124 6.00    
ARMY KITTEN Apr07 May20 Mar01 Feb03 Dec11 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 124 2.50 62% 0.60    
CAJUN DOLL Apr21 Mar30 Feb18 Jan27 Jan05 (dup)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 118 20.00 6% 16.30    
ELMO'S SECRET Mar15 Dec15 Sep05 Aug03 Jul03 (craven)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 20.00    
 
LS-4   05/04/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:29
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNION DATA Apr03 Feb11 Dec16 Nov25 Oct11 (gelner jayde )WETHEY JR 124 3.50 28% 2.50    
SCR  MO TAP Apr18 Mar22 Mar02 Dec07 Nov09 (broberg karl)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 2.00    
BOARD CERTIFIED Apr05 Mar22 Mar10 Feb18 Jan28 (davidson sarah)PIVARAL GERBER 124 4.00    
CREATIVE MIRACLE Apr15 Mar22 Mar10 Feb03 Jan05 (young e)DIEGO V 124 4.50 33% 2.10    
SCR  DISCO DANZING Apr15 Mar25 Feb03 Jan13 Dec15 (mckinney )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 119 15.00    
DO YOUR JOB Apr05 Mar01 Feb18 Nov18 Sep02 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 118 12.00    
BIG PAPER DADDY Mar22 Mar10 Sep16 Aug14 Jul30 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 124 8.00    
POSEIDONS WAVE Apr21 Mar24 Feb17 Jan21 Jan05 (young )VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
LS-5   05/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3 F PT- 3:57
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAGICALTHINGZTODO Mar24         (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 122 5.00    
ELSIE JANE Apr18         (padilla a)DIEGO V 122 6.00    
MONTANA'S ANGEL Feb10 Jan20 Nov29 Nov08 Oct12 (gelner jayde )WETHEY JR 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
LAST WINE FOR ME         (broberg karl)CABRERA DAVID 122 10.00 11% 7.90    
INDY SPRINKLES         (pad)DE CRUZ 122 20.00 7% 12.90    
MO'S KITTEN Mar24 Mar08 Dec01 Oct21   (eoff terr)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 117 10.00    
TAPITSGOTAPISTOL Apr19 Apr07 Feb18 Feb04 Jun16 (davidson brent)ELLIOTT S 122 3.50 23% 3.30    
THAT'S ABOUT IT Mar15 Feb09       (craven)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 12.00    
CATHOLIC SUE Apr18 Mar28 Feb24 Jan26 Dec16 (broberg karl)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 1.60 25% 3.00    
 
LS-6   05/04/2024 4950ft TURF RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($40K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:25
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOING TO SANANTONE Feb29 Feb09 Jan05 Dec11 Jul03 (cappellucci d)HERNANDEZ HARRY 119 12.00 6% 16.90    
SILVER STEF HIT Mar24 Feb23 Feb02 Nov04 Sep22 (hjo)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 124 15.00    
SCR  FIST BUMP RIDGE Feb19         (kotara ronald)BURGOS SAMUEL 119 30.00    
REGAL TERKA Mar24         (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 119 5.00 20% 3.90    
MUCHO MACHO CAM Mar23         (love alan)SALAZAR TERESA 114 30.00    
SUPERSECRETWEAPON Mar24 Feb23       (fullerton kri)WETHEY JR 124 1.60 45% 1.20    
SILVER ASSASSIN Mar24 Feb23 Aug21 Jul03 Jun03 (jacks e)CABRERA DAVID 119 2.50    
GHURAIR'S WARRIOR Mar24 Feb23 Feb09 Jan20 Jun24 (castellanos ja)ALVAREZ L 124 10.00    
BAYOU BOY Mar01 Feb19 Feb03 Jan21   (craven)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
10  GOVERNOR'S DECREE         (saavedra mary)GLASS DERBE 114 20.00    
11  SILENT BLING Mar23 Feb17 Jan06 Jul03 Jun03 (gelner j)DIEGO V 119 8.00    
 
LS-7   05/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($46.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:53
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JOSH'S DREAM Mar23 Mar09 Feb18 Feb02 Mar25 (love alan)DIEGO V 124 4.50    
DUST EM Mar23 Feb17 Nov14 Oct28 Oct12 (jacks e)CABRERA DAVID 121 3.00 19% 4.20    
TOO MUCH ACTION Mar23 Feb17 Dec20 Nov28 Nov07 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 121 2.50    
SCR  SHARP LORENZO Mar23 Feb22 Feb02 Jan15 Dec30 (caldwell r)ELLIOTT S 115 12.00    
IBERIAN RUNNER Mar23 Feb17 Feb11 Jan26 Jan06 (govea )VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 15.00    
ZAVALA Mar23 Mar09 Feb17 Jul15 Jun25 (gelner jayde )WETHEY JR 124 4.00    
CHIEF BRADY Mar23 Feb23 Feb04 Dec14 Nov06 (davis h)ALVAREZ L 121 3.50 36% 1.80    
 
LS-8   05/04/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($34.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:21
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BATTLE STRIKE Feb18 Jan12 Nov28 Oct22 Sep03 (ashford ray)CABRERA DAVID 124 3.50    
NEXT REVOLT Feb25 Feb03 Nov08 Sep30 Sep15 (diodoro rober)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.00    
BIG BERNIE Apr07 Mar15 Feb18 Jun24 May28 (ech)DE CRUZ 124 4.00 19% 4.40    
PROJECTION Nov25 Oct26 Aug25 Jun25 May21 (cappellucci di)ALVAREZ L 120 12.00    
TEJAS Mar22 Mar09 Jan28 Jan07 Dec17 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  OAK HILL LG Apr13 Mar16 Feb18 Jan25 Dec29 (alfortish sean)DIAZ RENE 122 12.00    
SHOTSHELL Apr07 Mar15 Feb09 Dec09 Dec01 (craven)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 2.50 40% 1.50    
 
LS-9   05/04/2024 5280ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($40.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:49
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CINCO RICHIE Apr18 Jul28 Jul03 Jun10 May28 (broberg karl)DIAZ RENE 124 3.00    
OZZIES WINGS Y G Apr18 Apr05 Mar16 Mar01 Feb17 (torrez)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 118 3.50 7% 13.40    
CRAZY RIDGE Apr18 Apr05 Mar02 Feb17 Jan21 (kotara ronald)SANCHEZ M 124 15.00 7% 13.40    
MORO MAFIA Mar29 Feb25 Jan18 Dec21 Dec08 (bry)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 124 20.00 5% 18.40    
KING ARTHUR RIDGE Apr05 Mar29 Feb25 Feb09 Jan20 (kot)DE CRUZ 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
TEXAS CLUBMAN Mar29 Feb23 Feb09 Jan13 Aug21 (rossi j)CABRERA DAVID 124 6.00    
SCR  BULLS IN THE BRONX Jul02 Jun10 May21 Apr29 Feb25 (bravenec br)ELLIOTT S 124 12.00    
FOO FLIGHTER Mar23 Mar03 Jan27 Jan06 Nov24 (padilla a)DIEGO V 118 20.00    
NIGHTWIND Apr05 Mar29 Mar02 Feb17 Jan12 (young e)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 4.00    
10  TEAM GORMLEY Apr19 Oct28 Sep13 Aug25 Jul04 (scholl kevin)WETHEY JR 124 5.00 57% 0.70    
11  COWTOWN FLYER Apr21 Mar16 Feb03 Jan05   (coats jam)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 113 30.00    
 
LS-10   05/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($41.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:17
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SOARING LADY Apr07 Mar10 Feb16 Feb03 Nov08 (young bob)DIAZ RENE 124 4.00    
MOR PEANUTS Apr07 Jan28 Jan07 May14 Apr23 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 120 2.50 45% 1.20    
BLUSHING BELLE Apr18 Mar23 Mar01 Jan28 Jan20 (love a)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 120 6.00    
DIAMONDS N ACES Mar23 Mar09 Jan28 Jun24 Jun04 (bry)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 122 15.00    
SCR  PROUD VALENTINE Oct18 Sep15 Aug25 Aug06 Jul10 (hebert matt)PIVARAL GERBER 120 15.00    
HAPPY SAILOR Mar23 Jan20 Dec09 Nov14 Oct12 (jacks e)WETHEY JR 120 4.50 16% 5.40    
RUBIANA Mar30 Feb16 Mar10 Jan01 Nov27 (hebert matt)DIEGO V 124 5.00    
SCR  AZUNIA Mar23 Mar02 Jan28 Jan05 Dec01 (padilla carlos)ALVAREZ L 122 15.00    
DIXIE CARROUSEL Apr07 Mar09 Jan07 Nov21 Nov09 (gustafson austi)CABRERA DAVID 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
LS-11   05/04/2024 4950ft TURF RC7 GOOD Claiming ($25K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JOHNNY APPLESEED Sep29 Sep14 Sep01 May27 May07 (willis mindy)ALVAREZ L 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
INTERSTELLAR Apr07 Feb18 Jan12 Nov01 Aug25 (young e)WETHEY JR 124 2.50 58% 0.70    
GRAZEN BOY Apr19 Jan18 Dec16 Dec01 Nov05 (cappellucci d)HERNANDEZ HARRY 118 15.00    
EYE OF THE PANTHOR Apr19 Sep16 Sep08 Aug26 Aug14 (pearson pau)CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 124 20.00    
RU MOR STARTER Apr21 Dec16       (eoff terr)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 113 20.00    
LIVINGSTON Mar15 Oct21 Sep28 Sep07 Aug18 (broberg karl)CABRERA DAVID 124 3.50 11% 8.10    
BRAZIL NUT Mar30 Mar22 Feb18 Jan19 Jan06 (kot)DE CRUZ 124 12.00    
GRACE'S HANK Feb09 Oct21 Sep28 Aug21   (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 118 15.00 6% 16.40    
SCR  MIAMI MOONLIGHT Apr07 Feb18 Feb02 Aug13 Jun24 (pish danny)DIAZ RENE 124 3.00    
SCR  SUPREME CAPO Mar09 Feb19 Jan20 Sep04 Jul15 (sauced)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 15.00    
11  SEND OFF Apr26 Apr07 Mar24 Mar09 Feb11 (davidson sarah)PIVARAL GERBER 118 20.00    
12  EL SMOOCH Feb25 Jan28 Jan20 Dec08 Nov17 (pish danny)DIEGO V 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MO SATURDAYS Feb09 Feb01 Jan11 Dec01 Sep02 (broberg karl)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 4.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.