Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Horseshoe Indianapolis
Tuesday - April 30, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

IND-1   WIN (6/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/5)-(6/2/7/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/2/5)-(6/2/7/5)-(6/2/7/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/2/5)-(4/5/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/2/5)-(4/5/2)-(6/4/1) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
IND-2   WIN (4/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/2)-(4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/2)-(6/4/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/5/2)-(6/4/1)-(4/6/2) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
IND-3   WIN (6/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/1)-(6/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/1)-(6/4/1)-(6/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/4/1)-(4/6/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/4/1)-(4/6/2)-(5/8/4/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
IND-4   WIN (4/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/2)-(4/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/2)-(4/6/2)-(4/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/6/2)-(5/8/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/6/2)-(5/8/4/1)-(1/10/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
IND-5   WIN (5/8/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/8/4/1)-(5/8/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/8/4/1)-(5/8/4/1)-(5/8/4/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/8/4/1)-(1/10/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/8/4/1)-(1/10/4)-(5/2/6/7/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
IND-6   WIN (1/10/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/10/4)-(1/10/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/10/4)-(1/10/4)-(1/10/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/10/4)-(5/2/6/7/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (1/10/4)-(5/2/6/7/3)-(9/7/5/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
IND-7   WIN (5/2/6/7/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/2/6/7/3)-(5/2/6/7/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/2/6/7/3)-(5/2/6/7/3)-(5/2/6/7/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/2/6/7/3)-(9/7/5/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
IND-8   WIN (9/7/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/7/5/8)-(9/7/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/7/5/8)-(9/7/5/8)-(9/7/5/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
IND-1   04/30/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($38.5K) 3 ALL PT- 2:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KNEEDEEPJUSTICE Apr17 Oct28 Oct11 Sep27   (medina tomas)TERRAZA GERMAN 117 1.80    
  (by HARRY'S HOLIDAY out of LADY CAROLINE by INDYGO SHINER)
COSTLY PASS Apr08 Sep08 Aug02     (fletche)DE CRUZ 122 5.00 17% 4.90    
  (by PASS RUSH out of COSTLY by MUTAKDDIM)
GET ME ONE TOO         (nance jon)BERMUDEZ E 122 12.00    
  (by HARRY'S HOLIDAY out of AZUBA by DISCREETLY MINE)
TREMOR Apr17 Nov01 Oct11 Sep27 Sep19 (elliott m)CORREA L 122 15.00    
  (by UNBRIDLED EXPRESS out of SPECIAL TALENT by TALENT SEARCH)
LORD ANTE         (cluley dennis)PRESCOTT R 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SKYLORD out of ANTE MY ANNIE by SKY APPROVAL)
MAGIC IN MOTION Apr17         (garcia genaro)SANJUR SANTO 122 3.00 55% 0.80    
  (by NOTIONAL out of CANDY POP by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
HOOSIER DADDY NOW Feb21         (langemeie)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 3.50    
  (by CHARMING KITTEN out of SCATTER POINT by SCAT DADDY)
 
IND-2   04/30/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CRIMSON MOON GHOST Apr08 Nov08       (sanchez emma)FIGUEROA JOVAN 117 15.00    
ROYAL VOWS Sep28 Sep06 Aug10     (west aaro)BERMUDEZ E 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  RIBBONS AND LACE         (caramori c)VILLARREAL OSCAR 110 3.50    
SCR  DRESSED IN PURPLE         (garcia ge)CORREA L 117 2.50 57% 0.70    
SALTY SUE Apr17 Nov16 Oct28 Oct10 Sep18 (egglest)DE CRUZ 121 1.60 21% 3.80    
SCR  LA FLAKA Apr16 Sep08 Aug19 Jul21   (gonzalez lilia)PAULY SUMMER 110 10.00    
MY SHADOWS LIGHT Mar27 Oct19       (beck rowena)SANJUR SANTO 124 12.00    
 
IND-3   04/30/2024 3630ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NIGHT LIVIN Apr16 Feb24 Feb15 Jan04 Dec01 (labra rogelio)SANJUR SANTO 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
SKYS IMAGE Nov08 Oct19 Sep06 Aug10 Jul05 (duran antoni)MORALES JOSHUA 122 4.50    
PASSIONFORJUSTICE Nov08 Oct28 Oct04 Aug26 Aug05 (gonzale)DE CRUZ 122 10.00    
BOTOX KATIE Mar29 Mar20 Feb17 Feb03 Jan05 (grubbs jamie)TERRAZA GERMAN 117 2.50 13% 6.40    
COMPRESSED ENERGY Apr08 Mar21 Jan26 Jan12 Nov15 (martinez a)PEREZ E 122 3.50    
BELLA BOLLE Apr08 Nov14 Aug31 Jun07 Apr27 (klopp randy)PAULY SUMMER 112 1.60 50% 1.00    
 
IND-4   04/30/2024 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($23.12K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SMOOTH JUSTICE Apr13 Mar23 Jan31 Jan11 Dec22 (meraz antonio)HERNANDEZ K 119 15.00    
JUSTA SIMPLE GIRL Feb28 Feb03 Jan13 Dec22 Oct03 (davis j)DE CRUZ 119 4.50 5% 17.90    
SCR  TWIRLING RUTH Mar20 Feb17 Feb03 Jan05 Dec22 (danner do)CORREA L 122 6.00    
TRIPLE SCOUT Jan13 Nov15 Sep30 Sep09 Aug01 (martinez a)PEREZ E 122 4.00 37% 1.70    
SCR  MY MY MUNNY Apr23 Oct05 Sep17 Aug22 Aug01 (garcia ge)PEDROZA MARCELINO 124 2.50    
GONNABEE Feb01 Oct11 Sep20 Jul15 Jun11 (eggleston tim)SANJUR SANTO 119 3.50 30% 2.30    
MABEE LUCKYNWILD Apr23 Mar15 Feb28 Feb03 Jan13 (wisner tr)BERMUDEZ E 122 8.00    
SCR  LOONA LUV Apr13 Mar31 Feb28 Feb07 Dec05 (cook brian)PAULY SUMMER 109 30.00    
 
IND-5   04/30/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($38.5K) 3 ALL PT- 4:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SKYTRAIN         (cluley de)BERMUDEZ E 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SKYLORD out of LITTLE MISS CHACHA by SKY APPROVAL)
INCLINED Apr17 Jul21 Jul03 Jun20   (lauer michael)ELLIOTT JANE 122 12.00    
  (by READY'S IMAGE out of HEBE'S VICTORY by LOST VICTORY)
HUMOR'S IMAGE         (duran antoni)MORALES JOSHUA 122 4.50    
  (by READY'S IMAGE out of INFINITY OF HUMOR by GOT THE LAST LAUGH)
POP THE CORK Apr08 Nov01 Sep27 Sep08 Aug17 (gorham m)PEREZ E 122 5.00 7% 13.30    
  (by GENERAL A ROD out of TIZ VEGAS by TIZNOW)
OIL MAN Apr17         (klopp randy)ROMAN A 122 2.00 52% 0.90    
  (by TURBO COMPRESSOR out of NIGHTLY RITUAL by CROWN AMBASSADOR)
THEO'S PROMISE Apr08 Nov14 Nov01 Oct11   (richardville t)SANJUR SANTO 122 6.00    
  (by HOLIDAY PROMISE out of G GS GOT THE GOODS by GOODS)
RAZED Apr17 Nov10 Oct18     (elliott mi)ANDERSON MCKENNA 122 20.00    
  (by TAPRIZE out of PRIZE SURPRIZE by PURE PRIZE)
CREEK VALLEY Apr08 Nov14 Nov01 Oct18 Sep27 (elliott m)CORREA L 122 3.50 12% 7.50    
  (by SKYLORD out of ANNA CREEK by LONHRO (AUS))
 
IND-6   04/30/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($23.12K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PORT ROYAL Apr12 Mar22 Jun09 May14 Apr28 (desormeaux kei)RIQUELME J 124 2.50 56% 0.80    
SCR  REVENGE TOUR Mar21 Feb14 Jan25 Jan04 Nov27 (grubbs jamie )JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 4.00    
SOMNUS (GB) Mar06 Jan11 Dec07 Nov14 Oct19 (egglest)DE CRUZ 124 4.50    
BALLYCOTTON BAY Apr16 Feb23 Feb02 Jan11   (klopp randy)ROMAN A 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  VINO CALDO Mar21 Feb23 Feb09 Jan11 Dec29 (davis joseph)TERRAZA GERMAN 115 6.00    
SCR  MO ANGELL Apr16 Mar28 Mar16 Mar03 Nov17 (haran joh)BEALMEAR C 117 30.00    
FREAKY Z Apr16 Mar14 Feb21 Feb02 Jan06 (hancock d)CORREA L 124 12.00    
JACK THE BIRD Mar29 Mar06 Aug31 Aug18 Jul20 (thompson erin)PEREZ E 121 30.00    
SCR  SOLIDIFIED GOLD Mar29 Feb02 Jan04 Dec14   (garcia ge)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 15.00    
10  WEGOTJACKSBACK Mar22         (labra rogeli)BURGOS ALBERTO 124 6.00 16% 5.10    
SCR  MIDNIGHT TIL DAWN Mar13 Feb11 Oct31 Sep25 Aug22 (contreras cipr)SANJUR SANTO 120 12.00    
 
IND-7   04/30/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KAYS HEAVENLY STAR Apr17 Dec15 Nov15 Nov07 Oct24 (sanchez emma)FIGUEROA JOVAN 124 3.50    
DABNEY Nov16 Oct31 Oct05 Sep18 Aug26 (klopp randy)PAULY SUMMER 112 2.50 29% 2.40    
QUEEN D Oct02 Sep14 Aug10 Jul15 Jul05 (mullins scot)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
LILMISS SASSYPANTS Apr17 Nov16 Oct28 Oct19 Oct02 (labra rog)CORREA L 122 6.00    
MYGALJUSTICE Apr17 Mar29 Feb01 Dec28 Dec15 (sanchez j)SANJUR SANTO 122 4.00 32% 2.10    
HARD TRUTH WINS Apr17 Oct28 Oct17 Sep07 Aug16 (garcia ge)PEDROZA MARCELINO 118 12.00 15% 5.80    
ECHO DREAMER Mar23 Nov07 Sep18 Aug26 Aug02 (quinonez max)PRESCOTT R 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
SANTIVA DIVA Dec10 Dec03 Nov16 Nov07 Oct28 (wisner tr)BERMUDEZ E 122 20.00    
ANTE ANGEL Nov10 Oct28 Oct10 Sep18 Aug26 (cluley )DE CRUZ 122 15.00    
 
IND-8   04/30/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($23.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VERSATILE Feb22 Jan03 Dec08 Sep28 Sep12 (wisner tracey )SANJUR SANTO 122 6.00    
DOMHNALL Oct19 Oct02 Aug29 Aug16 Jul13 (paquette raymond )PEREZ E 122 4.50    
SCR  ROBO MAN Jan27 Dec31 Nov05 Oct07 Sep17 (mcgovern shannon)PRESCOTT R 122 10.00    
SHIPSHAPE Dec06 Nov10 Oct17 Oct09 Sep20 (medina tomas)BURGOS ALBERTO 119 5.00    
CONTACT TRACING Jan22 Nov25 Oct13 Sep01 Aug02 (cunningha)BERMUDEZ E 122 8.00 14% 6.20    
NEOKING Mar27 Mar14 Feb23 Jan18 Jan03 (ellio)ULLOA PATRICIO 122 20.00    
MON AMI FUZZIE Apr06 Feb10 Jan06 Dec06 Nov11 (reid r)HERNANDEZ K 122 4.00 21% 3.80    
ROCKET DOCKET Mar09 Feb28 Dec30 Nov16 Nov07 (elliott mi)ANDERSON MCKENNA 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
DROP IT Dec07 Oct30 Sep01 Aug12 Jul26 (edwards willia)ELLIOTT JANE 122 3.50 28% 2.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.