Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Lone Star Park
Sunday - April 21, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LS-1   WIN (4/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/5)-(4/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/5)-(4/2/5)-(4/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/5)-(4/5/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
LS-2   WIN (4/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/3)-(4/5/2/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/5/3)-(4/5/2/3)-(4/5/2/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/5/3)-(7/1/6/2)-(3/6/7/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LS-3   WIN (7/1/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/6/2)-(7/1/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/6/2)-(7/1/6/2)-(7/1/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/1/6/2)-(3/6/7/8)-(6/5) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
LS-4   WIN (3/6/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/7/8)-(3/6/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/7/8)-(3/6/7/8)-(3/6/7/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/6/7/8)-(6/5)-(8/5/1/12) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
LS-5   WIN (6/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/5)-(6/4/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (6/5)-(6/4/5)-(6/4/5) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
LS-6   WIN (8/5/1/12) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/5/1/12)-(8/5/1/12) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/5/1/12)-(8/5/1/12)-(8/5/1/12) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
LS-7   WIN (5/7/9/8/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/7/9/8/3)-(5/7/9/8/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/7/9/8/3)-(5/7/9/8/3)-(5/7/9/8/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    PK3 (5/7/9/8/3)-(1/3/8/10/6)-(4/7/10/13/11) 125 $0.50 $62.50 
LS-8   WIN (1/3/8/10/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/3/8/10/6)-(1/3/8/10/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/3/8/10/6)-(1/3/8/10/6)-(1/3/8/10/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/3/8/10/6)-(4/7/10/13/11) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
LS-9   WIN (4/7/10/13/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/7/10/13/11)-(4/7/10/13/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/7/10/13/11)-(4/7/10/13/11)-(4/7/10/13/11) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LS-1   04/21/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  EAGLEFORD Mar03 Feb08 Jul31 Jul16 Jun24 (bryant ge)CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 124 15.00    
2  VALDINA DREAMS Mar24 Mar09 Feb10 Jan05 Oct19 (payne w)CABRERA DAVID 124 2.00 14% 6.30    
3  RED DRAW Apr05 Mar24 Mar03 Feb17 Jan12 (young scott)WETHEY JR 124 4.00    
4  POSEIDONS WAVE Mar24 Feb17 Jan21 Jan05 Nov09 (davis shawn )ALVAREZ L 124 1.60 48% 1.10    
5  COWTOWN FLYER Mar16 Feb03 Jan05     (coats jam)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 118 15.00 11% 7.90    
6  RICHARD'S TX BLING Mar24 Mar03 Feb10 Jun22 Jun09 (gove)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 3.50    
 
LS-2   04/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIGER BY THE TAIL Mar04 Feb02 Jan12     (cappellucci dick)DIAZ RENE 118 4.00    
2  BARBACOA Apr04 Mar21 Feb25 Jul01 Sep04 (cappellucci)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.00 ★    
3  SON OF PREACHERMAN Jul12 Jun28 Jun14 May21 Apr12 (lewis jehu)GLASS DERBE 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  IMPOVERISHED May21 Apr29 Apr07 Mar11 Feb20 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 119 2.50 52% 0.90    
5  DARYLSKLIMTOMANIAC         (castellanos j)CABRERA DAVID 124 5.00 22% 3.50    
6  ROMAN GENERAL Apr06 Feb18       (ashford ra)GONZALEZ ELVIN 118 3.50    
7  GIVE HIM TIME Feb25 Dec29 Oct08     (range)CAMACHO-BENITEZ SIMON 119 15.00    
 
LS-3   04/21/2024 3300ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WILLIE'S POSSE Apr05 Feb03 Jan05     (c)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 118 3.50 30% 2.40    
2  RU MOR STARTER Dec16         (eoff te)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 113 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  ALPHABET ADAMS Mar24 Mar15       (davidson sar)PIVARAL GERBER 124 15.00    
4  TIME BEAN Feb24 Jul03 Jun17     (whitton mark)SALAZAR TERESA 113 20.00    
5  UPTOWN TWOUNDERPAR Apr05 Mar17 Feb03     (padilla a)DIEGO V 118 4.00    
6  DEVITO Mar01 Jan13 Jun24 Jun04 May18 (davidson b)WISEMAN ISAIAH 124 3.00 10% 8.60    
7  CONNOR TALKSTRASH Mar03 Feb03 Jan19 Dec16   (ashford tris)GONZALEZ ELVIN 118 2.50 35% 1.80    
SCR  DREAMS ROCKETMAN Apr13 Mar11 Feb05 Jan07   (bust)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 6.00    
 
LS-4   04/21/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNCLE NICK Mar22 Feb29 Feb08 Jan12 Aug23 (gove)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 5.00    
SCR  BOARD CERTIFIED Apr05 Mar22 Mar10 Feb18 Jan28 (davidson sarah)SANCHEZ OBED 124 6.00    
3  LEVY Apr06 Mar17 Mar02 Feb10 Jan26 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 119 4.50 32% 2.20    
4  DEFINE Mar22 Feb23 Feb08 Jan12 Dec30 (pish danny)ALVAREZ L 124 4.00    
5  UPTOWN BIGBADJON Mar22 Feb25 Jan28 Jan07 Nov11 (padilla a)DIEGO V 124 15.00    
6  HA HA FOR YOU Jan11 Nov28 Nov14 Oct29 Oct01 (cappellucci)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.00 29% 2.50    
7  JIM NED Feb25 Jan28 Jan07 Dec17 Dec02 (pish danny)WETHEY JR 124 3.50 10% 9.00    
8  GAMMA RAY Mar22 Feb25 Jan13 Dec16 Oct12 (eoff terr)CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
LS-5   04/21/2024 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($36.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOSS' DIALIN IN Mar14 Feb24 Jan27 Dec31 Dec03 (duhon o)SUAREZ ANGEL 124 3.00    
SCR  MARKS PROMISE Jan25 Jan06 Dec08 Nov17 Oct18 (brob)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 120 10.00    
3  ALPINE THUNDER Mar24 Mar02 Dec15 Nov17 Oct09 (diodoro robe)GONZALEZ ELVIN 120 4.00    
4  EMPIRE OF GOLD Mar16 Feb23 Feb04 Jan05 Nov04 (eoff te)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 115 2.50 ★    
5  JACKMAN'S RIDE Feb04 Dec04 Oct13 Sep23 Aug24 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 124 4.50 6% 15.70    
6  TAPE TO TAPE Feb24 Jan05 Dec13 Sep29 Aug20 (broberg kar)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.50 57% 0.80    
SCR  AXEL STEEL Mar03 Jan28 Dec04 Oct08 Jul30 (caldwell r)ELLIOTT S 120 20.00    
 
LS-6   04/21/2024 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($20K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DRIVEHAPPY Mar16 Feb24 Feb04 Nov29 Nov08 (scholl kevi)WETHEY JR 122 15.00 16% 5.10    
2  MOR LANA SPIRIT Apr06 Feb25 Jan05 Nov11 Oct26 (craddoc)GONCALVES R 122 20.00    
3  WITT'S TAQUITO Apr07 Mar23 Mar08 Feb25 Jan27 (sauceda jess)GONZALEZ ELVIN 122 12.00    
4  SHAMAYIM Apr07 Mar24 Feb18 Jan27 Jan06 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 30.00    
5  RODEO CHAMP Feb24 Jan28 Jan12 Nov14 Sep23 (davis shawn )ALVAREZ L 122 6.00 19% 4.30    
SCR  OCELOT Feb25 Jan27 Jan06 Dec22 Nov04 (broberg kar)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 0.80    
7  VARNISHED Apr07 Mar16 Feb18 Feb10 Jan27 (chacaltana domi)BENAVIDES D 124 20.00    
8  TED Mar26 Mar05 Nov11 Sep29 Sep09 (cappellucci dick)DIAZ RENE 124 4.50 23% 3.30    
SCR  TRULY DANZIG Mar23 Sep29 Sep09 Jul01 Jun03 (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 122 8.00    
SCR  THICK HAZE Apr07 Mar08 Feb18 Feb03 Aug30 (r)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 122 20.00    
SCR  EASTER SNAP Apr12 Mar23 Feb17 Dec29 Nov17 (govea cesar)DIAZ RENE 124 5.00    
12  CLIFF DIVER Mar29 Mar01 Jan26 Jan06 Dec16 (r)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 122 15.00 12% 7.60    
 
LS-7   04/21/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($40K) 3 F PT- 5:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LAVENDER WILL         (k)DE CRUZ 122 20.00    
  (by RONRIDGE WILL out of LAVENDER RIDGE by NAVARRO)
2  WESTERN SKY         (davidson b)WISEMAN ISAIAH 122 20.00    
  (by SKY FLIGHT out of WET RIDE by RODEO)
3  BELMIRA         (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MIDNIGHT STORM out of SENORA ACERO by THE FACTOR)
4  STACY'S PRINCESS Mar16         (urieg)MANRRIQUE JOSE 122 15.00    
  (by LATENT HEAT out of ALL HER CHARMS by SKY MESA)
5  BLUEBONNET GIRL Feb10 Jan07       (silva miguel)ALVAREZ L 122 2.50 39% 1.60    
  (by SHAMAN GHOST out of BLUE GARTER by U S RANGER)
6  KLASSY ROSE CHROME         (rangel raul)DIEGO V 122 20.00    
  (by TEXAS CHROME out of KLASSY K. O. by SILVER CITY)
7  BACLIFF Mar16         (gustafson aus)CABRERA DAVID 122 3.50 26% 2.80    
  (by KHOZAN out of CAMERON CRAZIES by LION HEART)
8  GOD KNOWS WHY Apr06 Mar16       (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 122 4.00 7% 13.50    
  (by EAGLE out of KATIE'S TEN by ROCK HARD TEN)
9  FLYING FIRST CLASS Apr06 Mar16 Feb10 Jan07 Nov28 (cald)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 3.00 8% 11.40    
  (by BRADESTER out of REAL STRIKE by SMART STRIKE)
 
LS-8   04/21/2024 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($40.5K) 3 F PT- 5:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ANTIFREEZE Mar22 Mar03 Feb10 Jan05 Aug31 (jacks karen)WETHEY JR 122 4.50 34% 1.90    
2  TEXAS MOON Mar23 Mar03 Jan27 Nov21 Oct25 (jacks e)CABRERA DAVID 122 6.00    
3  HIGH TONE WOMAN Mar22 Feb17 Jan06     (gelner j)ELLIOTT S 122 3.00 18% 4.50    
4  TOO MUCH GUITAR Apr06 Mar24 Mar02 Feb18 Feb10 (gove)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 20.00    
5  BLUE HEAVENLY Mar30 Mar20 Mar03 Feb10 Jan27 (govea c)GONCALVES R 122 5.00    
6  BRINGONTHEBUBBLY Mar03 Jan27 Jul22 Jul02 Jun16 (silva miguel)GONZALEZ ELVIN 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  DULCE AMANECER YG Mar30 Mar03 Feb17 Feb04 Jan21 (m)DE CRUZ 122 30.00    
8  SUCCESSFULPATH Mar30 Jan27 Jan06 Nov21 Jul02 (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 122 3.50 17% 4.90    
9  SPEAK SOFTLY Mar22 Mar03 Jan27 Jan05 Nov10 (calhoun wil)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 8.00    
10  CAJUN DOLL Mar30 Feb18 Jan27 Jan05 Nov30 (dupuy allen)MORA GERARDO 122 15.00 7% 12.40    
 
LS-9   04/21/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LEONE Mar30 Mar03 Feb19 Feb11 Jul31 (willis mind)WETHEY JR 124 15.00    
  (by TAPIZAR out of TERRIFEE by MENIFEE)
2  KARA Mar30         (pish danny)DIAZ RENE 118 10.00    
  (by KARAKONTIE out of SHEBA'S SECRET by KINGMAMBO)
3  UNLUCKY IN LOVE Mar29 Mar08 Feb24 Jan28 Nov25 (coats jam)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 118 30.00    
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of COWGIRL IN LOVE by COWBOY CAL)
4  UTSIRA Mar30 Mar03 Feb16 Feb03 Dec13 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 2.50 35% 1.90    
  (by ANIMAL KINGDOM out of FLOUNCE by MAJESTIC LIGHT)
5  KOLLYNS JULIE Mar29 Oct25 Sep22 Sep04 Aug18 (m)DE CRUZ 118 50.00    
  (by TONALIST out of WILD ABOUT JASS by BLUEGRASS CAT)
6  COMMANDEERESS Mar01 Nov30       (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 118 20.00    
  (by ARROGATE out of THE CAT'S REACH by BERNSTEIN)
7  PRONUNCIATION Mar29 Mar01 Feb04 Nov10 Oct21 (craddoc)GONCALVES R 118 4.00 28% 2.60    
  (by QURBAAN out of SARAAMA by BAHRI)
8  FICKLE MISTRESS Mar30         (gustafson austin)DIEGO V 118 15.00    
  (by ENTICED out of MIGHTY FERRARI by SPECIAL RATE)
SCR  MADE AN OFFER Mar30 Mar01 Jan27     (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 118 1.60    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of UNCONTROLLED by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
10  GET READY GAL Mar29 Mar08 Feb19 Feb04 Dec29 (jacks e)CABRERA DAVID 118 8.00 13% 6.90    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of READY'S GAL by MORE THAN READY)
11  IN A MINESHAFT Mar24 Mar15 Feb19 Jan20 Dec01 (davidson sar)GONZALEZ ELVIN 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DIALED IN out of JAY AT NINE by STORM CAT)
SCR  SKYVIEW DRIVE Mar30 Mar03 Feb16 Nov08 Oct16 (h)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 124 3.50    
  (by JUSTIFY out of LA CLOCHE by GHOSTZAPPER)
13  TIZ A KNOCKOUT Mar30 Mar03 Feb16 Feb03 Jan07 (jacks karen)WETHEY JR 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of TIZ CHAMP by TIZNOW)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.